The GCI Dashboard

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Country Rank

147


Antigua and Barbuda

Recovery Rank for 180 countries/regions

Country Rank

163


Antigua and Barbuda

Recovery Rank for 184 countries/regions

COVID-19 Recovery Rating

2

Recovery Index
48.78
(Out of 100)



(100 = Best, 0 = Worst)

COVID-19 Recovery Rating

2

Recovery Index
32.36
(Out of 100)



(100 = Best, 0 = Worst)

COVID-19 Severity Rating

3

Severity Index
35.80
(Out of 100)



(0 = Best, 100 = Worst)

COVID-19 Severity Rating

1

Severity Index
29.01
(Out of 100)



(0 = Best, 100 = Worst)

Stringency Rating

N/A

(100 = Strictest Measures, 0 = No Measures)


Population
97,118

(Medium Density)


GNI per capita (US$)

15890

(High income)
5 Countries who have made the most progress in
curtailing the spread of the pandemic and can be
used as examples of best practices (Relative Rating)

4
3
2 Countries who are struggling to cope with the crisis
and who may need to consider maintaining stringent
non-pharmaceutical measures (Relative Rating)
1
1 Countries who are coping with the crisis with a low percentage
of infections and resulting deaths per population
(Relative Rating)
2
3 Countries who may be overwhelmed by the crisis with a high
percentage of infections and resulting deaths per population
(Relative Rating)
4
5

Travel Advisory


1. Passengers entering or transiting through Antigua and Barbuda must have a medical certificate with a negative Coronavirus (COVID-19) RT-PCR test result. The test must have been
taken at most 7 days before departure. - This does not apply to passengers younger than 12 years.

2. Passengers are subject to medical screening upon arrival.

3. Passengers are subject to quarantine.

4. Passengers could be subject to Coronavirus (COVID-19) test upon arrival.

5. A completed Health Declaration Form must be presented to the Port Health Authorities upon arrival.

6. Passengers and airline crew staying overnight in transit must stay at a hotel or at a designated facility until their next flight.

7. More Coronavirus (COVID-19) related information can be found at https://visitantiguabarbuda.com/travel-advisory/ .

Travel Advisory information provided and published with permission by IATA.


Antigua and Barbuda Infection Trend


How can you tell if a curve is really flattening?

The number of daily confirmed cases has been used as an estimation of how severe the COVID-19 situation is in a given country. However, we’ve found that focusing on the country’s cumulative number of active cases gives a clearer picture of whether the infection curve is flattening.


Countries with Similar Characteristics


This table is generated by a GCI-developed tool to match countries based on their similar characteristics such as population, population density, income and climate.

Antigua and Barbuda 32.36 48.78 97,118 Medium Density High income 26-30 deg
Country Recovery Index Recovery Index Population Density GNI per capita Average Temperature
since First Case (Celsius)
Match%
Bahamas 49.20 64.17 389,482 Medium Density High income 26-30 deg 100%
Brunei 54.30 71.77 433,285 Medium Density High income 26-30 deg 100%
Seychelles 43.33 67.83 97,625 Medium Density High income 26-30 deg 100%
Andorra 43.54 62.06 77,142 Medium Density High income 11-20 deg 85%
Cyprus 42.11 67.08 1,198,575 Medium Density High income 11-20 deg 85%
Liechtenstein 58.49 38,019 Medium Density High income < 10 deg 85%
St Kitts and Nevis 54.82 64.89 52,823 Medium Density High income 21-25 deg 85%
Comoros 51.52 60.79 850,886 Medium Density Lower middle income 26-30 deg 75%
Djibouti 37.76 46.81 973,560 Medium Density Lower middle income 26-30 deg 75%
Fiji 62.05 86.56 889,953 Medium Density Upper middle income 26-30 deg 75%

GCI Recovery Forecast


The GCI Recovery Forecasting methodology relies on a Monte Carlo simulation model as we recognise that the factors that contribute to an increase / decrease in confirmed COVID19 cases are highly variable and subject to various localised circumstances and interventions. The P10 / P50 / P90 are probabilities assigned to the forecasts, with P10 being highly optimistic, and P90 being very conservative on recovery and reduction in cases. The forecast model is updated daily based on the latest case data.

Forecast Results:

Situation Improving. The GCI Model forecasts that the situation is definitely improving and with the right discipline and compliance, the country can hope to see numbers diminish significantly in the near future.



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