Categories GCI Updates The GCI Recovery Index Methodology Update – 4 January 2021 Post author By woody Post date January 4, 2021 We have been actively monitoring the consolidated Recovery Case Data that has been graciously updated by the Johns Hopkins University as part of Open Data. We have noted that in the past 2-3 months that some countries have stopped reporting COVID-19 recoveries after detecting individuals as being COVID-19 positive. In order to handle this, we have extended our Derivative Recovery Calculations, and by extension the Active Case Formulas to cover the following additional countries. Existing: United Kingdom, Netherlands, Serbia, Sweden, Spain (excluding hospitalisation) As of 1 Jan 2021: United States, Belgium, Ireland As of 4 Jan 2021: France, Cyprus, Norway, Spain (including hospitalisation) We will continue to monitor the respective countries’ progress and provide further updates should there be new changes to the derivative formulas. These changes ultimately are aimed at ensuring their respective Governments’ efforts are better represented as part of our GCI efforts. Wishing everyone a safe and healthy new year in 2021! Sources: • United Kingdom Data: https://coronavirus.data.gov.uk/details/healthcare • Netherlands Data: https://coronadashboard.rijksoverheid.nl/ • Serbia Data: https://covid19.rs/homepage-english/ • Sweden Data: https://experience.arcgis.com/experience/09f821667ce64bf7be6f9f87457ed9aa/ • United States Data: https://covidtracking.com/data/charts/us-currently-hospitalized • Belgium Data: https://epistat.wiv-isp.be/covid/covid-19.html • Ireland Data: https://epistat.wiv-isp.be/covid/covid-19.html • France Data: https://dashboard.covid19.data.gouv.fr/vue-d-ensemble?location=FRA • Cyprus Data: https://covid19.ucy.ac.cy/ • Norway Data: https://www.vg.no/spesial/corona/ • Spain Data: https://www.mscbs.gob.es/profesionales/saludPublica/ccayes/alertasActual/nCov/situacionActual.htm
Categories GCI Updates The GCI Recovery Index Methodology Update – 4 September 2020 (Spain, Serbia) Post author By woody Post date September 4, 2020 We are pleased to update that we have applied new Recovery Case Data derivative calculations for Spain and have also updated the formula for Serbia. This enables a more consistent alignment of calculation methods applied for countries which similarly do not report Recoveries such as the United Kingdom, Sweden and Netherlands. For Spain, we have recognised that there has been no information released on recoveries for over 90 days as at end August 2020. As such, for the purpose of the GCI recovery index calculations, we have applied the same derivative formula as that of United Kingdom and Sweden and taken the sum of 3 weeks of new cases. For the moment we have omitted hospitalisation data as this too is unavailable. The new calculations will be effective 3 June 2020. For Serbia, we recognise that the Republic of Serbia’s Ministry of Health in collaboration with the Dr. Milan Jovanovic Batut Institute of Health publish a daily dashboard which includes information on hospitalised patients and also those on ventilators. As mentioned in our previous methodology update, we make reference to the World Health Organisation Report (Report of the WHO-China Joint Mission on Coronavirus Disease 2019 (COVID-19)) dated February 2020, which indicates that “…the median time from onset to clinical recovery for mild cases is approximately 2 weeks and is 3-6 weeks for patients with severe or critical disease.” For the purpose of the GCI recovery index calculations, we have now updated to the derivative formula to replace ventilator-cases with hospitalisation data. This is aligned to the same methodology we currently apply to the United Kingdom and Sweden. As such, the calculation is now the sum of 3 weeks of new cases and the latest reported total of patients in hospital. This new calculation method will be active as of 30 August 2020. We will continue to monitor the respective countries’ progress and provide further updates should there be new changes to the derivative formulas. These changes ultimately are aimed at ensuring their respective Governments’ efforts are better represented as part of our GCI efforts. Sources: • Serbia Data: https://covid19.rs/homepage-english/ • WHO Report: https://www.who.int/docs/default-source/coronaviruse/who-china-joint-mission-on-covid-19-final-report.pdf Tags Analytical Insights
Categories GCI Updates The GCI Recovery Index Methodology Update – 21 August 2020 (Serbia, Sweden, Vietnam) Post author By woody Post date August 22, 2020 We are pleased to update that we have applied a derivative calculation to ascertain the Active Cases and by extension Recoveries for Serbia and Sweden. This methodology is similar to the calculation we are currently applying to Netherlands and United Kingdom data since 23 July. These datasets currently are not recorded by Johns Hopkins University and many other data aggregators. For Serbia, we recognise that the Republic of Serbia’s Ministry of Health in collaboration with the Dr. Milan Jovanovic Batut Institute of Health publish a daily dashboard which includes information on patients on ventilators. As mentioned in our previous methodology update, we make reference to the World Health Organisation Report (Report of the WHO-China Joint Mission on Coronavirus Disease 2019 (COVID-19)) dated February 2020, which indicates that “…the median