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Country Rank

17


Japan

Recovery Rank for 184 countries/regions

COVID-19 Recovery Rating

4

Recovery Index
68.18
(Out of 100)



(100 = Best, 0 = Worst)

COVID-19 Severity Rating

1

Severity Index
12.59
(Out of 100)



(0 = Best, 100 = Worst)

Stringency Rating

26.09

(100 = Strictest Measures, 0 = No Measures)


Population
126,264,931

(High Density)


GNI per capita (US$)

41310

(High income)
5 Countries who have made the most progress in
curtailing the spread of the pandemic and can be
used as examples of best practices (Relative Rating)

4
3
2 Countries who are struggling to cope with the crisis
and who may need to consider maintaining stringent
non-pharmaceutical measures (Relative Rating)
1
1 Countries who are coping with the crisis with a low percentage
of infections and resulting deaths per population
(Relative Rating)
2
3 Countries who may be overwhelmed by the crisis with a high
percentage of infections and resulting deaths per population
(Relative Rating)
4
5

Travel Advisory


1. Passengers who have been in Afghanistan, Albania, Algeria, Andorra, Antigua and Barbuda, Argentina, Armenia, Australia, Austria, Azerbaijan, Bahamas, Bahrain, Bangladesh,
Barbados, Belarus, Belgium, Belize, Bhutan, Bolivia, Bosnia and Herzegovina, Botswana, Brazil, Brunei Darussalam, Bulgaria, Cameroon, Canada, Cape Verde, Central African Rep.,
Chile, China (People's Rep.), Chinese Taipei, Comoros, Congo, Congo (Dem. Rep.), Colombia, Costa Rica, Cote d'Ivoire, Croatia, Cuba, Cyprus, Czechia, Denmark, Djibouti, Dominica,
Dominican Rep., Ecuador, Egypt, El Salvador, Equatorial Guinea, Estonia, Eswatini (Swaziland), Ethiopia, Finland, France, Gabon, Gambia, Georgia, Germany, Ghana, Greece, Grenada,
Guatemala, Guinea, Guinea-Bissau, Guyana, Haiti, Honduras, Hong Kong (SAR China), Hungary, Iceland, India, Indonesia, Iran, Iraq, Ireland (Rep.), Israel, Italy, Jamaica,
Kazakhstan, Kenya, Korea (Rep.), Kosovo (Rep.), Kuwait, Kyrgyzstan, Latvia, Lebanon, Lesotho, Liberia, Libya, Liechtenstein, Lithuania, Luxembourg, Madagascar, Macao (SAR China),
Malawi, Malaysia, Maldives, Malta, Mauritania, Mauritius, Mexico, Moldova (Rep.), Monaco, Montenegro, Morocco, Namibia, Nepal, Netherlands, New Zealand, Nicaragua, Nigeria, North
Macedonia (Rep.), Norway, Oman, Pakistan, Palestinian Territory, Panama, Paraguay, Peru, Philippines, Poland, Portugal, Qatar, Romania, Russian Fed., Rwanda, San Marino, Sao Tome
and Principe, Saudi Arabia, Senegal, Serbia, Sierra Leone, Singapore, Slovakia, Slovenia, Somalia, South Africa, South Sudan, Spain, St. Kitts and Nevis, St. Vincent and the
Grenadines, Sudan, Suriname, Sweden, Switzerland, Tajikistan, Thailand, Trinidad and Tobago, Tunisia, Turkey, Uruguay, USA, Ukraine, United Arab Emirates, United Kingdom,
Uzbekistan, Vatican City (Holy See), Venezuela, Vietnam, Zambia or Zimbabwe in the past 14 days are not allowed to enter. -This does not apply to: - nationals of Japan; - spouses
or children of nationals of Japan if they can prove it; - passengers with a Special Permanent Residence Permit. They must also have a Re-entry Permit or an Embarkation and
Disembarkation Card; - residents of Japan who left Japan before 31 August 2020 with a re-entry permit. They must have the 'Letter of Confirmation of Submitting Necessary
Documentation for Re-entry into Japan', and a medical certificate with a negative Coronavirus (COVID-19) test result. The test must have been taken at most 72 hours before
departure and the sample collection method must be 'nasopharyngeal swab' or 'saliva'; - residents of Japan who leave Japan on or after 1 September 2020 with a re-entry permit. They
must have the Receipt for request of re-entry issued by Immigration Services Agency of Japan, and a medical certificate with a negative Coronavirus (COVID-19) test result. The test
must have been taken at most 72 hours before departure and the sample collection method must be 'nasopharyngeal swab' or 'saliva'; - passengers with a visa issued by a Japanese
overseas establishment with the date of issue later than the day when the country or region where they are currently staying was designated as an area subject to denial of
permission to enter Japan. They must have a medical certificate with a negative Coronavirus (COVID-19) test result. The test must have been taken at most 72 hours before departure
and the sample collection method must be 'nasopharyngeal swab' or 'saliva'; - passengers with a visa issued by Japan with "EX-R" or "EX-B" in the Remarks column. They must also
have a medical certificate with a negative Coronavirus (COVID-19) test result. The test must have been taken at most 72 hours before departure and the sample collection method must
be 'nasopharyngeal swab' or 'saliva'; - nationals of Thailand residing in Thailand and arriving directly from Thailand. They must have a visa issued by Japan with "EX" or "EX-R" in
the Remarks column, or have the Letter of Confirmation of Submitting Required Documentation for Re-entry into Japan. They must also have a medical certificate with a negative
Coronavirus (COVID-19) test result. The test must have been taken at most 72 hours before departure and the sample collection method must be 'nasopharyngeal swab' or 'saliva'; -
nationals of Viet Nam residing in Viet Nam and arriving directly from Viet Nam. They must have a visa issued by Japan with "EX" or "EX-R" in the Remarks column, or have the Letter
of Confirmation of Submitting Required Documentation for Re-entry into Japan. They must also have a medical certificate with a negative Coronavirus (COVID-19) test result. The test
must have been taken at most 72 hours before departure and the sample collection method must be 'nasopharyngeal swab' or 'saliva'; - nationals of Cambodia, Lao People's Dem. Rep.,
Malaysia and Myanmar residing in and arriving directly from the country of nationality. They must have a visa issued by Japan with "EX-R" in the Remarks column, or have the Letter
of Confirmation of Submitting Required Documentation for Re-entry into Japan. They must also have a medical certificate with a negative Coronavirus (COVID-19) test result. The test
must have been taken at most 72 hours before departure and the sample collection method must be 'nasopharyngeal swab' or 'saliva'; - passengers with a Chinese Taipei (on the cover:
Republic of China Taiwan) passport residing in and arriving directly from Chinese Taipei. They must have a visa issued by Japan with "EX-R" in the Remarks column, or have the
Letter of Confirmation of Submitting Required Documentation for Re-entry into Japan. They must also have a medical certificate with a negative Coronavirus (COVID-19) test result.
The test must have been taken at most 72 hours before departure and the sample collection method must be 'nasopharyngeal swab' or 'saliva'; - nationals of Singapore residing in and
arriving directly from Singapore. They must have a visa issued by Japan with "EX-B" in the Remarks column, or have the Letter of Confirmation of Submitting Required Documentation
for Re-entry into Japan. They must also have a medical certificate with a negative Coronavirus (COVID-19) test result. The test must have been taken at most 72 hours before
departure and the sample collection method must be 'nasopharyngeal swab' or 'saliva'; - residents of Singapore arriving directly from Singapore. They must have a visa issued by
Japan with "EX-B" in the Remarks column, or have the Letter of Confirmation of Submitting Required Documentation for Re-entry into Japan. They must also have a medical certificate
with a negative Coronavirus (COVID-19) test result. The test must have been taken at most 72 hours before departure and the sample collection method must be 'nasopharyngeal swab'
or 'saliva'; - US military personnel; - civilian personnel of the US armed forces in Japan and their dependents.

