The GCI Dashboard

Version:
Share: whatsapp
Country Rank

169


Italy

Recovery Rank for 180 countries/regions

Country Rank

131


Italy

Recovery Rank for 184 countries/regions

COVID-19 Recovery Rating

2

Recovery Index
38.68
(Out of 100)



(100 = Best, 0 = Worst)

COVID-19 Recovery Rating

3

Recovery Index
47.65
(Out of 100)



(100 = Best, 0 = Worst)

COVID-19 Severity Rating

5

Severity Index
70.18
(Out of 100)



(0 = Best, 100 = Worst)

COVID-19 Severity Rating

3

Severity Index
53.33
(Out of 100)



(0 = Best, 100 = Worst)

Stringency Rating

N/A

(100 = Strictest Measures, 0 = No Measures)


Population
60,297,396

(Medium Density)


GNI per capita (US$)

33,740

(High income)
5 Countries who have made the most progress in
curtailing the spread of the pandemic and can be
used as examples of best practices (Relative Rating)
4
3
2 Countries who are struggling to cope with the crisis
and who may need to consider maintaining stringent
non-pharmaceutical measures (Relative Rating)
1
1 Countries who are coping with the crisis with a low percentage
of infections and resulting deaths per population
(Relative Rating)
2
3 Countries who may be overwhelmed by the crisis with a high
percentage of infections and resulting deaths per population
(Relative Rating)
4
5

Travel Advisory


1. Until 31 January 2022, flights from Botswana, Eswatini, Lesotho, Malawi, Mozambique, Namibia, South Africa and Zimbabwe are suspended.

2. Until 31 January 2022, passengers are not allowed to enter. - This does not apply to: - nationals of Austria, Belgium, Bulgaria, Croatia, Cyprus, Czechia, Denmark, Estonia,
Finland, France, Germany, Greece, Hungary, Iceland, Ireland (Rep.), Italy, Latvia, Lichtenstein, Lithuania, Luxembourg, Malta, Netherlands, Norway, Poland, Portugal, Romania, San
Marino, Slovakia, Slovenia, Spain, Sweden, Switzerland and Vatican City (Holy See); - passengers with a long-term residence permit or a long term "D" visa issued by Switzerland or
an EEA Member State; - family members of nationals and residents of Switzerland or an EEA Member State; - passengers with proof of being unmarried partners of residents of Italy; -
passengers who in the past 14 days have only been in or transited through Andorra, Argentina, Australia, Austria, Bahrain, Belgium, Bulgaria, Canada, Chile, Chinese Taipei,
Colombia, Croatia, Cyprus, Czechia, Denmark, Estonia, Hong Kong (SAR China), Finland, France, French Guiana, French West Indies (only Guadeloupe and Martinique), Germany,
Gibraltar, Greece, Hungary, Iceland, Indonesia, Ireland (Rep.), Israel, Japan, Korea Rep., Kuwait, Latvia, Liechtenstein, Lithuania, Luxembourg, Macao (SAR China), Malta, Mayotte,
Monaco, Netherlands, New Zealand, Norway, Peru, Poland, Portugal, Qatar, Reunion, Romania, Rwanda, Saudi Arabia, Slovakia, Slovenia, Spain, Sweden, Switzerland, United Arab
Emirates, United Kingdom, Uruguay or USA; - passengers traveling on business; - passengers returning via Italy to their country of residence; - students; - military personnel.

3. Until 31 January 2022, passengers arriving from, or who in the past 14 days have been in Botswana, Eswatini, Lesotho, Mozambique, Namibia, South Africa or Zimbabwe, are not
allowed to enter and transit. - This does not apply to nationals of Italy residing in Italy since before 26 November 2021.

4. Passengers must complete a Digital Passenger Locator Form at https://app.euplf.eu/

5. Passengers arriving from, or who in the past 14 days have been in Botswana, Eswatini, Lesotho, Mozambique, Namibia, South Africa or Zimbabwe, must have a negative COVID-19
molecular test taken at most 72 hours before arrival. The test result must be in English, French, Italian or Spanish; and - are subject to a COVID-19 antigen or molecular test upon
arrival and self-isolation for 10 days.

6. Passengers must have: - a negative COVID-19 molecular test taken at most 72 hours before arrival; or - a negative COVID-19 antigen test taken at most 24 hours before arrival.
The test result must be in English, French, Italian or Spanish. - This does not apply to: - passengers arriving from Andorra, Austria, Belgium, Bulgaria, Croatia, Cyprus, Czechia,
Denmark, Estonia, Finland, France, French Guiana, French West Indies (only Guadeloupe and Martinique), Germany, Gibraltar, Greece, Hungary, Iceland, Ireland (Rep.), Latvia,
Liechtenstein, Lithuania, Luxembourg, Malta, Mayotte, Monaco, Netherlands, Norway, Poland, Portugal, Reunion, Romania, San Marino, Slovakia, Slovenia, Spain, Sweden, Switzerland,
United Kingdom or Vatican City (Holy See); - passengers arriving from Botswana, Eswatini, Lesotho, Mozambique, Namibia, South Africa or Zimbabwe; - military personnel; - passengers
younger than 6 years; - more exemptions can be found at https://tinyurl.com/xwwuut4a .

