The GCI Dashboard

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Country Rank

68


Germany

Recovery Rank for 180 countries/regions

Country Rank

43


Germany

Recovery Rank for 184 countries/regions

COVID-19 Recovery Rating

4

Recovery Index
70.52
(Out of 100)



(100 = Best, 0 = Worst)

COVID-19 Recovery Rating

4

Recovery Index
60.23
(Out of 100)



(100 = Best, 0 = Worst)

COVID-19 Severity Rating

3

Severity Index
41.33
(Out of 100)



(0 = Best, 100 = Worst)

COVID-19 Severity Rating

2

Severity Index
30.95
(Out of 100)



(0 = Best, 100 = Worst)

Stringency Rating

86.96

(100 = Strictest Measures, 0 = No Measures)


Population
83,132,799

(Medium Density)


GNI per capita (US$)

47110

(High income)
5 Countries who have made the most progress in
curtailing the spread of the pandemic and can be
used as examples of best practices (Relative Rating)

4
3
2 Countries who are struggling to cope with the crisis
and who may need to consider maintaining stringent
non-pharmaceutical measures (Relative Rating)
1
1 Countries who are coping with the crisis with a low percentage
of infections and resulting deaths per population
(Relative Rating)
2
3 Countries who may be overwhelmed by the crisis with a high
percentage of infections and resulting deaths per population
(Relative Rating)
4
5

Travel Advisory


1. Passengers are not allowed to enter. This does not apply to: - nationals of EEA Member States and Switzerland; - passengers arriving from Austria, Belgium, Bulgaria, Croatia,
Cyprus, Czechia, Denmark, Estonia, Finland, France, Greece, Hungary, Iceland, Ireland (Rep.), Italy, Latvia, Liechtenstein, Lithuania, Luxembourg, Malta, Netherlands, Norway,
Poland, Portugal, Romania, Slovakia, Slovenia, Spain, Sweden or Switzerland; - immediate family members of nationals of EEA Member States and Switzerland. They must present proof
of their family relationship; - immediate family members of residents of Germany. They must present proof of their family relationship; - passengers with a residence permit issued
by an EEA Member State or Switzerland; - British nationals with a residence permit issued by Germany before 31 December 2020; - passengers with a long term "D" visa issued by an
EEA Member State or Switzerland; - passengers with a visa issued by Germany after 17 March 2020; - residents of Australia, New Zealand, Singapore and Thailand. They must have been
living in the residence country for at least 6 months; - military personnel; - merchant seamen; - passengers traveling as students if they cannot complete their study outside
Germany; - unmarried partners of residents of Germany. They must have a written invitation and a copy of the identity document of the resident in Germany. They must also have a
declaration and be able to present proof of their relationship.

2. Passengers arriving from South Africa or United Kingdom are not allowed to enter. - This does not apply to: - nationals of Germany; - nationals of Austria, Belgium, Bulgaria,
Croatia, Cyprus, Czechia, Denmark, Estonia, Finland, France, Germany, Greece, Hungary, Iceland, Ireland (Rep.), Italy, Latvia, Liechtenstein, Lithuania, Luxembourg, Malta,
Netherlands, Norway, Poland, Portugal, Romania, Slovakia, Slovenia, Spain, Sweden and Switzerland residing in Germany; - British nationals with a residence permit issued by Germany
before 31 December 2020; - passengers with a residence permit issued by Germany; - passengers with a long term "D" visa issued by Germany.

3. Passengers arriving from South Africa or United Kingdom are not allowed to transit through Germany to Austria, Belgium, Bulgaria, Croatia, Cyprus, Czechia, Denmark, Estonia,
Finland, France, Germany, Greece, Hungary, Iceland, Ireland (Rep.), Italy, Latvia, Liechtenstein, Lithuania, Luxembourg, Malta, Norway, Poland, Portugal, Romania, Slovakia,
Slovenia, Spain, Sweden or Switzerland.

4. Passengers arriving from Brazil, Ireland (Rep.), South Africa or United Kingdom must have a medical certificate with a negative Coronavirus (COVID-19) test issued at most 48
hours before arrival. Tests accepted are: Antigen, LAMP, NAAT, PCR and TMA tests. - This does not apply to passengers younger than 12 years.

5. Passengers arriving from a country other than Brazil, Ireland (Rep.), South Africa or United Kingdom without a medical certificate with a negative Coronavirus (COVID-19) test
result could be subject to a PCR test upon arrival and quarantine for 10 days. Tests accepted are: Antigen, LAMP, NAAT, PCR and TMA tests. More information can be found at
www.bundesgesundheitsministerium.de/coronavirus-infos-reisende/faq-tests-entering-germany.html

6. More Coronavirus (COVID-19) related information can be found at www.bundespolizei.de/Web/DE/04Aktuelles/01Meldungen/2020/03/200317_faq.html

7. Passengers arriving from high risk countries must register before departure at https://www.einreiseanmeldung.de

Travel Advisory information provided and published with permission by IATA.


Germany Infection Trend


How can you tell if a curve is really flattening?

The number of daily confirmed cases has been used as an estimation of how severe the COVID-19 situation is in a given country. However, we’ve found that focusing on the country’s cumulative number of active cases gives a clearer picture of whether the infection curve is flattening.


Countries with Similar Characteristics


This table is generated by a GCI-developed tool to match countries based on their similar characteristics such as population, population density, income and climate.

Germany 60.23 70.52 83,132,799 Medium Density High income < 10 deg
Country Recovery Index Recovery Index Population Density GNI per capita Average Temperature
since First Case (Celsius)
Match%
France 53.67 67.25 67,059,887 Medium Density High income < 10 deg 100%
Italy 37.54 49.32 60,297,396 Medium Density High income < 10 deg 100%
Congo Democratic Republic 43.45 45.17 86,790,567 Medium Density Low income 26-30 deg 60%
Egypt 48.02 53.20 100,388,073 Medium Density Lower middle income 21-25 deg 60%
Iran 51.15 63.65 82,913,906 Medium Density Upper middle income 11-20 deg 60%
Kenya 57.36 72.16 52,573,973 Medium Density Lower middle income 26-30 deg 60%
Myanmar 61.70 77.04 54,045,420 Medium Density Lower middle income 26-30 deg 60%
South Africa 55.74 63.80 58,558,270 Medium Density Upper middle income 11-20 deg 60%
Tanzania 33.70 40.20 58,005,463 Medium Density Lower middle income 21-25 deg 60%
Thailand 72.96 77.22 69,625,582 Medium Density Upper middle income 26-30 deg 60%

GCI Recovery Forecast


The GCI Recovery Forecasting methodology relies on a Monte Carlo simulation model as we recognise that the factors that contribute to an increase / decrease in confirmed COVID19 cases are highly variable and subject to various localised circumstances and interventions. The P10 / P50 / P90 are probabilities assigned to the forecasts, with P10 being highly optimistic, and P90 being very conservative on recovery and reduction in cases. The forecast model is updated daily based on the latest case data.

Forecast Results:

Situation Improving. The GCI Model forecasts that the situation is definitely improving and with the right discipline and compliance, the country can hope to see numbers diminish significantly in the near future.



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