Categories GCI Updates The GCI Recovery Index Methodology Update – May 2021 Post author By GCI Team Post date May 3, 2021 In June 2020, PEMANDU Associates in collaboration with MOSTI launched the Global COVID-19 Index (GCI), a daily updated index tracking 180 different economies / countries on the severity and the recovery status from COVID-19. In October 2020, a revamped methodology with feedback from the World Health Organisation (WHO) was introduced. This methodology now tracks the past 90 days instead of the start of the pandemic to give a better reflection of the status of the recovery and severity. We concurrently run this methodology side-by-side with our original methodology. In November 2020, the GCI wins the highest accolade via the Chairman’s Award at the 2020 WITSA Global ICT Excellence Awards. The Award is an annual event held by the World Information Technology and Services Alliance (WITSA), the latter representing IT associations from 84 economies around the world. In May 2021, we have yet again made an improvement to our revamped methodology. With the world now closely monitoring vaccine rollouts, we are rebalancing the GCI Recovery Index to reflect these developments. In simple terms, countries with the most advanced vaccine rollouts, low active case numbers, and an active test, track and trace policy will rank relatively higher than their peers. Our split of dynamic indicators and semi-dynamic indicators remains at a ratio at a 70:30 perspective. We have also now included a vaccine dashboard to our main page, and have each individual country’s page reflect their respective vaccine rollout as part of the visual map. We will continue to monitor and improve the GCI as the world continues its fight to overcome the pandemic. Tags Analytical Insights
Categories GCI Updates The GCI Recovery Index Methodology Update – 4 January 2021 Post author By woody Post date January 4, 2021 We have been actively monitoring the consolidated Recovery Case Data that has been graciously updated by the Johns Hopkins University as part of Open Data. We have noted that in the past 2-3 months that some countries have stopped reporting COVID-19 recoveries after detecting individuals as being COVID-19 positive. In order to handle this, we have extended our Derivative Recovery Calculations, and by extension the Active Case Formulas to cover the following additional countries. Existing: United Kingdom, Netherlands, Serbia, Sweden, Spain (excluding hospitalisation) As of 1 Jan 2021: United States, Belgium, Ireland As of 4 Jan 2021: France, Cyprus, Norway, Spain (including hospitalisation) We will continue to monitor the respective countries’ progress and provide further updates should there be new changes to the derivative formulas. These changes ultimately are aimed at ensuring their respective Governments’ efforts are better represented as part of our GCI efforts. Wishing everyone a safe and healthy new year in 2021! Sources: • United Kingdom Data: https://coronavirus.data.gov.uk/details/healthcare • Netherlands Data: https://coronadashboard.rijksoverheid.nl/ • Serbia Data: https://covid19.rs/homepage-english/ • Sweden Data: https://experience.arcgis.com/experience/09f821667ce64bf7be6f9f87457ed9aa/ • United States Data: https://covidtracking.com/data/charts/us-currently-hospitalized • Belgium Data: https://epistat.wiv-isp.be/covid/covid-19.html • Ireland Data: https://epistat.wiv-isp.be/covid/covid-19.html • France Data: https://dashboard.covid19.data.gouv.fr/vue-d-ensemble?location=FRA • Cyprus Data: https://covid19.ucy.ac.cy/ • Norway Data: https://www.vg.no/spesial/corona/ • Spain Data: https://www.mscbs.gob.es/profesionales/saludPublica/ccayes/alertasActual/nCov/situacionActual.htm
Categories GCI Updates The GCI Recovery Index Methodology Update – 4 September 2020 (Spain, Serbia) Post author By woody Post date September 4, 2020 We are pleased to update that we have applied new Recovery Case Data derivative calculations for Spain and have also updated the formula for Serbia. This enables a more consistent alignment of calculation methods applied for countries which similarly do not report Recoveries such as the United Kingdom, Sweden and Netherlands. For Spain, we have recognised that there has been no information released on recoveries for over 90 days as at end August 2020. As such, for the purpose of the GCI recovery index calculations, we have applied the same derivative formula as that of United Kingdom and Sweden and taken the sum of 3 weeks of new cases. For the moment we have omitted hospitalisation data as this too is unavailable. The new calculations will be effective 3 June 2020. For Serbia, we recognise that the Republic of Serbia’s Ministry of Health in collaboration with the Dr. Milan Jovanovic Batut Institute of Health publish a daily dashboard which includes information on hospitalised patients and also those on ventilators. As mentioned in our previous methodology update, we make reference to the World Health Organisation Report (Report of the WHO-China Joint Mission on Coronavirus Disease 2019 (COVID-19)) dated February 2020, which indicates that “…the median time from onset to