The GCI Dashboard

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Country Rank

175


Lebanon

Recovery Rank for 180 countries/regions

Country Rank

182


Lebanon

Recovery Rank for 184 countries/regions

COVID-19 Recovery Rating

2

Recovery Index
34.71
(Out of 100)



(100 = Best, 0 = Worst)

COVID-19 Recovery Rating

1

Recovery Index
18.27
(Out of 100)



(100 = Best, 0 = Worst)

COVID-19 Severity Rating

4

Severity Index
56.59
(Out of 100)



(0 = Best, 100 = Worst)

COVID-19 Severity Rating

3

Severity Index
50.58
(Out of 100)



(0 = Best, 100 = Worst)

Stringency Rating

69.57

(100 = Strictest Measures, 0 = No Measures)


Population
6,855,713

(High Density)


GNI per capita (US$)

7920

(Upper middle income)
5 Countries who have made the most progress in
curtailing the spread of the pandemic and can be
used as examples of best practices (Relative Rating)

4
3
2 Countries who are struggling to cope with the crisis
and who may need to consider maintaining stringent
non-pharmaceutical measures (Relative Rating)
1
1 Countries who are coping with the crisis with a low percentage
of infections and resulting deaths per population
(Relative Rating)
2
3 Countries who may be overwhelmed by the crisis with a high
percentage of infections and resulting deaths per population
(Relative Rating)
4
5

Travel Advisory


1. Passengers must have a medical certificate with a negative Coronavirus (COVID-19) PCR test result issued at most 96 hours before arrival. - This does not apply to: - passengers
younger than 12 years; - passengers returning to Lebanon within 1 week.

2. Passengers arriving from Adana (ADA), Addis Ababa (ADD), Baghdad (BGW), Cairo (CAI) and Istanbul: Ataturk (ISL) and Sabiha Gokcen (SAW) must have a reservation confirmation for
7 days at a designated hotel. - This does not apply to: - passengers returning to Lebanon within 1 week; - passengers with a medical certificate with a positive Coronavirus
(COVID-19) test result issued at least 15 days before arrival; - passengers with a IgG positive test proving presence of antibodies in blood; - passengers with a medical report
proving special needs.

3. Passengers returning to Lebanon within 1 week and arriving from Adana (ADA), Addis Ababa (ADD), Baghdad (BGW), Cairo (CAI) and Istanbul: Ataturk (ISL) and Sabiha Gokcen (SAW)
must have a reservation confirmation for 72 hours at a designated hotel. This does not apply: - passengers with a medical certificate with a positive Coronavirus (COVID-19) test
result issued at least 15 days before arrival; - passengers with a IgG positive test proving presence of antibodies in blood; - passengers with a medical report proving special
needs.

4. Passengers must have a reservation confirmation for 72 hours at a designated hotel. - This does not apply to: - passengers arriving from Adana (ADA), Addis Ababa (ADD), Baghdad
(BGW), Cairo (CAI) and Istanbul: Ataturk (ISL) and Sabiha Gokcen (SAW); - passengers returning to Lebanon within 1 week; - passengers with a Coronavirus (COVID-19) vaccination
certificate; - passengers with a medical certificate with a positive Coronavirus (COVID-19) test result issued at least 15 days before arrival; - passengers with a IgG positive
test proving presence of antibodies in blood; - passengers with a medical report proving special needs.

5. Airline crew must have a reservation confirmation for 48 hours at a designated hotel.

6. Passengers are subject to Coronavirus (COVID-19) PCR test upon arrival. - This does not apply to passengers younger than 12 years.

7. Passengers and airline crew are subject to quarantine. - This does not apply to: - passengers with a Coronavirus (COVID-19) vaccination certificate; - passengers with a medical
certificate with a positive Coronavirus (COVID-19) test result issued at least 15 days before arrival; - passengers with a IgG positive test proving presence of antibodies in
blood; - passengers with a medical report proving special needs.

8. A health declaration form must be completed online at https://arcg.is/0GaDnG .

9. Passengers transiting through Beirut (BEY) to Syria must have a medical certificate with a negative Coronavirus (COVID-19) PCR test result issued at most 96 hours before
departure. - This does not apply to passengers younger than 12 years.

10. Passengers transiting through Beirut (BEY) to Syria must have a pre-approval from the Syrian Authorities. - This does not apply to: - nationals of Syria; - passengers with a
Travel Document for Palestinian Refugees (Document de Voyage pour les Refugies Palestiniens) issued by Syria.

Travel Advisory information provided and published with permission by IATA.


Lebanon Infection Trend


How can you tell if a curve is really flattening?

The number of daily confirmed cases has been used as an estimation of how severe the COVID-19 situation is in a given country. However, we’ve found that focusing on the country’s cumulative number of active cases gives a clearer picture of whether the infection curve is flattening.


Countries with Similar Characteristics


This table is generated by a GCI-developed tool to match countries based on their similar characteristics such as population, population density, income and climate.

Lebanon 18.27 34.71 6,855,713 High Density Upper middle income 11-20 deg
Country Recovery Index Recovery Index Population Density GNI per capita Average Temperature
since First Case (Celsius)
Match%
Jamaica 48.46 76.07 2,948,279 High Density Upper middle income 26-30 deg 85%
Israel 45.46 53.49 9,053,300 High Density High income 11-20 deg 75%
El Salvador 60.67 73.53 6,453,553 High Density Lower middle income 26-30 deg 60%
Mauritius 55.80 76.78 1,265,711 High Density High income 26-30 deg 60%
Trinidad and Tobago 59.11 78.48 1,394,973 High Density High income 26-30 deg 60%

GCI Recovery Forecast


The GCI Recovery Forecasting methodology relies on a Monte Carlo simulation model as we recognise that the factors that contribute to an increase / decrease in confirmed COVID19 cases are highly variable and subject to various localised circumstances and interventions. The P10 / P50 / P90 are probabilities assigned to the forecasts, with P10 being highly optimistic, and P90 being very conservative on recovery and reduction in cases. The forecast model is updated daily based on the latest case data.

Forecast Results:

Situation Worsening. Infections are forecasted to continue to be on the rise. Interventions are required, if not already in place.



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