The GCI Dashboard

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Country Rank

125


Romania

Recovery Rank for 184 countries/regions

COVID-19 Recovery Rating

3

Recovery Index
46.04
(Out of 100)



(100 = Best, 0 = Worst)

COVID-19 Severity Rating

2

Severity Index
42.66
(Out of 100)



(0 = Best, 100 = Worst)

Stringency Rating

60.87

(100 = Strictest Measures, 0 = No Measures)


Population
19,356,544

(Medium Density)


GNI per capita (US$)

11300

(High income)
5 Countries who have made the most progress in
curtailing the spread of the pandemic and can be
used as examples of best practices (Relative Rating)

4
3
2 Countries who are struggling to cope with the crisis
and who may need to consider maintaining stringent
non-pharmaceutical measures (Relative Rating)
1
1 Countries who are coping with the crisis with a low percentage
of infections and resulting deaths per population
(Relative Rating)
2
3 Countries who may be overwhelmed by the crisis with a high
percentage of infections and resulting deaths per population
(Relative Rating)
4
5

Travel Advisory


1. Passengers are not allowed to enter until 13 November 2020. This does not apply to: - nationals and residents of Andorra, Austria, Belgium, Bulgaria, Croatia, Cyprus, Czechia,
Denmark, Estonia, Finland, France, Germany, Greece, Hungary, Iceland, Ireland (Rep.), Italy, Latvia, Liechtenstein, Lithuania, Luxembourg, Malta, Monaco, Netherlands, Norway,
Poland, Portugal, Romania, San Marino, Slovakia, Slovenia, Spain, Sweden, Switzerland and Vatican City (Holy See); - British nationals; - family members of a national of an EEA
Member State or Switzerland, with a residence permit issued to family members of a Union Citizen by Austria, Belgium, Bulgaria, Croatia, Cyprus, Czechia, Denmark, Estonia, Finland,
France, Germany, Greece, Hungary, Iceland, Ireland (Rep.), Italy, Latvia, Liechtenstein, Lithuania, Luxembourg, Malta, Norway, Poland, Portugal, Romania, Slovakia, Slovenia, Spain,
Sweden, Switzerland or the United Kingdom; - passengers with a long-stay visa issued by an EU Member State; - passengers arriving from Algeria, Andorra, Australia, Austria,
Belgium, Bulgaria, Canada, Croatia, Cyprus, Czechia, Denmark, Estonia, Finland, France, Georgia, Germany, Greece, Hungary, Iceland, Ireland (Rep.), Italy, Japan, Korea (Rep.),
Latvia, Liechtenstein, Lithuania, Luxembourg, Malta, Monaco, Morocco, Netherlands, New Zealand, Norway, Poland, Portugal, Romania, Rwanda, Slovakia, Slovenia, Spain, Sweden,
Switzerland, Thailand, Tunisia, Uruguay and Vatican City (Holy See); - military personnel; - merchant seamen; - nationals of Moldova (Rep.) with a biometric passport traveling via
Romania for a maximum of 36 hours; - nationals of Moldova (Rep.) with a non-biometric passport and a transit visa; - students.

2. Flights from Andorra, Argentina, Armenia, Bahamas, Bahrain, Costa Rica, French Polynesia, Gibraltar, Guam, Montenegro or Puerto Rico are suspended until 13 November 2020. -
This does not apply to humanitarian and medevac flights.

3. Passengers could be subject to quarantine.

Travel Advisory information provided and published with permission by IATA.


Romania Infection Trend


How can you tell if a curve is really flattening?

The number of daily confirmed cases has been used as an estimation of how severe the COVID-19 situation is in a given country. However, we’ve found that focusing on the country’s cumulative number of active cases gives a clearer picture of whether the infection curve is flattening.


Countries with Similar Characteristics


This table is generated by a GCI-developed tool to match countries based on their similar characteristics such as population, population density, income and climate.

Romania 46.04 19,356,544 Medium Density High income < 10 deg
Country Recovery Index Population Density GNI per capita Average Temperature since First Case (Celsius) Match%
Czech Republic 25.45 10,669,709 Medium Density High income < 10 deg 100%
Poland 31.79 37,970,874 Medium Density High income < 10 deg 100%
Greece 37.60 10,716,322 Medium Density High income 11-20 deg 85%
Portugal 41.78 10,269,417 Medium Density High income 11-20 deg 85%
Spain 43.53 47,076,781 Medium Density High income 11-20 deg 85%
Afghanistan 52.78 38,041,754 Medium Density Low income 11-20 deg 60%
Benin 52.42 11,801,151 Medium Density Lower middle income > 30 deg 60%
Burkina Faso 54.21 20,321,378 Medium Density Low income > 30 deg 60%
Cambodia 59.74 16,486,542 Medium Density Lower middle income 26-30 deg 60%
Cameroon 55.94 25,876,380 Medium Density Lower middle income 26-30 deg 60%

GCI Recovery Forecast


The GCI Recovery Forecasting methodology relies on a Monte Carlo simulation model as we recognise that the factors that contribute to an increase / decrease in confirmed COVID19 cases are highly variable and subject to various localised circumstances and interventions. The P10 / P50 / P90 are probabilities assigned to the forecasts, with P10 being highly optimistic, and P90 being very conservative on recovery and reduction in cases. The forecast model is updated daily based on the latest case data.

Forecast Results:

Situation Worsening. Infections are forecasted to continue to be on the rise. Interventions are required, if not already in place.



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