The GCI Dashboard

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Country Rank

2


China

Recovery Rank for 180 countries/regions

Country Rank

13


China

Recovery Rank for 184 countries/regions

COVID-19 Recovery Rating

5

Recovery Index
92.18
(Out of 100)



(100 = Best, 0 = Worst)

COVID-19 Recovery Rating

4

Recovery Index
71.79
(Out of 100)



(100 = Best, 0 = Worst)

COVID-19 Severity Rating

1

Severity Index
7.33
(Out of 100)



(0 = Best, 100 = Worst)

COVID-19 Severity Rating

1

Severity Index
15.37
(Out of 100)



(0 = Best, 100 = Worst)

Stringency Rating

91.30

(100 = Strictest Measures, 0 = No Measures)


Population
1,397,715,000

(Medium Density)


GNI per capita (US$)

9460

(Upper middle income)
5 Countries who have made the most progress in
curtailing the spread of the pandemic and can be
used as examples of best practices (Relative Rating)

4
3
2 Countries who are struggling to cope with the crisis
and who may need to consider maintaining stringent
non-pharmaceutical measures (Relative Rating)
1
1 Countries who are coping with the crisis with a low percentage
of infections and resulting deaths per population
(Relative Rating)
2
3 Countries who may be overwhelmed by the crisis with a high
percentage of infections and resulting deaths per population
(Relative Rating)
4
5

Travel Advisory


1. Entry by foreign nationals holding a visa is suspended. - This does not apply to: - foreign nationals with a visa issued after 28 March 2020 with the place of issue outside the
Mainland of China. They must not arrive from Bangladesh, Belgium, France, India, Italy, Philippines, Russian Fed. and United Kingdom; - foreign nationals with a diplomatic,
service, courtesy or C visa; - foreign nationals with a visa issued after 3 November 2020.

2. Entry by foreign nationals with a residence permit is suspended. - This does not apply to: - foreign nationals with a permanent residence permit; - foreign nationals with a
residence permit with the purpose 'work', 'personal matters' or 'reunion'. They must not arrive from Bangladesh, Belgium, France, India, Italy, Philippines, Russian Fed. and United
Kingdom.

3. Entry by foreign nationals with an APEC Business Travel Card is suspended.

4. Port visas, 24/72/144-hour visa-free transit policy, Hainan 30-day visa-free policy, 15-day visa-free policy specified for foreign cruise-group-tour through Shanghai Port,
Guangdong 144-hour visa-free policy specified for foreign tour groups from Hong Kong or Macao SAR, and Guangxi 15-day visa-free policy specified for foreign tour groups of ASEAN
countries are suspended.

5. Foreign nationals coming to the mainland of China for necessary economic, trade, scientific or technological activities or out of emergency humanitarian needs may apply for
visas at Chinese embassies or consulates.

6. Passengers are subject to medical screening and quarantine for 14 days at the first point of entry.

7. Airline crew of foreign airlines: - are not required to undergo nucleic acid test if they have a short stay after landing then depart immediately, and do not leave apron during
the transition; OR - shall receive nucleic acid test in the first port of entry if they need to enter the country to rest or continue to operate domestic routes. The test results
will be confirmed by the local government in accordance with the requirements of epidemic prevention management. Only if the test results are negative, crews can continue the
operations; OR - are allowed to return to their home country for isolation treatment when agreed by the local joint control mechanism, if they are symptomatic, in close contact
with infected persons or tested positive. Airlines and crews shall make all commitments to bear their responsibilities and also carry out strict protections.

8. Passengers must complete an "Exit/Entry Health Declaration Form" and present a QR code before departure. The form can be obtained at http://health.customsapp.com/ .

9. Nationals of China (People's Rep.) must have a green QR code with an 'HS' mark. The code can be obtained from the WeChat App 'Fang Yi Jian Kang Ma Guo Ji Ban' by uploading a
negative Coronavirus (COVID-19) nucleic acid test result issued at most 2 days before departure and a negative IgM anti-body test result issued at most 2 days before departure.
Passengers not arriving directly in China (People's Rep.) must repeat both tests in the transit countries and obtain a new green QR code with an 'HS' mark in each transit country.
- This does not apply to nationals of China (People's Rep.) arriving from Chinese Taipei, Hong Kong SAR, China, Macao SAR, China or USA.

