The Global COVID-19 Index (GCI) - Nepal Dashboard

The GCI Dashboard

Version:

Country Rank

61

Nepal

Recovery Rank for 180 countries/regions

Country Rank

34

Nepal

Recovery Rank for 184 countries/regions

COVID-19 Recovery Rating

4

Recovery Index
71.87
(Out of 100)

(100 = Best, 0 = Worst)

COVID-19 Recovery Rating

4

Recovery Index
61.49
(Out of 100)

(100 = Best, 0 = Worst)

COVID-19 Severity Rating

2

Severity Index
22.54
(Out of 100)

(0 = Best, 100 = Worst)

COVID-19 Severity Rating

1

Severity Index
24.92
(Out of 100)

(0 = Best, 100 = Worst)

Stringency Rating

60.87

(100 = Strictest Measures, 0 = No Measures)

Population

28,608,710

(Medium Density)

GNI per capita (US$)

970

(Lower middle income)

COVID-19 Recovery Rating Guide

5	Countries who have made the most progress in curtailing the spread of the pandemic and can be used as examples of best practices (Relative Rating)
4
3
2	Countries who are struggling to cope with the crisis and who may need to consider maintaining stringent non-pharmaceutical measures (Relative Rating)
1

COVID-19 Severity Rating Guide

1	Countries who are coping with the crisis with a low percentage of infections and resulting deaths per population (Relative Rating)
2
3	Countries who may be overwhelmed by the crisis with a high percentage of infections and resulting deaths per population (Relative Rating)
4
5

Travel Advisory

Nepal - published 29.12.2020

1. Passengers are not allowed to enter Nepal. -This does not apply to: - nationals of Nepal. They must not arrive from or transit through the United Kingdom; - passengers with a Laissez-Passer issued by United Nations. They must not arrive from or transit through the United Kingdom; - passengers with a diplomatic passport traveling on duty. They must not arrive from or transit through the United Kingdom; - passengers with a tourist entry visa. They must not arrive from or transit through the United Kingdom; - foreign nationals of Nepali origin. They must not arrive from or transit through the United Kingdom. 2. Passengers must have a medical certificate with a negative Coronavirus (COVID-19) RT - PCR, SARS-CoV2 GeneXpert or Nucleic Acid Amplification Test (NAAT) test result issued at most 72 hours before departure of the last direct flight to Nepal. - This does not apply to passengers younger than 5 years. 3. Passengers are subject to self-quarantine for 14 days. 4. Nationals of Nepal must present a completed "Passengers Locator Card" to the "health desk" upon arrival. 5. Passengers must complete an "International Traveller Form" at https://ccmc.gov.np/ before departure and present a printed copy of the form with a barcode at check-in. - This does not apply to nationals of Nepal. 6. Suspension of visa on arrival facilities.

Travel Advisory information provided and published with permission by IATA.

1. Passengers are not allowed to enter Nepal. -This does not apply to: - nationals of Nepal. They must not arrive from or transit through the United Kingdom; - passengers with a
Laissez-Passer issued by United Nations. They must not arrive from or transit through the United Kingdom; - passengers with a diplomatic passport traveling on duty. They must not
arrive from or transit through the United Kingdom; - passengers with a tourist entry visa. They must not arrive from or transit through the United Kingdom; - foreign nationals of
Nepali origin. They must not arrive from or transit through the United Kingdom.

2. Passengers must have a medical certificate with a negative Coronavirus (COVID-19) RT - PCR, SARS-CoV2 GeneXpert or Nucleic Acid Amplification Test (NAAT) test result issued at
most 72 hours before departure of the last direct flight to Nepal. - This does not apply to passengers younger than 5 years.

3. Passengers are subject to self-quarantine for 14 days.

4. Nationals of Nepal must present a completed "Passengers Locator Card" to the "health desk" upon arrival.

5. Passengers must complete an "International Traveller Form" at https://ccmc.gov.np/ before departure and present a printed copy of the form with a barcode at check-in. - This
does not apply to nationals of Nepal.

6. Suspension of visa on arrival facilities.

Travel Advisory information provided and published with permission by IATA.

Nepal Infection Trend

How can you tell if a curve is really flattening?

The number of daily confirmed cases has been used as an estimation of how severe the COVID-19 situation is in a given country. However, we’ve found that focusing on the country’s cumulative number of active cases gives a clearer picture of whether the infection curve is flattening.

Countries with Similar Characteristics

This table is generated by a GCI-developed tool to match countries based on their similar characteristics such as population, population density, income and climate.

Country	Recovery Index	Recovery Index	Population	Density	GNI per capita	Average Temperature since First Case (Celsius)	Match%
Nepal	61.49	71.87	28,608,710	Medium Density	Lower middle income	11-20 deg
Morocco	64.43	73.85	36,471,769	Medium Density	Lower middle income	11-20 deg	100%
Tunisia	34.67	62.17	11,694,719	Medium Density	Lower middle income	11-20 deg	100%
Ukraine	36.51	66.18	44,385,155	Medium Density	Lower middle income	11-20 deg	100%
Uzbekistan	55.12	71.40	33,580,650	Medium Density	Lower middle income	11-20 deg	100%
Benin	51.34	64.01	11,801,151	Medium Density	Lower middle income	> 30 deg	85%
Cambodia	54.84	59.76	16,486,542	Medium Density	Lower middle income	26-30 deg	85%
Cameroon	55.57	64.85	25,876,380	Medium Density	Lower middle income	26-30 deg	85%
Ghana	59.68	76.68	30,417,856	Medium Density	Lower middle income	> 30 deg	85%
Ivory Coast	58.54	62.97	25,716,544	Medium Density	Lower middle income	26-30 deg	85%
Senegal	53.86	62.10	16,296,364	Medium Density	Lower middle income	> 30 deg	85%

GCI Recovery Forecast

The GCI Recovery Forecasting methodology relies on a Monte Carlo simulation model as we recognise that the factors that contribute to an increase / decrease in confirmed COVID19 cases are highly variable and subject to various localised circumstances and interventions. The P10 / P50 / P90 are probabilities assigned to the forecasts, with P10 being highly optimistic, and P90 being very conservative on recovery and reduction in cases. The forecast model is updated daily based on the latest case data.

Forecast Results:

Situation Improving. The GCI Model forecasts that the situation is definitely improving and with the right discipline and compliance, the country can hope to see numbers diminish significantly in the near future.

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