clinical recovery for mild cases is approximately 2 weeks and is 3-6 weeks for patients with severe or critical disease.” For the purpose of the GCI recovery index calculations, we have now updated to the derivative formula to replace ventilator-cases with hospitalisation data. This is aligned to the same methodology we currently apply to the United Kingdom and Sweden. As such, the calculation is now the sum of 3 weeks of new cases and the latest reported total of patients in hospital. This new calculation method will be active as of 30 August 2020. We will continue to monitor the respective countries’ progress and provide further updates should there be new changes to the derivative formulas. These changes ultimately are aimed at ensuring their respective Governments’ efforts are better represented as part of our GCI efforts. Sources: • Serbia Data: https://covid19.rs/homepage-english/ • WHO Report: https://www.who.int/docs/default-source/coronaviruse/who-china-joint-mission-on-covid-19-final-report.pdf Tags Analytical Insights
Categories GCI Updates The GCI Recovery Index Methodology Update – 21 August 2020 (Serbia, Sweden, Vietnam) Post author By woody Post date August 22, 2020 We are pleased to update that we have applied a derivative calculation to ascertain the Active Cases and by extension Recoveries for Serbia and Sweden. This methodology is similar to the calculation we are currently applying to Netherlands and United Kingdom data since 23 July. These datasets currently are not recorded by Johns Hopkins University and many other data aggregators. For Serbia, we recognise that the Republic of Serbia’s Ministry of Health in collaboration with the Dr. Milan Jovanovic Batut Institute of Health publish a daily dashboard which includes information on patients on ventilators. As mentioned in our previous methodology update, we make reference to the World Health Organisation Report (Report of the WHO-China Joint Mission on Coronavirus Disease 2019 (COVID-19)) dated February 2020, which indicates that “…the median time from onset to clinical recovery for mild cases is approximately 2 weeks and is 3-6 weeks for patients with severe or critical disease.” For the purpose of the GCI recovery index calculations, we have taken the sum of 3 weeks of new cases and the latest reported total of patients on ventilators (the latter as a representative of severe cases). (Please refer to latest GCI Methodology Update on 4 September 2020 for the latest update.) For Sweden, we have recognised that the Public Health Agency of Sweden (Folkhälsomyndigheten) updates daily new hospitalised individuals. However, hospital discharge information is unavailable. As such, we have taken a conservative estimate that serious cases can be represented by the cumulative daily recorded hospitalised individuals for 2 weeks from Day -35 to Day -22 (4 to 5 weeks ago). This assumption is also built on the same World Health Organisation Report which indicates that “…the median time from onset to clinical recovery… is 3-6 weeks for patients with severe or critical disease.” For the purpose of the GCI recovery index calculations, we have taken the sum of 3 weeks of new cases and the aforementioned moving sum of hospitalised COVID19 patients (the latter as a representative of severe cases). We have also manually updated the latest cumulative test data for Vietnam based on an official press release by the Vietnamese Ministry of Health that records that up to 817,208 tests have been conducted up to 19th August 2020. Currently the Ministry of Health does not update this information regularly and we will endeavour to reflect this upon data being made available in the shortest time possible. This new calculation method will be applied from 21st August onwards to the GCI Recovery Index scores but will not be retrospectively updated. We hope that with this methodology update, the data for Serbia, Sweden and Vietnam will better represent the efforts the respective Governments are currently undertaking in their efforts to battle this pandemic. Sources: • Serbia Data: https://covid19.rs/homepage-english/ • Sweden Data: https://experience.arcgis.com/experience/09f821667ce64bf7be6f9f87457ed9aa • Vietnam Test Data Update: https://ncov.moh.gov.vn/web/guest/-/cong-suat-xet-nghiem-covid-19-cua-viet-nam-uoc-nang-len-ro-ret • WHO Report: https://www.who.int/docs/default-source/coronaviruse/who-china-joint-mission-on-covid-19-final-report.pdf
Categories GCI Updates The GCI Recovery Index Methodology Update – 6 August 2020 Post author By woody Post date August 6, 2020 We would like to update that we have observed some significant changes with the Test Data for various countries coming from our preferred data sources. These changes directly impacted the GCI Calculations for Denmark, Netherlands, France and United Kingdom. To ensure that the integrity of our data remains intact, we have decided to retroactively re-run the GCI calculations from 23 July up to the most recent date. Given these impending changes, we also took this opportunity to update the methodology as follows: 1) Applying the new derivative formulas for Netherlands and United Kingdom from 23 July instead of only starting from 27 July. For more details on the latter, please refer to GCI Update on 29th July for the technical update. 2) The inclusion of Test Data for the following 3 additional countries as part of the GCI Recovery Index calculations: Democratic Republic of Congo Oman Sweden All the above calculation methods have now been applied effective from 23 July onwards. All data and calculations prior to 23 July remain unchanged. Tags gpf
