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Country Rank

24


Norway

Recovery Rank for 184 countries/regions

COVID-19 Recovery Rating

4

Recovery Index
65.40
(Out of 100)



(100 = Best, 0 = Worst)

COVID-19 Severity Rating

1

Severity Index
15.51
(Out of 100)



(0 = Best, 100 = Worst)

Stringency Rating

26.09

(100 = Strictest Measures, 0 = No Measures)


Population
5,347,896

(Low Density)


GNI per capita (US$)

80640

(High income)
5 Countries who have made the most progress in
curtailing the spread of the pandemic and can be
used as examples of best practices (Relative Rating)
4
3
2 Countries who are struggling to cope with the crisis
and who may need to consider maintaining stringent
non-pharmaceutical measures (Relative Rating)
1
1 Countries who are coping with the crisis with a low percentage
of infections and resulting deaths per population
(Relative Rating)
2
3 Countries who may be overwhelmed by the crisis with a high
percentage of infections and resulting deaths per population
(Relative Rating)
4
5

Travel Advisory


1. Passengers are not allowed to enter until 31 October 2020. -This does not apply to: - nationals of Norway; - residents of Austria, Belgium, Bulgaria, Croatia, Cyprus, Czechia,
Denmark, Estonia, Finland, France, Germany, Greece, Hungary, Iceland, Ireland (Rep.), Italy, Latvia, Liechtenstein, Lithuania, Luxembourg, Malta, Netherlands, Norway, Poland,
Portugal, Romania, Slovakia, Slovenia, Spain, Sweden, Switzerland and United Kingdom; - spouses, partners, parents, children of residents of Norway. They must present proof
confirming the relationship; - boyfriends or girlfriends of residents of Norway. A "Solemn declaration on relationship for use in connection with entry" signed by the person
residing in Norway must be presented to the immigration upon arrival. The form can be obtained at
https://www.udi.no/globalassets/global/aktuelt/korona/solemn-declaration-on-relationship.pdf ; - nationals of Andorra, Austria, Belgium, Bulgaria, Croatia, Cyprus, Czechia,
Denmark, Estonia, Finland, France, Germany, Greece, Hungary, Iceland, Ireland (Rep.), Italy, Latvia, Liechtenstein, Lithuania, Luxembourg, Malta, Monaco, Netherlands, Poland,
Portugal, Romania, San Marino, Slovakia, Slovenia, Spain, Sweden, Switzerland, Vatican City (Holy See) and British nationals returning via Norway to their country of residence; -
family members of nationals of Andorra, Austria, Belgium, Bulgaria, Croatia, Cyprus, Czechia, Denmark, Estonia, Finland, France, Germany, Greece, Hungary, Iceland, Ireland (Rep.),
Italy, Latvia, Liechtenstein, Lithuania, Luxembourg, Malta, Monaco, Netherlands, Poland, Portugal, Romania, San Marino, Slovakia, Slovenia, Spain, Sweden, Switzerland, Vatican City
(Holy See) and British nationals returning via Norway to their country of residence; - passengers with a visa issued by Norway after 15 March 2020; - passengers with a "D" visa
issued by Norway; - passengers traveling to study in Norway. They must have received a decision letter stating that they have been granted a residence permit as a student in
Norway; - NATO staff with travel order and their family members; - merchant seamen in transit to ships.

2. Passengers must have a confirmed quarantine accommodation for the period of intended stay. - This does not apply to passengers arriving directly from Denmark (only Greenland),
Finland (only hospital districts of East Savo, Kainuu, Kymenlaakso, North Ostrobothnia, North Savo, Pirkanmaa, Paijat-Hame, Satakunta, South Karelia and Aland) or Sweden (only
Kalmar).

3. Passengers could be subject to quarantine for 10 days; details can be found at
https://www.fhi.no/en/op/novel-coronavirus-facts-advice/facts-and-general-advice/travel-advice-COVID19/

4. Passengers are only allowed to travel to Svalbard after they have stayed in quarantine in other parts of Norway.

Travel Advisory information provided and published with permission by IATA.

Norway Infection Trend


How can you tell if a curve is really flattening?

The number of daily confirmed cases has been used as an estimation of how severe the COVID-19 situation is in a given country. However, we’ve found that focusing on the country’s cumulative number of active cases gives a clearer picture of whether the infection curve is flattening.


Countries with Similar Characteristics


This table is generated by a GCI-developed tool to match countries based on their similar characteristics such as population, population density, income and climate.

Norway 65.40 5,347,896 Low Density High income < 10 deg
Country Recovery Index Population Density GNI per capita Average Temperature since First Case (Celsius) Match%
Finland 68.82 5,520,314 Low Density High income < 10 deg 100%
Sweden 61.90 10,285,453 Low Density High income < 10 deg 100%
New Zealand 77.21 4,917,000 Low Density High income 11-20 deg 85%
Oman 49.12 4,974,986 Low Density High income 26-30 deg 85%
Uruguay 66.48 3,461,734 Low Density High income 11-20 deg 85%
Mongolia 61.74 3,225,167 Low Density Lower middle income < 10 deg 75%
Botswana 43.24 2,303,697 Low Density Upper middle income 21-25 deg 60%
Central African Republic 34.57 4,745,185 Low Density Low income 26-30 deg 60%
Congo Brazzaville 43.83 5,380,508 Low Density Lower middle income 26-30 deg 60%
Gabon 51.67 2,172,579 Low Density Upper middle income 26-30 deg 60%

GCI Recovery Forecast


The GCI Recovery Forecasting methodology relies on a Monte Carlo simulation model as we recognise that the factors that contribute to an increase / decrease in confirmed COVID19 cases are highly variable and subject to various localised circumstances and interventions. The P10 / P50 / P90 are probabilities assigned to the forecasts, with P10 being highly optimistic, and P90 being very conservative on recovery and reduction in cases. The forecast model is updated daily based on the latest case data.

Forecast Results:

Situation Worsening. Infections are forecasted to continue to be on the rise. Interventions are required, if not already in place.



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