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Country Rank

109


Myanmar

Recovery Rank for 184 countries/regions

COVID-19 Recovery Rating

3

Recovery Index
50.84
(Out of 100)



(100 = Best, 0 = Worst)

COVID-19 Severity Rating

1

Severity Index
23.58
(Out of 100)



(0 = Best, 100 = Worst)

Stringency Rating

86.96

(100 = Strictest Measures, 0 = No Measures)


Population
54,045,420

(Medium Density)


GNI per capita (US$)

1310

(Lower middle income)
5 Countries who have made the most progress in
curtailing the spread of the pandemic and can be
used as examples of best practices (Relative Rating)

4
3
2 Countries who are struggling to cope with the crisis
and who may need to consider maintaining stringent
non-pharmaceutical measures (Relative Rating)
1
1 Countries who are coping with the crisis with a low percentage
of infections and resulting deaths per population
(Relative Rating)
2
3 Countries who may be overwhelmed by the crisis with a high
percentage of infections and resulting deaths per population
(Relative Rating)
4
5

Travel Advisory


1. Flights to Myanmar are suspended until 30 November 2020. - This does not apply to medevac flights.

2. Passengers must have a medical certificate with a negative Coronavirus (COVID-19) PCR test result issued at most 72 hours before arrival. - This does not apply to nationals of
Myanmar.

3. Passengers are subject to quarantine for 14 days.

4. Airline crew are subject to quarantine until their next scheduled flight.

5. Suspension of all visa exemptions and visa on arrival facilities.

Travel Advisory information provided and published with permission by IATA.


Myanmar Infection Trend


How can you tell if a curve is really flattening?

The number of daily confirmed cases has been used as an estimation of how severe the COVID-19 situation is in a given country. However, we’ve found that focusing on the country’s cumulative number of active cases gives a clearer picture of whether the infection curve is flattening.


Countries with Similar Characteristics


This table is generated by a GCI-developed tool to match countries based on their similar characteristics such as population, population density, income and climate.

Myanmar 50.84 54,045,420 Medium Density Lower middle income 26-30 deg
Country Recovery Index Population Density GNI per capita Average Temperature since First Case (Celsius) Match%
Kenya 54.13 52,573,973 Medium Density Lower middle income 26-30 deg 100%
Egypt 57.73 100,388,073 Medium Density Lower middle income 21-25 deg 85%
Tanzania 37.71 58,005,463 Medium Density Lower middle income 21-25 deg 85%
Congo Democratic Republic 57.17 86,790,567 Medium Density Low income 26-30 deg 75%
Thailand 82.62 69,625,582 Medium Density Upper middle income 26-30 deg 75%
France 28.07 67,059,887 Medium Density High income < 10 deg 60%
Germany 61.37 83,132,799 Medium Density High income < 10 deg 60%
Iran 53.10 82,913,906 Medium Density Upper middle income 11-20 deg 60%
Italy 36.99 60,297,396 Medium Density High income < 10 deg 60%
South Africa 64.32 58,558,270 Medium Density Upper middle income 11-20 deg 60%

GCI Recovery Forecast


The GCI Recovery Forecasting methodology relies on a Monte Carlo simulation model as we recognise that the factors that contribute to an increase / decrease in confirmed COVID19 cases are highly variable and subject to various localised circumstances and interventions. The P10 / P50 / P90 are probabilities assigned to the forecasts, with P10 being highly optimistic, and P90 being very conservative on recovery and reduction in cases. The forecast model is updated daily based on the latest case data.

Forecast Results:

Situation May Improve. The GCI Model indicates that the situation has a small probability of recovery, but there is insufficient evidence to suggest that the recovery trend will improve significantly in the near future.



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