Categories GCI Updates The GCI Recovery Index now applies derived Active Cases formula for Netherlands and United Kingdom Post author By GCI Team Post date July 29, 2020 We are pleased to update that we have included a method to derive the Active Cases and by extension Recoveries for both Netherlands and United Kingdom. Both these datasets currently are not recorded by Johns Hopkins University and many other data aggregators. For the Netherlands, the information that has been used as a proxy for Active Cases is the “Estimated Number of Infectious People in Netherlands” (Geschat aantal besmettelijke mensen in Nederland) which is published by the Government of the Netherlands on their COVID19 dashboard. This data will be manually updated in our database as and when it becomes available. By virtue of its inclusion, the GCI will also now derive the estimated recoveries nett from confirmed cases and COVID19 deaths. For the United Kingdom, we have recognised that the UK Government keeps regular track of the number of individuals currently still hospitalised due to COVID19. We have also made reference to the World Health Organisation Report (Report of the WHO-China Joint Mission on Coronavirus Disease 2019 (COVID-19)) dated February 2020, which indicates that “…the median time from onset to clinical recovery for mild cases is approximately 2 weeks and is 3-6 weeks for patients with severe or critical disease.” For the purpose of the GCI recovery index calculations, we have taken the sum of 3 weeks of new cases and the latest reported total of hospitalised COVID19 patients (the latter as a representative of severe cases). This new calculation method will be applied from 27th July onwards to the GCI Recovery Index scores but will not be retrospectively updated. We hope that with this methodology update, the data for both the Netherlands and United Kingdom will better represent the efforts the respective Governments are currently undertaking in their efforts to battle this pandemic. Sources: • Netherlands Data: https://coronadashboard.rijksoverheid.nl/ • United Kingdom Data: https://coronavirus-staging.data.gov.uk/healthcare • WHO Report: https://www.who.int/docs/default-source/coronaviruse/who-china-joint-mission-on-covid-19-final-report.pdf Tags gci
Categories GCI Updates World’s first holistic index on COVID-19 launched Post author By GCI Team Post date June 4, 2020 KUALA LUMPUR: The world’s first holistic and comprehensive index on COVID-19, the Global COVID-19 Index (GCI) with its proprietary algorithm that can process approximately 3,000 data points daily, was launched last night. Minister of Science, Technology and Innovation (MOSTI) Khairy Jamaluddin said the index could pull together metrics from well-recognised and validated open-source databases on governance and public healthcare, while it could comprehensively assess the true severity and recovery progress of the countries. “The GCI comprises the Severity Index and the Recovery Index, in which the former measures the severity of the situation in a given country against the ability of its healthcare system to contain the outbreak, while the latter measures on how well a country is handling the crisis from a health and safety perspective. “It also rates and ranks 184 countries based on how well they are coping with COVID-19 pandemic, in which the GCI is poised to be a singular holistic source of data that can facilitate informed decision-making for governments all around the world in the fight against COVID-19,” he said in his keynote address during the launching ceremony of GCI. Khairy also mentioned that the GCI could be a powerful tool to help government to make critical decisions to fight the pandemic, and it could also be an indicator for the private sectors to resume regular operations or whether they should prepare a mitigation plan. “This index is updated daily to help countries around the world plan their best strategies in dealing with COVID-19 and to learn the best practices from countries recovering from the outbreak. “The GCI will be an open platform to facilitate fast-learning between countries and organisations based on Big Data and Open Science,” he said. The GCI is an international collaboration between MOSTI, PEMANDU Associates, Harvard T.H Chan School of Public Health, Academy of Sciences Malaysia, World Health Organisation (WHO) and Sunway University. After the launching ceremony, a webinar session was held featuring experts in health systems, public sector as well as epidemiological presentations from institutions such as the Harvard T.H Chan School of Public Health and WHO to discuss how Big Data and technology could be used strategically to combat COVID-19. Tags gci