The Global COVID-19 Index (GCI) - Russia Dashboard

The GCI Dashboard

Country Rank

68

Russia

Recovery Rank for 184 countries/regions

COVID-19 Recovery Rating

3

Recovery Index
55.61
(Out of 100)

(100 = Best, 0 = Worst)

COVID-19 Severity Rating

2

Severity Index
38.92
(Out of 100)

(0 = Best, 100 = Worst)

Stringency Rating

56.52

(100 = Strictest Measures, 0 = No Measures)

Population

144,373,535

(Low Density)

GNI per capita (US$)

10230

(Upper middle income)

COVID-19 Recovery Rating Guide

5	Countries who have made the most progress in curtailing the spread of the pandemic and can be used as examples of best practices (Relative Rating)
4
3
2	Countries who are struggling to cope with the crisis and who may need to consider maintaining stringent non-pharmaceutical measures (Relative Rating)
1

COVID-19 Severity Rating Guide

1	Countries who are coping with the crisis with a low percentage of infections and resulting deaths per population (Relative Rating)
2
3	Countries who may be overwhelmed by the crisis with a high percentage of infections and resulting deaths per population (Relative Rating)
4
5

Travel Advisory

Russia - published 14.10.2020

1. Passengers are not allowed to enter. - This does not apply to: - nationals of the Russian Fed. and their family members; - permanent residents of the Russian Fed.; - British nationals and residents of the United Kingdom if arriving from the United Kingdom; - nationals and residents of Belarus if arriving from Belarus; - nationals and residents of Egypt if arriving from Egypt; - nationals and residents of Kazakhstan if arriving from Kazakhstan; - nationals and residents of Korea (Rep.) if arriving from Korea (Rep.); - nationals and residents of Kyrgyzstan if arriving from Kyrgyzstan (not traveling on flights SU1883 and SU1895); - nationals and residents of Maldives if arriving from Maldives; - nationals and residents of Switzerland if arriving from Switzerland; - nationals and residents of Tanzania if arriving from Tanzania; - nationals and residents of Turkey if arriving from Turkey; - nationals and residents of United Arab Emirates if arriving from United Arab Emirates; - until 31 October 2020, participants, press and honored guests of the Formula 1 FIA race in Sochi. 2. Passengers must have a printed medical certificate with a negative Coronavirus (COVID-19) PCR test result issued at most 72 hours before arrival. The medical certificate must be issued in Russian or in English. A notarized translation to Russian is accepted. - This does not apply to nationals of the Russian Fed. 3. Passengers transiting the Russian Fed. must have a medical certificate with a negative Coronavirus (COVID-19) PCR test result issued at most 72 hours before arrival. - This does not apply to nationals of the Russian Fed.

Travel Advisory information provided and published with permission by IATA.

1. Passengers are not allowed to enter. - This does not apply to: - nationals of the Russian Fed. and their family members; - permanent residents of the Russian Fed.; - British
nationals and residents of the United Kingdom if arriving from the United Kingdom; - nationals and residents of Belarus if arriving from Belarus; - nationals and residents of Egypt
if arriving from Egypt; - nationals and residents of Kazakhstan if arriving from Kazakhstan; - nationals and residents of Korea (Rep.) if arriving from Korea (Rep.); - nationals
and residents of Kyrgyzstan if arriving from Kyrgyzstan (not traveling on flights SU1883 and SU1895); - nationals and residents of Maldives if arriving from Maldives; - nationals
and residents of Switzerland if arriving from Switzerland; - nationals and residents of Tanzania if arriving from Tanzania; - nationals and residents of Turkey if arriving from
Turkey; - nationals and residents of United Arab Emirates if arriving from United Arab Emirates; - until 31 October 2020, participants, press and honored guests of the Formula 1
FIA race in Sochi.

2. Passengers must have a printed medical certificate with a negative Coronavirus (COVID-19) PCR test result issued at most 72 hours before arrival. The medical certificate must
be issued in Russian or in English. A notarized translation to Russian is accepted. - This does not apply to nationals of the Russian Fed.

3. Passengers transiting the Russian Fed. must have a medical certificate with a negative Coronavirus (COVID-19) PCR test result issued at most 72 hours before arrival. - This
does not apply to nationals of the Russian Fed.

Travel Advisory information provided and published with permission by IATA.

Russia Infection Trend

How can you tell if a curve is really flattening?

The number of daily confirmed cases has been used as an estimation of how severe the COVID-19 situation is in a given country. However, we’ve found that focusing on the country’s cumulative number of active cases gives a clearer picture of whether the infection curve is flattening.

Countries with Similar Characteristics

This table is generated by a GCI-developed tool to match countries based on their similar characteristics such as population, population density, income and climate.

Country	Recovery Index	Population	Density	GNI per capita	Average Temperature since First Case (Celsius)	Match%
Russia	55.61	144,373,535	Low Density	Upper middle income	< 10 deg
Brazil	54.42	211,049,527	Low Density	Upper middle income	26-30 deg	85%

GCI Recovery Forecast

The GCI Recovery Forecasting methodology relies on a Monte Carlo simulation model as we recognise that the factors that contribute to an increase / decrease in confirmed COVID19 cases are highly variable and subject to various localised circumstances and interventions. The P10 / P50 / P90 are probabilities assigned to the forecasts, with P10 being highly optimistic, and P90 being very conservative on recovery and reduction in cases. The forecast model is updated daily based on the latest case data.

Forecast Results:

Situation Worsening. Infections are forecasted to continue to be on the rise. Interventions are required, if not already in place.

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