The GCI Dashboard

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Country Rank

16


Germany

Recovery Rank for 184 countries/regions

COVID-19 Recovery Rating

4

Recovery Index
68.28
(Out of 100)



(100 = Best, 0 = Worst)

COVID-19 Severity Rating

1

Severity Index
20.39
(Out of 100)



(0 = Best, 100 = Worst)

Stringency Rating

47.83

(100 = Strictest Measures, 0 = No Measures)


Population
83,132,799

(Medium Density)


GNI per capita (US$)

47110

(High income)
5 Countries who have made the most progress in
curtailing the spread of the pandemic and can be
used as examples of best practices (Relative Rating)

4
3
2 Countries who are struggling to cope with the crisis
and who may need to consider maintaining stringent
non-pharmaceutical measures (Relative Rating)
1
1 Countries who are coping with the crisis with a low percentage
of infections and resulting deaths per population
(Relative Rating)
2
3 Countries who may be overwhelmed by the crisis with a high
percentage of infections and resulting deaths per population
(Relative Rating)
4
5

Travel Advisory


1. Passengers are not allowed to enter. This does not apply to: - nationals of EEA Member States and Switzerland; - British nationals; - passengers arriving from Austria, Belgium,
Bulgaria, Croatia, Cyprus, Czechia, Denmark, Estonia, Finland, France, Greece, Hungary, Iceland, Ireland (Rep.), Italy, Latvia, Liechtenstein, Lithuania, Luxembourg, Malta,
Netherlands, Norway, Poland, Portugal, Romania, Slovakia, Slovenia, Spain, Sweden, Switzerland or United Kingdom; - immediate family members of nationals of EEA Member States and
Switzerland. They must present proof of their family relationship; - immediate family members of British nationals. They must present proof of their family relationship; -
immediate family members of residents of Germany. They must present proof of their family relationship; - passengers with a residence permit issued by an EEA Member State or
Switzerland; - passengers with a long term visa issued by an EEA Member State or Switzerland; - passengers with a visa issued by Germany after 17 March 2020; - residents of
Australia, Canada, New Zealand, Thailand and Uruguay. They must have been living in the residence country for at least 6 months; - military personnel; - merchant seamen; -
passengers traveling as students if they cannot complete their study outside Germany; - unmarried partners of residents of Germany. They must have a written invitation and a copy
of the identity document of the resident in Germany. They must also have a declaration and be able to present proof of their relationship.

2. Passengers could be subject to Coronavirus (COVID-19) PCR test and quarantine for 14 days. More information can be found at
www.bundesgesundheitsministerium.de/coronavirus-infos-reisende/faq-tests-entering-germany.html

3. More Coronavirus (COVID-19) related information can be found at www.bundespolizei.de/Web/DE/04Aktuelles/01Meldungen/2020/03/200317_faq.html

Travel Advisory information provided and published with permission by IATA.


Germany Infection Trend


How can you tell if a curve is really flattening?

The number of daily confirmed cases has been used as an estimation of how severe the COVID-19 situation is in a given country. However, we’ve found that focusing on the country’s cumulative number of active cases gives a clearer picture of whether the infection curve is flattening.


Countries with Similar Characteristics


This table is generated by a GCI-developed tool to match countries based on their similar characteristics such as population, population density, income and climate.

Germany 68.28 83,132,799 Medium Density High income < 10 deg
Country Recovery Index Population Density GNI per capita Average Temperature since First Case (Celsius) Match%
France 27.50 67,059,887 Medium Density High income < 10 deg 100%
Italy 47.84 60,297,396 Medium Density High income < 10 deg 100%
Congo Democratic Republic 57.06 86,790,567 Medium Density Low income 26-30 deg 60%
Egypt 57.73 100,388,073 Medium Density Lower middle income 21-25 deg 60%
Iran 52.94 82,913,906 Medium Density Upper middle income 11-20 deg 60%
Kenya 54.34 52,573,973 Medium Density Lower middle income 26-30 deg 60%
Myanmar 45.19 54,045,420 Medium Density Lower middle income 26-30 deg 60%
South Africa 63.31 58,558,270 Medium Density Upper middle income 11-20 deg 60%
Tanzania 35.77 58,005,463 Medium Density Lower middle income 21-25 deg 60%
Thailand 82.15 69,625,582 Medium Density Upper middle income 26-30 deg 60%

GCI Recovery Forecast


The GCI Recovery Forecasting methodology relies on a Monte Carlo simulation model as we recognise that the factors that contribute to an increase / decrease in confirmed COVID19 cases are highly variable and subject to various localised circumstances and interventions. The P10 / P50 / P90 are probabilities assigned to the forecasts, with P10 being highly optimistic, and P90 being very conservative on recovery and reduction in cases. The forecast model is updated daily based on the latest case data.

Forecast Results:

Situation Worsening. Infections are forecasted to continue to be on the rise. Interventions are required, if not already in place.



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