2. A completed "Quarantine Questionnaire" must be presented upon arrival.

3. Passengers are subject to Coronavirus (COVID-19) test.

4. Visa exemption for passengers with passengers with a British passport, Hong Kong (SAR China) passport, Macao (SAR China) passport is suspended.

5. Visa exemption for nationals of Andorra, Argentina, Austria, Bahamas, Barbados, Belgium, Brunei Darussalam, Bulgaria, Costa Rica, Croatia, Czechia, Cyprus, Denmark, Dominican
Rep., El Salvador, Estonia, Finland, France, Germany, Greece, Guatemala, Honduras, Hungary, Iceland, Indonesia, Iran, Ireland (Rep.), Israel, Italy, Korea (Rep.), Latvia, Lesotho,
Liechtenstein, Lithuania, Luxembourg, Malaysia, Malta, Mexico, Monaco, Netherlands, Norway, Peru, Poland, Portugal, Romania, San Marino, Singapore, Slovakia, Slovenia, Spain,
Suriname, Sweden, Switzerland, Thailand, Tunisia, United Arab Emirates, Uruguay and Vatican City (Holy See) is suspended.

6. Visa exemption for nationals of Azerbaijan, Bangladesh, Cambodia, Colombia, Georgia, India, Kazakhstan, Lao People's Dem. Rep., Mongolia, Myanmar, Nauru, Oman, Pakistan, Palau,
Papua New Guinea, Paraguay, Qatar, Samoa, Solomon Isl., Turkmenistan, Ukraine, Uzbekistan and Viet Nam with a diplomatic, official or service passport is suspended.

7. Visa exemption granted to passengers with an APEC Business Travel Card issued by Brunei Darussalam, China (People's Rep.), Hong Kong (SAR China), Indonesia, Korea (Rep.),
Malaysia, Mexico, Papua New Guinea, Peru, Philippines, Russian Fed., Singapore, Thailand or Viet Nam, is suspended.

8. Nationals of China (People's Rep.) with a passport issued in Hubei Province or Zhejiang Province (China People's Rep.) are not allowed to enter Japan. - This does not apply
when passengers can prove that they have not been in Hubei Province and Zhejiang Province the last 14 days.

