The GCI Dashboard

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Country Rank

93


Niger

Recovery Rank for 180 countries/regions

Country Rank

74


Niger

Recovery Rank for 184 countries/regions

COVID-19 Recovery Rating

3

Recovery Index
63.45
(Out of 100)



(100 = Best, 0 = Worst)

COVID-19 Recovery Rating

3

Recovery Index
53.90
(Out of 100)



(100 = Best, 0 = Worst)

COVID-19 Severity Rating

2

Severity Index
19.27
(Out of 100)



(0 = Best, 100 = Worst)

COVID-19 Severity Rating

1

Severity Index
23.93
(Out of 100)



(0 = Best, 100 = Worst)

Stringency Rating

30.43

(100 = Strictest Measures, 0 = No Measures)


Population
23,310,715

(Low Density)


GNI per capita (US$)

390

(Low income)
5 Countries who have made the most progress in
curtailing the spread of the pandemic and can be
used as examples of best practices (Relative Rating)

4
3
2 Countries who are struggling to cope with the crisis
and who may need to consider maintaining stringent
non-pharmaceutical measures (Relative Rating)
1
1 Countries who are coping with the crisis with a low percentage
of infections and resulting deaths per population
(Relative Rating)
2
3 Countries who may be overwhelmed by the crisis with a high
percentage of infections and resulting deaths per population
(Relative Rating)
4
5

Travel Advisory


1. Passengers without a medical certificate with a negative Coronavirus (COVID-19) PCR test result issued at most 72 hours before arrival are subject to medical screening at their
own expense.
2. Passengers are subject to self-isolation for 7 days.

Travel Advisory information provided and published with permission by IATA.


Niger Infection Trend


How can you tell if a curve is really flattening?

The number of daily confirmed cases has been used as an estimation of how severe the COVID-19 situation is in a given country. However, we’ve found that focusing on the country’s cumulative number of active cases gives a clearer picture of whether the infection curve is flattening.


Countries with Similar Characteristics


This table is generated by a GCI-developed tool to match countries based on their similar characteristics such as population, population density, income and climate.

Niger 53.90 63.45 23,310,715 Low Density Low income > 30 deg
Country Recovery Index Recovery Index Population Density GNI per capita Average Temperature
since First Case (Celsius)
Match%
Chad 52.17 64.91 15,946,876 Low Density Low income > 30 deg 100%
Mali 31.12 45.16 19,658,031 Low Density Low income > 30 deg 100%
Sudan 40.60 62.88 42,813,238 Low Density Low income > 30 deg 100%
Somalia 27.66 37.68 15,442,905 Low Density Low income 26-30 deg 85%
South Sudan 57.96 67.64 11,062,113 Low Density Low income 26-30 deg 85%
Algeria 29.63 63.91 43,053,054 Low Density Lower middle income 21-25 deg 60%
Angola 49.96 67.19 31,825,295 Low Density Lower middle income 21-25 deg 60%
Argentina 45.58 55.14 44,938,712 Low Density Upper middle income 11-20 deg 60%
Australia 70.31 65.86 25,364,307 Low Density High income 26-30 deg 60%
Bolivia 37.82 55.49 11,513,100 Low Density Lower middle income 21-25 deg 60%

GCI Recovery Forecast


The GCI Recovery Forecasting methodology relies on a Monte Carlo simulation model as we recognise that the factors that contribute to an increase / decrease in confirmed COVID19 cases are highly variable and subject to various localised circumstances and interventions. The P10 / P50 / P90 are probabilities assigned to the forecasts, with P10 being highly optimistic, and P90 being very conservative on recovery and reduction in cases. The forecast model is updated daily based on the latest case data.

Forecast Results:

Situation Improving. The GCI Model forecasts that the situation is definitely improving and with the right discipline and compliance, the country can hope to see numbers diminish significantly in the near future.



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