The GCI Dashboard

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Country Rank

42


Nepal

Recovery Rank for 180 countries/regions

Country Rank

47


Nepal

Recovery Rank for 184 countries/regions

COVID-19 Recovery Rating

4

Recovery Index
73.42
(Out of 100)



(100 = Best, 0 = Worst)

COVID-19 Recovery Rating

4

Recovery Index
60.84
(Out of 100)



(100 = Best, 0 = Worst)

COVID-19 Severity Rating

2

Severity Index
19.59
(Out of 100)



(0 = Best, 100 = Worst)

COVID-19 Severity Rating

1

Severity Index
23.63
(Out of 100)



(0 = Best, 100 = Worst)

Stringency Rating

8.70

(100 = Strictest Measures, 0 = No Measures)


Population
28,608,710

(Medium Density)


GNI per capita (US$)

970

(Lower middle income)
5 Countries who have made the most progress in
curtailing the spread of the pandemic and can be
used as examples of best practices (Relative Rating)

4
3
2 Countries who are struggling to cope with the crisis
and who may need to consider maintaining stringent
non-pharmaceutical measures (Relative Rating)
1
1 Countries who are coping with the crisis with a low percentage
of infections and resulting deaths per population
(Relative Rating)
2
3 Countries who may be overwhelmed by the crisis with a high
percentage of infections and resulting deaths per population
(Relative Rating)
4
5

Travel Advisory


1. Passengers are not allowed to enter. -This does not apply to: - nationals of Nepal; - passengers with a Laissez-Passer issued by United Nations; - passengers with a diplomatic
passport traveling on duty; - passengers with a tourist entry visa; - foreign nationals of Nepali origin whose passport states Nepal as place of birth; - relatives of nationals of
Nepal.

2. Passengers must have a medical certificate with a negative Coronavirus (COVID-19) RT - PCR, SARS-CoV2 GeneXpert or Nucleic Acid Amplification Test (NAAT) test result issued at
most 72 hours before departure from the first embarkation point. - This does not apply to passengers younger than 5 years.

3. Passengers could be subject to quarantine for 5 days.

4. Passengers who arrive from or have transited through South Africa or United Kingdom must have a confirmed hotel reservation for 5 days. The hotel must be listed on
https://ccmc.gov.np/arms/attachments/Quarantine_HotelsList.pdf .

5. Nationals of Nepal must present a completed "Passengers Locator Card" to the "health desk" upon arrival.

6. Passengers must complete an "International Traveller Form" at https://ccmc.gov.np/ before departure and present a printed copy of the form with a barcode at check-in.

7. Suspension of visa on arrival facilities.

Travel Advisory information provided and published with permission by IATA.


Nepal Infection Trend


How can you tell if a curve is really flattening?

The number of daily confirmed cases has been used as an estimation of how severe the COVID-19 situation is in a given country. However, we’ve found that focusing on the country’s cumulative number of active cases gives a clearer picture of whether the infection curve is flattening.


Countries with Similar Characteristics


This table is generated by a GCI-developed tool to match countries based on their similar characteristics such as population, population density, income and climate.

Nepal 60.84 73.42 28,608,710 Medium Density Lower middle income 11-20 deg
Country Recovery Index Recovery Index Population Density GNI per capita Average Temperature
since First Case (Celsius)
Match%
Morocco 66.04 81.12 36,471,769 Medium Density Lower middle income 11-20 deg 100%
Tunisia 40.37 64.21 11,694,719 Medium Density Lower middle income 11-20 deg 100%
Ukraine 20.55 45.25 44,385,155 Medium Density Lower middle income 11-20 deg 100%
Uzbekistan 54.25 67.03 33,580,650 Medium Density Lower middle income 11-20 deg 100%
Benin 45.58 58.41 11,801,151 Medium Density Lower middle income > 30 deg 85%
Cambodia 35.21 46.52 16,486,542 Medium Density Lower middle income 26-30 deg 85%
Cameroon 30.78 37.30 25,876,380 Medium Density Lower middle income 26-30 deg 85%
Ghana 61.66 71.30 30,417,856 Medium Density Lower middle income > 30 deg 85%
Ivory Coast 62.46 72.87 25,716,544 Medium Density Lower middle income 26-30 deg 85%
Senegal 61.63 75.94 16,296,364 Medium Density Lower middle income > 30 deg 85%

GCI Recovery Forecast


The GCI Recovery Forecasting methodology relies on a Monte Carlo simulation model as we recognise that the factors that contribute to an increase / decrease in confirmed COVID19 cases are highly variable and subject to various localised circumstances and interventions. The P10 / P50 / P90 are probabilities assigned to the forecasts, with P10 being highly optimistic, and P90 being very conservative on recovery and reduction in cases. The forecast model is updated daily based on the latest case data.

Forecast Results:

Situation Worsening. Infections are forecasted to continue to be on the rise. Interventions are required, if not already in place.



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