7. Passengers arriving from Andorra, Austria, Belgium, Bulgaria, Croatia, Cyprus, Czechia, Denmark, Estonia, Finland, France, French Guiana, French West Indies (only Guadeloupe
and Martinique), Germany, Gibraltar, Greece, Hungary, Iceland, Ireland (Rep.), Latvia, Liechtenstein, Lithuania, Luxembourg, Malta, Mayotte, Monaco, Netherlands, Norway, Poland,
Portugal, Reunion, Romania, Slovakia, Slovenia, Spain, Sweden, Switzerland or United Kingdom must have: - a negative COVID-19 molecular test taken at most 48 hours before arrival;
or - a negative COVID-19 antigen test taken at most 24 hours before arrival. The test result must be in English, French, Italian or Spanish. - This does not apply to: - military
personnel; - passengers younger than 6 years; - more exemptions can be found at https://tinyurl.com/xwwuut4a .

8. Passengers traveling to Puglia must present a completed health declaration form upon arrival. The form can be obtained at
https://www.sanita.puglia.it/web/pugliasalute/autosegnalazione-coronavirus

9. Passengers could be subject to self-isolation for 5 or 10 days. More details can be found at https://infocovid.viaggiaresicuri.it/index_en.html . - This does not apply to: -
passengers arriving from Andorra, Argentina, Australia, Austria, Bahrain, Belgium, Bulgaria, Canada, Chile, Chinese Taipei, Colombia, Croatia, Cyprus, Czechia, Denmark, Estonia,
Hong Kong (SAR China), Finland, France, French Guiana, French West Indies (only Guadeloupe and Martinique), Germany, Gibraltar, Greece, Hungary, Iceland, Indonesia, Ireland (Rep.),
Israel, Japan, Korea Rep., Kuwait, Latvia, Liechtenstein, Lithuania, Luxembourg, Macao (SAR China), Malta, Mayotte, Monaco, Netherlands, New Zealand, Norway, Peru, Poland,
Portugal, Qatar, Reunion, Romania, Rwanda, Saudi Arabia, Slovakia, Slovenia, Spain, Sweden, Switzerland, United Arab Emirates, United Kingdom, Uruguay or USA with a COVID-19
vaccination certificate showing that they were fully vaccinated with AstraZeneca (Vaxzevria), Janssen, Moderna or Pfizer-BioNTech (Comirnaty) at least 14 days before arrival. The
certificate must be in English, French, Italian or Spanish; - passengers arriving from Andorra, Austria, Belgium, Bulgaria, Canada, Croatia, Cyprus, Czechia, Denmark, Estonia,
Finland, France, French Guiana, French West Indies (only Guadeloupe and Martinique), Germany, Greece, Hungary, Iceland, Ireland (Rep.), Japan, Latvia, Liechtenstein, Lithuania,
Luxembourg, Malta, Mayotte, Monaco, Netherlands, Norway, Poland, Portugal, Reunion, Romania, Slovakia, Slovenia, Spain, Sweden, Switzerland or USA with a COVID-19 recovery
certificate. The certificate must be in English, French, Italian or Spanish; - passengers arriving from Botswana, Eswatini, Lesotho, Mozambique, Namibia, South Africa or Zimbabwe.

10. Passengers could be subject to a COVID-19 test upon arrival.

Travel Advisory information provided and published with permission by IATA. (Timatic COVID-19 Alerts Service has been discontinued on 1/1/2022, please refer this page for latest travel advisory)

Italy Infection Trend


How can you tell if a curve is really flattening?

The number of daily confirmed cases has been used as an estimation of how severe the COVID-19 situation is in a given country. However, we’ve found that focusing on the country’s cumulative number of active cases gives a clearer picture of whether the infection curve is flattening.


Countries with Similar Characteristics


This table is generated by a GCI-developed tool to match countries based on their similar characteristics such as population, population density, income and climate.

Italy 47.65 38.68 60,297,396 Medium Density High income < 10 deg
Country Recovery Index Recovery Index Population Density GNI per capita Average Temperature
since First Case (Celsius)		 Match%
France 57.23 53.28 67,059,887 Medium Density High income < 10 deg 100%
Germany 47.79 48.82 83,132,799 Medium Density High income < 10 deg 100%
Congo Democratic Republic 43.10 57.47 86,790,567 Medium Density Low income 26-30 deg 60%
Egypt 50.55 66.26 100,388,073 Medium Density Lower middle income 21-25 deg 60%
Iran 57.95 71.96 82,913,906 Medium Density Upper middle income 11-20 deg 60%
Kenya 55.20 55.78 52,573,973 Medium Density Lower middle income 26-30 deg 60%
Myanmar 49.30 61.83 54,045,420 Medium Density Lower middle income 26-30 deg 60%
South Africa 57.89 57.52 58,558,270 Medium Density Upper middle income 11-20 deg 60%
Tanzania 56.65 55.61 58,005,463 Medium Density Lower middle income 21-25 deg 60%
Thailand 77.04 70.22 69,625,582 Medium Density Upper middle income 26-30 deg 60%

GCI Recovery Forecast


The GCI Recovery Forecasting methodology relies on a Monte Carlo simulation model as we recognise that the factors that contribute to an increase / decrease in confirmed COVID19 cases are highly variable and subject to various localised circumstances and interventions. The P10 / P50 / P90 are probabilities assigned to the forecasts, with P10 being highly optimistic, and P90 being very conservative on recovery and reduction in cases. The forecast model is updated daily based on the latest case data.

Forecast Results:

Situation May Improve. The GCI Model indicates that the situation has a small probability of recovery, but there is insufficient evidence to suggest that the recovery trend will improve significantly in the near future.




Reviewed and Endorsed by:

In Collaboration and
Partnership with:

image

Recognition and Award:

Chairman's Award



Key Sponsor:

image
image
image