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Country Rank

44


Nigeria

Recovery Rank for 184 countries/regions

COVID-19 Recovery Rating

4

Recovery Index
61.43
(Out of 100)



(100 = Best, 0 = Worst)

COVID-19 Severity Rating

1

Severity Index
23.95
(Out of 100)



(0 = Best, 100 = Worst)

Stringency Rating

39.13

(100 = Strictest Measures, 0 = No Measures)


Population
200,963,599

(Medium Density)


GNI per capita (US$)

1960

(Lower middle income)
5 Countries who have made the most progress in
curtailing the spread of the pandemic and can be
used as examples of best practices (Relative Rating)

4
3
2 Countries who are struggling to cope with the crisis
and who may need to consider maintaining stringent
non-pharmaceutical measures (Relative Rating)
1
1 Countries who are coping with the crisis with a low percentage
of infections and resulting deaths per population
(Relative Rating)
2
3 Countries who may be overwhelmed by the crisis with a high
percentage of infections and resulting deaths per population
(Relative Rating)
4
5

Travel Advisory


1. Flights to Lagos (LOS) and Abuja (ABV) restarted.

2. Passengers must have a printed medical certificate with a negative Coronavirus (COVID-19) PCR test. The test must have been taken at most 5 days before arrival. The certificate
must be in English. - This does not apply to passengers younger than 10 years.

3. Passengers are subject to medical screening and self-isolation for 7 days.

Travel Advisory information provided and published with permission by IATA.


Nigeria Infection Trend


How can you tell if a curve is really flattening?

The number of daily confirmed cases has been used as an estimation of how severe the COVID-19 situation is in a given country. However, we’ve found that focusing on the country’s cumulative number of active cases gives a clearer picture of whether the infection curve is flattening.


Countries with Similar Characteristics


This table is generated by a GCI-developed tool to match countries based on their similar characteristics such as population, population density, income and climate.

Nigeria 61.43 200,963,599 Medium Density Lower middle income 26-30 deg
Country Recovery Index Population Density GNI per capita Average Temperature since First Case (Celsius) Match%
Ethiopia 47.47 112,078,730 Medium Density Low income 26-30 deg 75%
Indonesia 62.02 270,625,568 Medium Density Upper middle income 26-30 deg 75%
China 75.43 1,397,715,000 Medium Density Upper middle income < 10 deg 60%
Mexico 62.52 127,575,529 Medium Density Upper middle income 21-25 deg 60%
United States 41.62 328,239,523 Medium Density High income < 10 deg 60%

GCI Recovery Forecast


The GCI Recovery Forecasting methodology relies on a Monte Carlo simulation model as we recognise that the factors that contribute to an increase / decrease in confirmed COVID19 cases are highly variable and subject to various localised circumstances and interventions. The P10 / P50 / P90 are probabilities assigned to the forecasts, with P10 being highly optimistic, and P90 being very conservative on recovery and reduction in cases. The forecast model is updated daily based on the latest case data.

Forecast Results:

Situation May Improve. The GCI Model indicates that the situation has a small probability of recovery, but there is insufficient evidence to suggest that the recovery trend will improve significantly in the near future.



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