The Global COVID-19 Index (GCI) - Tajikistan Dashboard

The GCI Dashboard

Country Rank

70

Tajikistan

Recovery Rank for 184 countries/regions

COVID-19 Recovery Rating

3

Recovery Index
56.01
(Out of 100)

(100 = Best, 0 = Worst)

COVID-19 Severity Rating

1

Severity Index
22.51
(Out of 100)

(0 = Best, 100 = Worst)

Stringency Rating

30.43

(100 = Strictest Measures, 0 = No Measures)

Population

9,321,018

(Medium Density)

GNI per capita (US$)

1010

(Low income)

COVID-19 Recovery Rating Guide

5	Countries who have made the most progress in curtailing the spread of the pandemic and can be used as examples of best practices (Relative Rating)
4
3
2	Countries who are struggling to cope with the crisis and who may need to consider maintaining stringent non-pharmaceutical measures (Relative Rating)
1

COVID-19 Severity Rating Guide

1	Countries who are coping with the crisis with a low percentage of infections and resulting deaths per population (Relative Rating)
2
3	Countries who may be overwhelmed by the crisis with a high percentage of infections and resulting deaths per population (Relative Rating)
4
5

Travel Advisory

Tajikistan - published 14.10.2020

1. Flights to Tajikistan are suspended until 31 October 2020. -This does not apply to: - flights arriving from China (People's Rep.), Turkey and United Arab Emirates; - humanitarian, medevac and repatriation flights. 2. Passengers are not allowed to enter. - This does not apply to - nationals of Tajikistan and Turkey; - residents of Tajikistan. 3. Passengers must have a medical certificate with a negative Coronavirus (COVID-19) PCR test result issued at most 96 hours before arrival. -This does not apply to passengers younger than 3 years. 4. Passengers are subject to quarantine for 14 days. 5. Airline crew are subject to quarantine until their next flight.

Travel Advisory information provided and published with permission by IATA.

1. Flights to Tajikistan are suspended until 31 October 2020. -This does not apply to: - flights arriving from China (People's Rep.), Turkey and United Arab Emirates; -
humanitarian, medevac and repatriation flights.

2. Passengers are not allowed to enter. - This does not apply to - nationals of Tajikistan and Turkey; - residents of Tajikistan.

3. Passengers must have a medical certificate with a negative Coronavirus (COVID-19) PCR test result issued at most 96 hours before arrival. -This does not apply to passengers
younger than 3 years.

4. Passengers are subject to quarantine for 14 days.

5. Airline crew are subject to quarantine until their next flight.

Travel Advisory information provided and published with permission by IATA.

Tajikistan Infection Trend

How can you tell if a curve is really flattening?

The number of daily confirmed cases has been used as an estimation of how severe the COVID-19 situation is in a given country. However, we’ve found that focusing on the country’s cumulative number of active cases gives a clearer picture of whether the infection curve is flattening.

Countries with Similar Characteristics

This table is generated by a GCI-developed tool to match countries based on their similar characteristics such as population, population density, income and climate.

Country	Recovery Index	Population	Density	GNI per capita	Average Temperature since First Case (Celsius)	Match%
Tajikistan	56.01	9,321,018	Medium Density	Low income	< 10 deg
Eritrea	50.25	3,497,117	Medium Density	Low income	26-30 deg	85%
Gambia	49.01	2,347,706	Medium Density	Low income	26-30 deg	85%
Guinea-Bissau	45.47	1,920,922	Medium Density	Low income	26-30 deg	85%
Liberia	55.52	4,937,374	Medium Density	Low income	26-30 deg	85%
Sierra Leone	53.48	7,813,215	Medium Density	Low income	26-30 deg	85%
Togo	55.71	8,082,366	Medium Density	Low income	26-30 deg	85%
Armenia	26.97	2,957,731	Medium Density	Upper middle income	< 10 deg	75%
Austria	50.47	8,877,067	Medium Density	High income	< 10 deg	75%
Belarus	60.66	9,466,856	Medium Density	Upper middle income	< 10 deg	75%
Denmark	76.32	5,818,553	Medium Density	High income	< 10 deg	75%

GCI Recovery Forecast

The GCI Recovery Forecasting methodology relies on a Monte Carlo simulation model as we recognise that the factors that contribute to an increase / decrease in confirmed COVID19 cases are highly variable and subject to various localised circumstances and interventions. The P10 / P50 / P90 are probabilities assigned to the forecasts, with P10 being highly optimistic, and P90 being very conservative on recovery and reduction in cases. The forecast model is updated daily based on the latest case data.

Forecast Results:

Situation Improving. The GCI Model forecasts that the situation is definitely improving and with the right discipline and compliance, the country can hope to see numbers diminish significantly in the near future.

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