The Global COVID-19 Index (GCI) - Guinea Dashboard

The GCI Dashboard

Country Rank

74

Guinea

Recovery Rank for 184 countries/regions

COVID-19 Recovery Rating

3

Recovery Index
55.03
(Out of 100)

(100 = Best, 0 = Worst)

COVID-19 Severity Rating

1

Severity Index
25.53
(Out of 100)

(0 = Best, 100 = Worst)

Stringency Rating

47.83

(100 = Strictest Measures, 0 = No Measures)

Population

12,771,246

(Medium Density)

GNI per capita (US$)

850

(Low income)

COVID-19 Recovery Rating Guide

5	Countries who have made the most progress in curtailing the spread of the pandemic and can be used as examples of best practices (Relative Rating)
4
3
2	Countries who are struggling to cope with the crisis and who may need to consider maintaining stringent non-pharmaceutical measures (Relative Rating)
1

COVID-19 Severity Rating Guide

1	Countries who are coping with the crisis with a low percentage of infections and resulting deaths per population (Relative Rating)
2
3	Countries who may be overwhelmed by the crisis with a high percentage of infections and resulting deaths per population (Relative Rating)
4
5

Travel Advisory

Guinea - published 22.09.2020

1. Conakry (CKY) airport reopened. 2. Nationals of Austria, Belgium, Czechia, Denmark, Estonia, Finland, France, Germany, Greece, Hungary, Iceland, Italy, Latvia, Liechtenstein, Lithuania, Luxembourg, Malta, Netherlands, Norway, Poland, Portugal, Slovakia, Slovenia, Spain, Sweden and Switzerland are not allowed to enter. - This does not apply to: - passengers with a residence permit issued by Guinea; - passengers with a long-term visa issued by Guinea; - spouses, partners, parents or children of nationals of Guinea. 3. Passengers must have a medical certificate with a negative Coronavirus (COVID-19) test result issued at most 5 days before departure from the first embarkation point. 4. Passengers are subject to medical screening upon arrival.

Travel Advisory information provided and published with permission by IATA.

1. Conakry (CKY) airport reopened.

2. Nationals of Austria, Belgium, Czechia, Denmark, Estonia, Finland, France, Germany, Greece, Hungary, Iceland, Italy, Latvia, Liechtenstein, Lithuania, Luxembourg, Malta,
Netherlands, Norway, Poland, Portugal, Slovakia, Slovenia, Spain, Sweden and Switzerland are not allowed to enter. - This does not apply to: - passengers with a residence permit
issued by Guinea; - passengers with a long-term visa issued by Guinea; - spouses, partners, parents or children of nationals of Guinea.

3. Passengers must have a medical certificate with a negative Coronavirus (COVID-19) test result issued at most 5 days before departure from the first embarkation point.

4. Passengers are subject to medical screening upon arrival.

Travel Advisory information provided and published with permission by IATA.

Guinea Infection Trend

How can you tell if a curve is really flattening?

The number of daily confirmed cases has been used as an estimation of how severe the COVID-19 situation is in a given country. However, we’ve found that focusing on the country’s cumulative number of active cases gives a clearer picture of whether the infection curve is flattening.

Countries with Similar Characteristics

This table is generated by a GCI-developed tool to match countries based on their similar characteristics such as population, population density, income and climate.

Country	Recovery Index	Population	Density	GNI per capita	Average Temperature since First Case (Celsius)	Match%
Guinea	55.03	12,771,246	Medium Density	Low income	26-30 deg
Yemen	41.05	29,161,922	Medium Density	Low income	26-30 deg	100%
Afghanistan	52.41	38,041,754	Medium Density	Low income	11-20 deg	85%
Burkina Faso	48.44	20,321,378	Medium Density	Low income	> 30 deg	85%
Madagascar	62.91	26,969,307	Medium Density	Low income	21-25 deg	85%
Malawi	51.65	18,628,747	Medium Density	Low income	21-25 deg	85%
Mozambique	51.56	30,366,036	Medium Density	Low income	21-25 deg	85%
Syria	29.04	17,070,135	Medium Density	Low income	11-20 deg	85%
Uganda	55.41	44,269,594	Medium Density	Low income	21-25 deg	85%
Cambodia	60.26	16,486,542	Medium Density	Lower middle income	26-30 deg	75%
Cameroon	56.27	25,876,380	Medium Density	Lower middle income	26-30 deg	75%

GCI Recovery Forecast

The GCI Recovery Forecasting methodology relies on a Monte Carlo simulation model as we recognise that the factors that contribute to an increase / decrease in confirmed COVID19 cases are highly variable and subject to various localised circumstances and interventions. The P10 / P50 / P90 are probabilities assigned to the forecasts, with P10 being highly optimistic, and P90 being very conservative on recovery and reduction in cases. The forecast model is updated daily based on the latest case data.

Forecast Results:

Situation May Improve. The GCI Model indicates that the situation has a small probability of recovery, but there is insufficient evidence to suggest that the recovery trend will improve significantly in the near future.

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