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Country Rank

14


United Kingdom

Recovery Rank for 180 countries/regions

Country Rank

3


United Kingdom

Recovery Rank for 184 countries/regions

COVID-19 Recovery Rating

4

Recovery Index
82.07
(Out of 100)



(100 = Best, 0 = Worst)

COVID-19 Recovery Rating

5

Recovery Index
83.74
(Out of 100)



(100 = Best, 0 = Worst)

COVID-19 Severity Rating

3

Severity Index
45.55
(Out of 100)



(0 = Best, 100 = Worst)

COVID-19 Severity Rating

3

Severity Index
52.10
(Out of 100)



(0 = Best, 100 = Worst)

Stringency Rating

82.61

(100 = Strictest Measures, 0 = No Measures)


Population
66,834,405

(High Density)


GNI per capita (US$)

41790

(High income)
5 Countries who have made the most progress in
curtailing the spread of the pandemic and can be
used as examples of best practices (Relative Rating)

4
3
2 Countries who are struggling to cope with the crisis
and who may need to consider maintaining stringent
non-pharmaceutical measures (Relative Rating)
1
1 Countries who are coping with the crisis with a low percentage
of infections and resulting deaths per population
(Relative Rating)
2
3 Countries who may be overwhelmed by the crisis with a high
percentage of infections and resulting deaths per population
(Relative Rating)
4
5

Travel Advisory


1. Passengers who have been in or transited through Angola, Argentina, Bangladesh, Bolivia, Botswana, Brazil, Burundi, Cape Verde, Chile, Colombia, Congo (Dem. Rep.), Ecuador,
Eswatini, Ethiopia, French Guiana, Guyana, Kenya, Lesotho, Malawi, Mozambique, Namibia, Oman, Pakistan, Panama, Paraguay, Peru, Philippines, Qatar, Rwanda, Seychelles, Somalia,
South Africa, Suriname, Tanzania, United Arab Emirates, Uruguay, Venezuela, Zambia or Zimbabwe in the past 10 days are not allowed to enter. This does not apply to: - British
nationals; - nationals of Ireland (Rep.); - residents of the United Kingdom.

2. Passengers are subject to quarantine for 10 days. Details can be found for: - England at:
https://www.gov.uk/guidance/booking-and-staying-in-a-quarantine-hotel-when-you-arrive-in-england ; - Scotland at:
https://www.gov.scot/publications/coronavirus-covid-19-public-health-checks-at-borders/pages/self-isolation/ ; - Wales at:
https://gov.wales/how-self-isolate-when-you-travel-wales-coronavirus-covid-19 ; - Northern Ireland at:
https://www.nidirect.gov.uk/articles/coronavirus-covid-19-international-travel-advice .

3. Passengers are subject to a COVID-19 test on day 2 and day 8 after arrival at their own expense. They must have a payment confirmation obtained at:
https://quarantinehotelbookings.ctmportal.co.uk/ or https://www.gov.uk/guidance/providers-of-day-2-and-day-8-coronavirus-testing-for-international-arrivals .

4. Passengers entering the United Kingdom must complete a "Public Health Passenger Locator Form". The form must include the booking reference number for the 2 COVID-19 tests or
the booking reference number for the quarantine hotel booking. The form can be obtained at https://www.gov.uk/provide-journey-contact-details-before-travel-uk and must be presented
at check-in and to immigration upon arrival. - This does not apply to military personnel with an exemption letter from the Ministry of Defence. - More exemptions can be found at
https://tinyurl.com/yytxv2cp .

5. Passengers transiting through the United Kingdom must complete a "Public Health Passenger Locator Form". The form can be obtained at
https://www.gov.uk/provide-journey-contact-details-before-travel-uk and must be presented at check-in and to immigration upon arrival. - This does not apply to military personnel
with an exemption letter from the Ministry of Defence. - More exemptions can be found at https://tinyurl.com/yytxv2cp .

6. Passengers entering or transiting through the United Kingdom must have a negative COVID-19 test result. The test must have been taken at most 3 days before departure of the
last direct flight to the United Kingdom. Tests accepted are: antigen, LAMP, nucleic acid and PCR tests. The test result must be in English, French or Spanish. Passengers details
(name, date of birth or age) on the test result must match those stated in the passport or other travel document. The test result must also include the contact details of the
issuing laboratory. - This does not apply to: - passengers younger than 11 years; - passengers arriving from Ireland (Rep.); - merchant seamen; - military personnel with an
exemption letter from the Ministry of Defense; - more exemptions can be found at https://tinyurl.com/yytxv2cp .

7. Passengers arriving in England who have been in or transited through Angola, Argentina, Bangladesh, Bolivia, Botswana, Brazil, Burundi, Cape Verde, Chile, Colombia, Congo (Dem.
Rep.), Ecuador, Eswatini, Ethiopia, French Guiana, Guyana, Kenya, Lesotho, Malawi, Mozambique, Namibia, Oman, Panama, Pakistan, Paraguay, Peru, Philippines, Qatar, Rwanda,
Seychelles, Somalia, South Africa, Suriname, Tanzania, United Arab Emirates, Uruguay, Venezuela, Zambia or Zimbabwe in the past 10 days must: - have a quarantine package for 11
nights; and - arrive at Birmingham (BHX), Farnborough (FAB), Gatwick (LGW), Heathrow (LHR) or London City (LCY). More details can be found at
https://quarantinehotelbookings.ctmportal.co.uk/ . - This does not apply to military personnel with an exemption letter from the Ministry of Defence.

8. Passengers arriving in Scotland must have a quarantine package for 11 nights. More details can be found at https://quarantinehotelbookings.ctmportal.co.uk/ . - This does not
apply to: - merchant seamen; - military personnel with an exemption letter from the Ministry of Defence.

9. Flights from Ethiopia, Oman, Qatar and United Arab Emirates are suspended.

10. Airline crew not residing in the United Kingdom are subject to self-isolation in a hotel until their next flight.

Travel Advisory information provided and published with permission by IATA.


United Kingdom Infection Trend


How can you tell if a curve is really flattening?

The number of daily confirmed cases has been used as an estimation of how severe the COVID-19 situation is in a given country. However, we’ve found that focusing on the country’s cumulative number of active cases gives a clearer picture of whether the infection curve is flattening.


Countries with Similar Characteristics


This table is generated by a GCI-developed tool to match countries based on their similar characteristics such as population, population density, income and climate.

United Kingdom 83.74 82.07 66,834,405 High Density High income < 10 deg
Country Recovery Index Recovery Index Population Density GNI per capita Average Temperature
since First Case (Celsius)
Match%
South Korea 77.29 93.75 51,709,098 High Density High income < 10 deg 100%
Vietnam 66.59 81.13 96,462,106 High Density Lower middle income 21-25 deg 60%

GCI Recovery Forecast


The GCI Recovery Forecasting methodology relies on a Monte Carlo simulation model as we recognise that the factors that contribute to an increase / decrease in confirmed COVID19 cases are highly variable and subject to various localised circumstances and interventions. The P10 / P50 / P90 are probabilities assigned to the forecasts, with P10 being highly optimistic, and P90 being very conservative on recovery and reduction in cases. The forecast model is updated daily based on the latest case data.

Forecast Results:

Situation Improving. The GCI Model forecasts that the situation is definitely improving and with the right discipline and compliance, the country can hope to see numbers diminish significantly in the near future.



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