The GCI Dashboard

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Country Rank

85


Zambia

Recovery Rank for 180 countries/regions

Country Rank

61


Zambia

Recovery Rank for 184 countries/regions

COVID-19 Recovery Rating

3

Recovery Index
65.89
(Out of 100)



(100 = Best, 0 = Worst)

COVID-19 Recovery Rating

3

Recovery Index
57.81
(Out of 100)



(100 = Best, 0 = Worst)

COVID-19 Severity Rating

2

Severity Index
21.64
(Out of 100)



(0 = Best, 100 = Worst)

COVID-19 Severity Rating

1

Severity Index
26.79
(Out of 100)



(0 = Best, 100 = Worst)

Stringency Rating

30.43

(100 = Strictest Measures, 0 = No Measures)


Population
17,861,030

(Low Density)


GNI per capita (US$)

1430

(Lower middle income)
5 Countries who have made the most progress in
curtailing the spread of the pandemic and can be
used as examples of best practices (Relative Rating)

4
3
2 Countries who are struggling to cope with the crisis
and who may need to consider maintaining stringent
non-pharmaceutical measures (Relative Rating)
1
1 Countries who are coping with the crisis with a low percentage
of infections and resulting deaths per population
(Relative Rating)
2
3 Countries who may be overwhelmed by the crisis with a high
percentage of infections and resulting deaths per population
(Relative Rating)
4
5

Travel Advisory


1. Passengers must have a medical certificate with a negative Coronavirus (COVID-19) PCR test result. The test must have been taken at most 7 days before arrival.

2. Nationals and residents of Zambia are subject to self-quarantine for 14 days.

3. A completed "Traveller Health Questionnaire" must be presented upon arrival.

4. Passengers and airline crew are subject to medical screening upon arrival.

Travel Advisory information provided and published with permission by IATA.


Zambia Infection Trend


How can you tell if a curve is really flattening?

The number of daily confirmed cases has been used as an estimation of how severe the COVID-19 situation is in a given country. However, we’ve found that focusing on the country’s cumulative number of active cases gives a clearer picture of whether the infection curve is flattening.


Countries with Similar Characteristics


This table is generated by a GCI-developed tool to match countries based on their similar characteristics such as population, population density, income and climate.

Zambia 57.81 65.89 17,861,030 Low Density Lower middle income 21-25 deg
Country Recovery Index Recovery Index Population Density GNI per capita Average Temperature
since First Case (Celsius)
Match%
Algeria 30.75 59.90 43,053,054 Low Density Lower middle income 21-25 deg 100%
Angola 50.23 66.84 31,825,295 Low Density Lower middle income 21-25 deg 100%
Bolivia 31.69 39.74 11,513,100 Low Density Lower middle income 21-25 deg 100%
Peru 55.26 65.91 32,510,453 Low Density Upper middle income 21-25 deg 75%
Argentina 53.22 61.41 44,938,712 Low Density Upper middle income 11-20 deg 60%
Australia 72.22 64.10 25,364,307 Low Density High income 26-30 deg 60%
Canada 73.99 77.94 37,589,262 Low Density High income < 10 deg 60%
Chad 48.95 57.00 15,946,876 Low Density Low income > 30 deg 60%
Chile 66.11 75.80 18,952,038 Low Density High income < 10 deg 60%
Kazakhstan 58.09 78.83 18,513,930 Low Density Upper middle income < 10 deg 60%

GCI Recovery Forecast


The GCI Recovery Forecasting methodology relies on a Monte Carlo simulation model as we recognise that the factors that contribute to an increase / decrease in confirmed COVID19 cases are highly variable and subject to various localised circumstances and interventions. The P10 / P50 / P90 are probabilities assigned to the forecasts, with P10 being highly optimistic, and P90 being very conservative on recovery and reduction in cases. The forecast model is updated daily based on the latest case data.

Forecast Results:

Situation Improving. The GCI Model forecasts that the situation is definitely improving and with the right discipline and compliance, the country can hope to see numbers diminish significantly in the near future.



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