The GCI Dashboard

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Country Rank

140


Panama

Recovery Rank for 184 countries/regions

COVID-19 Recovery Rating

2

Recovery Index
41.77
(Out of 100)



(100 = Best, 0 = Worst)

COVID-19 Severity Rating

5

Severity Index
85.71
(Out of 100)



(0 = Best, 100 = Worst)

Stringency Rating

56.52

(100 = Strictest Measures, 0 = No Measures)


Population
4,246,439

(Medium Density)


GNI per capita (US$)

14370

(High income)
5 Countries who have made the most progress in
curtailing the spread of the pandemic and can be
used as examples of best practices (Relative Rating)

4
3
2 Countries who are struggling to cope with the crisis
and who may need to consider maintaining stringent
non-pharmaceutical measures (Relative Rating)
1
1 Countries who are coping with the crisis with a low percentage
of infections and resulting deaths per population
(Relative Rating)
2
3 Countries who may be overwhelmed by the crisis with a high
percentage of infections and resulting deaths per population
(Relative Rating)
4
5

Travel Advisory


1. Flights to Panama restarted.

2. Passengers without a medical certificate with a negative Coronavirus (COVID-19) PCR or antigen test result issued at most 48 hours before arrival are subject to Coronavirus
(COVID-19) test at their own expense. The certificate must be in Spanish or English. - This does not apply to: - passengers with a consular or a diplomatic passport; - passengers
with Laissez-Passer.

3. Passengers must complete a "Declaracion Jurada de Salud" available at https://tinyurl.com/yxnmhpyg

Travel Advisory information provided and published with permission by IATA.


Panama Infection Trend


How can you tell if a curve is really flattening?

The number of daily confirmed cases has been used as an estimation of how severe the COVID-19 situation is in a given country. However, we’ve found that focusing on the country’s cumulative number of active cases gives a clearer picture of whether the infection curve is flattening.


Countries with Similar Characteristics


This table is generated by a GCI-developed tool to match countries based on their similar characteristics such as population, population density, income and climate.

Panama 41.77 4,246,439 Medium Density High income 26-30 deg
Country Recovery Index Population Density GNI per capita Average Temperature since First Case (Celsius) Match%
Qatar 65.92 2,832,067 Medium Density High income 26-30 deg 100%
United Arab Emirates 77.84 9,770,529 Medium Density High income 26-30 deg 100%
Austria 50.47 8,877,067 Medium Density High income < 10 deg 85%
Croatia 45.30 4,067,500 Medium Density High income 11-20 deg 85%
Denmark 76.32 5,818,553 Medium Density High income < 10 deg 85%
Estonia 66.45 1,326,590 Medium Density High income < 10 deg 85%
Hungary 25.02 9,769,949 Medium Density High income 11-20 deg 85%
Ireland 31.40 4,941,444 Medium Density High income < 10 deg 85%
Kuwait 59.32 4,207,083 Medium Density High income 21-25 deg 85%
Latvia 50.89 1,912,789 Medium Density High income < 10 deg 85%

GCI Recovery Forecast


The GCI Recovery Forecasting methodology relies on a Monte Carlo simulation model as we recognise that the factors that contribute to an increase / decrease in confirmed COVID19 cases are highly variable and subject to various localised circumstances and interventions. The P10 / P50 / P90 are probabilities assigned to the forecasts, with P10 being highly optimistic, and P90 being very conservative on recovery and reduction in cases. The forecast model is updated daily based on the latest case data.

Forecast Results:

Situation May Improve. The GCI Model indicates that the situation has a small probability of recovery, but there is insufficient evidence to suggest that the recovery trend will improve significantly in the near future.



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