The GCI Dashboard

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Country Rank

102


Tunisia

Recovery Rank for 180 countries/regions

Country Rank

130


Tunisia

Recovery Rank for 184 countries/regions

COVID-19 Recovery Rating

3

Recovery Index
61.39
(Out of 100)



(100 = Best, 0 = Worst)

COVID-19 Recovery Rating

2

Recovery Index
43.06
(Out of 100)



(100 = Best, 0 = Worst)

COVID-19 Severity Rating

3

Severity Index
40.63
(Out of 100)



(0 = Best, 100 = Worst)

COVID-19 Severity Rating

2

Severity Index
39.41
(Out of 100)



(0 = Best, 100 = Worst)

Stringency Rating

82.61

(100 = Strictest Measures, 0 = No Measures)


Population
11,694,719

(Medium Density)


GNI per capita (US$)

3500

(Lower middle income)
5 Countries who have made the most progress in
curtailing the spread of the pandemic and can be
used as examples of best practices (Relative Rating)

4
3
2 Countries who are struggling to cope with the crisis
and who may need to consider maintaining stringent
non-pharmaceutical measures (Relative Rating)
1
1 Countries who are coping with the crisis with a low percentage
of infections and resulting deaths per population
(Relative Rating)
2
3 Countries who may be overwhelmed by the crisis with a high
percentage of infections and resulting deaths per population
(Relative Rating)
4
5

Travel Advisory


1. Flights from Brazil, South Africa and United Kingdom are suspended until 7 March 2021. - This does not apply to humanitarian and medevac flights.

2. Passengers arriving from Brazil, South Africa or United Kingdom are not allowed to enter and transit until 7 March 2021.

3. Passengers must complete a Health Declaration form before departure at https://app.e7mi.tn . A QR code generated from the completed form must be presented prior to boarding and
to immigration upon arrival.

4. Passengers entering or transiting through Tunisia must have a printed medical certificate with a negative Coronavirus (COVID-19) RT-PCR test result issued at most 72 hours
before departure from the first embarkation point. The certificate must be in Arabic, English or French. - This does not apply to: - passengers younger than 12 years; - passengers
traveling as part of an organized all inclusive tour.

5. Passengers must have a confirmed hotel reservation for 7 days booked at https://www.destinationtunisie.info/entrer-tunisie-conditions-confinement/.

6. Passengers could be subject to Coronavirus (COVID-19) test on day 8 after arrival at their own expense.

7. Passengers could be subject to self-quarantine for up to 14 days.

Travel Advisory information provided and published with permission by IATA.


Tunisia Infection Trend


How can you tell if a curve is really flattening?

The number of daily confirmed cases has been used as an estimation of how severe the COVID-19 situation is in a given country. However, we’ve found that focusing on the country’s cumulative number of active cases gives a clearer picture of whether the infection curve is flattening.


Countries with Similar Characteristics


This table is generated by a GCI-developed tool to match countries based on their similar characteristics such as population, population density, income and climate.

Tunisia 43.06 61.39 11,694,719 Medium Density Lower middle income 11-20 deg
Country Recovery Index Recovery Index Population Density GNI per capita Average Temperature
since First Case (Celsius)
Match%
Morocco 65.94 75.55 36,471,769 Medium Density Lower middle income 11-20 deg 100%
Nepal 61.98 72.92 28,608,710 Medium Density Lower middle income 11-20 deg 100%
Ukraine 41.78 69.07 44,385,155 Medium Density Lower middle income 11-20 deg 100%
Uzbekistan 55.12 69.02 33,580,650 Medium Density Lower middle income 11-20 deg 100%
Benin 41.18 42.67 11,801,151 Medium Density Lower middle income > 30 deg 85%
Cambodia 35.56 46.85 16,486,542 Medium Density Lower middle income 26-30 deg 85%
Cameroon 52.43 60.21 25,876,380 Medium Density Lower middle income 26-30 deg 85%
Ghana 57.99 70.69 30,417,856 Medium Density Lower middle income > 30 deg 85%
Ivory Coast 61.10 71.13 25,716,544 Medium Density Lower middle income 26-30 deg 85%
Senegal 52.35 60.45 16,296,364 Medium Density Lower middle income > 30 deg 85%

GCI Recovery Forecast


The GCI Recovery Forecasting methodology relies on a Monte Carlo simulation model as we recognise that the factors that contribute to an increase / decrease in confirmed COVID19 cases are highly variable and subject to various localised circumstances and interventions. The P10 / P50 / P90 are probabilities assigned to the forecasts, with P10 being highly optimistic, and P90 being very conservative on recovery and reduction in cases. The forecast model is updated daily based on the latest case data.

Forecast Results:

Situation May Improve. The GCI Model indicates that the situation has a small probability of recovery, but there is insufficient evidence to suggest that the recovery trend will improve significantly in the near future.



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