The Global COVID-19 Index (GCI) - Iran Dashboard

The GCI Dashboard

Country Rank

91

Iran

Recovery Rank for 184 countries/regions

COVID-19 Recovery Rating

3

Recovery Index
52.94
(Out of 100)

(100 = Best, 0 = Worst)

COVID-19 Severity Rating

3

Severity Index
57.10
(Out of 100)

(0 = Best, 100 = Worst)

Stringency Rating

69.57

(100 = Strictest Measures, 0 = No Measures)

Population

82,913,906

(Medium Density)

GNI per capita (US$)

5470

(Upper middle income)

COVID-19 Recovery Rating Guide

5	Countries who have made the most progress in curtailing the spread of the pandemic and can be used as examples of best practices (Relative Rating)
4
3
2	Countries who are struggling to cope with the crisis and who may need to consider maintaining stringent non-pharmaceutical measures (Relative Rating)
1

COVID-19 Severity Rating Guide

1	Countries who are coping with the crisis with a low percentage of infections and resulting deaths per population (Relative Rating)
2
3	Countries who may be overwhelmed by the crisis with a high percentage of infections and resulting deaths per population (Relative Rating)
4
5

Travel Advisory

Iran - published 16.09.2020

1. Suspension of visa on arrival facilities for passengers traveling as tourists. 2. E-visas can be obtained before departure at http://e_visa.mfa.ir/en/ . Passengers must have an e-visa confirmation. 3. Nationals of Iran who stayed abroad longer than 2 weeks and who do not have a medical certificate with a Coronavirus (COVID-19) Molecular test, written in English or approved by an Iranian consulate, are subject to Coronavirus (COVID-19) PCR test and quarantine. 4. Passengers must have a medical certificate with a Coronavirus (COVID-19) Molecular test issued at most 96 hours before arrival. The certificate must be in English or approved by an Iranian consulate. Passengers with a medical certificate issued longer than 96 hours before arrival are subject to medical screening, Coronavirus (COVID-19) PCR test and quarantine, at their own expense. - This does not apply to passengers with a consular, diplomatic, official, service or special or passports traveling on duty. 5. Passengers with a consular, diplomatic, official, service or special passport are subject to medical screening upon arrival, Coronavirus (COVID-19) PCR test and quarantine. 6. Passengers are subject to medical screening and quarantine. 7. A completed Self-Declaration Form must be presented to the carrier before arrival.

Travel Advisory information provided and published with permission by IATA.

1. Suspension of visa on arrival facilities for passengers traveling as tourists.

2. E-visas can be obtained before departure at http://e_visa.mfa.ir/en/ . Passengers must have an e-visa confirmation.

3. Nationals of Iran who stayed abroad longer than 2 weeks and who do not have a medical certificate with a Coronavirus (COVID-19) Molecular test, written in English or approved
by an Iranian consulate, are subject to Coronavirus (COVID-19) PCR test and quarantine.

4. Passengers must have a medical certificate with a Coronavirus (COVID-19) Molecular test issued at most 96 hours before arrival. The certificate must be in English or approved
by an Iranian consulate. Passengers with a medical certificate issued longer than 96 hours before arrival are subject to medical screening, Coronavirus (COVID-19) PCR test and
quarantine, at their own expense. - This does not apply to passengers with a consular, diplomatic, official, service or special or passports traveling on duty.

5. Passengers with a consular, diplomatic, official, service or special passport are subject to medical screening upon arrival, Coronavirus (COVID-19) PCR test and quarantine.

6. Passengers are subject to medical screening and quarantine.

7. A completed Self-Declaration Form must be presented to the carrier before arrival.

Travel Advisory information provided and published with permission by IATA.

Iran Infection Trend

How can you tell if a curve is really flattening?

The number of daily confirmed cases has been used as an estimation of how severe the COVID-19 situation is in a given country. However, we’ve found that focusing on the country’s cumulative number of active cases gives a clearer picture of whether the infection curve is flattening.

Countries with Similar Characteristics

This table is generated by a GCI-developed tool to match countries based on their similar characteristics such as population, population density, income and climate.

Country	Recovery Index	Population	Density	GNI per capita	Average Temperature since First Case (Celsius)	Match%
Iran	52.94	82,913,906	Medium Density	Upper middle income	11-20 deg
South Africa	63.31	58,558,270	Medium Density	Upper middle income	11-20 deg	100%
Turkey	65.11	83,429,615	Medium Density	Upper middle income	11-20 deg	100%
Thailand	82.15	69,625,582	Medium Density	Upper middle income	26-30 deg	85%
Congo Democratic Republic	57.06	86,790,567	Medium Density	Low income	26-30 deg	60%
Egypt	57.73	100,388,073	Medium Density	Lower middle income	21-25 deg	60%
France	27.50	67,059,887	Medium Density	High income	< 10 deg	60%
Germany	68.28	83,132,799	Medium Density	High income	< 10 deg	60%
Italy	47.84	60,297,396	Medium Density	High income	< 10 deg	60%
Kenya	54.34	52,573,973	Medium Density	Lower middle income	26-30 deg	60%
Myanmar	45.19	54,045,420	Medium Density	Lower middle income	26-30 deg	60%

GCI Recovery Forecast

The GCI Recovery Forecasting methodology relies on a Monte Carlo simulation model as we recognise that the factors that contribute to an increase / decrease in confirmed COVID19 cases are highly variable and subject to various localised circumstances and interventions. The P10 / P50 / P90 are probabilities assigned to the forecasts, with P10 being highly optimistic, and P90 being very conservative on recovery and reduction in cases. The forecast model is updated daily based on the latest case data.

Forecast Results:

Situation Worsening. Infections are forecasted to continue to be on the rise. Interventions are required, if not already in place.

In Collaboration and
Partnership with:

Key Sponsors: