The GCI Dashboard

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Country Rank

44


Turkey

Recovery Rank for 180 countries/regions

Country Rank

37


Turkey

Recovery Rank for 184 countries/regions

COVID-19 Recovery Rating

4

Recovery Index
73.21
(Out of 100)



(100 = Best, 0 = Worst)

COVID-19 Recovery Rating

4

Recovery Index
62.61
(Out of 100)



(100 = Best, 0 = Worst)

COVID-19 Severity Rating

3

Severity Index
45.77
(Out of 100)



(0 = Best, 100 = Worst)

COVID-19 Severity Rating

2

Severity Index
34.95
(Out of 100)



(0 = Best, 100 = Worst)

Stringency Rating

73.91

(100 = Strictest Measures, 0 = No Measures)


Population
83,429,615

(Medium Density)


GNI per capita (US$)

10420

(Upper middle income)
5 Countries who have made the most progress in
curtailing the spread of the pandemic and can be
used as examples of best practices (Relative Rating)

4
3
2 Countries who are struggling to cope with the crisis
and who may need to consider maintaining stringent
non-pharmaceutical measures (Relative Rating)
1
1 Countries who are coping with the crisis with a low percentage
of infections and resulting deaths per population
(Relative Rating)
2
3 Countries who may be overwhelmed by the crisis with a high
percentage of infections and resulting deaths per population
(Relative Rating)
4
5

Travel Advisory


1. Flights from Brazil, Denmark, South Africa and United Kingdom are suspended. - This does not apply to humanitarian and repatriation flights.

2. Passengers who are arriving from or have been in Brazil, Denmark, South Africa or United Kingdom in the past 10 days are subject to quarantine for 14 days.

3. Passengers who are arriving from or have been in Brazil, Denmark, South Africa or United Kingdom are subject to a Coronavirus (COVID-19) PCR test on day 10 after arrival.

4. Passengers and airline crew are subject to medical screening.

5. Passengers must have a medical certificate with a negative Coronavirus (COVID-19) PCR test result. The test must have been taken at most 72 hours before departure from the
first embarkation point. - This does not apply to: - passengers younger than 6 years; - merchant seamen.

6. A completed "Passenger Information Form" must be presented upon arrival.

Travel Advisory information provided and published with permission by IATA.


Turkey Infection Trend


How can you tell if a curve is really flattening?

The number of daily confirmed cases has been used as an estimation of how severe the COVID-19 situation is in a given country. However, we’ve found that focusing on the country’s cumulative number of active cases gives a clearer picture of whether the infection curve is flattening.


Countries with Similar Characteristics


This table is generated by a GCI-developed tool to match countries based on their similar characteristics such as population, population density, income and climate.

Turkey 62.61 73.21 83,429,615 Medium Density Upper middle income 11-20 deg
Country Recovery Index Recovery Index Population Density GNI per capita Average Temperature
since First Case (Celsius)
Match%
Iran 46.84 66.46 82,913,906 Medium Density Upper middle income 11-20 deg 100%
South Africa 65.67 73.17 58,558,270 Medium Density Upper middle income 11-20 deg 100%
Thailand 82.63 82.71 69,625,582 Medium Density Upper middle income 26-30 deg 85%
Congo Democratic Republic 44.66 45.13 86,790,567 Medium Density Low income 26-30 deg 60%
Egypt 43.56 48.57 100,388,073 Medium Density Lower middle income 21-25 deg 60%
France 47.25 56.35 67,059,887 Medium Density High income < 10 deg 60%
Germany 67.21 72.67 83,132,799 Medium Density High income < 10 deg 60%
Italy 37.49 56.13 60,297,396 Medium Density High income < 10 deg 60%
Kenya 53.03 76.02 52,573,973 Medium Density Lower middle income 26-30 deg 60%
Myanmar 62.68 78.23 54,045,420 Medium Density Lower middle income 26-30 deg 60%

GCI Recovery Forecast


The GCI Recovery Forecasting methodology relies on a Monte Carlo simulation model as we recognise that the factors that contribute to an increase / decrease in confirmed COVID19 cases are highly variable and subject to various localised circumstances and interventions. The P10 / P50 / P90 are probabilities assigned to the forecasts, with P10 being highly optimistic, and P90 being very conservative on recovery and reduction in cases. The forecast model is updated daily based on the latest case data.

Forecast Results:

Situation Worsening. Infections are forecasted to continue to be on the rise. Interventions are required, if not already in place.



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