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Country Rank

70


Tajikistan

Recovery Rank for 184 countries/regions

COVID-19 Recovery Rating

3

Recovery Index
56.01
(Out of 100)



(100 = Best, 0 = Worst)

COVID-19 Severity Rating

1

Severity Index
22.51
(Out of 100)



(0 = Best, 100 = Worst)

Stringency Rating

30.43

(100 = Strictest Measures, 0 = No Measures)


Population
9,321,018

(Medium Density)


GNI per capita (US$)

1010

(Low income)
5 Countries who have made the most progress in
curtailing the spread of the pandemic and can be
used as examples of best practices (Relative Rating)

4
3
2 Countries who are struggling to cope with the crisis
and who may need to consider maintaining stringent
non-pharmaceutical measures (Relative Rating)
1
1 Countries who are coping with the crisis with a low percentage
of infections and resulting deaths per population
(Relative Rating)
2
3 Countries who may be overwhelmed by the crisis with a high
percentage of infections and resulting deaths per population
(Relative Rating)
4
5

Travel Advisory


1. Flights to Tajikistan are suspended until 31 October 2020. -This does not apply to: - flights arriving from China (People's Rep.), Turkey and United Arab Emirates; -
humanitarian, medevac and repatriation flights.

2. Passengers are not allowed to enter. - This does not apply to - nationals of Tajikistan and Turkey; - residents of Tajikistan.

3. Passengers must have a medical certificate with a negative Coronavirus (COVID-19) PCR test result issued at most 96 hours before arrival. -This does not apply to passengers
younger than 3 years.

4. Passengers are subject to quarantine for 14 days.

5. Airline crew are subject to quarantine until their next flight.

Travel Advisory information provided and published with permission by IATA.


Tajikistan Infection Trend


How can you tell if a curve is really flattening?

The number of daily confirmed cases has been used as an estimation of how severe the COVID-19 situation is in a given country. However, we’ve found that focusing on the country’s cumulative number of active cases gives a clearer picture of whether the infection curve is flattening.


Countries with Similar Characteristics


This table is generated by a GCI-developed tool to match countries based on their similar characteristics such as population, population density, income and climate.

Tajikistan 56.01 9,321,018 Medium Density Low income < 10 deg
Country Recovery Index Population Density GNI per capita Average Temperature since First Case (Celsius) Match%
Eritrea 50.25 3,497,117 Medium Density Low income 26-30 deg 85%
Gambia 49.01 2,347,706 Medium Density Low income 26-30 deg 85%
Guinea-Bissau 45.47 1,920,922 Medium Density Low income 26-30 deg 85%
Liberia 55.52 4,937,374 Medium Density Low income 26-30 deg 85%
Sierra Leone 53.48 7,813,215 Medium Density Low income 26-30 deg 85%
Togo 55.71 8,082,366 Medium Density Low income 26-30 deg 85%
Armenia 26.97 2,957,731 Medium Density Upper middle income < 10 deg 75%
Austria 50.47 8,877,067 Medium Density High income < 10 deg 75%
Belarus 60.66 9,466,856 Medium Density Upper middle income < 10 deg 75%
Denmark 76.32 5,818,553 Medium Density High income < 10 deg 75%

GCI Recovery Forecast


The GCI Recovery Forecasting methodology relies on a Monte Carlo simulation model as we recognise that the factors that contribute to an increase / decrease in confirmed COVID19 cases are highly variable and subject to various localised circumstances and interventions. The P10 / P50 / P90 are probabilities assigned to the forecasts, with P10 being highly optimistic, and P90 being very conservative on recovery and reduction in cases. The forecast model is updated daily based on the latest case data.

Forecast Results:

Situation Improving. The GCI Model forecasts that the situation is definitely improving and with the right discipline and compliance, the country can hope to see numbers diminish significantly in the near future.



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