The Global COVID-19 Index (GCI) - China Dashboard

The GCI Dashboard

Version:

Country Rank

11

China

Recovery Rank for 180 countries/regions

Country Rank

10

China

Recovery Rank for 184 countries/regions

COVID-19 Recovery Rating

4

Recovery Index
81.01
(Out of 100)

(100 = Best, 0 = Worst)

COVID-19 Recovery Rating

4

Recovery Index
72.10
(Out of 100)

(100 = Best, 0 = Worst)

COVID-19 Severity Rating

1

Severity Index
7.34
(Out of 100)

(0 = Best, 100 = Worst)

COVID-19 Severity Rating

1

Severity Index
15.39
(Out of 100)

(0 = Best, 100 = Worst)

Stringency Rating

91.30

(100 = Strictest Measures, 0 = No Measures)

Population

1,397,715,000

(Medium Density)

GNI per capita (US$)

9460

(Upper middle income)

COVID-19 Recovery Rating Guide

5	Countries who have made the most progress in curtailing the spread of the pandemic and can be used as examples of best practices (Relative Rating)
4
3
2	Countries who are struggling to cope with the crisis and who may need to consider maintaining stringent non-pharmaceutical measures (Relative Rating)
1

COVID-19 Severity Rating Guide

1	Countries who are coping with the crisis with a low percentage of infections and resulting deaths per population (Relative Rating)
2
3	Countries who may be overwhelmed by the crisis with a high percentage of infections and resulting deaths per population (Relative Rating)
4
5

Travel Advisory

China - published 25.01.2021

1. Entry by foreign nationals holding a visa is suspended. - This does not apply to: - foreign nationals with a visa issued after 28 March 2020 with the place of issue outside the Mainland of China. They must not arrive from Bangladesh, Belgium, France, India, Italy, Philippines, Russian Fed. and United Kingdom; - foreign nationals with a diplomatic, service, courtesy or C visa; - foreign nationals with a visa issued after 3 November 2020. 2. Entry by foreign nationals with a residence permit is suspended. - This does not apply to: - foreign nationals with a permanent residence permit; - foreign nationals with a residence permit with the purpose 'work', 'personal matters' or 'reunion'. They must not arrive from Bangladesh, Belgium, France, India, Italy, Philippines, Russian Fed. and United Kingdom. 3. Entry by foreign nationals with an APEC Business Travel Card is suspended. 4. Port visas, 24/72/144-hour visa-free transit policy, Hainan 30-day visa-free policy, 15-day visa-free policy specified for foreign cruise-group-tour through Shanghai Port, Guangdong 144-hour visa-free policy specified for foreign tour groups from Hong Kong or Macao SAR, and Guangxi 15-day visa-free policy specified for foreign tour groups of ASEAN countries are suspended. 5. Foreign nationals coming to the mainland of China for necessary economic, trade, scientific or technological activities or out of emergency humanitarian needs may apply for visas at Chinese embassies or consulates. 6. Passengers are subject to medical screening and quarantine for 14 days at the first point of entry. 7. Airline crew of foreign airlines: - are not required to undergo nucleic acid test if they have a short stay after landing then depart immediately, and do not leave apron during the transition; OR - shall receive nucleic acid test in the first port of entry if they need to enter the country to rest or continue to operate domestic routes. The test results will be confirmed by the local government in accordance with the requirements of epidemic prevention management. Only if the test results are negative, crews can continue the operations; OR - are allowed to return to their home country for isolation treatment when agreed by the local joint control mechanism, if they are symptomatic, in close contact with infected persons or tested positive. Airlines and crews shall make all commitments to bear their responsibilities and also carry out strict protections. 8. A completed "Exit/Entry Health Declaration Form" must be presented upon arrival. The form can be obtained before departure at http://health.customsapp.com/ 9. Nationals of China (People's Rep.) must have a green QR code with an 'HS' mark. The code can be obtained from the WeChat App 'Fang Yi Jian Kang Ma Guo Ji Ban' by uploading a negative Coronavirus (COVID-19) nucleic acid test result issued at most 48 hours before departure and a negative IgM anti-body test result issued at most 48 hours before departure. Passengers not arriving directly in China (People's Rep.) must repeat both tests in the transit countries and obtain a new green QR code with an 'HS' mark in each transit country. - This does not apply to nationals of China (People's Rep.) arriving from Chinese Taipei, Hong Kong SAR, China, Macao SAR, China or USA. 10. Passengers must have a green QR code with an 'HDC' mark. The code can be obtained at https://hrhk.cs.mfa.gov.cn/H5/ with a negative Coronavirus (COVID-19) nucleic acid test result issued at most 48 hours before departure and a negative IgM anti-body test result issued at most 48 hours before departure. Passengers not arriving directly in China (People's Rep.) must repeat both tests in the transit countries and obtain a new green QR code with an 'HDC' mark in each transit country. - This does not apply to nationals of China (People's Rep.). - This does not apply to passengers arriving from Chinese Taipei, Hong Kong SAR, China, Macao SAR, China or USA. 11. Nationals of China (People's Rep.) arriving directly from the USA must have a green QR code with an 'HS' mark. The code can be obtained from the WeChat App 'Fang Yi Jian Kang Ma Guo Ji Ban' by uploading a negative Coronavirus (COVID-19) nucleic acid test result issued at most 48 hours before departure and a negative IgM anti-body test result issued at most 48 hours before departure. Passengers not arriving directly in China (People's Rep.) must repeat both tests in the transit countries and obtain a new green QR code with an 'HS' mark in each transit country. New requirements effective 23 December 2020 can be found at http://us.china-embassy.org/eng/notices/t1841416.htm - This does not apply to passengers younger than 3 years. 12. Passengers arriving directly from the USA must have a green QR code with an 'HDC' mark. The code can be obtained at https://hrhk.cs.mfa.gov.cn/H5/ with a negative Coronavirus (COVID-19) nucleic acid test result issued at most 48 hours before departure and a negative IgM anti-body test result issued at most 48 hours before departure. Passengers not arriving directly in China (People's Rep.) must repeat both tests in the transit countries and obtain a new green QR code with an 'HDC' mark in each transit country. New requirements effective 23 December 2020 can be found at http://us.china-embassy.org/eng/notices/t1841416.htm - This does not apply to nationals of China (People's Rep.). - This does not apply to passengers younger than 3 years. 13. Passengers arriving from Chinese Taipei must have a medical certificate with a negative Coronavirus (COVID-19) PCR test result issued at most 3 days before departure. 14. Passengers arriving from Hong Kong SAR, China must have a medical certificate with a negative Coronavirus (COVID-19) PCR test result issued at most 7 days before departure. 15. Passengers arriving from Macao SAR, China must have a medical certificate with a negative Coronavirus (COVID-19) PCR test result issued at most 7 days before departure.

