The Global COVID-19 Index (GCI) - Nigeria Dashboard

The GCI Dashboard

Version:

Country Rank

106

Nigeria

Recovery Rank for 180 countries/regions

Country Rank

78

Nigeria

Recovery Rank for 184 countries/regions

COVID-19 Recovery Rating

3

Recovery Index
60.38
(Out of 100)

(100 = Best, 0 = Worst)

COVID-19 Recovery Rating

3

Recovery Index
54.73
(Out of 100)

(100 = Best, 0 = Worst)

COVID-19 Severity Rating

2

Severity Index
17.03
(Out of 100)

(0 = Best, 100 = Worst)

COVID-19 Severity Rating

1

Severity Index
23.62
(Out of 100)

(0 = Best, 100 = Worst)

Stringency Rating

56.52

(100 = Strictest Measures, 0 = No Measures)

Population

200,963,599

(Medium Density)

GNI per capita (US$)

1960

(Lower middle income)

COVID-19 Recovery Rating Guide

5	Countries who have made the most progress in curtailing the spread of the pandemic and can be used as examples of best practices (Relative Rating)
4
3
2	Countries who are struggling to cope with the crisis and who may need to consider maintaining stringent non-pharmaceutical measures (Relative Rating)
1

COVID-19 Severity Rating Guide

1	Countries who are coping with the crisis with a low percentage of infections and resulting deaths per population (Relative Rating)
2
3	Countries who may be overwhelmed by the crisis with a high percentage of infections and resulting deaths per population (Relative Rating)
4
5

Travel Advisory

Nigeria - published 20.01.2021

1. Enugu (ENU), Kano (KAN) and Port Harcourt (PHC) airports are closed. 2. Passengers must have a medical certificate with a negative Coronavirus (COVID-19) PCR test result. The test must have been taken at most 96 hours before departure from the first embarkation point. The certificate must be in English. - This does not apply to passengers younger than 10 years. 3. Passengers arriving from South Africa or the United Kingdom must have a proof of payment for the PCR test obtained at https://nitp.ncdc.gov.ng/onboarding/homepage. - This does not apply to passengers younger than 10 years. 4. A QR code must be presented upon arrival. The QR code can be obtained at https://nitp.ncdc.gov.ng/onboarding/homepage . - This does not apply to passengers younger than 10 years. 5. Passengers are subject to medical screening and self-isolation for 7 days upon arrival, and to a Coronavirus (COVID-19) PCR test within 7 days after arrival.

Travel Advisory information provided and published with permission by IATA.

1. Enugu (ENU), Kano (KAN) and Port Harcourt (PHC) airports are closed.

2. Passengers must have a medical certificate with a negative Coronavirus (COVID-19) PCR test result. The test must have been taken at most 96 hours before departure from the
first embarkation point. The certificate must be in English. - This does not apply to passengers younger than 10 years.

3. Passengers arriving from South Africa or the United Kingdom must have a proof of payment for the PCR test obtained at https://nitp.ncdc.gov.ng/onboarding/homepage. - This does
not apply to passengers younger than 10 years.

4. A QR code must be presented upon arrival. The QR code can be obtained at https://nitp.ncdc.gov.ng/onboarding/homepage . - This does not apply to passengers younger than 10
years.

5. Passengers are subject to medical screening and self-isolation for 7 days upon arrival, and to a Coronavirus (COVID-19) PCR test within 7 days after arrival.

Travel Advisory information provided and published with permission by IATA.

Nigeria Infection Trend

How can you tell if a curve is really flattening?

The number of daily confirmed cases has been used as an estimation of how severe the COVID-19 situation is in a given country. However, we’ve found that focusing on the country’s cumulative number of active cases gives a clearer picture of whether the infection curve is flattening.

Countries with Similar Characteristics

This table is generated by a GCI-developed tool to match countries based on their similar characteristics such as population, population density, income and climate.

Country	Recovery Index	Recovery Index	Population	Density	GNI per capita	Average Temperature since First Case (Celsius)	Match%
Nigeria	54.73	60.38	200,963,599	Medium Density	Lower middle income	26-30 deg
Ethiopia	60.00	73.42	112,078,730	Medium Density	Low income	26-30 deg	75%
Indonesia	58.16	65.02	270,625,568	Medium Density	Upper middle income	26-30 deg	75%
China	72.80	82.20	1,397,715,000	Medium Density	Upper middle income	< 10 deg	60%
Mexico	49.95	56.06	127,575,529	Medium Density	Upper middle income	21-25 deg	60%
United States	50.97	49.39	328,239,523	Medium Density	High income	< 10 deg	60%

GCI Recovery Forecast

The GCI Recovery Forecasting methodology relies on a Monte Carlo simulation model as we recognise that the factors that contribute to an increase / decrease in confirmed COVID19 cases are highly variable and subject to various localised circumstances and interventions. The P10 / P50 / P90 are probabilities assigned to the forecasts, with P10 being highly optimistic, and P90 being very conservative on recovery and reduction in cases. The forecast model is updated daily based on the latest case data.

Forecast Results:

Situation May Improve. The GCI Model indicates that the situation has a small probability of recovery, but there is insufficient evidence to suggest that the recovery trend will improve significantly in the near future.

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