The GCI Dashboard

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Country Rank



Recovery Rank for 184 countries/regions

COVID-19 Recovery Rating


Recovery Index
(Out of 100)

(100 = Best, 0 = Worst)

COVID-19 Severity Rating


Severity Index
(Out of 100)

(0 = Best, 100 = Worst)

Stringency Rating


(100 = Strictest Measures, 0 = No Measures)


(Medium Density)

GNI per capita (US$)


(Low income)
5 Countries who have made the most progress in
curtailing the spread of the pandemic and can be
used as examples of best practices (Relative Rating)

2 Countries who are struggling to cope with the crisis
and who may need to consider maintaining stringent
non-pharmaceutical measures (Relative Rating)
1 Countries who are coping with the crisis with a low percentage
of infections and resulting deaths per population
(Relative Rating)
3 Countries who may be overwhelmed by the crisis with a high
percentage of infections and resulting deaths per population
(Relative Rating)

Travel Advisory

Flights to Afghanistan restarted.

Travel Advisory information provided and published with permission by IATA.

Afghanistan Infection Trend

How can you tell if a curve is really flattening?

The number of daily confirmed cases has been used as an estimation of how severe the COVID-19 situation is in a given country. However, we’ve found that focusing on the country’s cumulative number of active cases gives a clearer picture of whether the infection curve is flattening.

Countries with Similar Characteristics

This table is generated by a GCI-developed tool to match countries based on their similar characteristics such as population, population density, income and climate.

Afghanistan 52.78 38,041,754 Medium Density Low income 11-20 deg
Country Recovery Index Population Density GNI per capita Average Temperature since First Case (Celsius) Match%
Syria 32.49 17,070,135 Medium Density Low income 11-20 deg 100%
Burkina Faso 54.21 20,321,378 Medium Density Low income > 30 deg 85%
Guinea 54.37 12,771,246 Medium Density Low income 26-30 deg 85%
Madagascar 63.00 26,969,307 Medium Density Low income 21-25 deg 85%
Malawi 55.37 18,628,747 Medium Density Low income 21-25 deg 85%
Mozambique 52.91 30,366,036 Medium Density Low income 21-25 deg 85%
Uganda 54.94 44,269,594 Medium Density Low income 21-25 deg 85%
Yemen 42.50 29,161,922 Medium Density Low income 26-30 deg 85%
Greece 37.60 10,716,322 Medium Density High income 11-20 deg 75%
Jordan 16.19 10,101,694 Medium Density Upper middle income 11-20 deg 75%

GCI Recovery Forecast

The GCI Recovery Forecasting methodology relies on a Monte Carlo simulation model as we recognise that the factors that contribute to an increase / decrease in confirmed COVID19 cases are highly variable and subject to various localised circumstances and interventions. The P10 / P50 / P90 are probabilities assigned to the forecasts, with P10 being highly optimistic, and P90 being very conservative on recovery and reduction in cases. The forecast model is updated daily based on the latest case data.

Forecast Results:

Situation May Improve. The GCI Model indicates that the situation has a small probability of recovery, but there is insufficient evidence to suggest that the recovery trend will improve significantly in the near future.

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