The Global COVID-19 Index (GCI) - United Kingdom Dashboard

The GCI Dashboard

Country Rank

128

United Kingdom

Recovery Rank for 184 countries/regions

COVID-19 Recovery Rating

3

Recovery Index
45.33
(Out of 100)

(100 = Best, 0 = Worst)

COVID-19 Severity Rating

3

Severity Index
58.58
(Out of 100)

(0 = Best, 100 = Worst)

Stringency Rating

69.57

(100 = Strictest Measures, 0 = No Measures)

Population

66,834,405

(High Density)

GNI per capita (US$)

41790

(High income)

COVID-19 Recovery Rating Guide

5	Countries who have made the most progress in curtailing the spread of the pandemic and can be used as examples of best practices (Relative Rating)
4
3
2	Countries who are struggling to cope with the crisis and who may need to consider maintaining stringent non-pharmaceutical measures (Relative Rating)
1

COVID-19 Severity Rating Guide

1	Countries who are coping with the crisis with a low percentage of infections and resulting deaths per population (Relative Rating)
2
3	Countries who may be overwhelmed by the crisis with a high percentage of infections and resulting deaths per population (Relative Rating)
4
5

Travel Advisory

United Kingdom - published 20.10.2020

1. Passengers are subject to self-isolation for 14 days. A list of self-isolation exemptions can be found at https://www.gov.uk/guidance/coronavirus-covid-19-travel-corridors#updates-to-the-travel-corridor-list . 2. A completed "Public Health Passenger Locator Form" must be presented to immigration upon arrival. The form can be obtained before departure at https://www.gov.uk/provide-journey-contact-details-before-travel-uk .

Travel Advisory information provided and published with permission by IATA.

1. Passengers are subject to self-isolation for 14 days. A list of self-isolation exemptions can be found at
https://www.gov.uk/guidance/coronavirus-covid-19-travel-corridors#updates-to-the-travel-corridor-list .

2. A completed "Public Health Passenger Locator Form" must be presented to immigration upon arrival. The form can be obtained before departure at
https://www.gov.uk/provide-journey-contact-details-before-travel-uk .

Travel Advisory information provided and published with permission by IATA.

United Kingdom Infection Trend

How can you tell if a curve is really flattening?

The number of daily confirmed cases has been used as an estimation of how severe the COVID-19 situation is in a given country. However, we’ve found that focusing on the country’s cumulative number of active cases gives a clearer picture of whether the infection curve is flattening.

Countries with Similar Characteristics

This table is generated by a GCI-developed tool to match countries based on their similar characteristics such as population, population density, income and climate.

Country	Recovery Index	Population	Density	GNI per capita	Average Temperature since First Case (Celsius)	Match%
United Kingdom	45.33	66,834,405	High Density	High income	< 10 deg
South Korea	81.06	51,709,098	High Density	High income	< 10 deg	100%
Vietnam	70.94	96,462,106	High Density	Lower middle income	21-25 deg	60%

GCI Recovery Forecast

The GCI Recovery Forecasting methodology relies on a Monte Carlo simulation model as we recognise that the factors that contribute to an increase / decrease in confirmed COVID19 cases are highly variable and subject to various localised circumstances and interventions. The P10 / P50 / P90 are probabilities assigned to the forecasts, with P10 being highly optimistic, and P90 being very conservative on recovery and reduction in cases. The forecast model is updated daily based on the latest case data.

Forecast Results:

Situation Worsening. Infections are forecasted to continue to be on the rise. Interventions are required, if not already in place.

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