The GCI Dashboard

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Country Rank

43


Romania

Recovery Rank for 180 countries/regions

Country Rank

75


Romania

Recovery Rank for 184 countries/regions

COVID-19 Recovery Rating

4

Recovery Index
73.60
(Out of 100)



(100 = Best, 0 = Worst)

COVID-19 Recovery Rating

3

Recovery Index
55.15
(Out of 100)



(100 = Best, 0 = Worst)

COVID-19 Severity Rating

3

Severity Index
47.01
(Out of 100)



(0 = Best, 100 = Worst)

COVID-19 Severity Rating

3

Severity Index
46.21
(Out of 100)



(0 = Best, 100 = Worst)

Stringency Rating

78.26

(100 = Strictest Measures, 0 = No Measures)


Population
19,356,544

(Medium Density)


GNI per capita (US$)

11300

(High income)
5 Countries who have made the most progress in
curtailing the spread of the pandemic and can be
used as examples of best practices (Relative Rating)

4
3
2 Countries who are struggling to cope with the crisis
and who may need to consider maintaining stringent
non-pharmaceutical measures (Relative Rating)
1
1 Countries who are coping with the crisis with a low percentage
of infections and resulting deaths per population
(Relative Rating)
2
3 Countries who may be overwhelmed by the crisis with a high
percentage of infections and resulting deaths per population
(Relative Rating)
4
5

Travel Advisory


1. Passengers are not allowed to enter until 13 February 2021. This does not apply to: - nationals and residents of Andorra, Austria, Belgium, Bulgaria, Croatia, Cyprus, Czechia,
Denmark, Estonia, Finland, France, Germany, Greece, Hungary, Iceland, Ireland (Rep.), Italy, Latvia, Liechtenstein, Lithuania, Luxembourg, Malta, Monaco, Netherlands, Norway,
Poland, Portugal, Romania, San Marino, Slovakia, Slovenia, Spain, Sweden, Switzerland and Vatican City (Holy See); - family members of a national of an EEA Member State or
Switzerland, with a residence permit issued to family members of a Union Citizen by Austria, Belgium, Bulgaria, Croatia, Cyprus, Czechia, Denmark, Estonia, Finland, France,
Germany, Greece, Hungary, Iceland, Ireland (Rep.), Italy, Latvia, Liechtenstein, Lithuania, Luxembourg, Malta, Norway, Poland, Portugal, Romania, Slovakia, Slovenia, Spain, Sweden
or Switzerland; - passengers with a long-stay visa issued by an EU Member State; - passengers arriving from Andorra, Australia, Austria, Belgium, Bulgaria, Croatia, Cyprus,
Czechia, Denmark, Estonia, Finland, France, Germany, Greece, Hungary, Iceland, Ireland (Rep.), Italy, Japan, Korea (Rep.), Latvia, Liechtenstein, Lithuania, Luxembourg, Malta,
Monaco, Netherlands, New Zealand, Norway, Poland, Portugal, Romania, Rwanda, San Marino, Singapore, Slovakia, Slovenia, Spain, Sweden, Switzerland, Thailand, Uruguay and Vatican
City (Holy See); - military personnel; - merchant seamen; - nationals of Moldova (Rep.) with a biometric passport traveling via Romania for a maximum of 36 hours; - nationals of
Moldova (Rep.) with a non-biometric passport and a transit visa; - students.

2. Flights from Andorra, Belize, Curacao, Georgia, Gibraltar, Moldova (Rep.), Montenegro, Palestinian Territory, Panama, Puerto Rico, St. Maarten or USA are suspended until 12
January 2021. - This does not apply to humanitarian and medevac flights.

3. Passengers could be subject to quarantine.

4. Residence permits issued by Romania which have expired are considered valid with an extension of 90 days after 13 November 2020.

5. Passengers arriving from the United Kingdom must have a medical certificate with a negative Coronavirus (COVID-19) SARS-CoV2 RT-PCR or SARS-CoV2 Rapid Antigen test result
issued at most 48 hours before arrival.

Travel Advisory information provided and published with permission by IATA.


Romania Infection Trend


How can you tell if a curve is really flattening?

The number of daily confirmed cases has been used as an estimation of how severe the COVID-19 situation is in a given country. However, we’ve found that focusing on the country’s cumulative number of active cases gives a clearer picture of whether the infection curve is flattening.


Countries with Similar Characteristics


This table is generated by a GCI-developed tool to match countries based on their similar characteristics such as population, population density, income and climate.

Romania 55.15 73.60 19,356,544 Medium Density High income < 10 deg
Country Recovery Index Recovery Index Population Density GNI per capita Average Temperature
since First Case (Celsius)
Match%
Czech Republic 31.12 53.63 10,669,709 Medium Density High income < 10 deg 100%
Poland 44.08 56.27 37,970,874 Medium Density High income < 10 deg 100%
Greece 39.89 56.60 10,716,322 Medium Density High income 11-20 deg 85%
Portugal 38.20 48.80 10,269,417 Medium Density High income 11-20 deg 85%
Spain 42.04 48.05 47,076,781 Medium Density High income 11-20 deg 85%
Afghanistan 51.75 63.86 38,041,754 Medium Density Low income 11-20 deg 60%
Benin 52.47 65.12 11,801,151 Medium Density Lower middle income > 30 deg 60%
Burkina Faso 47.56 63.40 20,321,378 Medium Density Low income > 30 deg 60%
Cambodia 54.76 57.85 16,486,542 Medium Density Lower middle income 26-30 deg 60%
Cameroon 56.69 66.66 25,876,380 Medium Density Lower middle income 26-30 deg 60%

GCI Recovery Forecast


The GCI Recovery Forecasting methodology relies on a Monte Carlo simulation model as we recognise that the factors that contribute to an increase / decrease in confirmed COVID19 cases are highly variable and subject to various localised circumstances and interventions. The P10 / P50 / P90 are probabilities assigned to the forecasts, with P10 being highly optimistic, and P90 being very conservative on recovery and reduction in cases. The forecast model is updated daily based on the latest case data.

Forecast Results:

Situation May Improve. The GCI Model indicates that the situation has a small probability of recovery, but there is insufficient evidence to suggest that the recovery trend will improve significantly in the near future.



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