10. Passengers must have a green QR code with an 'HDC' mark. The code can be obtained at https://hrhk.cs.mfa.gov.cn/H5/ with a negative Coronavirus (COVID-19) nucleic acid test
result issued at most 2 days before departure and a negative IgM anti-body test result issued at most 2 days before departure. Passengers not arriving directly in China (People's
Rep.) must repeat both tests in the transit countries and obtain a new green QR code with an 'HDC' mark in each transit country. - This does not apply to nationals of China
(People's Rep.). - This does not apply to passengers arriving from Chinese Taipei, Hong Kong SAR, China, Macao SAR, China or USA.

11. Nationals of China (People's Rep.) arriving directly from the USA must have a green QR code with an 'HS' mark. The code can be obtained from the WeChat App 'Fang Yi Jian Kang
Ma Guo Ji Ban' by uploading a negative Coronavirus (COVID-19) nucleic acid test result issued at most 2 days before departure and a negative IgM anti-body test result issued at
most 2 days before departure. Passengers not arriving directly in China (People's Rep.) must repeat both tests in the transit countries and obtain a new green QR code with an 'HS'
mark in each transit country. New requirements effective 23 December 2020 can be found at http://us.china-embassy.org/eng/notices/t1841416.htm - This does not apply to passengers
younger than 3 years.

12. Passengers arriving directly from the USA must have a green QR code with an 'HDC' mark. The code can be obtained at https://hrhk.cs.mfa.gov.cn/H5/ with a negative Coronavirus
(COVID-19) nucleic acid test result issued at most 2 days before departure and a negative IgM anti-body test result issued at most 2 days before departure. Passengers not arriving
directly in China (People's Rep.) must repeat both tests in the transit countries and obtain a new green QR code with an 'HDC' mark in each transit country. New requirements
effective 23 December 2020 can be found at http://us.china-embassy.org/eng/notices/t1841416.htm - This does not apply to nationals of China (People's Rep.). - This does not apply
to passengers younger than 3 years.

13. Passengers arriving from Chinese Taipei must have a medical certificate with a negative Coronavirus (COVID-19) PCR test result issued at most 3 days before departure.

14. Passengers entering Beijing (PEK) from Hong Kong SAR, China must have a medical certificate with a negative Coronavirus (COVID-19) PCR test result issued at most 7 days before
departure.

15. Passengers arriving from Macao SAR, China must have a medical certificate with a negative Coronavirus (COVID-19) PCR test result issued at most 7 days before departure.

Travel Advisory information provided and published with permission by IATA.


China Infection Trend


How can you tell if a curve is really flattening?

The number of daily confirmed cases has been used as an estimation of how severe the COVID-19 situation is in a given country. However, we’ve found that focusing on the country’s cumulative number of active cases gives a clearer picture of whether the infection curve is flattening.


Countries with Similar Characteristics


This table is generated by a GCI-developed tool to match countries based on their similar characteristics such as population, population density, income and climate.

China 71.79 92.18 1,397,715,000 Medium Density Upper middle income < 10 deg
Country Recovery Index Recovery Index Population Density GNI per capita Average Temperature
since First Case (Celsius)
Match%
Indonesia 60.93 77.36 270,625,568 Medium Density Upper middle income 26-30 deg 85%
Mexico 45.40 56.71 127,575,529 Medium Density Upper middle income 21-25 deg 85%
United States 67.74 69.68 328,239,523 Medium Density High income < 10 deg 75%
Ethiopia 44.33 47.42 112,078,730 Medium Density Low income 26-30 deg 60%
Nigeria 60.23 71.75 200,963,599 Medium Density Lower middle income 26-30 deg 60%

GCI Recovery Forecast


The GCI Recovery Forecasting methodology relies on a Monte Carlo simulation model as we recognise that the factors that contribute to an increase / decrease in confirmed COVID19 cases are highly variable and subject to various localised circumstances and interventions. The P10 / P50 / P90 are probabilities assigned to the forecasts, with P10 being highly optimistic, and P90 being very conservative on recovery and reduction in cases. The forecast model is updated daily based on the latest case data.

Forecast Results:

Situation May Improve. The GCI Model indicates that the situation has a small probability of recovery, but there is insufficient evidence to suggest that the recovery trend will improve significantly in the near future.



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