The GCI Dashboard

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Country Rank

101


Lithuania

Recovery Rank for 180 countries/regions

Country Rank

98


Lithuania

Recovery Rank for 184 countries/regions

COVID-19 Recovery Rating

3

Recovery Index
62.65
(Out of 100)



(100 = Best, 0 = Worst)

COVID-19 Recovery Rating

3

Recovery Index
49.32
(Out of 100)



(100 = Best, 0 = Worst)

COVID-19 Severity Rating

3

Severity Index
41.90
(Out of 100)



(0 = Best, 100 = Worst)

COVID-19 Severity Rating

3

Severity Index
53.96
(Out of 100)



(0 = Best, 100 = Worst)

Stringency Rating

69.57

(100 = Strictest Measures, 0 = No Measures)


Population
2,786,844

(Medium Density)


GNI per capita (US$)

17360

(High income)
5 Countries who have made the most progress in
curtailing the spread of the pandemic and can be
used as examples of best practices (Relative Rating)

4
3
2 Countries who are struggling to cope with the crisis
and who may need to consider maintaining stringent
non-pharmaceutical measures (Relative Rating)
1
1 Countries who are coping with the crisis with a low percentage
of infections and resulting deaths per population
(Relative Rating)
2
3 Countries who may be overwhelmed by the crisis with a high
percentage of infections and resulting deaths per population
(Relative Rating)
4
5

Travel Advisory


1. Passengers are not allowed to enter. -This does not apply to: - nationals and residents of Lithuania; - nationals of Andorra, Austria, Belgium, Bulgaria, Croatia, Cyprus,
Czechia, Denmark, Estonia, Finland, France, Germany, Greece, Hungary, Iceland, Ireland (Rep.), Italy, Latvia, Liechtenstein, Lithuania, Luxembourg, Malta, Monaco, Netherlands,
Norway, Poland, Portugal, Romania, San Marino, Slovakia, Slovenia, Spain, Sweden, Switzerland and Vatican City (Holy See); - British nationals; - residents of Andorra, Austria,
Belgium, Bulgaria, Croatia, Cyprus, Czechia, Denmark, Estonia, Finland, France, Germany, Greece, Hungary, Iceland, Ireland (Rep.), Italy, Latvia, Liechtenstein, Lithuania,
Luxembourg, Malta, Monaco, Netherlands, Norway, Poland, Portugal, Romania, San Marino, Slovakia, Slovenia, Spain, Sweden, Switzerland, Vatican City (Holy See) or the United
Kingdom; - residents of Australia, Japan, Korea (Rep.), New Zealand, Rwanda, Thailand or Uruguay; - passengers with a national visa issued by Lithuania; -children, spouses and
their children, partners with registered partnership and their children, parents and guardians of nationals of Lithuania and of permanent residents of Lithuania; - students; - NATO
personnel and their family members; - merchant seamen.

2. Passengers must arrive at Vilnius (VNO), Kaunas (KUN), Palanga (PLQ) or Siauliai (SQQ).

3. Passengers must have a negative COVID-19 antigen or PCR test taken at most 72 hours before arrival. The test result must be in English. - This does not apply to: - passengers
younger than 16 years; - passengers with a positive COVID-19 antigen or PCR test result issued at least 90 days before arrival; - passengers with a COVID-19 vaccination
certificate.

4. A completed health questionnaire must be presented upon arrival. The e-questionnaire can be obtained at https://keleiviams.nvsc.lt/lt/form .

5. Passengers could be subject to self-isolation for 10 days. More details can be found at
https://sam.lrv.lt/en/news/tighter-self-isolation-requirements-for-arrivals-from-croatia-and-turkey .

6. Airline crew could be subject to self-isolation until their next flight or for a maximum of 10 days. More details can be found at
https://sam.lrv.lt/en/news/tighter-self-isolation-requirements-for-arrivals-from-croatia-and-turkey .

Travel Advisory information provided and published with permission by IATA.


Lithuania Infection Trend


How can you tell if a curve is really flattening?

The number of daily confirmed cases has been used as an estimation of how severe the COVID-19 situation is in a given country. However, we’ve found that focusing on the country’s cumulative number of active cases gives a clearer picture of whether the infection curve is flattening.


Countries with Similar Characteristics


This table is generated by a GCI-developed tool to match countries based on their similar characteristics such as population, population density, income and climate.

Lithuania 49.32 62.65 2,786,844 Medium Density High income < 10 deg
Country Recovery Index Recovery Index Population Density GNI per capita Average Temperature
since First Case (Celsius)
Match%
Austria 70.39 76.13 8,877,067 Medium Density High income < 10 deg 100%
Denmark 83.22 86.07 5,818,553 Medium Density High income < 10 deg 100%
Estonia 37.32 50.22 1,326,590 Medium Density High income < 10 deg 100%
Ireland 64.93 75.65 4,941,444 Medium Density High income < 10 deg 100%
Latvia 64.76 68.54 1,912,789 Medium Density High income < 10 deg 100%
Slovakia 33.37 45.15 5,454,073 Medium Density High income < 10 deg 100%
Slovenia 49.72 61.48 2,087,946 Medium Density High income < 10 deg 100%
Switzerland 57.95 72.09 8,574,832 Medium Density High income < 10 deg 100%
Croatia 56.84 62.76 4,067,500 Medium Density High income 11-20 deg 85%
Hungary 19.88 31.91 9,769,949 Medium Density High income 11-20 deg 85%

GCI Recovery Forecast


The GCI Recovery Forecasting methodology relies on a Monte Carlo simulation model as we recognise that the factors that contribute to an increase / decrease in confirmed COVID19 cases are highly variable and subject to various localised circumstances and interventions. The P10 / P50 / P90 are probabilities assigned to the forecasts, with P10 being highly optimistic, and P90 being very conservative on recovery and reduction in cases. The forecast model is updated daily based on the latest case data.

Forecast Results:

Situation Worsening. Infections are forecasted to continue to be on the rise. Interventions are required, if not already in place.



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