The GCI Dashboard

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Country Rank

61


Nepal

Recovery Rank for 180 countries/regions

Country Rank

34


Nepal

Recovery Rank for 184 countries/regions

COVID-19 Recovery Rating

4

Recovery Index
71.87
(Out of 100)



(100 = Best, 0 = Worst)

COVID-19 Recovery Rating

4

Recovery Index
61.49
(Out of 100)



(100 = Best, 0 = Worst)

COVID-19 Severity Rating

2

Severity Index
22.54
(Out of 100)



(0 = Best, 100 = Worst)

COVID-19 Severity Rating

1

Severity Index
24.92
(Out of 100)



(0 = Best, 100 = Worst)

Stringency Rating

60.87

(100 = Strictest Measures, 0 = No Measures)


Population
28,608,710

(Medium Density)


GNI per capita (US$)

970

(Lower middle income)
5 Countries who have made the most progress in
curtailing the spread of the pandemic and can be
used as examples of best practices (Relative Rating)

4
3
2 Countries who are struggling to cope with the crisis
and who may need to consider maintaining stringent
non-pharmaceutical measures (Relative Rating)
1
1 Countries who are coping with the crisis with a low percentage
of infections and resulting deaths per population
(Relative Rating)
2
3 Countries who may be overwhelmed by the crisis with a high
percentage of infections and resulting deaths per population
(Relative Rating)
4
5

Travel Advisory


1. Passengers are not allowed to enter Nepal. -This does not apply to: - nationals of Nepal. They must not arrive from or transit through the United Kingdom; - passengers with a
Laissez-Passer issued by United Nations. They must not arrive from or transit through the United Kingdom; - passengers with a diplomatic passport traveling on duty. They must not
arrive from or transit through the United Kingdom; - passengers with a tourist entry visa. They must not arrive from or transit through the United Kingdom; - foreign nationals of
Nepali origin. They must not arrive from or transit through the United Kingdom.

2. Passengers must have a medical certificate with a negative Coronavirus (COVID-19) RT - PCR, SARS-CoV2 GeneXpert or Nucleic Acid Amplification Test (NAAT) test result issued at
most 72 hours before departure of the last direct flight to Nepal. - This does not apply to passengers younger than 5 years.

3. Passengers are subject to self-quarantine for 14 days.

4. Nationals of Nepal must present a completed "Passengers Locator Card" to the "health desk" upon arrival.

5. Passengers must complete an "International Traveller Form" at https://ccmc.gov.np/ before departure and present a printed copy of the form with a barcode at check-in. - This
does not apply to nationals of Nepal.

6. Suspension of visa on arrival facilities.

Travel Advisory information provided and published with permission by IATA.


Nepal Infection Trend


How can you tell if a curve is really flattening?

The number of daily confirmed cases has been used as an estimation of how severe the COVID-19 situation is in a given country. However, we’ve found that focusing on the country’s cumulative number of active cases gives a clearer picture of whether the infection curve is flattening.


Countries with Similar Characteristics


This table is generated by a GCI-developed tool to match countries based on their similar characteristics such as population, population density, income and climate.

Nepal 61.49 71.87 28,608,710 Medium Density Lower middle income 11-20 deg
Country Recovery Index Recovery Index Population Density GNI per capita Average Temperature
since First Case (Celsius)
Match%
Morocco 64.43 73.85 36,471,769 Medium Density Lower middle income 11-20 deg 100%
Tunisia 34.67 62.17 11,694,719 Medium Density Lower middle income 11-20 deg 100%
Ukraine 36.51 66.18 44,385,155 Medium Density Lower middle income 11-20 deg 100%
Uzbekistan 55.12 71.40 33,580,650 Medium Density Lower middle income 11-20 deg 100%
Benin 51.34 64.01 11,801,151 Medium Density Lower middle income > 30 deg 85%
Cambodia 54.84 59.76 16,486,542 Medium Density Lower middle income 26-30 deg 85%
Cameroon 55.57 64.85 25,876,380 Medium Density Lower middle income 26-30 deg 85%
Ghana 59.68 76.68 30,417,856 Medium Density Lower middle income > 30 deg 85%
Ivory Coast 58.54 62.97 25,716,544 Medium Density Lower middle income 26-30 deg 85%
Senegal 53.86 62.10 16,296,364 Medium Density Lower middle income > 30 deg 85%

GCI Recovery Forecast


The GCI Recovery Forecasting methodology relies on a Monte Carlo simulation model as we recognise that the factors that contribute to an increase / decrease in confirmed COVID19 cases are highly variable and subject to various localised circumstances and interventions. The P10 / P50 / P90 are probabilities assigned to the forecasts, with P10 being highly optimistic, and P90 being very conservative on recovery and reduction in cases. The forecast model is updated daily based on the latest case data.

Forecast Results:

Situation Improving. The GCI Model forecasts that the situation is definitely improving and with the right discipline and compliance, the country can hope to see numbers diminish significantly in the near future.



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