Travel Advisory information provided and published with permission by IATA.

1. Entry by foreign nationals holding a visa is suspended. - This does not apply to: - foreign nationals with a visa issued after 28 March 2020 with the place of issue outside the
Mainland of China. They must not arrive from Bangladesh, Belgium, France, India, Italy, Philippines, Russian Fed. and United Kingdom; - foreign nationals with a diplomatic,
service, courtesy or C visa; - foreign nationals with a visa issued after 3 November 2020.

2. Entry by foreign nationals with a residence permit is suspended. - This does not apply to: - foreign nationals with a permanent residence permit; - foreign nationals with a
residence permit with the purpose 'work', 'personal matters' or 'reunion'. They must not arrive from Bangladesh, Belgium, France, India, Italy, Philippines, Russian Fed. and United
Kingdom.

3. Entry by foreign nationals with an APEC Business Travel Card is suspended.

4. Port visas, 24/72/144-hour visa-free transit policy, Hainan 30-day visa-free policy, 15-day visa-free policy specified for foreign cruise-group-tour through Shanghai Port,
Guangdong 144-hour visa-free policy specified for foreign tour groups from Hong Kong or Macao SAR, and Guangxi 15-day visa-free policy specified for foreign tour groups of ASEAN
countries are suspended.

5. Foreign nationals coming to the mainland of China for necessary economic, trade, scientific or technological activities or out of emergency humanitarian needs may apply for
visas at Chinese embassies or consulates.

6. Passengers are subject to medical screening and quarantine for 14 days at the first point of entry.

7. Airline crew of foreign airlines: - are not required to undergo nucleic acid test if they have a short stay after landing then depart immediately, and do not leave apron during
the transition; OR - shall receive nucleic acid test in the first port of entry if they need to enter the country to rest or continue to operate domestic routes. The test results
will be confirmed by the local government in accordance with the requirements of epidemic prevention management. Only if the test results are negative, crews can continue the
operations; OR - are allowed to return to their home country for isolation treatment when agreed by the local joint control mechanism, if they are symptomatic, in close contact
with infected persons or tested positive. Airlines and crews shall make all commitments to bear their responsibilities and also carry out strict protections.

