The Global COVID-19 Index (GCI) - Peru Dashboard

The GCI Dashboard

Version:

Country Rank

48

Peru

Recovery Rank for 180 countries/regions

Country Rank

57

Peru

Recovery Rank for 184 countries/regions

COVID-19 Recovery Rating

4

Recovery Index
72.88
(Out of 100)

(100 = Best, 0 = Worst)

COVID-19 Recovery Rating

3

Recovery Index
57.30
(Out of 100)

(100 = Best, 0 = Worst)

COVID-19 Severity Rating

2

Severity Index
26.17
(Out of 100)

(0 = Best, 100 = Worst)

COVID-19 Severity Rating

4

Severity Index
63.89
(Out of 100)

(0 = Best, 100 = Worst)

Stringency Rating

52.17

(100 = Strictest Measures, 0 = No Measures)

Population

32,510,453

(Low Density)

GNI per capita (US$)

6470

(Upper middle income)

COVID-19 Recovery Rating Guide

5	Countries who have made the most progress in curtailing the spread of the pandemic and can be used as examples of best practices (Relative Rating)
4
3
2	Countries who are struggling to cope with the crisis and who may need to consider maintaining stringent non-pharmaceutical measures (Relative Rating)
1

COVID-19 Severity Rating Guide

1	Countries who are coping with the crisis with a low percentage of infections and resulting deaths per population (Relative Rating)
2
3	Countries who may be overwhelmed by the crisis with a high percentage of infections and resulting deaths per population (Relative Rating)
4
5

Travel Advisory

Peru - published 20.01.2021

1. Passengers who have been in the past 14 days in Albania, Andorra, Armenia, Austria, Azerbaijan, Belarus, Belgium, Bosnia and Herzegovina, Bulgaria, Croatia, Cyprus, Czechia, Denmark, Estonia, Finland, France, Germany, Greece, Hungary, Iceland, Ireland (Rep.), Italy, Kosovo (Rep.), Latvia, Liechtenstein, Lithuania, Luxembourg, Malta, Moldova (Rep.), Monaco, Montenegro, Netherlands, North Macedonia (Rep.), Norway, Poland, Portugal, Romania, San Marino, Serbia, Slovakia, Slovenia, South Africa, Spain, Sweden, Switzerland, Ukraine, United Kingdom or Vatican City (Holy See) are not allowed to enter until 31 January 2021. - This does not apply to nationals and residents of Peru. 2. Flights with a duration longer than 8 hours are suspended until 31 January 2021. 3. Passengers must have a medical certificate with a negative Coronavirus (COVID-19) RT-PCR test result issued at most 72 hours before departure from the first embarkation point; or - an antigen test result; or - an epidemiological medical discharge certificate. The test must be uploaded at http://e-notificacion.migraciones.gob.pe/dj-salud/ . - This does not apply to passengers younger than 12 years. 4. Passengers must complete an "Affidavit of Health and Geolocation Authorization" at http://e-notificacion.migraciones.gob.pe/dj-salud/ 72 hours before departure. 5. Passengers are subject to quarantine for 14 days. 6. Suspension of visa exemptions for nationals of Korea (Rep.) with a normal passport.

Travel Advisory information provided and published with permission by IATA.

1. Passengers who have been in the past 14 days in Albania, Andorra, Armenia, Austria, Azerbaijan, Belarus, Belgium, Bosnia and Herzegovina, Bulgaria, Croatia, Cyprus, Czechia,
Denmark, Estonia, Finland, France, Germany, Greece, Hungary, Iceland, Ireland (Rep.), Italy, Kosovo (Rep.), Latvia, Liechtenstein, Lithuania, Luxembourg, Malta, Moldova (Rep.),
Monaco, Montenegro, Netherlands, North Macedonia (Rep.), Norway, Poland, Portugal, Romania, San Marino, Serbia, Slovakia, Slovenia, South Africa, Spain, Sweden, Switzerland,
Ukraine, United Kingdom or Vatican City (Holy See) are not allowed to enter until 31 January 2021. - This does not apply to nationals and residents of Peru.

2. Flights with a duration longer than 8 hours are suspended until 31 January 2021.

3. Passengers must have a medical certificate with a negative Coronavirus (COVID-19) RT-PCR test result issued at most 72 hours before departure from the first embarkation point;
or - an antigen test result; or - an epidemiological medical discharge certificate. The test must be uploaded at http://e-notificacion.migraciones.gob.pe/dj-salud/ . - This does
not apply to passengers younger than 12 years.

4. Passengers must complete an "Affidavit of Health and Geolocation Authorization" at http://e-notificacion.migraciones.gob.pe/dj-salud/ 72 hours before departure.

5. Passengers are subject to quarantine for 14 days.

6. Suspension of visa exemptions for nationals of Korea (Rep.) with a normal passport.

Travel Advisory information provided and published with permission by IATA.

Peru Infection Trend

How can you tell if a curve is really flattening?

The number of daily confirmed cases has been used as an estimation of how severe the COVID-19 situation is in a given country. However, we’ve found that focusing on the country’s cumulative number of active cases gives a clearer picture of whether the infection curve is flattening.

Countries with Similar Characteristics

This table is generated by a GCI-developed tool to match countries based on their similar characteristics such as population, population density, income and climate.

Country	Recovery Index	Recovery Index	Population	Density	GNI per capita	Average Temperature since First Case (Celsius)	Match%
Peru	57.30	72.88	32,510,453	Low Density	Upper middle income	21-25 deg
Argentina	52.82	63.76	44,938,712	Low Density	Upper middle income	11-20 deg	85%
Kazakhstan	57.14	70.19	18,513,930	Low Density	Upper middle income	< 10 deg	85%
Algeria	35.87	59.11	43,053,054	Low Density	Lower middle income	21-25 deg	75%
Angola	49.11	67.57	31,825,295	Low Density	Lower middle income	21-25 deg	75%
Bolivia	36.63	53.13	11,513,100	Low Density	Lower middle income	21-25 deg	75%
Zambia	48.52	62.36	17,861,030	Low Density	Lower middle income	21-25 deg	75%
Australia	82.28	77.05	25,364,307	Low Density	High income	26-30 deg	60%
Canada	71.61	73.29	37,589,262	Low Density	High income	< 10 deg	60%
Chad	43.47	48.10	15,946,876	Low Density	Low income	> 30 deg	60%
Chile	66.41	77.39	18,952,038	Low Density	High income	< 10 deg	60%

GCI Recovery Forecast

The GCI Recovery Forecasting methodology relies on a Monte Carlo simulation model as we recognise that the factors that contribute to an increase / decrease in confirmed COVID19 cases are highly variable and subject to various localised circumstances and interventions. The P10 / P50 / P90 are probabilities assigned to the forecasts, with P10 being highly optimistic, and P90 being very conservative on recovery and reduction in cases. The forecast model is updated daily based on the latest case data.

Forecast Results:

Situation Worsening. Infections are forecasted to continue to be on the rise. Interventions are required, if not already in place.

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