The GCI Dashboard

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Country Rank

67


Guatemala

Recovery Rank for 180 countries/regions

Country Rank

78


Guatemala

Recovery Rank for 184 countries/regions

COVID-19 Recovery Rating

3

Recovery Index
67.77
(Out of 100)



(100 = Best, 0 = Worst)

COVID-19 Recovery Rating

3

Recovery Index
53.24
(Out of 100)



(100 = Best, 0 = Worst)

COVID-19 Severity Rating

2

Severity Index
24.50
(Out of 100)



(0 = Best, 100 = Worst)

COVID-19 Severity Rating

2

Severity Index
34.27
(Out of 100)



(0 = Best, 100 = Worst)

Stringency Rating

56.52

(100 = Strictest Measures, 0 = No Measures)


Population
16,604,026

(Medium Density)


GNI per capita (US$)

4400

(Upper middle income)
5 Countries who have made the most progress in
curtailing the spread of the pandemic and can be
used as examples of best practices (Relative Rating)

4
3
2 Countries who are struggling to cope with the crisis
and who may need to consider maintaining stringent
non-pharmaceutical measures (Relative Rating)
1
1 Countries who are coping with the crisis with a low percentage
of infections and resulting deaths per population
(Relative Rating)
2
3 Countries who may be overwhelmed by the crisis with a high
percentage of infections and resulting deaths per population
(Relative Rating)
4
5

Travel Advisory


1. Passengers who have been in or transited through South Africa or United Kingdom in the past 14 days in are not allowed to enter. - This does not apply to nationals and residents
of Guatemala. They could be subject to quarantine for 10 days.

2. Passengers without a medical certificate with a negative Coronavirus (COVID-19) PCR or antigen test result taken at most 3 days before departure from the first embarkation
point are subject to Coronavirus (COVID-19) test upon arrival at their own expense. - This does not apply to: - passengers younger than 10 years; - passengers with a COVID-19
recovery certificate issued at least 10 days after the positive test result. The passenger must have tested positive at most 3 months before arrival; - passengers with a
certificate of vaccination against COVID-19 if the last dose was administrated at least 2 weeks before departure.

3. Airline crew could be subject to quarantine for 10 days.

Travel Advisory information provided and published with permission by IATA.


Guatemala Infection Trend


How can you tell if a curve is really flattening?

The number of daily confirmed cases has been used as an estimation of how severe the COVID-19 situation is in a given country. However, we’ve found that focusing on the country’s cumulative number of active cases gives a clearer picture of whether the infection curve is flattening.


Countries with Similar Characteristics


This table is generated by a GCI-developed tool to match countries based on their similar characteristics such as population, population density, income and climate.

Guatemala 53.24 67.77 16,604,026 Medium Density Upper middle income 26-30 deg
Country Recovery Index Recovery Index Population Density GNI per capita Average Temperature
since First Case (Celsius)
Match%
Colombia 56.05 71.68 50,339,443 Medium Density Upper middle income 26-30 deg 100%
Cuba 61.44 78.14 11,333,483 Medium Density Upper middle income 26-30 deg 100%
Malaysia 71.30 82.56 31,949,777 Medium Density Upper middle income 26-30 deg 100%
Venezuela 45.18 62.95 28,515,829 Medium Density Upper middle income 26-30 deg 100%
Dominican Republic 41.14 63.52 10,738,958 Medium Density Upper middle income 21-25 deg 85%
Ecuador 51.61 59.65 17,373,662 Medium Density Upper middle income 21-25 deg 85%
Iraq 45.50 57.60 39,309,783 Medium Density Upper middle income 21-25 deg 85%
Jordan 46.49 53.46 10,101,694 Medium Density Upper middle income 11-20 deg 85%
Cambodia 35.21 46.52 16,486,542 Medium Density Lower middle income 26-30 deg 75%
Cameroon 30.78 37.30 25,876,380 Medium Density Lower middle income 26-30 deg 75%

GCI Recovery Forecast


The GCI Recovery Forecasting methodology relies on a Monte Carlo simulation model as we recognise that the factors that contribute to an increase / decrease in confirmed COVID19 cases are highly variable and subject to various localised circumstances and interventions. The P10 / P50 / P90 are probabilities assigned to the forecasts, with P10 being highly optimistic, and P90 being very conservative on recovery and reduction in cases. The forecast model is updated daily based on the latest case data.

Forecast Results:

Situation May Improve. The GCI Model indicates that the situation has a small probability of recovery, but there is insufficient evidence to suggest that the recovery trend will improve significantly in the near future.



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