The GCI Dashboard

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Country Rank

3


Iceland

Recovery Rank for 180 countries/regions

Country Rank

7


Iceland

Recovery Rank for 184 countries/regions

COVID-19 Recovery Rating

5

Recovery Index
91.41
(Out of 100)



(100 = Best, 0 = Worst)

COVID-19 Recovery Rating

5

Recovery Index
76.16
(Out of 100)



(100 = Best, 0 = Worst)

COVID-19 Severity Rating

1

Severity Index
8.81
(Out of 100)



(0 = Best, 100 = Worst)

COVID-19 Severity Rating

1

Severity Index
20.66
(Out of 100)



(0 = Best, 100 = Worst)

Stringency Rating

65.22

(100 = Strictest Measures, 0 = No Measures)


Population
361,313

(Low Density)


GNI per capita (US$)

68120

(High income)
5 Countries who have made the most progress in
curtailing the spread of the pandemic and can be
used as examples of best practices (Relative Rating)
4
3
2 Countries who are struggling to cope with the crisis
and who may need to consider maintaining stringent
non-pharmaceutical measures (Relative Rating)
1
1 Countries who are coping with the crisis with a low percentage
of infections and resulting deaths per population
(Relative Rating)
2
3 Countries who may be overwhelmed by the crisis with a high
percentage of infections and resulting deaths per population
(Relative Rating)
4
5

Travel Advisory


1. Passengers are not allowed to enter. -This does not apply to: - nationals and residents of Iceland; - nationals of Andorra, Monaco, San Marino, Switzerland, Vatican City (Holy
See) and EEA Member States; - British nationals who reside in Iceland and have a residence certificate (C-122), which can be obtained at
www.icetra.is/about/press-room/news/travel-restrictions-for-uk-citizens-due-to-covid-19 - passengers with a residence permit issued by Andorra, Monaco, San Marino, Switzerland,
Vatican City (Holy See) or an EEA Member State; - family members of nationals of Andorra, Monaco, San Marino, Switzerland, Vatican City (Holy See) and EEA Member States; -
residents of Australia, Japan, Korea (Rep.), New Zealand, Rwanda, Singapore and Thailand arriving from their country of residence; - passengers in a long-term intimate relationship
with a national or resident of Iceland; - military personnel traveling on duty. More details can be found at:
https://www.logreglan.is/english/regarding-travel-restrictions-to-iceland-as-a-result-of-covid-19/ .

2. Passengers traveling through Iceland to another Schengen Member State must have a written confirmation of their permission to enter the other Schengen Member State.

3. Passengers must complete the "Preregistration for visiting Iceland" at http://visit.covid.is/ before arrival.

4. Passengers must have a negative COVID-19 PCR test taken at most 72 hours before departure. The test result must be in Danish, English, Icelandic, Norwegian or Swedish. They are
subject to a COVID-19 PCR test upon arrival. - This does not apply to: - nationals and residents of Iceland; - passengers younger than 16 years traveling with a parent/guardian; -
passengers with a COVID-19 vaccination certificate. Certificates accepted are: the International Certificate of Vaccination. Details can be found at https://tinyurl.com/y4el6uru ;
- passengers with certificate of previous infection of COVID-19. The certificate must be in Danish, English, Icelandic, Norwegian or Swedish. Certificates accepted are: - positive
PCR test result for COVID-19 issued at least 14 days before arrival; or - presence of antibodies against COVID-19 measured by ELISA serologic assay. Details can be found at
https://tinyurl.com/ya2tsh9p .

5. Nationals and residents of Iceland without a negative COVID-19 PCR test taken at most 72 hours before departure are subject to a fine upon arrival.

6. Passengers younger than 16 years are subject to a COVID-19 test upon arrival. Details can be found at
https://www.government.is/news/article/2021/03/23/Stricter-COVID-19-measures-at-the-Icelandic-border/ .

7. Passengers could be subject to quarantine. Details can be found at https://www.covid.is/sub-categories/visiting-iceland .

Travel Advisory information provided and published with permission by IATA.

Iceland Infection Trend


How can you tell if a curve is really flattening?

The number of daily confirmed cases has been used as an estimation of how severe the COVID-19 situation is in a given country. However, we’ve found that focusing on the country’s cumulative number of active cases gives a clearer picture of whether the infection curve is flattening.


Countries with Similar Characteristics


This table is generated by a GCI-developed tool to match countries based on their similar characteristics such as population, population density, income and climate.

Iceland 76.16 91.41 361,313 Low Density High income < 10 deg
Country Recovery Index Recovery Index Population Density GNI per capita Average Temperature
since First Case (Celsius)		 Match%
Belize 53.88 67.44 390,353 Low Density Upper middle income 26-30 deg 60%
Bhutan 72.38 89.49 763,092 Low Density Lower middle income 11-20 deg 60%
Guyana 42.54 61.50 782,766 Low Density Upper middle income 26-30 deg 60%
Suriname 52.51 70.27 581,372 Low Density Upper middle income 26-30 deg 60%

GCI Recovery Forecast


The GCI Recovery Forecasting methodology relies on a Monte Carlo simulation model as we recognise that the factors that contribute to an increase / decrease in confirmed COVID19 cases are highly variable and subject to various localised circumstances and interventions. The P10 / P50 / P90 are probabilities assigned to the forecasts, with P10 being highly optimistic, and P90 being very conservative on recovery and reduction in cases. The forecast model is updated daily based on the latest case data.

Forecast Results:

Situation May Improve. The GCI Model indicates that the situation has a small probability of recovery, but there is insufficient evidence to suggest that the recovery trend will improve significantly in the near future.



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