The Global COVID-19 Index (GCI) - Antigua and Barbuda Dashboard

The GCI Dashboard

Version:

Country Rank

120

Antigua and Barbuda

Recovery Rank for 180 countries/regions

Country Rank

127

Antigua and Barbuda

Recovery Rank for 184 countries/regions

COVID-19 Recovery Rating

3

Recovery Index
57.29
(Out of 100)

(100 = Best, 0 = Worst)

COVID-19 Recovery Rating

3

Recovery Index
45.17
(Out of 100)

(100 = Best, 0 = Worst)

COVID-19 Severity Rating

2

Severity Index
14.73
(Out of 100)

(0 = Best, 100 = Worst)

COVID-19 Severity Rating

1

Severity Index
21.80
(Out of 100)

(0 = Best, 100 = Worst)

Stringency Rating

N/A

(100 = Strictest Measures, 0 = No Measures)

Population

97,118

(Medium Density)

GNI per capita (US$)

15890

(High income)

COVID-19 Recovery Rating Guide

5	Countries who have made the most progress in curtailing the spread of the pandemic and can be used as examples of best practices (Relative Rating)
4
3
2	Countries who are struggling to cope with the crisis and who may need to consider maintaining stringent non-pharmaceutical measures (Relative Rating)
1

COVID-19 Severity Rating Guide

1	Countries who are coping with the crisis with a low percentage of infections and resulting deaths per population (Relative Rating)
2
3	Countries who may be overwhelmed by the crisis with a high percentage of infections and resulting deaths per population (Relative Rating)
4
5

Travel Advisory

Antigua and Barbuda - published 13.01.2021

1. Passengers entering or transiting through Antigua and Barbuda must have a medical certificate with a negative Coronavirus (COVID-19) RT-PCR SARS-CoV-2 test result. The test must have been taken at most 7 days before departure. - This does not apply to passengers younger than 12 years. 2. Passengers are subject to medical screening upon arrival. 3. Passengers could be subject to quarantine. 4. A completed Health Declaration Form must be presented to the Port Health Authorities upon arrival. 5. Passengers and airline crew staying overnight in transit must stay at a hotel or at a designated facility until their next flight. 6. More Coronavirus (COVID-19) related information can be found at https://visitantiguabarbuda.com/travel-advisory/ .

Travel Advisory information provided and published with permission by IATA.

1. Passengers entering or transiting through Antigua and Barbuda must have a medical certificate with a negative Coronavirus (COVID-19) RT-PCR SARS-CoV-2 test result. The test must
have been taken at most 7 days before departure. - This does not apply to passengers younger than 12 years.

2. Passengers are subject to medical screening upon arrival.

3. Passengers could be subject to quarantine.

4. A completed Health Declaration Form must be presented to the Port Health Authorities upon arrival.

5. Passengers and airline crew staying overnight in transit must stay at a hotel or at a designated facility until their next flight.

6. More Coronavirus (COVID-19) related information can be found at https://visitantiguabarbuda.com/travel-advisory/ .

Travel Advisory information provided and published with permission by IATA.

Antigua and Barbuda Infection Trend

How can you tell if a curve is really flattening?

The number of daily confirmed cases has been used as an estimation of how severe the COVID-19 situation is in a given country. However, we’ve found that focusing on the country’s cumulative number of active cases gives a clearer picture of whether the infection curve is flattening.

Countries with Similar Characteristics

This table is generated by a GCI-developed tool to match countries based on their similar characteristics such as population, population density, income and climate.

Country	Recovery Index	Recovery Index	Population	Density	GNI per capita	Average Temperature since First Case (Celsius)	Match%
Antigua and Barbuda	45.17	57.29	97,118	Medium Density	High income	26-30 deg
Bahamas	37.32	57.00	389,482	Medium Density	High income	26-30 deg	100%
Brunei	57.28	79.49	433,285	Medium Density	High income	26-30 deg	100%
Seychelles	32.35	56.58	97,625	Medium Density	High income	26-30 deg	100%
Andorra	39.63	58.20	77,142	Medium Density	High income	11-20 deg	85%
Cyprus	47.97	60.48	1,198,575	Medium Density	High income	11-20 deg	85%
Liechtenstein	51.44		38,019	Medium Density	High income	< 10 deg	85%
St Kitts and Nevis	51.76	60.20	52,823	Medium Density	High income	21-25 deg	85%
Comoros	32.64	40.82	850,886	Medium Density	Lower middle income	26-30 deg	75%
Djibouti	54.44	70.12	973,560	Medium Density	Lower middle income	26-30 deg	75%
Fiji	64.39	88.23	889,953	Medium Density	Upper middle income	26-30 deg	75%

GCI Recovery Forecast

The GCI Recovery Forecasting methodology relies on a Monte Carlo simulation model as we recognise that the factors that contribute to an increase / decrease in confirmed COVID19 cases are highly variable and subject to various localised circumstances and interventions. The P10 / P50 / P90 are probabilities assigned to the forecasts, with P10 being highly optimistic, and P90 being very conservative on recovery and reduction in cases. The forecast model is updated daily based on the latest case data.

Forecast Results:

Situation May Improve. The GCI Model indicates that the situation has a small probability of recovery, but there is insufficient evidence to suggest that the recovery trend will improve significantly in the near future.

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