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Country Rank

134


Poland

Recovery Rank for 184 countries/regions

COVID-19 Recovery Rating

2

Recovery Index
43.92
(Out of 100)



(100 = Best, 0 = Worst)

COVID-19 Severity Rating

1

Severity Index
25.78
(Out of 100)



(0 = Best, 100 = Worst)

Stringency Rating

13.04

(100 = Strictest Measures, 0 = No Measures)


Population
37,970,874

(Medium Density)


GNI per capita (US$)

14100

(High income)
5 Countries who have made the most progress in
curtailing the spread of the pandemic and can be
used as examples of best practices (Relative Rating)

4
3
2 Countries who are struggling to cope with the crisis
and who may need to consider maintaining stringent
non-pharmaceutical measures (Relative Rating)
1
1 Countries who are coping with the crisis with a low percentage
of infections and resulting deaths per population
(Relative Rating)
2
3 Countries who may be overwhelmed by the crisis with a high
percentage of infections and resulting deaths per population
(Relative Rating)
4
5

Travel Advisory


1. Passengers are not allowed to enter. -This does not apply to: - nationals and residents of Poland; - passengers arriving from Austria, Belgium, Bulgaria, Croatia, Cyprus,
Czechia, Denmark, Estonia, Finland, France, Germany, Greece, Hungary, Iceland, Ireland (Rep.), Italy, Latvia, Liechtenstein, Lithuania, Luxembourg, Malta, Netherlands, Norway,
Portugal, Romania, Slovakia, Slovenia, Spain, Sweden, Switzerland or United Kingdom; - spouses, children of nationals of Poland; - passengers under the constant care of nationals
of Poland; - nationals of Austria, Belgium, Bulgaria, Croatia, Cyprus, Czechia, Denmark, Estonia, Finland, France, Germany, Greece, Hungary, Iceland, Ireland (Rep.), Italy, Latvia,
Liechtenstein, Lithuania, Luxembourg, Malta, Netherlands, Norway, Poland, Portugal, Romania, Slovakia, Slovenia, Spain, Sweden and Switzerland; - British nationals; - spouses and
children of nationals of Austria, Belgium, Bulgaria, Croatia, Cyprus, Czechia, Denmark, Estonia, Finland, France, Germany, Greece, Hungary, Iceland, Ireland (Rep.), Italy, Latvia,
Liechtenstein, Lithuania, Luxembourg, Malta, Netherlands, Norway, Poland, Portugal, Romania, Slovakia, Slovenia, Spain, Sweden and Switzerland; - spouses and children of British
nationals; - nationals and residents of Australia, Belarus, Canada, Georgia, Japan, Korea (Rep.), New Zealand, Thailand and Tunisia; - passengers with a residence permit issued by
Austria, Belgium, Bulgaria, Croatia, Cyprus, Czechia, Denmark, Estonia, Finland, France, Germany, Greece, Hungary, Iceland, Ireland (Rep.), Italy, Latvia, Liechtenstein, Lithuania,
Luxembourg, Malta, Netherlands, Norway, Poland, Portugal, Romania, Slovakia, Slovenia, Spain, Sweden, Switzerland or United Kingdom and their spouses and children, when they are
returning via Poland to their country of residence; - passengers traveling as students in Poland.

2. Flights from Argentina, Armenia, Bahamas, Bahrain, Belize, Bosnia and Herzegovina, Brazil, Cape Verde, Chile, Colombia, Costa Rica, Georgia, Guyana, Iraq, Israel, Jordan,
Kuwait, Lebanon, Libya, Maldives, Moldova (Rep.), Oman, Panama, Paraguay, Peru, Qatar, Tunisia, USA and United Arab Emirates to Poland are suspended. - This does not apply to
humanitarian, medevac and repatriation flights.

3. Passengers could be subject to quarantine for 10 days. A list of quarantine exemptions can be found at https://www.gov.pl/web/koronawirus/aktualne-zasady-i-ograniczenia

Travel Advisory information provided and published with permission by IATA.


Poland Infection Trend


How can you tell if a curve is really flattening?

The number of daily confirmed cases has been used as an estimation of how severe the COVID-19 situation is in a given country. However, we’ve found that focusing on the country’s cumulative number of active cases gives a clearer picture of whether the infection curve is flattening.


Countries with Similar Characteristics


This table is generated by a GCI-developed tool to match countries based on their similar characteristics such as population, population density, income and climate.

Poland 43.92 37,970,874 Medium Density High income < 10 deg
Country Recovery Index Population Density GNI per capita Average Temperature since First Case (Celsius) Match%
Czech Republic 23.38 10,669,709 Medium Density High income < 10 deg 100%
Romania 46.41 19,356,544 Medium Density High income < 10 deg 100%
Greece 39.49 10,716,322 Medium Density High income 11-20 deg 85%
Portugal 43.71 10,269,417 Medium Density High income 11-20 deg 85%
Spain 44.86 47,076,781 Medium Density High income 11-20 deg 85%
Afghanistan 52.41 38,041,754 Medium Density Low income 11-20 deg 60%
Benin 53.96 11,801,151 Medium Density Lower middle income > 30 deg 60%
Burkina Faso 48.44 20,321,378 Medium Density Low income > 30 deg 60%
Cambodia 60.26 16,486,542 Medium Density Lower middle income 26-30 deg 60%
Cameroon 56.27 25,876,380 Medium Density Lower middle income 26-30 deg 60%

GCI Recovery Forecast


The GCI Recovery Forecasting methodology relies on a Monte Carlo simulation model as we recognise that the factors that contribute to an increase / decrease in confirmed COVID19 cases are highly variable and subject to various localised circumstances and interventions. The P10 / P50 / P90 are probabilities assigned to the forecasts, with P10 being highly optimistic, and P90 being very conservative on recovery and reduction in cases. The forecast model is updated daily based on the latest case data.

Forecast Results:

Situation Worsening. Infections are forecasted to continue to be on the rise. Interventions are required, if not already in place.



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