The GCI Dashboard

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Country Rank

98


Venezuela

Recovery Rank for 180 countries/regions

Country Rank

117


Venezuela

Recovery Rank for 184 countries/regions

COVID-19 Recovery Rating

3

Recovery Index
62.95
(Out of 100)



(100 = Best, 0 = Worst)

COVID-19 Recovery Rating

3

Recovery Index
45.18
(Out of 100)



(100 = Best, 0 = Worst)

COVID-19 Severity Rating

2

Severity Index
14.55
(Out of 100)



(0 = Best, 100 = Worst)

COVID-19 Severity Rating

1

Severity Index
21.28
(Out of 100)



(0 = Best, 100 = Worst)

Stringency Rating

91.30

(100 = Strictest Measures, 0 = No Measures)


Population
28,515,829

(Medium Density)


GNI per capita (US$)

13080

(Upper middle income)
5 Countries who have made the most progress in
curtailing the spread of the pandemic and can be
used as examples of best practices (Relative Rating)

4
3
2 Countries who are struggling to cope with the crisis
and who may need to consider maintaining stringent
non-pharmaceutical measures (Relative Rating)
1
1 Countries who are coping with the crisis with a low percentage
of infections and resulting deaths per population
(Relative Rating)
2
3 Countries who may be overwhelmed by the crisis with a high
percentage of infections and resulting deaths per population
(Relative Rating)
4
5

Travel Advisory


1. Flights to Venezuela are suspended until 18 April 2021. - This does not apply to: - flights from Bolivia, Dominican Rep., Mexico, Panama or Turkey; - humanitarian, medevac and
repatriation flights.

2. Passengers entering or transiting through Venezuela must have a medical certificate with a negative Coronavirus (COVID-19) PCR test result issued at most 72 hours before
arrival. - This does not apply to passengers younger than 1 year.

3. Passengers must register online before departure at http://pasedesalud.casalab.com.ve/. This will generate a QR code which must be presented upon arrival.

4. Passengers must obtain an airport entry authorization before disembarking.

5. Passengers are subject to a Coronavirus (COVID-19) PCR test upon arrival at their own expense.

6. Airline crew are subject to quarantine until their next flight.

Travel Advisory information provided and published with permission by IATA.


Venezuela Infection Trend


How can you tell if a curve is really flattening?

The number of daily confirmed cases has been used as an estimation of how severe the COVID-19 situation is in a given country. However, we’ve found that focusing on the country’s cumulative number of active cases gives a clearer picture of whether the infection curve is flattening.


Countries with Similar Characteristics


This table is generated by a GCI-developed tool to match countries based on their similar characteristics such as population, population density, income and climate.

Venezuela 45.18 62.95 28,515,829 Medium Density Upper middle income 26-30 deg
Country Recovery Index Recovery Index Population Density GNI per capita Average Temperature
since First Case (Celsius)
Match%
Colombia 56.05 71.68 50,339,443 Medium Density Upper middle income 26-30 deg 100%
Cuba 61.44 78.14 11,333,483 Medium Density Upper middle income 26-30 deg 100%
Guatemala 53.24 67.77 16,604,026 Medium Density Upper middle income 26-30 deg 100%
Malaysia 71.30 82.56 31,949,777 Medium Density Upper middle income 26-30 deg 100%
Dominican Republic 41.14 63.52 10,738,958 Medium Density Upper middle income 21-25 deg 85%
Ecuador 51.61 59.65 17,373,662 Medium Density Upper middle income 21-25 deg 85%
Iraq 45.50 57.60 39,309,783 Medium Density Upper middle income 21-25 deg 85%
Jordan 46.49 53.46 10,101,694 Medium Density Upper middle income 11-20 deg 85%
Cambodia 35.21 46.52 16,486,542 Medium Density Lower middle income 26-30 deg 75%
Cameroon 30.78 37.30 25,876,380 Medium Density Lower middle income 26-30 deg 75%

GCI Recovery Forecast


The GCI Recovery Forecasting methodology relies on a Monte Carlo simulation model as we recognise that the factors that contribute to an increase / decrease in confirmed COVID19 cases are highly variable and subject to various localised circumstances and interventions. The P10 / P50 / P90 are probabilities assigned to the forecasts, with P10 being highly optimistic, and P90 being very conservative on recovery and reduction in cases. The forecast model is updated daily based on the latest case data.

Forecast Results:

Situation Worsening. Infections are forecasted to continue to be on the rise. Interventions are required, if not already in place.



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