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Country Rank

119


Somalia

Recovery Rank for 184 countries/regions

COVID-19 Recovery Rating

3

Recovery Index
47.47
(Out of 100)



(100 = Best, 0 = Worst)

COVID-19 Severity Rating

1

Severity Index
27.59
(Out of 100)



(0 = Best, 100 = Worst)

Stringency Rating

39.13

(100 = Strictest Measures, 0 = No Measures)


Population
15,442,905

(Low Density)


GNI per capita (US$)

0

(Low income)
5 Countries who have made the most progress in
curtailing the spread of the pandemic and can be
used as examples of best practices (Relative Rating)

4
3
2 Countries who are struggling to cope with the crisis
and who may need to consider maintaining stringent
non-pharmaceutical measures (Relative Rating)
1
1 Countries who are coping with the crisis with a low percentage
of infections and resulting deaths per population
(Relative Rating)
2
3 Countries who may be overwhelmed by the crisis with a high
percentage of infections and resulting deaths per population
(Relative Rating)
4
5

Travel Advisory


1. Airports in Somalia reopened.

2. Passengers and airline crew without a printed medical certificate with a negative Coronavirus (COVID-19) PCR Molecular test result issued at most 96 hours before arrival are
subject to PCR test on arrival at their own expense. The certificate must be in English.

3. Passengers and airline crew are subject to medical screening and quarantine.

1. Airports in Somalia reopened.

2. Passengers and airline crew without a printed medical certificate with a negative Coronavirus (COVID-19) PCR Molecular test result issued at most 96 hours before arrival are
subject to PCR test on arrival at their own expense.

3. Passengers and airline crew are subject to medical screening and quarantine.

Travel Advisory information provided and published with permission by IATA.


Somalia Infection Trend


How can you tell if a curve is really flattening?

The number of daily confirmed cases has been used as an estimation of how severe the COVID-19 situation is in a given country. However, we’ve found that focusing on the country’s cumulative number of active cases gives a clearer picture of whether the infection curve is flattening.


Countries with Similar Characteristics


This table is generated by a GCI-developed tool to match countries based on their similar characteristics such as population, population density, income and climate.

Somalia 47.47 15,442,905 Low Density Low income 26-30 deg
Country Recovery Index Population Density GNI per capita Average Temperature since First Case (Celsius) Match%
South Sudan 36.62 11,062,113 Low Density Low income 26-30 deg 100%
Chad 54.05 15,946,876 Low Density Low income > 30 deg 85%
Mali 48.78 19,658,031 Low Density Low income > 30 deg 85%
Niger 56.38 23,310,715 Low Density Low income > 30 deg 85%
Sudan 38.62 42,813,238 Low Density Low income > 30 deg 85%
Australia 86.75 25,364,307 Low Density High income 26-30 deg 75%
Saudi Arabia 71.10 34,268,528 Low Density High income 26-30 deg 75%
Algeria 42.89 43,053,054 Low Density Lower middle income 21-25 deg 60%
Angola 33.43 31,825,295 Low Density Lower middle income 21-25 deg 60%
Argentina 47.36 44,938,712 Low Density Upper middle income 11-20 deg 60%

GCI Recovery Forecast


The GCI Recovery Forecasting methodology relies on a Monte Carlo simulation model as we recognise that the factors that contribute to an increase / decrease in confirmed COVID19 cases are highly variable and subject to various localised circumstances and interventions. The P10 / P50 / P90 are probabilities assigned to the forecasts, with P10 being highly optimistic, and P90 being very conservative on recovery and reduction in cases. The forecast model is updated daily based on the latest case data.

Forecast Results:

Situation May Improve. The GCI Model indicates that the situation has a small probability of recovery, but there is insufficient evidence to suggest that the recovery trend will improve significantly in the near future.



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