The Global COVID-19 Index (GCI) - Syria Dashboard

The GCI Dashboard

Version:

Country Rank

128

Syria

Recovery Rank for 180 countries/regions

Country Rank

154

Syria

Recovery Rank for 184 countries/regions

COVID-19 Recovery Rating

3

Recovery Index
50.79
(Out of 100)

(100 = Best, 0 = Worst)

COVID-19 Recovery Rating

2

Recovery Index
41.42
(Out of 100)

(100 = Best, 0 = Worst)

COVID-19 Severity Rating

2

Severity Index
25.57
(Out of 100)

(0 = Best, 100 = Worst)

COVID-19 Severity Rating

1

Severity Index
21.81
(Out of 100)

(0 = Best, 100 = Worst)

Stringency Rating

N/A

(100 = Strictest Measures, 0 = No Measures)

Population

17,070,135

(Medium Density)

GNI per capita (US$)

1,820

(Low income)

COVID-19 Recovery Rating Guide

5	Countries who have made the most progress in curtailing the spread of the pandemic and can be used as examples of best practices (Relative Rating)
4
3
2	Countries who are struggling to cope with the crisis and who may need to consider maintaining stringent non-pharmaceutical measures (Relative Rating)
1

COVID-19 Severity Rating Guide

1	Countries who are coping with the crisis with a low percentage of infections and resulting deaths per population (Relative Rating)
2
3	Countries who may be overwhelmed by the crisis with a high percentage of infections and resulting deaths per population (Relative Rating)
4
5

Travel Advisory

Syria - published 20.10.2021

1. Flights to Syria are suspended. - This does not apply to Aleppo (ALP), Damascus (DAM) and Kameshly (KAC). 2. Passengers are not allowed to enter. - This does not apply to: - nationals and residents of Syria; - passengers with a diplomatic passport; - passengers with a visa issued by Syria; - passengers with proof of being: - spouses of nationals of Syria; - children of mothers who are nationals of Syria; - students registered in Syrian schools or universities. 3. Passengers must have a negative COVID-19 PCR test result issued at most 96 hours before departure from the first embarkation point. - This does not apply to: - passengers younger than 12 years; - passengers with a COVID-19 vaccination certificate showing that they were fully vaccinated at least 7 days before departure. 4. Passengers could be subject to a COVID-19 PCR test upon arrival. - This does not apply to passengers younger than 12 years. 5. A completed "Passenger Locator Form" (PLF) must be presented upon arrival. 6. Passengers could be subject to self-isolation or quarantine.

Travel Advisory information provided and published with permission by IATA. (Timatic COVID-19 Alerts Service has been discontinued on 1/1/2022, please refer this page for latest travel advisory)

1. Flights to Syria are suspended. - This does not apply to Aleppo (ALP), Damascus (DAM) and Kameshly (KAC).

2. Passengers are not allowed to enter. - This does not apply to: - nationals and residents of Syria; - passengers with a diplomatic passport; - passengers with a visa issued by
Syria; - passengers with proof of being: - spouses of nationals of Syria; - children of mothers who are nationals of Syria; - students registered in Syrian schools or universities.

3. Passengers must have a negative COVID-19 PCR test result issued at most 96 hours before departure from the first embarkation point. - This does not apply to: - passengers
younger than 12 years; - passengers with a COVID-19 vaccination certificate showing that they were fully vaccinated at least 7 days before departure.

4. Passengers could be subject to a COVID-19 PCR test upon arrival. - This does not apply to passengers younger than 12 years.

5. A completed "Passenger Locator Form" (PLF) must be presented upon arrival.

6. Passengers could be subject to self-isolation or quarantine.

Travel Advisory information provided and published with permission by IATA. (Timatic COVID-19 Alerts Service has been discontinued on 1/1/2022, please refer this page for latest travel advisory)

Syria Infection Trend

How can you tell if a curve is really flattening?

The number of daily confirmed cases has been used as an estimation of how severe the COVID-19 situation is in a given country. However, we’ve found that focusing on the country’s cumulative number of active cases gives a clearer picture of whether the infection curve is flattening.

Countries with Similar Characteristics

This table is generated by a GCI-developed tool to match countries based on their similar characteristics such as population, population density, income and climate.

Country	Recovery Index	Recovery Index	Population	Density	GNI per capita	Average Temperature since First Case (Celsius)	Match%
Syria	41.42	50.79	17,070,135	Medium Density	Low income	11-20 deg
Afghanistan	41.21	47.56	38,041,754	Medium Density	Low income	11-20 deg	100%
Burkina Faso	50.36	50.86	20,321,378	Medium Density	Low income	> 30 deg	85%
Guinea	54.56	57.90	12,771,246	Medium Density	Low income	26-30 deg	85%
Madagascar	49.53	50.52	26,969,307	Medium Density	Low income	21-25 deg	85%
Malawi	45.93	55.22	18,628,747	Medium Density	Low income	21-25 deg	85%
Mozambique	57.77	58.59	30,366,036	Medium Density	Low income	21-25 deg	85%
Uganda	41.23	54.36	44,269,594	Medium Density	Low income	21-25 deg	85%
Yemen	38.94	43.83	29,161,922	Medium Density	Low income	26-30 deg	85%
Greece	47.27	41.48	10,716,322	Medium Density	High income	11-20 deg	75%
Jordan	59.40	60.38	10,101,694	Medium Density	Upper middle income	11-20 deg	75%

GCI Recovery Forecast

The GCI Recovery Forecasting methodology relies on a Monte Carlo simulation model as we recognise that the factors that contribute to an increase / decrease in confirmed COVID19 cases are highly variable and subject to various localised circumstances and interventions. The P10 / P50 / P90 are probabilities assigned to the forecasts, with P10 being highly optimistic, and P90 being very conservative on recovery and reduction in cases. The forecast model is updated daily based on the latest case data.

Forecast Results:

Best Situation The GCI Model and data indicates that the country has reached 0 active cases and is free from new infections. The Government should consider restoring some kind of normalcy to the country.