The Global COVID-19 Index (GCI) - Montenegro Dashboard

The GCI Dashboard

Version:

Country Rank

138

Montenegro

Recovery Rank for 180 countries/regions

Country Rank

148

Montenegro

Recovery Rank for 184 countries/regions

COVID-19 Recovery Rating

3

Recovery Index
50.87
(Out of 100)

(100 = Best, 0 = Worst)

COVID-19 Recovery Rating

2

Recovery Index
38.69
(Out of 100)

(100 = Best, 0 = Worst)

COVID-19 Severity Rating

5

Severity Index
79.61
(Out of 100)

(0 = Best, 100 = Worst)

COVID-19 Severity Rating

5

Severity Index
77.85
(Out of 100)

(0 = Best, 100 = Worst)

Stringency Rating

N/A

(100 = Strictest Measures, 0 = No Measures)

Population

622,137

(Medium Density)

GNI per capita (US$)

8430

(Upper middle income)

COVID-19 Recovery Rating Guide

5	Countries who have made the most progress in curtailing the spread of the pandemic and can be used as examples of best practices (Relative Rating)
4
3
2	Countries who are struggling to cope with the crisis and who may need to consider maintaining stringent non-pharmaceutical measures (Relative Rating)
1

COVID-19 Severity Rating Guide

1	Countries who are coping with the crisis with a low percentage of infections and resulting deaths per population (Relative Rating)
2
3	Countries who may be overwhelmed by the crisis with a high percentage of infections and resulting deaths per population (Relative Rating)
4
5

Travel Advisory

Montenegro - published 25.03.2021

1. Nationals and residents of Montenegro without a negative COVID-19 PCR test result issued at most 72 hours before departure from the first embarkation point are subject to self-isolation for 14 days. - This does not apply to: - passengers younger than 5 years; - passengers arriving from Albania, Bosnia and Herzegovina, Croatia, Kosovo (Rep.) or Serbia; - passengers with a positive serological -IgG antibodies test result issued at most 30 days before arrival; - passengers with a COVID-19 vaccination certificate if the passenger received the second dose at least 7 days before arrival. 2. Passengers must have a negative COVID-19 PCR test result issued at most 72 hours before departure from the first embarkation point. - This does not apply to: - nationals and residents of Montenegro; - passengers younger than 5 years; - passengers arriving from Albania, Bosnia and Herzegovina, Croatia, Kosovo (Rep.) or Serbia; - passengers with a positive serological -IgG antibodies test result issued at most 30 days before arrival; - passengers with a COVID-19 vaccination certificate if the passenger received the second dose at least 7 days before arrival.

Travel Advisory information provided and published with permission by IATA.

1. Nationals and residents of Montenegro without a negative COVID-19 PCR test result issued at most 72 hours before departure from the first embarkation point are subject to
self-isolation for 14 days. - This does not apply to: - passengers younger than 5 years; - passengers arriving from Albania, Bosnia and Herzegovina, Croatia, Kosovo (Rep.) or
Serbia; - passengers with a positive serological -IgG antibodies test result issued at most 30 days before arrival; - passengers with a COVID-19 vaccination certificate if the
passenger received the second dose at least 7 days before arrival.

2. Passengers must have a negative COVID-19 PCR test result issued at most 72 hours before departure from the first embarkation point. - This does not apply to: - nationals and
residents of Montenegro; - passengers younger than 5 years; - passengers arriving from Albania, Bosnia and Herzegovina, Croatia, Kosovo (Rep.) or Serbia; - passengers with a
positive serological -IgG antibodies test result issued at most 30 days before arrival; - passengers with a COVID-19 vaccination certificate if the passenger received the second
dose at least 7 days before arrival.

Travel Advisory information provided and published with permission by IATA.

Montenegro Infection Trend

How can you tell if a curve is really flattening?

The number of daily confirmed cases has been used as an estimation of how severe the COVID-19 situation is in a given country. However, we’ve found that focusing on the country’s cumulative number of active cases gives a clearer picture of whether the infection curve is flattening.

Countries with Similar Characteristics

This table is generated by a GCI-developed tool to match countries based on their similar characteristics such as population, population density, income and climate.

Country	Recovery Index	Recovery Index	Population	Density	GNI per capita	Average Temperature since First Case (Celsius)	Match%
Montenegro	38.69	50.87	622,137	Medium Density	Upper middle income	< 10 deg
Dominica	51.04	73.98	71,808	Medium Density	Upper middle income	21-25 deg	85%
Fiji	62.05	86.56	889,953	Medium Density	Upper middle income	26-30 deg	85%
Liechtenstein	58.49		38,019	Medium Density	High income	< 10 deg	75%
Andorra	43.54	62.06	77,142	Medium Density	High income	11-20 deg	60%
Antigua and Barbuda	32.36	48.78	97,118	Medium Density	High income	26-30 deg	60%
Bahamas	49.20	64.17	389,482	Medium Density	High income	26-30 deg	60%
Brunei	54.30	71.77	433,285	Medium Density	High income	26-30 deg	60%
Cabo Verde	40.81	61.67	549,935	Medium Density	Lower middle income	21-25 deg	60%
Comoros	51.52	60.79	850,886	Medium Density	Lower middle income	26-30 deg	60%
Cyprus	42.11	67.08	1,198,575	Medium Density	High income	11-20 deg	60%

GCI Recovery Forecast

The GCI Recovery Forecasting methodology relies on a Monte Carlo simulation model as we recognise that the factors that contribute to an increase / decrease in confirmed COVID19 cases are highly variable and subject to various localised circumstances and interventions. The P10 / P50 / P90 are probabilities assigned to the forecasts, with P10 being highly optimistic, and P90 being very conservative on recovery and reduction in cases. The forecast model is updated daily based on the latest case data.

Forecast Results:

Situation Improving. The GCI Model forecasts that the situation is definitely improving and with the right discipline and compliance, the country can hope to see numbers diminish significantly in the near future.

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