The Global COVID-19 Index (GCI) - Papua New Guinea Dashboard

The GCI Dashboard

Version:

Country Rank

164

Papua New Guinea

Recovery Rank for 180 countries/regions

Country Rank

168

Papua New Guinea

Recovery Rank for 184 countries/regions

COVID-19 Recovery Rating

2

Recovery Index
43.29
(Out of 100)

(100 = Best, 0 = Worst)

COVID-19 Recovery Rating

2

Recovery Index
30.20
(Out of 100)

(100 = Best, 0 = Worst)

COVID-19 Severity Rating

2

Severity Index
18.61
(Out of 100)

(0 = Best, 100 = Worst)

COVID-19 Severity Rating

1

Severity Index
27.30
(Out of 100)

(0 = Best, 100 = Worst)

Stringency Rating

56.52

(100 = Strictest Measures, 0 = No Measures)

Population

8,776,109

(Low Density)

GNI per capita (US$)

2570

(Lower middle income)

COVID-19 Recovery Rating Guide

5	Countries who have made the most progress in curtailing the spread of the pandemic and can be used as examples of best practices (Relative Rating)
4
3
2	Countries who are struggling to cope with the crisis and who may need to consider maintaining stringent non-pharmaceutical measures (Relative Rating)
1

COVID-19 Severity Rating Guide

1	Countries who are coping with the crisis with a low percentage of infections and resulting deaths per population (Relative Rating)
2
3	Countries who may be overwhelmed by the crisis with a high percentage of infections and resulting deaths per population (Relative Rating)
4
5

Travel Advisory

Papua New Guinea - published 22.02.2021

1. Passengers and airline crew are not allowed to enter. - This does not apply to passengers with a State of Emergency (SOE) controller approval. 2. Passengers and airline crew are not allowed to transit. 3. Passengers must arrive at Port Moresby (POM) from Australia, Cook Isl., Fiji, Hong Kong (SAR China), Japan, Micronesia (Federated States), Nauru, Niue, Palau, Philippines, Samoa, Singapore, Solomon Isl. or Vanuatu. 4. Passengers must have a medical certificate with a negative Coronavirus (COVID-19) PCR test result. The test must have been taken at most 7 days before departure. 5. Passengers must have an approved International Air Passenger Travel Form (I-APTF). The form can be obtained by sending an email to [email protected] . 6. Passengers must have a completed e-Health Declaration Form obtained at https://www.pnghdf.info . A generated barcode must be presented. 7. Passengers are subject to quarantine.

Travel Advisory information provided and published with permission by IATA.

1. Passengers and airline crew are not allowed to enter. - This does not apply to passengers with a State of Emergency (SOE) controller approval.

2. Passengers and airline crew are not allowed to transit.

3. Passengers must arrive at Port Moresby (POM) from Australia, Cook Isl., Fiji, Hong Kong (SAR China), Japan, Micronesia (Federated States), Nauru, Niue, Palau, Philippines,
Samoa, Singapore, Solomon Isl. or Vanuatu.

4. Passengers must have a medical certificate with a negative Coronavirus (COVID-19) PCR test result. The test must have been taken at most 7 days before departure.

5. Passengers must have an approved International Air Passenger Travel Form (I-APTF). The form can be obtained by sending an email to [email protected] .

6. Passengers must have a completed e-Health Declaration Form obtained at https://www.pnghdf.info . A generated barcode must be presented.

7. Passengers are subject to quarantine.

Travel Advisory information provided and published with permission by IATA.

Papua New Guinea Infection Trend

How can you tell if a curve is really flattening?

The number of daily confirmed cases has been used as an estimation of how severe the COVID-19 situation is in a given country. However, we’ve found that focusing on the country’s cumulative number of active cases gives a clearer picture of whether the infection curve is flattening.

Countries with Similar Characteristics

This table is generated by a GCI-developed tool to match countries based on their similar characteristics such as population, population density, income and climate.

Country	Recovery Index	Recovery Index	Population	Density	GNI per capita	Average Temperature since First Case (Celsius)	Match%
Papua New Guinea	30.20	43.29	8,776,109	Low Density	Lower middle income	26-30 deg
Congo Brazzaville	38.86	57.01	5,380,508	Low Density	Lower middle income	26-30 deg	100%
Mauritania	59.91	72.98	4,525,696	Low Density	Lower middle income	26-30 deg	100%
Mongolia	47.58	61.06	3,225,167	Low Density	Lower middle income	< 10 deg	85%
Central African Republic	49.91	36.70	4,745,185	Low Density	Low income	26-30 deg	75%
Gabon	38.24	51.31	2,172,579	Low Density	Upper middle income	26-30 deg	75%
Oman	44.35	59.87	4,974,986	Low Density	High income	26-30 deg	75%
Botswana	43.90	65.07	2,303,697	Low Density	Upper middle income	21-25 deg	60%
Finland	40.19	40.89	5,520,314	Low Density	High income	< 10 deg	60%
Libya	44.32	58.77	6,777,452	Low Density	Upper middle income	21-25 deg	60%
Namibia	57.96	75.35	2,494,530	Low Density	Upper middle income	21-25 deg	60%

GCI Recovery Forecast

The GCI Recovery Forecasting methodology relies on a Monte Carlo simulation model as we recognise that the factors that contribute to an increase / decrease in confirmed COVID19 cases are highly variable and subject to various localised circumstances and interventions. The P10 / P50 / P90 are probabilities assigned to the forecasts, with P10 being highly optimistic, and P90 being very conservative on recovery and reduction in cases. The forecast model is updated daily based on the latest case data.

Forecast Results:

Situation Worsening. Infections are forecasted to continue to be on the rise. Interventions are required, if not already in place.

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