time from onset to clinical recovery for mild cases is approximately 2 weeks and is 3-6 weeks for patients with severe or critical disease.” For the purpose of the GCI recovery index calculations, we have taken the sum of 3 weeks of new cases and the latest reported total of patients on ventilators (the latter as a representative of severe cases). (Please refer to latest GCI Methodology Update on 4 September 2020 for the latest update.) For Sweden, we have recognised that the Public Health Agency of Sweden (Folkhälsomyndigheten) updates daily new hospitalised individuals. However, hospital discharge information is unavailable. As such, we have taken a conservative estimate that serious cases can be represented by the cumulative daily recorded hospitalised individuals for 2 weeks from Day -35 to Day -22 (4 to 5 weeks ago). This assumption is also built on the same World Health Organisation Report which indicates that “…the median time from onset to clinical recovery… is 3-6 weeks for patients with severe or critical disease.” For the purpose of the GCI recovery index calculations, we have taken the sum of 3 weeks of new cases and the aforementioned moving sum of hospitalised COVID19 patients (the latter as a representative of severe cases). We have also manually updated the latest cumulative test data for Vietnam based on an official press release by the Vietnamese Ministry of Health that records that up to 817,208 tests have been conducted up to 19th August 2020. Currently the Ministry of Health does not update this information regularly and we will endeavour to reflect this upon data being made available in the shortest time possible. This new calculation method will be applied from 21st August onwards to the GCI Recovery Index scores but will not be retrospectively updated. We hope that with this methodology update, the data for Serbia, Sweden and Vietnam will better represent the efforts the respective Governments are currently undertaking in their efforts to battle this pandemic. Sources: • Serbia Data: https://covid19.rs/homepage-english/ • Sweden Data: https://experience.arcgis.com/experience/09f821667ce64bf7be6f9f87457ed9aa • Vietnam Test Data Update: https://ncov.moh.gov.vn/web/guest/-/cong-suat-xet-nghiem-covid-19-cua-viet-nam-uoc-nang-len-ro-ret • WHO Report: https://www.who.int/docs/default-source/coronaviruse/who-china-joint-mission-on-covid-19-final-report.pdf
Categories Best Practices Global Pathfinder Report: Global Lessons In Tackling COVID-19 now available for download Post author By woody Post date August 6, 2020 The Global Pathfinder Initiative: Global Lessons in Tackling COVID-19, a 118-page detailed report on best practices in health interventions for COVID-19 is now live. The Global Pathfinder initiative is a collaboration between PEMANDU Associates and the UK-based Delivery Associates. The report covers the successful interventions that were implemented by countries that ranked highly on the Global COVID-19 Index (GCI). The link to the dedicated Global Pathfinder Initiative Microsite can be found at https://globalpathfinder.org/ The full report is now available to download at the following link. Tags gpf
Categories GCI Updates The GCI Recovery Index Methodology Update – 6 August 2020 Post author By woody Post date August 6, 2020 We would like to update that we have observed some significant changes with the Test Data for various countries coming from our preferred data sources. These changes directly impacted the GCI Calculations for Denmark, Netherlands, France and United Kingdom. To ensure that the integrity of our data remains intact, we have decided to retroactively re-run the GCI calculations from 23 July up to the most recent date. Given these impending changes, we also took this opportunity to update the methodology as follows: 1) Applying the new derivative formulas for Netherlands and United Kingdom from 23 July instead of only starting from 27 July. For more details on the latter, please refer to GCI Update on 29th July for the technical update. 2) The inclusion of Test Data for the following 3 additional countries as part of the GCI Recovery Index calculations: Democratic Republic of Congo Oman Sweden All the above calculation methods have now been applied effective from 23 July onwards. All data and calculations prior to 23 July remain unchanged. Tags gpf
Categories Best Practices Global Lessons In Tackling COVID-19: Virtual Report Launch – 6th August 2020 Post author By woody Post date August 4, 2020 Please join us for the launch of a new global report ‘Learning Together: Global Lessons in Tackling COVID-19’ on 6th August, 12:00 PM (UK time). The report is part of the Global Pathfinder Initiative – a joint collaboration between PEMANDU Associates and Delivery Associates – which aims to facilitate global learning by compiling effective practices from countries in their response to COVID-19. Sir Michael Barber and Idris Jala will be discussing the key learnings from the new in-depth report and giving insight into the successful practices of the top 20 countries that have maintained a strong recovery in the fight against COVID-19. Sir Michael Barber and Idris Jala will also be joined by global health experts and public service leaders to discuss the opportunities for global collaboration and learning. Register your interest: https://deliveryassociates.zoom.us/webinar/register/WN_hJYQc_j4T6y7ByFmvTlW2A Tags gpf