The GCI Dashboard

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Country Rank

150


Poland

Recovery Rank for 180 countries/regions

Country Rank

158


Poland

Recovery Rank for 184 countries/regions

COVID-19 Recovery Rating

2

Recovery Index
47.82
(Out of 100)



(100 = Best, 0 = Worst)

COVID-19 Recovery Rating

2

Recovery Index
34.87
(Out of 100)



(100 = Best, 0 = Worst)

COVID-19 Severity Rating

4

Severity Index
61.23
(Out of 100)



(0 = Best, 100 = Worst)

COVID-19 Severity Rating

3

Severity Index
53.21
(Out of 100)



(0 = Best, 100 = Worst)

Stringency Rating

78.26

(100 = Strictest Measures, 0 = No Measures)


Population
37,970,874

(Medium Density)


GNI per capita (US$)

14100

(High income)
5 Countries who have made the most progress in
curtailing the spread of the pandemic and can be
used as examples of best practices (Relative Rating)

4
3
2 Countries who are struggling to cope with the crisis
and who may need to consider maintaining stringent
non-pharmaceutical measures (Relative Rating)
1
1 Countries who are coping with the crisis with a low percentage
of infections and resulting deaths per population
(Relative Rating)
2
3 Countries who may be overwhelmed by the crisis with a high
percentage of infections and resulting deaths per population
(Relative Rating)
4
5

Travel Advisory


1. Passengers are not allowed to enter. -This does not apply to: - nationals and residents of Poland; - spouses, children of nationals of Poland; - passengers under the constant
care of nationals of Poland; - nationals of Austria, Belgium, Bulgaria, Croatia, Cyprus, Czechia, Denmark, Estonia, Finland, France, Germany, Greece, Hungary, Iceland, Ireland
(Rep.), Italy, Latvia, Liechtenstein, Lithuania, Luxembourg, Malta, Netherlands, Norway, Poland, Portugal, Romania, Slovakia, Slovenia, Spain, Sweden and Switzerland; - British
nationals; - spouses and children of nationals of Austria, Belgium, Bulgaria, Croatia, Cyprus, Czechia, Denmark, Estonia, Finland, France, Germany, Greece, Hungary, Iceland,
Ireland (Rep.), Italy, Latvia, Liechtenstein, Lithuania, Luxembourg, Malta, Netherlands, Norway, Poland, Portugal, Romania, Slovakia, Slovenia, Spain, Sweden and Switzerland; -
spouses and children of British nationals; - nationals and residents of Australia, Belarus, Canada, Georgia, Israel, Japan, Korea (Rep.), New Zealand, Thailand and Tunisia; -
passengers with a permanent residence permit or a long-term residence permit issued by Austria, Belgium, Bulgaria, Croatia, Cyprus, Czechia, Denmark, Estonia, Finland, France,
Germany, Greece, Hungary, Iceland, Ireland (Rep.), Italy, Latvia, Liechtenstein, Lithuania, Luxembourg, Malta, Netherlands, Norway, Poland, Portugal, Romania, Slovakia, Slovenia,
Spain, Sweden, Switzerland or United Kingdom and their spouses and children, returning via Poland to their country of residence; - merchant seamen traveling on duty; - passengers
traveling as students.

2. Flights from Armenia, Bosnia and Herzegovina, Georgia, Jordan, Kosovo (Rep.), North Macedonia (Rep.), Montenegro, Serbia or USA (except airports in Illinois and New York) are
suspended. - This does not apply to humanitarian, medevac and repatriation flights.

3. Passengers could be subject to quarantine for 10 days. A list of quarantine exemptions can be found at https://www.gov.pl/web/coronavirus/temporary-limitations .

Travel Advisory information provided and published with permission by IATA.


Poland Infection Trend


How can you tell if a curve is really flattening?

The number of daily confirmed cases has been used as an estimation of how severe the COVID-19 situation is in a given country. However, we’ve found that focusing on the country’s cumulative number of active cases gives a clearer picture of whether the infection curve is flattening.


Countries with Similar Characteristics


This table is generated by a GCI-developed tool to match countries based on their similar characteristics such as population, population density, income and climate.

Poland 34.87 47.82 37,970,874 Medium Density High income < 10 deg
Country Recovery Index Recovery Index Population Density GNI per capita Average Temperature
since First Case (Celsius)
Match%
Czech Republic 35.49 55.84 10,669,709 Medium Density High income < 10 deg 100%
Romania 48.65 66.64 19,356,544 Medium Density High income < 10 deg 100%
Greece 41.94 62.48 10,716,322 Medium Density High income 11-20 deg 85%
Portugal 65.12 77.11 10,269,417 Medium Density High income 11-20 deg 85%
Spain 64.45 70.26 47,076,781 Medium Density High income 11-20 deg 85%
Afghanistan 51.75 63.34 38,041,754 Medium Density Low income 11-20 deg 60%
Benin 45.58 58.41 11,801,151 Medium Density Lower middle income > 30 deg 60%
Burkina Faso 55.57 70.58 20,321,378 Medium Density Low income > 30 deg 60%
Cambodia 35.21 46.52 16,486,542 Medium Density Lower middle income 26-30 deg 60%
Cameroon 30.78 37.30 25,876,380 Medium Density Lower middle income 26-30 deg 60%

GCI Recovery Forecast


The GCI Recovery Forecasting methodology relies on a Monte Carlo simulation model as we recognise that the factors that contribute to an increase / decrease in confirmed COVID19 cases are highly variable and subject to various localised circumstances and interventions. The P10 / P50 / P90 are probabilities assigned to the forecasts, with P10 being highly optimistic, and P90 being very conservative on recovery and reduction in cases. The forecast model is updated daily based on the latest case data.

Forecast Results:

Situation Improving. The GCI Model forecasts that the situation is definitely improving and with the right discipline and compliance, the country can hope to see numbers diminish significantly in the near future.



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