9. Passengers who were in the cruise ship 'Westerdam' are not allowed to enter Japan. - This does not apply to nationals of Japan. 10. Visas issued on or before 8 March 2020 by
the Embassies, Consulates-General and Consulate of Japan in China (People's Rep.), Hong Kong (SAR China), Korea (Rep.) or Macao (SAR China) are invalidated. 11. Visas issued on or
before 20 March 2020 by the Embassies, Consulates-General and Consulate of Japan in Andorra, Austria, Belgium, Bulgaria, Croatia, Czechia, Cyprus, Denmark, Egypt, Estonia, Finland,
France, Germany, Greece, Hungary, Iceland, Iran, Ireland (Rep.), Italy, Latvia, Liechtenstein, Lithuania, Luxembourg, Malta, Monaco, Netherlands, Norway, Poland, Portugal, Romania,
San Marino, Slovakia, Slovenia, Spain, Sweden, Switzerland, United Kingdom or Vatican City (Holy See) are invalidated. 12. Visas issued on or before 27 March 2020 by the Embassies,
Consulates-General and Consulate of Japan in Bahrain, Brunei Darussalam, Congo (Dem. Rep.), Indonesia, Israel, Malaysia, Philippines, Qatar, Singapore, Thailand or Viet Nam are
invalidated. 13. Visas issued on or before 2 April 2020 by the Embassies, Consulates-General and Consulate of Japan in Afghanistan, Algeria, Angola, Antigua and Barbuda, Argentina,
Azerbaijan, Bahamas, Bangladesh, Barbados, Belarus, Belize, Benin, Bhutan, Botswana, Burkina Faso, Burundi, Cambodia, Cameroon, Cape Verde, Central African Rep., Chad, Colombia,
Comoros, Congo, Cook Isl., Costa Rica, Cuba, Djibouti, Dominican Rep., El Salvador, Equatorial Guinea, Eritrea, Eswatini (Swaziland), Ethiopia, Fiji, Gabon, Gambia, Georgia, Ghana,
Grenada, Guatemala, Guinea, Guinea-Bissau, Guyana, Haiti, Honduras, India, Iraq, Jamaica, Jordan, Kazakhstan, Kenya, Kiribati, Kyrgyzstan, Kuwait, Lao People's Dem. Rep., Lebanon,
Lesotho, Liberia, Libya, Madagascar, Malawi, Maldives, Mali, Marshall Isl., Mauritania, Mexico, Micronesia (Federated States), Mongolia, Mozambique, Myanmar, Namibia, Nauru, Nepal,
Nicaragua, Niger, Nigeria, Niue, Oman, Pakistan, Palau, Palestinian Territory, Papua New Guinea, Paraguay, Peru, Russian Fed., Rwanda, Samoa, Sao Tome and Principe, Saudi Arabia,
Senegal, Seychelles, Sierra Leone, Solomon Isl., Somalia, South Africa, South Sudan, Sri Lanka, St. Kitts and Nevis, St. Lucia, St. Vincent and the Grenadines, Sudan, Suriname,
Syria, Tajikistan, Tanzania, Timor-Leste, Togo, Tonga, Trinidad and Tobago, Tunisia, Turkmenistan, Tuvalu, Uganda, Ukraine, United Arab Emirates, Uruguay, Uzbekistan, Vanuatu,
Venezuela, Yemen, Zambia or Zimbabwe are invalidated. 14. Passengers transiting through Tokyo (NRT) must transit on the same calendar day.

Travel Advisory information provided and published with permission by IATA.


Japan Infection Trend


How can you tell if a curve is really flattening?

The number of daily confirmed cases has been used as an estimation of how severe the COVID-19 situation is in a given country. However, we’ve found that focusing on the country’s cumulative number of active cases gives a clearer picture of whether the infection curve is flattening.


Countries with Similar Characteristics


This table is generated by a GCI-developed tool to match countries based on their similar characteristics such as population, population density, income and climate.

Japan 68.18 126,264,931 High Density High income < 10 deg
Country Recovery Index Population Density GNI per capita Average Temperature since First Case (Celsius) Match%
India 61.34 1,366,417,754 High Density Lower middle income 21-25 deg 60%
Pakistan 61.34 216,565,318 High Density Lower middle income 21-25 deg 60%
Philippines 61.64 108,116,615 High Density Lower middle income 26-30 deg 60%

GCI Recovery Forecast


The GCI Recovery Forecasting methodology relies on a Monte Carlo simulation model as we recognise that the factors that contribute to an increase / decrease in confirmed COVID19 cases are highly variable and subject to various localised circumstances and interventions. The P10 / P50 / P90 are probabilities assigned to the forecasts, with P10 being highly optimistic, and P90 being very conservative on recovery and reduction in cases. The forecast model is updated daily based on the latest case data.

Forecast Results:

Situation May Improve. The GCI Model indicates that the situation has a small probability of recovery, but there is insufficient evidence to suggest that the recovery trend will improve significantly in the near future.



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