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Country Rank

94


Guatemala

Recovery Rank for 184 countries/regions

COVID-19 Recovery Rating

3

Recovery Index
52.68
(Out of 100)



(100 = Best, 0 = Worst)

COVID-19 Severity Rating

3

Severity Index
53.04
(Out of 100)



(0 = Best, 100 = Worst)

Stringency Rating

39.13

(100 = Strictest Measures, 0 = No Measures)


Population
16,604,026

(Medium Density)


GNI per capita (US$)

4400

(Upper middle income)
5 Countries who have made the most progress in
curtailing the spread of the pandemic and can be
used as examples of best practices (Relative Rating)

4
3
2 Countries who are struggling to cope with the crisis
and who may need to consider maintaining stringent
non-pharmaceutical measures (Relative Rating)
1
1 Countries who are coping with the crisis with a low percentage
of infections and resulting deaths per population
(Relative Rating)
2
3 Countries who may be overwhelmed by the crisis with a high
percentage of infections and resulting deaths per population
(Relative Rating)
4
5

Travel Advisory


1. Airports in Guatemala reopened.

2. Passengers must have a medical certificate with a negative Coronavirus (COVID-19) PCR or antigen test result issued at most 72 hours before departure. - This does not apply to
passengers younger than 10 years.

3. Passengers must complete a Health Pass form before departure at https://servicios.igm.gob.gt/pasedesalud/ . This will generate a QR code, which must be presented upon arrival.

Travel Advisory information provided and published with permission by IATA.


Guatemala Infection Trend


How can you tell if a curve is really flattening?

The number of daily confirmed cases has been used as an estimation of how severe the COVID-19 situation is in a given country. However, we’ve found that focusing on the country’s cumulative number of active cases gives a clearer picture of whether the infection curve is flattening.


Countries with Similar Characteristics


This table is generated by a GCI-developed tool to match countries based on their similar characteristics such as population, population density, income and climate.

Guatemala 52.68 16,604,026 Medium Density Upper middle income 26-30 deg
Country Recovery Index Population Density GNI per capita Average Temperature since First Case (Celsius) Match%
Colombia 54.67 50,339,443 Medium Density Upper middle income 26-30 deg 100%
Cuba 66.87 11,333,483 Medium Density Upper middle income 26-30 deg 100%
Malaysia 65.57 31,949,777 Medium Density Upper middle income 26-30 deg 100%
Venezuela 50.18 28,515,829 Medium Density Upper middle income 26-30 deg 100%
Dominican Republic 46.75 10,738,958 Medium Density Upper middle income 21-25 deg 85%
Ecuador 60.81 17,373,662 Medium Density Upper middle income 21-25 deg 85%
Iraq 48.41 39,309,783 Medium Density Upper middle income 21-25 deg 85%
Jordan 24.12 10,101,694 Medium Density Upper middle income 11-20 deg 85%
Cambodia 60.26 16,486,542 Medium Density Lower middle income 26-30 deg 75%
Cameroon 56.27 25,876,380 Medium Density Lower middle income 26-30 deg 75%

GCI Recovery Forecast


The GCI Recovery Forecasting methodology relies on a Monte Carlo simulation model as we recognise that the factors that contribute to an increase / decrease in confirmed COVID19 cases are highly variable and subject to various localised circumstances and interventions. The P10 / P50 / P90 are probabilities assigned to the forecasts, with P10 being highly optimistic, and P90 being very conservative on recovery and reduction in cases. The forecast model is updated daily based on the latest case data.

Forecast Results:

Situation May Improve. The GCI Model indicates that the situation has a small probability of recovery, but there is insufficient evidence to suggest that the recovery trend will improve significantly in the near future.



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