Recovery Rank for 180 countries/regions
Recovery Rank for 184 countries/regions
Recovery Index 43.83 (Out of 100)
(100 = Best, 0 = Worst)
Recovery Index 38.94 (Out of 100)
Severity Index 25.62 (Out of 100)
(0 = Best, 100 = Worst)
Severity Index 23.97 (Out of 100)
4.35
(100 = Strictest Measures, 0 = No Measures)
(Medium Density)
1,460
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The number of daily confirmed cases has been used as an estimation of how severe the COVID-19 situation is in a given country. However, we’ve found that focusing on the country’s cumulative number of active cases gives a clearer picture of whether the infection curve is flattening.
The GCI Recovery Forecasting methodology relies on a Monte Carlo simulation model as we recognise that the factors that contribute to an increase / decrease in confirmed COVID19 cases are highly variable and subject to various localised circumstances and interventions. The P10 / P50 / P90 are probabilities assigned to the forecasts, with P10 being highly optimistic, and P90 being very conservative on recovery and reduction in cases. The forecast model is updated daily based on the latest case data.
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