8. A completed "Exit/Entry Health Declaration Form" must be presented upon arrival. The form can be obtained before departure at http://health.customsapp.com/

9. Nationals of China (People's Rep.) must have a green QR code with an 'HS' mark. The code can be obtained from the WeChat App 'Fang Yi Jian Kang Ma Guo Ji Ban' by uploading a
negative Coronavirus (COVID-19) nucleic acid test result issued at most 48 hours before departure and a negative IgM anti-body test result issued at most 48 hours before departure.
Passengers not arriving directly in China (People's Rep.) must repeat both tests in the transit countries and obtain a new green QR code with an 'HS' mark in each transit country.
- This does not apply to nationals of China (People's Rep.) arriving from Chinese Taipei, Hong Kong SAR, China, Macao SAR, China or USA.

10. Passengers must have a green QR code with an 'HDC' mark. The code can be obtained at https://hrhk.cs.mfa.gov.cn/H5/ with a negative Coronavirus (COVID-19) nucleic acid test
result issued at most 48 hours before departure and a negative IgM anti-body test result issued at most 48 hours before departure. Passengers not arriving directly in China
(People's Rep.) must repeat both tests in the transit countries and obtain a new green QR code with an 'HDC' mark in each transit country. - This does not apply to nationals of
China (People's Rep.). - This does not apply to passengers arriving from Chinese Taipei, Hong Kong SAR, China, Macao SAR, China or USA.

11. Nationals of China (People's Rep.) arriving directly from the USA must have a green QR code with an 'HS' mark. The code can be obtained from the WeChat App 'Fang Yi Jian Kang
Ma Guo Ji Ban' by uploading a negative Coronavirus (COVID-19) nucleic acid test result issued at most 48 hours before departure and a negative IgM anti-body test result issued at
most 48 hours before departure. Passengers not arriving directly in China (People's Rep.) must repeat both tests in the transit countries and obtain a new green QR code with an
'HS' mark in each transit country. New requirements effective 23 December 2020 can be found at http://us.china-embassy.org/eng/notices/t1841416.htm - This does not apply to
passengers younger than 3 years.

12. Passengers arriving directly from the USA must have a green QR code with an 'HDC' mark. The code can be obtained at https://hrhk.cs.mfa.gov.cn/H5/ with a negative Coronavirus
(COVID-19) nucleic acid test result issued at most 48 hours before departure and a negative IgM anti-body test result issued at most 48 hours before departure. Passengers not
arriving directly in China (People's Rep.) must repeat both tests in the transit countries and obtain a new green QR code with an 'HDC' mark in each transit country. New
requirements effective 23 December 2020 can be found at http://us.china-embassy.org/eng/notices/t1841416.htm - This does not apply to nationals of China (People's Rep.). - This
does not apply to passengers younger than 3 years.

13. Passengers arriving from Chinese Taipei must have a medical certificate with a negative Coronavirus (COVID-19) PCR test result issued at most 3 days before departure.

14. Passengers arriving from Hong Kong SAR, China must have a medical certificate with a negative Coronavirus (COVID-19) PCR test result issued at most 7 days before departure.

15. Passengers arriving from Macao SAR, China must have a medical certificate with a negative Coronavirus (COVID-19) PCR test result issued at most 7 days before departure.

Travel Advisory information provided and published with permission by IATA.

China Infection Trend

How can you tell if a curve is really flattening?

The number of daily confirmed cases has been used as an estimation of how severe the COVID-19 situation is in a given country. However, we’ve found that focusing on the country’s cumulative number of active cases gives a clearer picture of whether the infection curve is flattening.

Countries with Similar Characteristics

This table is generated by a GCI-developed tool to match countries based on their similar characteristics such as population, population density, income and climate.

Country	Recovery Index	Recovery Index	Population	Density	GNI per capita	Average Temperature since First Case (Celsius)	Match%
China	72.10	81.01	1,397,715,000	Medium Density	Upper middle income	< 10 deg
Indonesia	56.84	64.07	270,625,568	Medium Density	Upper middle income	26-30 deg	85%
Mexico	48.85	55.63	127,575,529	Medium Density	Upper middle income	21-25 deg	85%
United States	49.86	49.51	328,239,523	Medium Density	High income	< 10 deg	75%
Ethiopia	59.09	73.53	112,078,730	Medium Density	Low income	26-30 deg	60%
Nigeria	53.03	59.18	200,963,599	Medium Density	Lower middle income	26-30 deg	60%

GCI Recovery Forecast

The GCI Recovery Forecasting methodology relies on a Monte Carlo simulation model as we recognise that the factors that contribute to an increase / decrease in confirmed COVID19 cases are highly variable and subject to various localised circumstances and interventions. The P10 / P50 / P90 are probabilities assigned to the forecasts, with P10 being highly optimistic, and P90 being very conservative on recovery and reduction in cases. The forecast model is updated daily based on the latest case data.

Forecast Results:

Situation Worsening. Infections are forecasted to continue to be on the rise. Interventions are required, if not already in place.

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