The GCI Dashboard

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Country Rank

36


Croatia

Recovery Rank for 180 countries/regions

Country Rank

21


Croatia

Recovery Rank for 184 countries/regions

COVID-19 Recovery Rating

4

Recovery Index
74.54
(Out of 100)



(100 = Best, 0 = Worst)

COVID-19 Recovery Rating

4

Recovery Index
65.66
(Out of 100)



(100 = Best, 0 = Worst)

COVID-19 Severity Rating

5

Severity Index
76.53
(Out of 100)



(0 = Best, 100 = Worst)

COVID-19 Severity Rating

3

Severity Index
57.47
(Out of 100)



(0 = Best, 100 = Worst)

Stringency Rating

47.83

(100 = Strictest Measures, 0 = No Measures)


Population
4,067,500

(Medium Density)


GNI per capita (US$)

14000

(High income)
5 Countries who have made the most progress in
curtailing the spread of the pandemic and can be
used as examples of best practices (Relative Rating)

4
3
2 Countries who are struggling to cope with the crisis
and who may need to consider maintaining stringent
non-pharmaceutical measures (Relative Rating)
1
1 Countries who are coping with the crisis with a low percentage
of infections and resulting deaths per population
(Relative Rating)
2
3 Countries who may be overwhelmed by the crisis with a high
percentage of infections and resulting deaths per population
(Relative Rating)
4
5

Travel Advisory


1. Passengers are not allowed to enter until 31 January 2021. This does not apply to: - nationals of Andorra, Austria, Belgium, Bulgaria, Croatia, Cyprus, Czechia, Denmark,
Estonia, Finland, France, Germany, Greece, Hungary, Iceland, Ireland (Rep.), Italy, Latvia, Liechtenstein, Lithuania, Luxembourg, Malta, Monaco, Netherlands, Norway, Poland,
Portugal, Romania, San Marino, Slovakia, Slovenia, Spain, Sweden, Switzerland and Vatican City (Holy See) and their family members; - passengers with a long term residence permit
or a long term "D" visa issued by Austria, Belgium, Bulgaria, Croatia, Cyprus, Czechia, Denmark, Estonia, Finland, France, Germany, Greece, Hungary, Iceland, Ireland (Rep.), Italy,
Latvia, Liechtenstein, Lithuania, Luxembourg, Malta, Netherlands, Norway, Poland, Portugal, Romania, Slovakia, Slovenia, Spain, Sweden or Switzerland; - passengers entering Croatia
to transit by land to a third country for a maximum stay of 12 hours. They must prove that they can enter the destination country; - passengers traveling on business with an
invitation letter from a company in Croatia; - passengers with a diplomatic passport traveling on duty; - passengers traveling as students; - merchant seamen; - military personnel.

2. Passports and national ID cards issued to nationals of Croatia which expired on 11 March 2020 or later are considered valid.

3. Passengers arriving from South Africa or United Kingdom must have a medical certificate with a negative Coronavirus (COVID-19) PCR test result issued at most 48 hours before
arrival. They are subject to self-isolation for 14 days.

4. Passengers not arriving from South Africa or United Kingdom without a medical certificate with a negative Coronavirus (COVID-19) PCR test result issued at most 48 hours before
arrival are subject to a PCR test upon arrival at their own expense and self-isolation; details can be found at https://mup.gov.hr/uzg-covid/english/286212 .

5. A completed "Enter Croatia Form" must be presented upon arrival. The form can be submitted online before departure at https://entercroatia.mup.hr/ . - This does not apply to
nationals and residents of Croatia.

6. A completed "Passenger Locator Form" must be presented upon arrival. The form can be found at:
https://static.vueling.com/corporative7/media/1167/passengerlocatorform-en-icao.pdf . - This does not apply to nationals and residents of Croatia.

7. For more information, please refer to the website https://mup.gov.hr/uzg-covid/english/286212.

Travel Advisory information provided and published with permission by IATA.


Croatia Infection Trend


How can you tell if a curve is really flattening?

The number of daily confirmed cases has been used as an estimation of how severe the COVID-19 situation is in a given country. However, we’ve found that focusing on the country’s cumulative number of active cases gives a clearer picture of whether the infection curve is flattening.


Countries with Similar Characteristics


This table is generated by a GCI-developed tool to match countries based on their similar characteristics such as population, population density, income and climate.

Croatia 65.66 74.54 4,067,500 Medium Density High income 11-20 deg
Country Recovery Index Recovery Index Population Density GNI per capita Average Temperature
since First Case (Celsius)
Match%
Hungary 27.57 43.86 9,769,949 Medium Density High income 11-20 deg 100%
Austria 71.36 76.76 8,877,067 Medium Density High income < 10 deg 85%
Denmark 79.27 79.15 5,818,553 Medium Density High income < 10 deg 85%
Estonia 37.04 46.63 1,326,590 Medium Density High income < 10 deg 85%
Ireland 26.18 33.33 4,941,444 Medium Density High income < 10 deg 85%
Kuwait 63.00 78.37 4,207,083 Medium Density High income 21-25 deg 85%
Latvia 50.06 54.34 1,912,789 Medium Density High income < 10 deg 85%
Lithuania 32.10 42.20 2,786,844 Medium Density High income < 10 deg 85%
Panama 34.35 47.77 4,246,439 Medium Density High income 26-30 deg 85%
Qatar 63.75 82.32 2,832,067 Medium Density High income 26-30 deg 85%

GCI Recovery Forecast


The GCI Recovery Forecasting methodology relies on a Monte Carlo simulation model as we recognise that the factors that contribute to an increase / decrease in confirmed COVID19 cases are highly variable and subject to various localised circumstances and interventions. The P10 / P50 / P90 are probabilities assigned to the forecasts, with P10 being highly optimistic, and P90 being very conservative on recovery and reduction in cases. The forecast model is updated daily based on the latest case data.

Forecast Results:

Situation May Improve. The GCI Model indicates that the situation has a small probability of recovery, but there is insufficient evidence to suggest that the recovery trend will improve significantly in the near future.



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