The GCI Dashboard

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Country Rank



Recovery Rank for 180 countries/regions

Country Rank

17


Macao SAR, China

Recovery Rank for 184 countries/regions

COVID-19 Recovery Rating

Recovery Index

(Out of 100)



(100 = Best, 0 = Worst)

COVID-19 Recovery Rating

4

Recovery Index
68.02
(Out of 100)



(100 = Best, 0 = Worst)

COVID-19 Severity Rating

Severity Index

(Out of 100)



(0 = Best, 100 = Worst)

COVID-19 Severity Rating

1

Severity Index
10.66
(Out of 100)



(0 = Best, 100 = Worst)

Stringency Rating

17.39

(100 = Strictest Measures, 0 = No Measures)


Population
640,445

(Very High Density)


GNI per capita (US$)

79110

(High income)
5 Countries who have made the most progress in
curtailing the spread of the pandemic and can be
used as examples of best practices (Relative Rating)

4
3
2 Countries who are struggling to cope with the crisis
and who may need to consider maintaining stringent
non-pharmaceutical measures (Relative Rating)
1
1 Countries who are coping with the crisis with a low percentage
of infections and resulting deaths per population
(Relative Rating)
2
3 Countries who may be overwhelmed by the crisis with a high
percentage of infections and resulting deaths per population
(Relative Rating)
4
5

Travel Advisory


3. Passengers are subject to quarantine for 14 days.

Travel Advisory information provided and published with permission by IATA.


Macao SAR, China Infection Trend


How can you tell if a curve is really flattening?

The number of daily confirmed cases has been used as an estimation of how severe the COVID-19 situation is in a given country. However, we’ve found that focusing on the country’s cumulative number of active cases gives a clearer picture of whether the infection curve is flattening.


Countries with Similar Characteristics


This table is generated by a GCI-developed tool to match countries based on their similar characteristics such as population, population density, income and climate.

Macao SAR, China 68.02 640,445 Very High Density High income 21-25 deg
Country Recovery Index Recovery Index Population Density GNI per capita Average Temperature
since First Case (Celsius)
Match%
Malta 49.05 54.73 502,653 Very High Density High income 11-20 deg 85%
Monaco 30.34 48.67 38,964 Very High Density High income < 10 deg 85%
Maldives 61.09 71.27 530,953 Very High Density Upper middle income 26-30 deg 60%

GCI Recovery Forecast


The GCI Recovery Forecasting methodology relies on a Monte Carlo simulation model as we recognise that the factors that contribute to an increase / decrease in confirmed COVID19 cases are highly variable and subject to various localised circumstances and interventions. The P10 / P50 / P90 are probabilities assigned to the forecasts, with P10 being highly optimistic, and P90 being very conservative on recovery and reduction in cases. The forecast model is updated daily based on the latest case data.

Forecast Results:

Situation Worsening. Infections are forecasted to continue to be on the rise. Interventions are required, if not already in place.



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