The Global COVID-19 Index (GCI) - Peru Dashboard

The GCI Dashboard

Country Rank

89

Peru

Recovery Rank for 184 countries/regions

COVID-19 Recovery Rating

3

Recovery Index
53.27
(Out of 100)

(100 = Best, 0 = Worst)

COVID-19 Severity Rating

5

Severity Index
86.28
(Out of 100)

(0 = Best, 100 = Worst)

Stringency Rating

86.96

(100 = Strictest Measures, 0 = No Measures)

Population

32,510,453

(Low Density)

GNI per capita (US$)

6470

(Upper middle income)

COVID-19 Recovery Rating Guide

5	Countries who have made the most progress in curtailing the spread of the pandemic and can be used as examples of best practices (Relative Rating)
4
3
2	Countries who are struggling to cope with the crisis and who may need to consider maintaining stringent non-pharmaceutical measures (Relative Rating)
1

COVID-19 Severity Rating Guide

1	Countries who are coping with the crisis with a low percentage of infections and resulting deaths per population (Relative Rating)
2
3	Countries who may be overwhelmed by the crisis with a high percentage of infections and resulting deaths per population (Relative Rating)
4
5

Travel Advisory

Peru - published 12.10.2020

1. Flights to Peru are suspended. - This does not apply to flights arriving from Asuncion (ASU), Bogota (BOG), Cali (CLO), Guayaquil (GYE), La Paz (LPB), Medellin (MDE), Montevideo (MVE), Panama (PTY), Quito (UIO), Santa Cruz (VVI) and Santiago (SCL). -This does not apply to repatriation flights. 2. Passengers must have a medical certificate with a negative Coronavirus (COVID-19) PCR test result. The test must be taken at most 72 hours before departure from the first embarkation point. - This does not apply to: - repatriation flights. - passenger younger than 12 years, who must have a medical certificate of good health. 3. Passengers must complete a "Affidavit of Health and Geolocation Authorization" at http://e-notificacion.migraciones.gob.pe/dj-salud/ 72 hours before departure. 4. Passengers must install and complete a "Pre Registro de Control Migratorio" in their personal device before departure at https://www.migraciones.gob.pe/preregistro/ . This will generate a QR code which must be presented upon arrival.

Travel Advisory information provided and published with permission by IATA.

1. Flights to Peru are suspended. - This does not apply to flights arriving from Asuncion (ASU), Bogota (BOG), Cali (CLO), Guayaquil (GYE), La Paz (LPB), Medellin (MDE), Montevideo
(MVE), Panama (PTY), Quito (UIO), Santa Cruz (VVI) and Santiago (SCL). -This does not apply to repatriation flights.

2. Passengers must have a medical certificate with a negative Coronavirus (COVID-19) PCR test result. The test must be taken at most 72 hours before departure from the first
embarkation point. - This does not apply to: - repatriation flights. - passenger younger than 12 years, who must have a medical certificate of good health.

3. Passengers must complete a "Affidavit of Health and Geolocation Authorization" at http://e-notificacion.migraciones.gob.pe/dj-salud/ 72 hours before departure.

4. Passengers must install and complete a "Pre Registro de Control Migratorio" in their personal device before departure at https://www.migraciones.gob.pe/preregistro/ . This will
generate a QR code which must be presented upon arrival.

Travel Advisory information provided and published with permission by IATA.

Peru Infection Trend

How can you tell if a curve is really flattening?

The number of daily confirmed cases has been used as an estimation of how severe the COVID-19 situation is in a given country. However, we’ve found that focusing on the country’s cumulative number of active cases gives a clearer picture of whether the infection curve is flattening.

Countries with Similar Characteristics

This table is generated by a GCI-developed tool to match countries based on their similar characteristics such as population, population density, income and climate.

Country	Recovery Index	Population	Density	GNI per capita	Average Temperature since First Case (Celsius)	Match%
Peru	53.27	32,510,453	Low Density	Upper middle income	21-25 deg
Argentina	46.57	44,938,712	Low Density	Upper middle income	11-20 deg	85%
Kazakhstan	63.73	18,513,930	Low Density	Upper middle income	< 10 deg	85%
Algeria	42.07	43,053,054	Low Density	Lower middle income	21-25 deg	75%
Angola	32.82	31,825,295	Low Density	Lower middle income	21-25 deg	75%
Bolivia	39.72	11,513,100	Low Density	Lower middle income	21-25 deg	75%
Zambia	58.19	17,861,030	Low Density	Lower middle income	21-25 deg	75%
Australia	86.70	25,364,307	Low Density	High income	26-30 deg	60%
Canada	73.86	37,589,262	Low Density	High income	< 10 deg	60%
Chad	52.59	15,946,876	Low Density	Low income	> 30 deg	60%
Chile	67.93	18,952,038	Low Density	High income	< 10 deg	60%

GCI Recovery Forecast

The GCI Recovery Forecasting methodology relies on a Monte Carlo simulation model as we recognise that the factors that contribute to an increase / decrease in confirmed COVID19 cases are highly variable and subject to various localised circumstances and interventions. The P10 / P50 / P90 are probabilities assigned to the forecasts, with P10 being highly optimistic, and P90 being very conservative on recovery and reduction in cases. The forecast model is updated daily based on the latest case data.

Forecast Results:

Situation May Improve. The GCI Model indicates that the situation has a small probability of recovery, but there is insufficient evidence to suggest that the recovery trend will improve significantly in the near future.

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