The Global COVID-19 Index (GCI) - Myanmar Dashboard

The GCI Dashboard

Version:

Country Rank

12

Myanmar

Recovery Rank for 180 countries/regions

Country Rank

38

Myanmar

Recovery Rank for 184 countries/regions

COVID-19 Recovery Rating

4

Recovery Index
83.59
(Out of 100)

(100 = Best, 0 = Worst)

COVID-19 Recovery Rating

4

Recovery Index
62.10
(Out of 100)

(100 = Best, 0 = Worst)

COVID-19 Severity Rating

2

Severity Index
14.95
(Out of 100)

(0 = Best, 100 = Worst)

COVID-19 Severity Rating

1

Severity Index
22.69
(Out of 100)

(0 = Best, 100 = Worst)

Stringency Rating

86.96

(100 = Strictest Measures, 0 = No Measures)

Population

54,045,420

(Medium Density)

GNI per capita (US$)

1310

(Lower middle income)

COVID-19 Recovery Rating Guide

5	Countries who have made the most progress in curtailing the spread of the pandemic and can be used as examples of best practices (Relative Rating)
4
3
2	Countries who are struggling to cope with the crisis and who may need to consider maintaining stringent non-pharmaceutical measures (Relative Rating)
1

COVID-19 Severity Rating Guide

1	Countries who are coping with the crisis with a low percentage of infections and resulting deaths per population (Relative Rating)
2
3	Countries who may be overwhelmed by the crisis with a high percentage of infections and resulting deaths per population (Relative Rating)
4
5

Travel Advisory

Myanmar - published 01.04.2021

1. Until 30 April 2021, flights to Myanmar are suspended. - This does not apply to medevac flights. 2. Passengers must have a negative COVID-19 PCR test result issued at most 72 hours before departure. - This does not apply to nationals of Myanmar. 3. Passengers are subject to quarantine for 14 days. 4. Airline crew are subject to quarantine until their next flight. 5. Suspension of all visa exemptions and visa on arrival facilities.

Travel Advisory information provided and published with permission by IATA.

1. Until 30 April 2021, flights to Myanmar are suspended. - This does not apply to medevac flights.

2. Passengers must have a negative COVID-19 PCR test result issued at most 72 hours before departure. - This does not apply to nationals of Myanmar.

3. Passengers are subject to quarantine for 14 days.

4. Airline crew are subject to quarantine until their next flight.

5. Suspension of all visa exemptions and visa on arrival facilities.

Travel Advisory information provided and published with permission by IATA.

Myanmar Infection Trend

How can you tell if a curve is really flattening?

The number of daily confirmed cases has been used as an estimation of how severe the COVID-19 situation is in a given country. However, we’ve found that focusing on the country’s cumulative number of active cases gives a clearer picture of whether the infection curve is flattening.

Countries with Similar Characteristics

This table is generated by a GCI-developed tool to match countries based on their similar characteristics such as population, population density, income and climate.

Country	Recovery Index	Recovery Index	Population	Density	GNI per capita	Average Temperature since First Case (Celsius)	Match%
Myanmar	62.10	83.59	54,045,420	Medium Density	Lower middle income	26-30 deg
Kenya	39.94	48.12	52,573,973	Medium Density	Lower middle income	26-30 deg	100%
Egypt	40.89	49.01	100,388,073	Medium Density	Lower middle income	21-25 deg	85%
Tanzania	33.68	40.19	58,005,463	Medium Density	Lower middle income	21-25 deg	85%
Congo Democratic Republic	52.08	64.82	86,790,567	Medium Density	Low income	26-30 deg	75%
Thailand	67.30	74.71	69,625,582	Medium Density	Upper middle income	26-30 deg	75%
France	41.36	45.63	67,059,887	Medium Density	High income	< 10 deg	60%
Germany	60.24	72.82	83,132,799	Medium Density	High income	< 10 deg	60%
Iran	39.41	53.08	82,913,906	Medium Density	Upper middle income	11-20 deg	60%
Italy	37.83	56.46	60,297,396	Medium Density	High income	< 10 deg	60%
South Africa	66.55	75.69	58,558,270	Medium Density	Upper middle income	11-20 deg	60%

GCI Recovery Forecast

The GCI Recovery Forecasting methodology relies on a Monte Carlo simulation model as we recognise that the factors that contribute to an increase / decrease in confirmed COVID19 cases are highly variable and subject to various localised circumstances and interventions. The P10 / P50 / P90 are probabilities assigned to the forecasts, with P10 being highly optimistic, and P90 being very conservative on recovery and reduction in cases. The forecast model is updated daily based on the latest case data.

Forecast Results:

Situation Worsening. Infections are forecasted to continue to be on the rise. Interventions are required, if not already in place.

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