The GCI Dashboard

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Country Rank

55


Tajikistan

Recovery Rank for 180 countries/regions

Country Rank

53


Tajikistan

Recovery Rank for 184 countries/regions

COVID-19 Recovery Rating

4

Recovery Index
72.00
(Out of 100)



(100 = Best, 0 = Worst)

COVID-19 Recovery Rating

3

Recovery Index
58.26
(Out of 100)



(100 = Best, 0 = Worst)

COVID-19 Severity Rating

2

Severity Index
12.41
(Out of 100)



(0 = Best, 100 = Worst)

COVID-19 Severity Rating

1

Severity Index
20.52
(Out of 100)



(0 = Best, 100 = Worst)

Stringency Rating

39.13

(100 = Strictest Measures, 0 = No Measures)


Population
9,321,018

(Medium Density)


GNI per capita (US$)

1010

(Low income)
5 Countries who have made the most progress in
curtailing the spread of the pandemic and can be
used as examples of best practices (Relative Rating)

4
3
2 Countries who are struggling to cope with the crisis
and who may need to consider maintaining stringent
non-pharmaceutical measures (Relative Rating)
1
1 Countries who are coping with the crisis with a low percentage
of infections and resulting deaths per population
(Relative Rating)
2
3 Countries who may be overwhelmed by the crisis with a high
percentage of infections and resulting deaths per population
(Relative Rating)
4
5

Travel Advisory


1. Flights to Tajikistan are suspended until 31 January 2021. -This does not apply to: - flights arriving from China (People's Rep.), Turkey and United Arab Emirates; -
humanitarian, medevac and repatriation flights.

2. Passengers are not allowed to enter. - This does not apply to - nationals of Tajikistan and Turkey; - residents of Tajikistan.

3. Passengers must have a medical certificate with a negative Coronavirus (COVID-19) PCR test result issued at most 96 hours before arrival. -This does not apply to passengers
younger than 3 years.

4. Passengers are subject to quarantine for 14 days.

5. Airline crew are subject to quarantine until their next flight.

Travel Advisory information provided and published with permission by IATA.


Tajikistan Infection Trend


How can you tell if a curve is really flattening?

The number of daily confirmed cases has been used as an estimation of how severe the COVID-19 situation is in a given country. However, we’ve found that focusing on the country’s cumulative number of active cases gives a clearer picture of whether the infection curve is flattening.


Countries with Similar Characteristics


This table is generated by a GCI-developed tool to match countries based on their similar characteristics such as population, population density, income and climate.

Tajikistan 58.26 72.00 9,321,018 Medium Density Low income < 10 deg
Country Recovery Index Recovery Index Population Density GNI per capita Average Temperature
since First Case (Celsius)
Match%
Eritrea 37.95 53.07 3,497,117 Medium Density Low income 26-30 deg 85%
Gambia 56.19 70.64 2,347,706 Medium Density Low income 26-30 deg 85%
Guinea-Bissau 52.62 58.64 1,920,922 Medium Density Low income 26-30 deg 85%
Liberia 54.05 66.04 4,937,374 Medium Density Low income 26-30 deg 85%
Sierra Leone 46.56 46.66 7,813,215 Medium Density Low income 26-30 deg 85%
Togo 63.21 74.68 8,082,366 Medium Density Low income 26-30 deg 85%
Armenia 51.23 62.36 2,957,731 Medium Density Upper middle income < 10 deg 75%
Austria 70.72 76.42 8,877,067 Medium Density High income < 10 deg 75%
Belarus 60.60 80.40 9,466,856 Medium Density Upper middle income < 10 deg 75%
Denmark 78.68 78.08 5,818,553 Medium Density High income < 10 deg 75%

GCI Recovery Forecast


The GCI Recovery Forecasting methodology relies on a Monte Carlo simulation model as we recognise that the factors that contribute to an increase / decrease in confirmed COVID19 cases are highly variable and subject to various localised circumstances and interventions. The P10 / P50 / P90 are probabilities assigned to the forecasts, with P10 being highly optimistic, and P90 being very conservative on recovery and reduction in cases. The forecast model is updated daily based on the latest case data.

Forecast Results:

Best Situation The GCI Model and data indicates that the country has reached 0 active cases and is free from new infections. The Government should consider restoring some kind of normalcy to the country.



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