The GCI Dashboard

Version:
Share: whatsapp
Country Rank

133


Iran

Recovery Rank for 180 countries/regions

Country Rank

144


Iran

Recovery Rank for 184 countries/regions

COVID-19 Recovery Rating

3

Recovery Index
53.08
(Out of 100)



(100 = Best, 0 = Worst)

COVID-19 Recovery Rating

2

Recovery Index
39.41
(Out of 100)



(100 = Best, 0 = Worst)

COVID-19 Severity Rating

2

Severity Index
27.21
(Out of 100)



(0 = Best, 100 = Worst)

COVID-19 Severity Rating

2

Severity Index
40.45
(Out of 100)



(0 = Best, 100 = Worst)

Stringency Rating

86.96

(100 = Strictest Measures, 0 = No Measures)


Population
82,913,906

(Medium Density)


GNI per capita (US$)

5470

(Upper middle income)
5 Countries who have made the most progress in
curtailing the spread of the pandemic and can be
used as examples of best practices (Relative Rating)
4
3
2 Countries who are struggling to cope with the crisis
and who may need to consider maintaining stringent
non-pharmaceutical measures (Relative Rating)
1
1 Countries who are coping with the crisis with a low percentage
of infections and resulting deaths per population
(Relative Rating)
2
3 Countries who may be overwhelmed by the crisis with a high
percentage of infections and resulting deaths per population
(Relative Rating)
4
5

Travel Advisory


1. Flights from the United Kingdom are suspended.

2. Suspension of visa on arrival facilities for passengers traveling as tourists.

3. E-visas can be obtained before departure at http://e_visa.mfa.ir/en/ . Passengers must have an e-visa confirmation.

4. Passengers who in the past 14 days have been in or transited for more than 4 hours through Botswana, Brazil, Czechia, Iraq, Ireland (Rep.), Lesotho, Malawi, Mozambique,
Slovakia, South Africa, United Kingdom or Zambia are not allowed to enter.

5. Passengers must have a negative COVID-19 PCR test result issued at most 96 hours before arrival. The test result must be in English or approved by an Iranian consulate. - This
does not apply to passengers younger than 8 years.

6. Passengers arriving from or who have transited for more than 4 hours through Albania, Andorra, Bahrain, Bolivia, Bosnia and Herzegovina, Colombia, Egypt, Estonia, Hungary,
Jordan, Kosovo (Rep.), Lebanon, Lithuania, Malta, Moldova (Rep.), Montenegro, North Macedonia (Rep.), Palestinian Territory, Serbia, Seychelles, Slovenia, St. Lucia, Sweden, Syria,
Tanzania or United Arab Emirates are subject to COVID-19 test upon arrival and quarantine at their own expense.

7. A completed Self-Declaration Form must be presented to the carrier before arrival. The form can be obtained at https://www.cao.ir/web/aeronautical-operations-monitoring/maunual
.

8. A completed "Passenger Commitment Letter" must be presented upon arrival. The form can be found at https://tinyurl.com/y39wc2oz .

Travel Advisory information provided and published with permission by IATA.

Iran Infection Trend


How can you tell if a curve is really flattening?

The number of daily confirmed cases has been used as an estimation of how severe the COVID-19 situation is in a given country. However, we’ve found that focusing on the country’s cumulative number of active cases gives a clearer picture of whether the infection curve is flattening.


Countries with Similar Characteristics


This table is generated by a GCI-developed tool to match countries based on their similar characteristics such as population, population density, income and climate.

Iran 39.41 53.08 82,913,906 Medium Density Upper middle income 11-20 deg
Country Recovery Index Recovery Index Population Density GNI per capita Average Temperature
since First Case (Celsius)		 Match%
South Africa 66.55 75.69 58,558,270 Medium Density Upper middle income 11-20 deg 100%
Turkey 42.78 36.71 83,429,615 Medium Density Upper middle income 11-20 deg 100%
Thailand 67.30 74.71 69,625,582 Medium Density Upper middle income 26-30 deg 85%
Congo Democratic Republic 52.08 64.82 86,790,567 Medium Density Low income 26-30 deg 60%
Egypt 40.89 49.01 100,388,073 Medium Density Lower middle income 21-25 deg 60%
France 41.36 45.63 67,059,887 Medium Density High income < 10 deg 60%
Germany 60.24 72.82 83,132,799 Medium Density High income < 10 deg 60%
Italy 37.83 56.46 60,297,396 Medium Density High income < 10 deg 60%
Kenya 39.94 48.12 52,573,973 Medium Density Lower middle income 26-30 deg 60%
Myanmar 62.10 83.59 54,045,420 Medium Density Lower middle income 26-30 deg 60%

GCI Recovery Forecast


The GCI Recovery Forecasting methodology relies on a Monte Carlo simulation model as we recognise that the factors that contribute to an increase / decrease in confirmed COVID19 cases are highly variable and subject to various localised circumstances and interventions. The P10 / P50 / P90 are probabilities assigned to the forecasts, with P10 being highly optimistic, and P90 being very conservative on recovery and reduction in cases. The forecast model is updated daily based on the latest case data.

Forecast Results:

Situation Worsening. Infections are forecasted to continue to be on the rise. Interventions are required, if not already in place.



Reviewed and Endorsed by:

In Collaboration and
Partnership with:

image

Key Sponsors:

image
image
image

Copyright © PEMANDU Associates. All Rights Reserved. Disclaimers

Powered by: image