The Global COVID-19 Index (GCI) - Guatemala Dashboard

The GCI Dashboard

Version:

Country Rank

67

Guatemala

Recovery Rank for 180 countries/regions

Country Rank

78

Guatemala

Recovery Rank for 184 countries/regions

COVID-19 Recovery Rating

3

Recovery Index
67.77
(Out of 100)

(100 = Best, 0 = Worst)

COVID-19 Recovery Rating

3

Recovery Index
53.24
(Out of 100)

(100 = Best, 0 = Worst)

COVID-19 Severity Rating

2

Severity Index
24.50
(Out of 100)

(0 = Best, 100 = Worst)

COVID-19 Severity Rating

2

Severity Index
34.27
(Out of 100)

(0 = Best, 100 = Worst)

Stringency Rating

56.52

(100 = Strictest Measures, 0 = No Measures)

Population

16,604,026

(Medium Density)

GNI per capita (US$)

4400

(Upper middle income)

COVID-19 Recovery Rating Guide

5	Countries who have made the most progress in curtailing the spread of the pandemic and can be used as examples of best practices (Relative Rating)
4
3
2	Countries who are struggling to cope with the crisis and who may need to consider maintaining stringent non-pharmaceutical measures (Relative Rating)
1

COVID-19 Severity Rating Guide

1	Countries who are coping with the crisis with a low percentage of infections and resulting deaths per population (Relative Rating)
2
3	Countries who may be overwhelmed by the crisis with a high percentage of infections and resulting deaths per population (Relative Rating)
4
5

Travel Advisory

Guatemala - published 11.03.2021

1. Passengers who have been in or transited through South Africa or United Kingdom in the past 14 days in are not allowed to enter. - This does not apply to nationals and residents of Guatemala. They could be subject to quarantine for 10 days. 2. Passengers without a medical certificate with a negative Coronavirus (COVID-19) PCR or antigen test result taken at most 3 days before departure from the first embarkation point are subject to Coronavirus (COVID-19) test upon arrival at their own expense. - This does not apply to: - passengers younger than 10 years; - passengers with a COVID-19 recovery certificate issued at least 10 days after the positive test result. The passenger must have tested positive at most 3 months before arrival; - passengers with a certificate of vaccination against COVID-19 if the last dose was administrated at least 2 weeks before departure. 3. Airline crew could be subject to quarantine for 10 days.

Travel Advisory information provided and published with permission by IATA.

1. Passengers who have been in or transited through South Africa or United Kingdom in the past 14 days in are not allowed to enter. - This does not apply to nationals and residents
of Guatemala. They could be subject to quarantine for 10 days.

2. Passengers without a medical certificate with a negative Coronavirus (COVID-19) PCR or antigen test result taken at most 3 days before departure from the first embarkation
point are subject to Coronavirus (COVID-19) test upon arrival at their own expense. - This does not apply to: - passengers younger than 10 years; - passengers with a COVID-19
recovery certificate issued at least 10 days after the positive test result. The passenger must have tested positive at most 3 months before arrival; - passengers with a
certificate of vaccination against COVID-19 if the last dose was administrated at least 2 weeks before departure.

3. Airline crew could be subject to quarantine for 10 days.

Travel Advisory information provided and published with permission by IATA.

Guatemala Infection Trend

How can you tell if a curve is really flattening?

The number of daily confirmed cases has been used as an estimation of how severe the COVID-19 situation is in a given country. However, we’ve found that focusing on the country’s cumulative number of active cases gives a clearer picture of whether the infection curve is flattening.

Countries with Similar Characteristics

This table is generated by a GCI-developed tool to match countries based on their similar characteristics such as population, population density, income and climate.

Country	Recovery Index	Recovery Index	Population	Density	GNI per capita	Average Temperature since First Case (Celsius)	Match%
Guatemala	53.24	67.77	16,604,026	Medium Density	Upper middle income	26-30 deg
Colombia	56.05	71.68	50,339,443	Medium Density	Upper middle income	26-30 deg	100%
Cuba	61.44	78.14	11,333,483	Medium Density	Upper middle income	26-30 deg	100%
Malaysia	71.30	82.56	31,949,777	Medium Density	Upper middle income	26-30 deg	100%
Venezuela	45.18	62.95	28,515,829	Medium Density	Upper middle income	26-30 deg	100%
Dominican Republic	41.14	63.52	10,738,958	Medium Density	Upper middle income	21-25 deg	85%
Ecuador	51.61	59.65	17,373,662	Medium Density	Upper middle income	21-25 deg	85%
Iraq	45.50	57.60	39,309,783	Medium Density	Upper middle income	21-25 deg	85%
Jordan	46.49	53.46	10,101,694	Medium Density	Upper middle income	11-20 deg	85%
Cambodia	35.21	46.52	16,486,542	Medium Density	Lower middle income	26-30 deg	75%
Cameroon	30.78	37.30	25,876,380	Medium Density	Lower middle income	26-30 deg	75%

GCI Recovery Forecast

The GCI Recovery Forecasting methodology relies on a Monte Carlo simulation model as we recognise that the factors that contribute to an increase / decrease in confirmed COVID19 cases are highly variable and subject to various localised circumstances and interventions. The P10 / P50 / P90 are probabilities assigned to the forecasts, with P10 being highly optimistic, and P90 being very conservative on recovery and reduction in cases. The forecast model is updated daily based on the latest case data.

Forecast Results:

Situation May Improve. The GCI Model indicates that the situation has a small probability of recovery, but there is insufficient evidence to suggest that the recovery trend will improve significantly in the near future.

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