The Global COVID-19 Index (GCI) - Guatemala Dashboard

The GCI Dashboard

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Country Rank

78

Guatemala

Recovery Rank for 180 countries/regions

Country Rank

77

Guatemala

Recovery Rank for 184 countries/regions

COVID-19 Recovery Rating

3

Recovery Index
67.48
(Out of 100)

(100 = Best, 0 = Worst)

COVID-19 Recovery Rating

3

Recovery Index
54.77
(Out of 100)

(100 = Best, 0 = Worst)

COVID-19 Severity Rating

2

Severity Index
23.52
(Out of 100)

(0 = Best, 100 = Worst)

COVID-19 Severity Rating

2

Severity Index
37.85
(Out of 100)

(0 = Best, 100 = Worst)

Stringency Rating

60.87

(100 = Strictest Measures, 0 = No Measures)

Population

16,604,026

(Medium Density)

GNI per capita (US$)

4400

(Upper middle income)

COVID-19 Recovery Rating Guide

5	Countries who have made the most progress in curtailing the spread of the pandemic and can be used as examples of best practices (Relative Rating)
4
3
2	Countries who are struggling to cope with the crisis and who may need to consider maintaining stringent non-pharmaceutical measures (Relative Rating)
1

COVID-19 Severity Rating Guide

1	Countries who are coping with the crisis with a low percentage of infections and resulting deaths per population (Relative Rating)
2
3	Countries who may be overwhelmed by the crisis with a high percentage of infections and resulting deaths per population (Relative Rating)
4
5

Travel Advisory

Guatemala - published 05.01.2021

1. Airports in Guatemala reopened. 2. Passengers who have been in or transited through South Africa or United Kingdom in the past 14 days in are not allowed to enter. - This does not apply to nationals or residents of Guatemala. 3. Passengers without a medical certificate with a negative Coronavirus (COVID-19) PCR or antigen test result based on nasal swab taken at most 96 hours before departure from the first embarkation point are subject to a Coronavirus (COVID-19) test upon arrival at their own expense. - This does not apply to passengers younger than 10 years. 4. Passengers must complete a Health Pass form before departure at https://servicios.igm.gob.gt/pasedesalud/ . This will generate a QR code, which must be presented upon arrival. 5. Nationals and residents of Guatemala could be subject to quarantine for 10 days. 6. Airline crew could be subject to quarantine for 10 days.

Travel Advisory information provided and published with permission by IATA.

1. Airports in Guatemala reopened.

2. Passengers who have been in or transited through South Africa or United Kingdom in the past 14 days in are not allowed to enter. - This does not apply to nationals or residents
of Guatemala.

3. Passengers without a medical certificate with a negative Coronavirus (COVID-19) PCR or antigen test result based on nasal swab taken at most 96 hours before departure from the
first embarkation point are subject to a Coronavirus (COVID-19) test upon arrival at their own expense. - This does not apply to passengers younger than 10 years.

4. Passengers must complete a Health Pass form before departure at https://servicios.igm.gob.gt/pasedesalud/ . This will generate a QR code, which must be presented upon arrival.

5. Nationals and residents of Guatemala could be subject to quarantine for 10 days.

6. Airline crew could be subject to quarantine for 10 days.

Travel Advisory information provided and published with permission by IATA.

Guatemala Infection Trend

How can you tell if a curve is really flattening?

The number of daily confirmed cases has been used as an estimation of how severe the COVID-19 situation is in a given country. However, we’ve found that focusing on the country’s cumulative number of active cases gives a clearer picture of whether the infection curve is flattening.

Countries with Similar Characteristics

This table is generated by a GCI-developed tool to match countries based on their similar characteristics such as population, population density, income and climate.

Country	Recovery Index	Recovery Index	Population	Density	GNI per capita	Average Temperature since First Case (Celsius)	Match%
Guatemala	54.77	67.48	16,604,026	Medium Density	Upper middle income	26-30 deg
Colombia	52.90	67.28	50,339,443	Medium Density	Upper middle income	26-30 deg	100%
Cuba	56.07	75.34	11,333,483	Medium Density	Upper middle income	26-30 deg	100%
Malaysia	60.13	72.43	31,949,777	Medium Density	Upper middle income	26-30 deg	100%
Venezuela	50.42	70.57	28,515,829	Medium Density	Upper middle income	26-30 deg	100%
Dominican Republic	33.97	43.74	10,738,958	Medium Density	Upper middle income	21-25 deg	85%
Ecuador	55.10	64.06	17,373,662	Medium Density	Upper middle income	21-25 deg	85%
Iraq	57.35	73.20	39,309,783	Medium Density	Upper middle income	21-25 deg	85%
Jordan	63.69	74.29	10,101,694	Medium Density	Upper middle income	11-20 deg	85%
Cambodia	54.51	58.57	16,486,542	Medium Density	Lower middle income	26-30 deg	75%
Cameroon	56.60	66.65	25,876,380	Medium Density	Lower middle income	26-30 deg	75%

GCI Recovery Forecast

The GCI Recovery Forecasting methodology relies on a Monte Carlo simulation model as we recognise that the factors that contribute to an increase / decrease in confirmed COVID19 cases are highly variable and subject to various localised circumstances and interventions. The P10 / P50 / P90 are probabilities assigned to the forecasts, with P10 being highly optimistic, and P90 being very conservative on recovery and reduction in cases. The forecast model is updated daily based on the latest case data.

Forecast Results:

Situation Worsening. Infections are forecasted to continue to be on the rise. Interventions are required, if not already in place.

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