The Global COVID-19 Index (GCI) - Guyana Dashboard

The GCI Dashboard

Country Rank

134

Guyana

Recovery Rank for 184 countries/regions

COVID-19 Recovery Rating

2

Recovery Index
43.52
(Out of 100)

(100 = Best, 0 = Worst)

COVID-19 Severity Rating

2

Severity Index
37.06
(Out of 100)

(0 = Best, 100 = Worst)

Stringency Rating

69.57

(100 = Strictest Measures, 0 = No Measures)

Population

782,766

(Low Density)

GNI per capita (US$)

4770

(Upper middle income)

COVID-19 Recovery Rating Guide

5	Countries who have made the most progress in curtailing the spread of the pandemic and can be used as examples of best practices (Relative Rating)
4
3
2	Countries who are struggling to cope with the crisis and who may need to consider maintaining stringent non-pharmaceutical measures (Relative Rating)
1

COVID-19 Severity Rating Guide

1	Countries who are coping with the crisis with a low percentage of infections and resulting deaths per population (Relative Rating)
2
3	Countries who may be overwhelmed by the crisis with a high percentage of infections and resulting deaths per population (Relative Rating)
4
5

Travel Advisory

Guyana - published 16.10.2020

1. Airports in Guyana reopened. 2. Passengers must have a medical certificate with a negative Coronavirus (COVID-19) test result.

Travel Advisory information provided and published with permission by IATA.

1. Airports in Guyana reopened.

2. Passengers must have a medical certificate with a negative Coronavirus (COVID-19) test result.

Travel Advisory information provided and published with permission by IATA.

Guyana Infection Trend

How can you tell if a curve is really flattening?

The number of daily confirmed cases has been used as an estimation of how severe the COVID-19 situation is in a given country. However, we’ve found that focusing on the country’s cumulative number of active cases gives a clearer picture of whether the infection curve is flattening.

Countries with Similar Characteristics

This table is generated by a GCI-developed tool to match countries based on their similar characteristics such as population, population density, income and climate.

Country	Recovery Index	Population	Density	GNI per capita	Average Temperature since First Case (Celsius)	Match%
Guyana	43.52	782,766	Low Density	Upper middle income	26-30 deg
Belize	31.70	390,353	Low Density	Upper middle income	26-30 deg	100%
Suriname	58.87	581,372	Low Density	Upper middle income	26-30 deg	100%
Bhutan	58.11	763,092	Low Density	Lower middle income	11-20 deg	60%
Iceland	57.20	361,313	Low Density	High income	< 10 deg	60%

GCI Recovery Forecast

The GCI Recovery Forecasting methodology relies on a Monte Carlo simulation model as we recognise that the factors that contribute to an increase / decrease in confirmed COVID19 cases are highly variable and subject to various localised circumstances and interventions. The P10 / P50 / P90 are probabilities assigned to the forecasts, with P10 being highly optimistic, and P90 being very conservative on recovery and reduction in cases. The forecast model is updated daily based on the latest case data.

Forecast Results:

Situation May Improve. The GCI Model indicates that the situation has a small probability of recovery, but there is insufficient evidence to suggest that the recovery trend will improve significantly in the near future.

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