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Country Rank

102


Burundi

Recovery Rank for 184 countries/regions

COVID-19 Recovery Rating

3

Recovery Index
51.99
(Out of 100)



(100 = Best, 0 = Worst)

COVID-19 Severity Rating

1

Severity Index
23.71
(Out of 100)



(0 = Best, 100 = Worst)

Stringency Rating

8.70

(100 = Strictest Measures, 0 = No Measures)


Population
11,530,580

(High Density)


GNI per capita (US$)

280

(Low income)
5 Countries who have made the most progress in
curtailing the spread of the pandemic and can be
used as examples of best practices (Relative Rating)

4
3
2 Countries who are struggling to cope with the crisis
and who may need to consider maintaining stringent
non-pharmaceutical measures (Relative Rating)
1
1 Countries who are coping with the crisis with a low percentage
of infections and resulting deaths per population
(Relative Rating)
2
3 Countries who may be overwhelmed by the crisis with a high
percentage of infections and resulting deaths per population
(Relative Rating)
4
5

Travel Advisory


Flights to Burundi are suspended. - This does not apply to humanitarian, medevac and repatriation flights.

Travel Advisory information provided and published with permission by IATA.


Burundi Infection Trend


How can you tell if a curve is really flattening?

The number of daily confirmed cases has been used as an estimation of how severe the COVID-19 situation is in a given country. However, we’ve found that focusing on the country’s cumulative number of active cases gives a clearer picture of whether the infection curve is flattening.


Countries with Similar Characteristics


This table is generated by a GCI-developed tool to match countries based on their similar characteristics such as population, population density, income and climate.

Burundi 51.99 11,530,580 High Density Low income 21-25 deg
Country Recovery Index Population Density GNI per capita Average Temperature since First Case (Celsius) Match%
Rwanda 69.11 12,626,950 High Density Low income 21-25 deg 100%
Haiti 51.61 11,263,077 High Density Low income 26-30 deg 85%
Taiwan, ROC 77.73 23,603,049 High Density High income 21-25 deg 75%
Belgium 27.38 11,484,055 High Density High income < 10 deg 60%
Netherlands 35.70 17,332,850 High Density High income < 10 deg 60%
Sri Lanka 45.49 21,803,000 High Density Lower middle income 26-30 deg 60%

GCI Recovery Forecast


The GCI Recovery Forecasting methodology relies on a Monte Carlo simulation model as we recognise that the factors that contribute to an increase / decrease in confirmed COVID19 cases are highly variable and subject to various localised circumstances and interventions. The P10 / P50 / P90 are probabilities assigned to the forecasts, with P10 being highly optimistic, and P90 being very conservative on recovery and reduction in cases. The forecast model is updated daily based on the latest case data.

Forecast Results:

Situation May Improve. The GCI Model indicates that the situation has a small probability of recovery, but there is insufficient evidence to suggest that the recovery trend will improve significantly in the near future.



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