The Global COVID-19 Index (GCI) - New Zealand Dashboard

The GCI Dashboard

Country Rank

8

New Zealand

Recovery Rank for 184 countries/regions

COVID-19 Recovery Rating

5

Recovery Index
77.31
(Out of 100)

(100 = Best, 0 = Worst)

COVID-19 Severity Rating

1

Severity Index
11.53
(Out of 100)

(0 = Best, 100 = Worst)

Stringency Rating

17.39

(100 = Strictest Measures, 0 = No Measures)

Population

4,917,000

(Low Density)

GNI per capita (US$)

41020

(High income)

COVID-19 Recovery Rating Guide

5	Countries who have made the most progress in curtailing the spread of the pandemic and can be used as examples of best practices (Relative Rating)
4
3
2	Countries who are struggling to cope with the crisis and who may need to consider maintaining stringent non-pharmaceutical measures (Relative Rating)
1

COVID-19 Severity Rating Guide

1	Countries who are coping with the crisis with a low percentage of infections and resulting deaths per population (Relative Rating)
2
3	Countries who may be overwhelmed by the crisis with a high percentage of infections and resulting deaths per population (Relative Rating)
4
5

Travel Advisory

New Zealand - published 02.10.2020

1. Passengers are not allowed to enter. - This does not apply to nationals of New Zealand (including Cook Isl., Niue, Tokelau). - This does not apply to the immediate family members of nationals of New Zealand. - This does not apply to passengers with a permanent resident visa and their immediate family members. - This does not apply to nationals of Australia ordinarily resident in New Zealand. 2. Passengers are not allowed to transit. - This does not apply to nationals of Australia and New Zealand. - This does not apply to residents of New Zealand. - This does not apply to passengers with a New Zealand Electronic Travel Authority (NZeTA). - This does not apply to passengers with a transit visa issued by New Zealand. 3. Transit is only allowed at Auckland (AKL) for maximum 24 hours. 4. Passengers are subject to medical screening and quarantine for 14 days. - This does not apply to passengers in transit. 5. Airline crew must use appropriate personal protective equipment (PPE). 6. Effective 3 November 2020, passengers must have a voucher confirming their allocation to a place in managed isolation.

Travel Advisory information provided and published with permission by IATA.

1. Passengers are not allowed to enter. - This does not apply to nationals of New Zealand (including Cook Isl., Niue, Tokelau). - This does not apply to the immediate family
members of nationals of New Zealand. - This does not apply to passengers with a permanent resident visa and their immediate family members. - This does not apply to nationals of
Australia ordinarily resident in New Zealand.

2. Passengers are not allowed to transit. - This does not apply to nationals of Australia and New Zealand. - This does not apply to residents of New Zealand. - This does not apply
to passengers with a New Zealand Electronic Travel Authority (NZeTA). - This does not apply to passengers with a transit visa issued by New Zealand.

3. Transit is only allowed at Auckland (AKL) for maximum 24 hours.

4. Passengers are subject to medical screening and quarantine for 14 days. - This does not apply to passengers in transit.

5. Airline crew must use appropriate personal protective equipment (PPE).

6. Effective 3 November 2020, passengers must have a voucher confirming their allocation to a place in managed isolation.

Travel Advisory information provided and published with permission by IATA.

New Zealand Infection Trend

How can you tell if a curve is really flattening?

The number of daily confirmed cases has been used as an estimation of how severe the COVID-19 situation is in a given country. However, we’ve found that focusing on the country’s cumulative number of active cases gives a clearer picture of whether the infection curve is flattening.

Countries with Similar Characteristics

This table is generated by a GCI-developed tool to match countries based on their similar characteristics such as population, population density, income and climate.

Country	Recovery Index	Population	Density	GNI per capita	Average Temperature since First Case (Celsius)	Match%
New Zealand	77.31	4,917,000	Low Density	High income	11-20 deg
Uruguay	66.10	3,461,734	Low Density	High income	11-20 deg	100%
Finland	72.78	5,520,314	Low Density	High income	< 10 deg	85%
Norway	63.76	5,347,896	Low Density	High income	< 10 deg	85%
Oman	52.12	4,974,986	Low Density	High income	26-30 deg	85%
Sweden	57.96	10,285,453	Low Density	High income	< 10 deg	85%
Botswana	43.45	2,303,697	Low Density	Upper middle income	21-25 deg	60%
Central African Republic	35.48	4,745,185	Low Density	Low income	26-30 deg	60%
Congo Brazzaville	44.02	5,380,508	Low Density	Lower middle income	26-30 deg	60%
Gabon	52.03	2,172,579	Low Density	Upper middle income	26-30 deg	60%
Libya	27.02	6,777,452	Low Density	Upper middle income	21-25 deg	60%

GCI Recovery Forecast

The GCI Recovery Forecasting methodology relies on a Monte Carlo simulation model as we recognise that the factors that contribute to an increase / decrease in confirmed COVID19 cases are highly variable and subject to various localised circumstances and interventions. The P10 / P50 / P90 are probabilities assigned to the forecasts, with P10 being highly optimistic, and P90 being very conservative on recovery and reduction in cases. The forecast model is updated daily based on the latest case data.

Forecast Results:

Situation May Improve. The GCI Model indicates that the situation has a small probability of recovery, but there is insufficient evidence to suggest that the recovery trend will improve significantly in the near future.

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