The Global COVID-19 Index (GCI) - Tajikistan Dashboard

The GCI Dashboard

Version:

Country Rank

55

Tajikistan

Recovery Rank for 180 countries/regions

Country Rank

53

Tajikistan

Recovery Rank for 184 countries/regions

COVID-19 Recovery Rating

4

Recovery Index
72.00
(Out of 100)

(100 = Best, 0 = Worst)

COVID-19 Recovery Rating

3

Recovery Index
58.26
(Out of 100)

(100 = Best, 0 = Worst)

COVID-19 Severity Rating

2

Severity Index
12.41
(Out of 100)

(0 = Best, 100 = Worst)

COVID-19 Severity Rating

1

Severity Index
20.52
(Out of 100)

(0 = Best, 100 = Worst)

Stringency Rating

39.13

(100 = Strictest Measures, 0 = No Measures)

Population

9,321,018

(Medium Density)

GNI per capita (US$)

1010

(Low income)

COVID-19 Recovery Rating Guide

5	Countries who have made the most progress in curtailing the spread of the pandemic and can be used as examples of best practices (Relative Rating)
4
3
2	Countries who are struggling to cope with the crisis and who may need to consider maintaining stringent non-pharmaceutical measures (Relative Rating)
1

COVID-19 Severity Rating Guide

1	Countries who are coping with the crisis with a low percentage of infections and resulting deaths per population (Relative Rating)
2
3	Countries who may be overwhelmed by the crisis with a high percentage of infections and resulting deaths per population (Relative Rating)
4
5

Travel Advisory

Tajikistan - published 20.01.2021

1. Flights to Tajikistan are suspended until 31 January 2021. -This does not apply to: - flights arriving from China (People's Rep.), Turkey and United Arab Emirates; - humanitarian, medevac and repatriation flights. 2. Passengers are not allowed to enter. - This does not apply to - nationals of Tajikistan and Turkey; - residents of Tajikistan. 3. Passengers must have a medical certificate with a negative Coronavirus (COVID-19) PCR test result issued at most 96 hours before arrival. -This does not apply to passengers younger than 3 years. 4. Passengers are subject to quarantine for 14 days. 5. Airline crew are subject to quarantine until their next flight.

Travel Advisory information provided and published with permission by IATA.

1. Flights to Tajikistan are suspended until 31 January 2021. -This does not apply to: - flights arriving from China (People's Rep.), Turkey and United Arab Emirates; -
humanitarian, medevac and repatriation flights.

2. Passengers are not allowed to enter. - This does not apply to - nationals of Tajikistan and Turkey; - residents of Tajikistan.

3. Passengers must have a medical certificate with a negative Coronavirus (COVID-19) PCR test result issued at most 96 hours before arrival. -This does not apply to passengers
younger than 3 years.

4. Passengers are subject to quarantine for 14 days.

5. Airline crew are subject to quarantine until their next flight.

Travel Advisory information provided and published with permission by IATA.

Tajikistan Infection Trend

How can you tell if a curve is really flattening?

The number of daily confirmed cases has been used as an estimation of how severe the COVID-19 situation is in a given country. However, we’ve found that focusing on the country’s cumulative number of active cases gives a clearer picture of whether the infection curve is flattening.

Countries with Similar Characteristics

This table is generated by a GCI-developed tool to match countries based on their similar characteristics such as population, population density, income and climate.

Country	Recovery Index	Recovery Index	Population	Density	GNI per capita	Average Temperature since First Case (Celsius)	Match%
Tajikistan	58.26	72.00	9,321,018	Medium Density	Low income	< 10 deg
Eritrea	37.95	53.07	3,497,117	Medium Density	Low income	26-30 deg	85%
Gambia	56.19	70.64	2,347,706	Medium Density	Low income	26-30 deg	85%
Guinea-Bissau	52.62	58.64	1,920,922	Medium Density	Low income	26-30 deg	85%
Liberia	54.05	66.04	4,937,374	Medium Density	Low income	26-30 deg	85%
Sierra Leone	46.56	46.66	7,813,215	Medium Density	Low income	26-30 deg	85%
Togo	63.21	74.68	8,082,366	Medium Density	Low income	26-30 deg	85%
Armenia	51.23	62.36	2,957,731	Medium Density	Upper middle income	< 10 deg	75%
Austria	70.72	76.42	8,877,067	Medium Density	High income	< 10 deg	75%
Belarus	60.60	80.40	9,466,856	Medium Density	Upper middle income	< 10 deg	75%
Denmark	78.68	78.08	5,818,553	Medium Density	High income	< 10 deg	75%

GCI Recovery Forecast

The GCI Recovery Forecasting methodology relies on a Monte Carlo simulation model as we recognise that the factors that contribute to an increase / decrease in confirmed COVID19 cases are highly variable and subject to various localised circumstances and interventions. The P10 / P50 / P90 are probabilities assigned to the forecasts, with P10 being highly optimistic, and P90 being very conservative on recovery and reduction in cases. The forecast model is updated daily based on the latest case data.

Forecast Results:

Best Situation The GCI Model and data indicates that the country has reached 0 active cases and is free from new infections. The Government should consider restoring some kind of normalcy to the country.

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