The GCI Dashboard

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Country Rank

15


Sri Lanka

Recovery Rank for 180 countries/regions

Country Rank

37


Sri Lanka

Recovery Rank for 184 countries/regions

COVID-19 Recovery Rating

4

Recovery Index
81.29
(Out of 100)



(100 = Best, 0 = Worst)

COVID-19 Recovery Rating

4

Recovery Index
62.33
(Out of 100)



(100 = Best, 0 = Worst)

COVID-19 Severity Rating

2

Severity Index
14.16
(Out of 100)



(0 = Best, 100 = Worst)

COVID-19 Severity Rating

1

Severity Index
20.49
(Out of 100)



(0 = Best, 100 = Worst)

Stringency Rating

91.30

(100 = Strictest Measures, 0 = No Measures)


Population
21,803,000

(High Density)


GNI per capita (US$)

4060

(Lower middle income)
5 Countries who have made the most progress in
curtailing the spread of the pandemic and can be
used as examples of best practices (Relative Rating)

4
3
2 Countries who are struggling to cope with the crisis
and who may need to consider maintaining stringent
non-pharmaceutical measures (Relative Rating)
1
1 Countries who are coping with the crisis with a low percentage
of infections and resulting deaths per population
(Relative Rating)
2
3 Countries who may be overwhelmed by the crisis with a high
percentage of infections and resulting deaths per population
(Relative Rating)
4
5

Travel Advisory


1. Passengers must have an approval from the Foreign Ministry of Sri Lanka by sending an email to: [email protected] . - This does not apply to nationals and dual
nationals of Sri Lanka staying in a designated quarantine hotel.

2. Passengers arriving via "Sri Lanka Tourism" must obtain an approval at https://www.srilanka.travel/helloagain/ .

3. Passengers must have a printed negative COVID-19 PCR test taken at most 96 hours before departure from the first embarkation point. The test result must be in English. - This
does not apply to - nationals of Sri Lanka; - merchant seamen who are nationals of Sri Lanka with a Seaman's Discharge Book. They must transfer directly from the ship to the
airport; - passengers with a COVID-19 vaccination certificate. If the certificate is not issued in English, a certified English translation is needed.

4. Nationals of Sri Lanka must have: - a printed negative COVID-19 PCR test taken at most 96 hours before departure from the first embarkation point. The test result must be in
English; or - a printed rapid antigen test taken at most 48 hours before departure from the first embarkation point. The test result must be in English. - This does not apply to
nationals of Sri Lanka with a COVID-19 vaccination certificate. If the certificate is not issued in English, a certified English translation is needed.

5. A completed "Health Declaration Form" must be presented upon arrival. The form can be obtained at https://www.caa.lk/en/special-notices-for-covid-19 or upon arrival.

6. Passengers are subject to a COVID-19 PCR test upon arrival. - This does not apply to passengers younger than 12 years.

7. Passengers are subject to quarantine. More details can be found at https://www.epid.gov.lk/web/ or https://www.hpb.health.gov.lk/en .

Travel Advisory information provided and published with permission by IATA.


Sri Lanka Infection Trend


How can you tell if a curve is really flattening?

The number of daily confirmed cases has been used as an estimation of how severe the COVID-19 situation is in a given country. However, we’ve found that focusing on the country’s cumulative number of active cases gives a clearer picture of whether the infection curve is flattening.


Countries with Similar Characteristics


This table is generated by a GCI-developed tool to match countries based on their similar characteristics such as population, population density, income and climate.

Sri Lanka 62.33 81.29 21,803,000 High Density Lower middle income 26-30 deg
Country Recovery Index Recovery Index Population Density GNI per capita Average Temperature
since First Case (Celsius)
Match%
Haiti 49.92 71.85 11,263,077 High Density Low income 26-30 deg 75%
Belgium 43.90 49.18 11,484,055 High Density High income < 10 deg 60%
Burundi 29.24 38.56 11,530,580 High Density Low income 21-25 deg 60%
Netherlands 44.64 57.65 17,332,850 High Density High income < 10 deg 60%
Rwanda 63.28 77.73 12,626,950 High Density Low income 21-25 deg 60%
Taiwan, ROC 77.60 23,603,049 High Density High income 21-25 deg 60%

GCI Recovery Forecast


The GCI Recovery Forecasting methodology relies on a Monte Carlo simulation model as we recognise that the factors that contribute to an increase / decrease in confirmed COVID19 cases are highly variable and subject to various localised circumstances and interventions. The P10 / P50 / P90 are probabilities assigned to the forecasts, with P10 being highly optimistic, and P90 being very conservative on recovery and reduction in cases. The forecast model is updated daily based on the latest case data.

Forecast Results:

Situation May Improve. The GCI Model indicates that the situation has a small probability of recovery, but there is insufficient evidence to suggest that the recovery trend will improve significantly in the near future.



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