The GCI Dashboard

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Country Rank

147


Somalia

Recovery Rank for 180 countries/regions

Country Rank

136


Somalia

Recovery Rank for 184 countries/regions

COVID-19 Recovery Rating

2

Recovery Index
48.48
(Out of 100)



(100 = Best, 0 = Worst)

COVID-19 Recovery Rating

2

Recovery Index
42.32
(Out of 100)



(100 = Best, 0 = Worst)

COVID-19 Severity Rating

2

Severity Index
20.39
(Out of 100)



(0 = Best, 100 = Worst)

COVID-19 Severity Rating

1

Severity Index
27.11
(Out of 100)



(0 = Best, 100 = Worst)

Stringency Rating

13.04

(100 = Strictest Measures, 0 = No Measures)


Population
15,442,905

(Low Density)


GNI per capita (US$)

0

(Low income)
5 Countries who have made the most progress in
curtailing the spread of the pandemic and can be
used as examples of best practices (Relative Rating)

4
3
2 Countries who are struggling to cope with the crisis
and who may need to consider maintaining stringent
non-pharmaceutical measures (Relative Rating)
1
1 Countries who are coping with the crisis with a low percentage
of infections and resulting deaths per population
(Relative Rating)
2
3 Countries who may be overwhelmed by the crisis with a high
percentage of infections and resulting deaths per population
(Relative Rating)
4
5

Travel Advisory


- This does not apply to medical and humanitarian flights.

Travel Advisory information provided and published with permission by IATA.


Somalia Infection Trend


How can you tell if a curve is really flattening?

The number of daily confirmed cases has been used as an estimation of how severe the COVID-19 situation is in a given country. However, we’ve found that focusing on the country’s cumulative number of active cases gives a clearer picture of whether the infection curve is flattening.


Countries with Similar Characteristics


This table is generated by a GCI-developed tool to match countries based on their similar characteristics such as population, population density, income and climate.

Somalia 42.32 48.48 15,442,905 Low Density Low income 26-30 deg
Country Recovery Index Recovery Index Population Density GNI per capita Average Temperature
since First Case (Celsius)
Match%
South Sudan 58.94 74.41 11,062,113 Low Density Low income 26-30 deg 100%
Chad 44.04 48.25 15,946,876 Low Density Low income > 30 deg 85%
Mali 42.75 58.59 19,658,031 Low Density Low income > 30 deg 85%
Niger 48.35 54.82 23,310,715 Low Density Low income > 30 deg 85%
Sudan 35.60 51.59 42,813,238 Low Density Low income > 30 deg 85%
Australia 82.54 76.57 25,364,307 Low Density High income 26-30 deg 75%
Saudi Arabia 75.36 87.07 34,268,528 Low Density High income 26-30 deg 75%
Algeria 36.48 58.80 43,053,054 Low Density Lower middle income 21-25 deg 60%
Angola 50.15 67.87 31,825,295 Low Density Lower middle income 21-25 deg 60%
Argentina 52.90 63.27 44,938,712 Low Density Upper middle income 11-20 deg 60%

GCI Recovery Forecast


The GCI Recovery Forecasting methodology relies on a Monte Carlo simulation model as we recognise that the factors that contribute to an increase / decrease in confirmed COVID19 cases are highly variable and subject to various localised circumstances and interventions. The P10 / P50 / P90 are probabilities assigned to the forecasts, with P10 being highly optimistic, and P90 being very conservative on recovery and reduction in cases. The forecast model is updated daily based on the latest case data.

Forecast Results:

Situation May Improve. The GCI Model indicates that the situation has a small probability of recovery, but there is insufficient evidence to suggest that the recovery trend will improve significantly in the near future.



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