The Global COVID-19 Index (GCI) - Myanmar Dashboard

The GCI Dashboard

Version:

Country Rank

63

Myanmar

Recovery Rank for 180 countries/regions

Country Rank

120

Myanmar

Recovery Rank for 184 countries/regions

COVID-19 Recovery Rating

3

Recovery Index
61.83
(Out of 100)

(100 = Best, 0 = Worst)

COVID-19 Recovery Rating

3

Recovery Index
49.30
(Out of 100)

(100 = Best, 0 = Worst)

COVID-19 Severity Rating

2

Severity Index
23.01
(Out of 100)

(0 = Best, 100 = Worst)

COVID-19 Severity Rating

1

Severity Index
24.09
(Out of 100)

(0 = Best, 100 = Worst)

Stringency Rating

34.78

(100 = Strictest Measures, 0 = No Measures)

Population

54,045,420

(Medium Density)

GNI per capita (US$)

1,310

(Lower middle income)

COVID-19 Recovery Rating Guide

5	Countries who have made the most progress in curtailing the spread of the pandemic and can be used as examples of best practices (Relative Rating)
4
3
2	Countries who are struggling to cope with the crisis and who may need to consider maintaining stringent non-pharmaceutical measures (Relative Rating)
1

COVID-19 Severity Rating Guide

1	Countries who are coping with the crisis with a low percentage of infections and resulting deaths per population (Relative Rating)
2
3	Countries who may be overwhelmed by the crisis with a high percentage of infections and resulting deaths per population (Relative Rating)
4
5

Travel Advisory

Myanmar - published 30.11.2021

1. Until 31 December 2021, flights to Myanmar are suspended. - This does not apply to medevac flights. 2. Passengers must have an approval from Ministry of Foreign Affairs Myanmar. - This does not apply to nationals of Myanmar. 3. Passengers must have a negative COVID-19 PCR test result issued at most 72 hours before departure. - This does not apply to nationals of Myanmar. 4. Passengers are subject to quarantine for 10 days. 5. Airline crew are subject to quarantine until their next flight. 6. Suspension of all visa exemptions and visa on arrival facilities.

Travel Advisory information provided and published with permission by IATA. (Timatic COVID-19 Alerts Service has been discontinued on 1/1/2022, please refer this page for latest travel advisory)

1. Until 31 December 2021, flights to Myanmar are suspended. - This does not apply to medevac flights.

2. Passengers must have an approval from Ministry of Foreign Affairs Myanmar. - This does not apply to nationals of Myanmar.

3. Passengers must have a negative COVID-19 PCR test result issued at most 72 hours before departure. - This does not apply to nationals of Myanmar.

4. Passengers are subject to quarantine for 10 days.

5. Airline crew are subject to quarantine until their next flight.

6. Suspension of all visa exemptions and visa on arrival facilities.

Travel Advisory information provided and published with permission by IATA. (Timatic COVID-19 Alerts Service has been discontinued on 1/1/2022, please refer this page for latest travel advisory)

Myanmar Infection Trend

How can you tell if a curve is really flattening?

The number of daily confirmed cases has been used as an estimation of how severe the COVID-19 situation is in a given country. However, we’ve found that focusing on the country’s cumulative number of active cases gives a clearer picture of whether the infection curve is flattening.

Countries with Similar Characteristics

This table is generated by a GCI-developed tool to match countries based on their similar characteristics such as population, population density, income and climate.

Country	Recovery Index	Recovery Index	Population	Density	GNI per capita	Average Temperature since First Case (Celsius)	Match%
Myanmar	49.30	61.83	54,045,420	Medium Density	Lower middle income	26-30 deg
Kenya	55.20	55.78	52,573,973	Medium Density	Lower middle income	26-30 deg	100%
Egypt	50.55	66.26	100,388,073	Medium Density	Lower middle income	21-25 deg	85%
Tanzania	56.65	55.61	58,005,463	Medium Density	Lower middle income	21-25 deg	85%
Congo Democratic Republic	43.10	57.47	86,790,567	Medium Density	Low income	26-30 deg	75%
Thailand	77.04	70.22	69,625,582	Medium Density	Upper middle income	26-30 deg	75%
France	57.23	53.28	67,059,887	Medium Density	High income	< 10 deg	60%
Germany	47.79	48.82	83,132,799	Medium Density	High income	< 10 deg	60%
Iran	57.95	71.96	82,913,906	Medium Density	Upper middle income	11-20 deg	60%
Italy	47.65	38.68	60,297,396	Medium Density	High income	< 10 deg	60%
South Africa	57.89	57.52	58,558,270	Medium Density	Upper middle income	11-20 deg	60%

GCI Recovery Forecast

The GCI Recovery Forecasting methodology relies on a Monte Carlo simulation model as we recognise that the factors that contribute to an increase / decrease in confirmed COVID19 cases are highly variable and subject to various localised circumstances and interventions. The P10 / P50 / P90 are probabilities assigned to the forecasts, with P10 being highly optimistic, and P90 being very conservative on recovery and reduction in cases. The forecast model is updated daily based on the latest case data.

Forecast Results:

Situation Improving. The GCI Model forecasts that the situation is definitely improving and with the right discipline and compliance, the country can hope to see numbers diminish significantly in the near future.