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Country Rank

120


Nepal

Recovery Rank for 184 countries/regions

COVID-19 Recovery Rating

3

Recovery Index
47.09
(Out of 100)



(100 = Best, 0 = Worst)

COVID-19 Severity Rating

1

Severity Index
29.35
(Out of 100)



(0 = Best, 100 = Worst)

Stringency Rating

60.87

(100 = Strictest Measures, 0 = No Measures)


Population
28,608,710

(Medium Density)


GNI per capita (US$)

970

(Lower middle income)
5 Countries who have made the most progress in
curtailing the spread of the pandemic and can be
used as examples of best practices (Relative Rating)

4
3
2 Countries who are struggling to cope with the crisis
and who may need to consider maintaining stringent
non-pharmaceutical measures (Relative Rating)
1
1 Countries who are coping with the crisis with a low percentage
of infections and resulting deaths per population
(Relative Rating)
2
3 Countries who may be overwhelmed by the crisis with a high
percentage of infections and resulting deaths per population
(Relative Rating)
4
5

Travel Advisory


1. Flights to Nepal are suspended until 16 August 2020.

- This does not apply to medical and repatriation flights.

2. Passengers are subject to self-quarantine for 14 days.

3. A completed "Passengers Locator Card" must be presented to the "health desk" upon arrival.

Travel Advisory information provided and published with permission by IATA.


Nepal Infection Trend


How can you tell if a curve is really flattening?

The number of daily confirmed cases has been used as an estimation of how severe the COVID-19 situation is in a given country. However, we’ve found that focusing on the country’s cumulative number of active cases gives a clearer picture of whether the infection curve is flattening.


Countries with Similar Characteristics


This table is generated by a GCI-developed tool to match countries based on their similar characteristics such as population, population density, income and climate.

Nepal 47.09 28,608,710 Medium Density Lower middle income 11-20 deg
Country Recovery Index Population Density GNI per capita Average Temperature since First Case (Celsius) Match%
Morocco 59.49 36,471,769 Medium Density Lower middle income 11-20 deg 100%
Tunisia 20.22 11,694,719 Medium Density Lower middle income 11-20 deg 100%
Ukraine 24.29 44,385,155 Medium Density Lower middle income 11-20 deg 100%
Uzbekistan 54.59 33,580,650 Medium Density Lower middle income 11-20 deg 100%
Benin 53.29 11,801,151 Medium Density Lower middle income > 30 deg 85%
Cambodia 60.05 16,486,542 Medium Density Lower middle income 26-30 deg 85%
Cameroon 55.82 25,876,380 Medium Density Lower middle income 26-30 deg 85%
Ghana 62.12 30,417,856 Medium Density Lower middle income > 30 deg 85%
Ivory Coast 61.54 25,716,544 Medium Density Lower middle income 26-30 deg 85%
Senegal 60.32 16,296,364 Medium Density Lower middle income > 30 deg 85%

GCI Recovery Forecast


The GCI Recovery Forecasting methodology relies on a Monte Carlo simulation model as we recognise that the factors that contribute to an increase / decrease in confirmed COVID19 cases are highly variable and subject to various localised circumstances and interventions. The P10 / P50 / P90 are probabilities assigned to the forecasts, with P10 being highly optimistic, and P90 being very conservative on recovery and reduction in cases. The forecast model is updated daily based on the latest case data.

Forecast Results:

Situation May Improve. The GCI Model indicates that the situation has a small probability of recovery, but there is insufficient evidence to suggest that the recovery trend will improve significantly in the near future.



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