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Country Rank

116


Antigua and Barbuda

Recovery Rank for 184 countries/regions

COVID-19 Recovery Rating

3

Recovery Index
48.64
(Out of 100)



(100 = Best, 0 = Worst)

COVID-19 Severity Rating

1

Severity Index
23.79
(Out of 100)



(0 = Best, 100 = Worst)

Stringency Rating

N/A

(100 = Strictest Measures, 0 = No Measures)


Population
97,118

(Medium Density)


GNI per capita (US$)

15890

(High income)
5 Countries who have made the most progress in
curtailing the spread of the pandemic and can be
used as examples of best practices (Relative Rating)

4
3
2 Countries who are struggling to cope with the crisis
and who may need to consider maintaining stringent
non-pharmaceutical measures (Relative Rating)
1
1 Countries who are coping with the crisis with a low percentage
of infections and resulting deaths per population
(Relative Rating)
2
3 Countries who may be overwhelmed by the crisis with a high
percentage of infections and resulting deaths per population
(Relative Rating)
4
5

Travel Advisory


1. Passengers must have a medical certificate with a negative Coronavirus (COVID-19) RT-PCR test result issued at most 7 days before departure. - This does not apply to passengers
younger than 12 years.

2. Passengers are subject to medical screening upon arrival.

3. Passengers could be subject to quarantine.

4. A completed Health Declaration Form must be presented to the Port Health Authorities upon arrival.

5. Passengers and airline crew staying overnight in transit must stay at a hotel or at a designated facility until their next flight.

Travel Advisory information provided and published with permission by IATA.


Antigua and Barbuda Infection Trend


How can you tell if a curve is really flattening?

The number of daily confirmed cases has been used as an estimation of how severe the COVID-19 situation is in a given country. However, we’ve found that focusing on the country’s cumulative number of active cases gives a clearer picture of whether the infection curve is flattening.


Countries with Similar Characteristics


This table is generated by a GCI-developed tool to match countries based on their similar characteristics such as population, population density, income and climate.

Antigua and Barbuda 48.64 97,118 Medium Density High income 26-30 deg
Country Recovery Index Population Density GNI per capita Average Temperature since First Case (Celsius) Match%
Bahamas 15.99 389,482 Medium Density High income 26-30 deg 100%
Brunei 57.83 433,285 Medium Density High income 26-30 deg 100%
Seychelles 57.11 97,625 Medium Density High income 26-30 deg 100%
Andorra 16.41 77,142 Medium Density High income 11-20 deg 85%
Cyprus 38.94 1,198,575 Medium Density High income 11-20 deg 85%
Liechtenstein 32.22 38,019 Medium Density High income < 10 deg 85%
St Kitts and Nevis 54.83 52,823 Medium Density High income 21-25 deg 85%
Comoros 54.70 850,886 Medium Density Lower middle income 26-30 deg 75%
Djibouti 54.28 973,560 Medium Density Lower middle income 26-30 deg 75%
Fiji 64.23 889,953 Medium Density Upper middle income 26-30 deg 75%

GCI Recovery Forecast


The GCI Recovery Forecasting methodology relies on a Monte Carlo simulation model as we recognise that the factors that contribute to an increase / decrease in confirmed COVID19 cases are highly variable and subject to various localised circumstances and interventions. The P10 / P50 / P90 are probabilities assigned to the forecasts, with P10 being highly optimistic, and P90 being very conservative on recovery and reduction in cases. The forecast model is updated daily based on the latest case data.

Forecast Results:

Situation May Improve. The GCI Model indicates that the situation has a small probability of recovery, but there is insufficient evidence to suggest that the recovery trend will improve significantly in the near future.



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