The Global COVID-19 Index (GCI) - Panama Dashboard

The GCI Dashboard

Version:

Country Rank

152

Panama

Recovery Rank for 180 countries/regions

Country Rank

157

Panama

Recovery Rank for 184 countries/regions

COVID-19 Recovery Rating

2

Recovery Index
47.37
(Out of 100)

(100 = Best, 0 = Worst)

COVID-19 Recovery Rating

2

Recovery Index
34.72
(Out of 100)

(100 = Best, 0 = Worst)

COVID-19 Severity Rating

5

Severity Index
82.20
(Out of 100)

(0 = Best, 100 = Worst)

COVID-19 Severity Rating

5

Severity Index
84.11
(Out of 100)

(0 = Best, 100 = Worst)

Stringency Rating

65.22

(100 = Strictest Measures, 0 = No Measures)

Population

4,246,439

(Medium Density)

GNI per capita (US$)

14370

(High income)

COVID-19 Recovery Rating Guide

5	Countries who have made the most progress in curtailing the spread of the pandemic and can be used as examples of best practices (Relative Rating)
4
3
2	Countries who are struggling to cope with the crisis and who may need to consider maintaining stringent non-pharmaceutical measures (Relative Rating)
1

COVID-19 Severity Rating Guide

1	Countries who are coping with the crisis with a low percentage of infections and resulting deaths per population (Relative Rating)
2
3	Countries who may be overwhelmed by the crisis with a high percentage of infections and resulting deaths per population (Relative Rating)
4
5

Travel Advisory

Panama - published 13.01.2021

1. Passengers who have been in the past 20 days in South Africa or United Kingdom are not allowed to enter. - This does not apply to nationals and residents of Panama. 2. Nationals of Panama who have been in the past 20 days in South Africa or United Kingdom are subject to Coronavirus (COVID-19) test upon arrival and quarantine. 3. Passengers without a medical certificate with a negative Coronavirus (COVID-19) RT - PCR or antigen test result issued at most 48 hours before arrival are subject to Coronavirus (COVID-19) test upon arrival at their own expense. The certificate must be in Spanish or English. - This does not apply to passengers with Laissez-Passer. 4. A completed "Declaracion Jurada de Salud" must be presented upon arrival. The form can be obtained at http://viajes.panamadigital.gob.pa/ . 5. Residency permits issued by Panama that expired after 13 March 2020 are accepted for entry until 31 January 2021. 6. Expired multiple non-residents visas (Visa de no Residente) with an extension stamp issued by the consulate, are accepted until 31 January 2021, if: - issued between 1 January 2020 and 31 October 2020, and - expiry date is between 13 March 2020 and 31 January 2021.

Travel Advisory information provided and published with permission by IATA.

1. Passengers who have been in the past 20 days in South Africa or United Kingdom are not allowed to enter. - This does not apply to nationals and residents of Panama.

2. Nationals of Panama who have been in the past 20 days in South Africa or United Kingdom are subject to Coronavirus (COVID-19) test upon arrival and quarantine.

3. Passengers without a medical certificate with a negative Coronavirus (COVID-19) RT - PCR or antigen test result issued at most 48 hours before arrival are subject to
Coronavirus (COVID-19) test upon arrival at their own expense. The certificate must be in Spanish or English. - This does not apply to passengers with Laissez-Passer.

4. A completed "Declaracion Jurada de Salud" must be presented upon arrival. The form can be obtained at http://viajes.panamadigital.gob.pa/ .

5. Residency permits issued by Panama that expired after 13 March 2020 are accepted for entry until 31 January 2021.

6. Expired multiple non-residents visas (Visa de no Residente) with an extension stamp issued by the consulate, are accepted until 31 January 2021, if: - issued between 1 January
2020 and 31 October 2020, and - expiry date is between 13 March 2020 and 31 January 2021.

Travel Advisory information provided and published with permission by IATA.

Panama Infection Trend

How can you tell if a curve is really flattening?

The number of daily confirmed cases has been used as an estimation of how severe the COVID-19 situation is in a given country. However, we’ve found that focusing on the country’s cumulative number of active cases gives a clearer picture of whether the infection curve is flattening.

Countries with Similar Characteristics

This table is generated by a GCI-developed tool to match countries based on their similar characteristics such as population, population density, income and climate.

Country	Recovery Index	Recovery Index	Population	Density	GNI per capita	Average Temperature since First Case (Celsius)	Match%
Panama	34.72	47.37	4,246,439	Medium Density	High income	26-30 deg
Qatar	64.19	82.98	2,832,067	Medium Density	High income	26-30 deg	100%
United Arab Emirates	66.31	78.05	9,770,529	Medium Density	High income	26-30 deg	100%
Austria	70.72	76.42	8,877,067	Medium Density	High income	< 10 deg	85%
Croatia	65.41	73.94	4,067,500	Medium Density	High income	11-20 deg	85%
Denmark	78.68	78.08	5,818,553	Medium Density	High income	< 10 deg	85%
Estonia	37.62	45.91	1,326,590	Medium Density	High income	< 10 deg	85%
Hungary	28.26	43.46	9,769,949	Medium Density	High income	11-20 deg	85%
Ireland	26.28	33.05	4,941,444	Medium Density	High income	< 10 deg	85%
Kuwait	63.35	78.59	4,207,083	Medium Density	High income	21-25 deg	85%
Latvia	41.50	44.91	1,912,789	Medium Density	High income	< 10 deg	85%

GCI Recovery Forecast

The GCI Recovery Forecasting methodology relies on a Monte Carlo simulation model as we recognise that the factors that contribute to an increase / decrease in confirmed COVID19 cases are highly variable and subject to various localised circumstances and interventions. The P10 / P50 / P90 are probabilities assigned to the forecasts, with P10 being highly optimistic, and P90 being very conservative on recovery and reduction in cases. The forecast model is updated daily based on the latest case data.

Forecast Results:

Situation May Improve. The GCI Model indicates that the situation has a small probability of recovery, but there is insufficient evidence to suggest that the recovery trend will improve significantly in the near future.

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