The GCI Dashboard

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Country Rank

8


New Zealand

Recovery Rank for 184 countries/regions

COVID-19 Recovery Rating

5

Recovery Index
77.31
(Out of 100)



(100 = Best, 0 = Worst)

COVID-19 Severity Rating

1

Severity Index
11.53
(Out of 100)



(0 = Best, 100 = Worst)

Stringency Rating

17.39

(100 = Strictest Measures, 0 = No Measures)


Population
4,917,000

(Low Density)


GNI per capita (US$)

41020

(High income)
5 Countries who have made the most progress in
curtailing the spread of the pandemic and can be
used as examples of best practices (Relative Rating)

4
3
2 Countries who are struggling to cope with the crisis
and who may need to consider maintaining stringent
non-pharmaceutical measures (Relative Rating)
1
1 Countries who are coping with the crisis with a low percentage
of infections and resulting deaths per population
(Relative Rating)
2
3 Countries who may be overwhelmed by the crisis with a high
percentage of infections and resulting deaths per population
(Relative Rating)
4
5

Travel Advisory


1. Passengers are not allowed to enter. - This does not apply to nationals of New Zealand (including Cook Isl., Niue, Tokelau). - This does not apply to the immediate family
members of nationals of New Zealand. - This does not apply to passengers with a permanent resident visa and their immediate family members. - This does not apply to nationals of
Australia ordinarily resident in New Zealand.

2. Passengers are not allowed to transit. - This does not apply to nationals of Australia and New Zealand. - This does not apply to residents of New Zealand. - This does not apply
to passengers with a New Zealand Electronic Travel Authority (NZeTA). - This does not apply to passengers with a transit visa issued by New Zealand.

3. Transit is only allowed at Auckland (AKL) for maximum 24 hours.

4. Passengers are subject to medical screening and quarantine for 14 days. - This does not apply to passengers in transit.

5. Airline crew must use appropriate personal protective equipment (PPE).

6. Effective 3 November 2020, passengers must have a voucher confirming their allocation to a place in managed isolation.

Travel Advisory information provided and published with permission by IATA.


New Zealand Infection Trend


How can you tell if a curve is really flattening?

The number of daily confirmed cases has been used as an estimation of how severe the COVID-19 situation is in a given country. However, we’ve found that focusing on the country’s cumulative number of active cases gives a clearer picture of whether the infection curve is flattening.


Countries with Similar Characteristics


This table is generated by a GCI-developed tool to match countries based on their similar characteristics such as population, population density, income and climate.

New Zealand 77.31 4,917,000 Low Density High income 11-20 deg
Country Recovery Index Population Density GNI per capita Average Temperature since First Case (Celsius) Match%
Uruguay 66.10 3,461,734 Low Density High income 11-20 deg 100%
Finland 72.78 5,520,314 Low Density High income < 10 deg 85%
Norway 63.76 5,347,896 Low Density High income < 10 deg 85%
Oman 52.12 4,974,986 Low Density High income 26-30 deg 85%
Sweden 57.96 10,285,453 Low Density High income < 10 deg 85%
Botswana 43.45 2,303,697 Low Density Upper middle income 21-25 deg 60%
Central African Republic 35.48 4,745,185 Low Density Low income 26-30 deg 60%
Congo Brazzaville 44.02 5,380,508 Low Density Lower middle income 26-30 deg 60%
Gabon 52.03 2,172,579 Low Density Upper middle income 26-30 deg 60%
Libya 27.02 6,777,452 Low Density Upper middle income 21-25 deg 60%

GCI Recovery Forecast


The GCI Recovery Forecasting methodology relies on a Monte Carlo simulation model as we recognise that the factors that contribute to an increase / decrease in confirmed COVID19 cases are highly variable and subject to various localised circumstances and interventions. The P10 / P50 / P90 are probabilities assigned to the forecasts, with P10 being highly optimistic, and P90 being very conservative on recovery and reduction in cases. The forecast model is updated daily based on the latest case data.

Forecast Results:

Situation May Improve. The GCI Model indicates that the situation has a small probability of recovery, but there is insufficient evidence to suggest that the recovery trend will improve significantly in the near future.



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