The Global COVID-19 Index (GCI) - Brazil Dashboard

The GCI Dashboard

Version:

Country Rank

139

Brazil

Recovery Rank for 180 countries/regions

Country Rank

116

Brazil

Recovery Rank for 184 countries/regions

COVID-19 Recovery Rating

3

Recovery Index
50.45
(Out of 100)

(100 = Best, 0 = Worst)

COVID-19 Recovery Rating

3

Recovery Index
45.25
(Out of 100)

(100 = Best, 0 = Worst)

COVID-19 Severity Rating

4

Severity Index
61.62
(Out of 100)

(0 = Best, 100 = Worst)

COVID-19 Severity Rating

4

Severity Index
63.69
(Out of 100)

(0 = Best, 100 = Worst)

Stringency Rating

82.61

(100 = Strictest Measures, 0 = No Measures)

Population

211,049,527

(Low Density)

GNI per capita (US$)

9080

(Upper middle income)

COVID-19 Recovery Rating Guide

5	Countries who have made the most progress in curtailing the spread of the pandemic and can be used as examples of best practices (Relative Rating)
4
3
2	Countries who are struggling to cope with the crisis and who may need to consider maintaining stringent non-pharmaceutical measures (Relative Rating)
1

COVID-19 Severity Rating Guide

1	Countries who are coping with the crisis with a low percentage of infections and resulting deaths per population (Relative Rating)
2
3	Countries who may be overwhelmed by the crisis with a high percentage of infections and resulting deaths per population (Relative Rating)
4
5

Travel Advisory

Brazil - published 16.03.2021

1. Flights from South Africa and United Kingdom are suspended. 2. Passengers who in the past 14 days have been in or transited through South Africa or United Kingdom are not allowed to enter or transit through Brazil. - This does not apply to: - nationals of Brazil; - passengers with a residence permit issued by Brazil; - spouses, partners, children, parents or guardians of a national of Brazil. 3. Passengers entering or transiting through Brazil must have a negative COVID-19 RT-PCR test result. The test must have been taken at most 72 hours before departure from the first embarkation point. The test result must be in English, Portuguese or Spanish. - This does not apply to: - passengers younger than 2 years; - passengers younger than 12 years and traveling accompanied by a companion. The companion must have a negative RT-PCR test result. 4. Passengers and airline crew must complete a Traveler's Health Declaration form before departure and present it upon arrival. The form can be found at https://formulario.anvisa.gov.br/ . 5. Airline crew are subject to quarantine at a hotel until their next flight. 6. Nationals of Brazil and their spouses, partners, children, parents or guardians who have been in or transited through South Africa or United Kingdom in the past 14 days are subject to quarantine for 14 days. 7. Passengers with a residence permit issued by Brazil who have been in or transited through South Africa or United Kingdom in the past 14 days are subject to quarantine for 14 days.

Travel Advisory information provided and published with permission by IATA.

1. Flights from South Africa and United Kingdom are suspended.

2. Passengers who in the past 14 days have been in or transited through South Africa or United Kingdom are not allowed to enter or transit through Brazil. - This does not apply
to: - nationals of Brazil; - passengers with a residence permit issued by Brazil; - spouses, partners, children, parents or guardians of a national of Brazil.

3. Passengers entering or transiting through Brazil must have a negative COVID-19 RT-PCR test result. The test must have been taken at most 72 hours before departure from the
first embarkation point. The test result must be in English, Portuguese or Spanish. - This does not apply to: - passengers younger than 2 years; - passengers younger than 12 years
and traveling accompanied by a companion. The companion must have a negative RT-PCR test result.

4. Passengers and airline crew must complete a Traveler's Health Declaration form before departure and present it upon arrival. The form can be found at
https://formulario.anvisa.gov.br/ .

5. Airline crew are subject to quarantine at a hotel until their next flight.

6. Nationals of Brazil and their spouses, partners, children, parents or guardians who have been in or transited through South Africa or United Kingdom in the past 14 days are
subject to quarantine for 14 days.

7. Passengers with a residence permit issued by Brazil who have been in or transited through South Africa or United Kingdom in the past 14 days are subject to quarantine for 14
days.

Travel Advisory information provided and published with permission by IATA.

Brazil Infection Trend

How can you tell if a curve is really flattening?

The number of daily confirmed cases has been used as an estimation of how severe the COVID-19 situation is in a given country. However, we’ve found that focusing on the country’s cumulative number of active cases gives a clearer picture of whether the infection curve is flattening.

Countries with Similar Characteristics

This table is generated by a GCI-developed tool to match countries based on their similar characteristics such as population, population density, income and climate.

Country	Recovery Index	Recovery Index	Population	Density	GNI per capita	Average Temperature since First Case (Celsius)	Match%
Brazil	45.25	50.45	211,049,527	Low Density	Upper middle income	26-30 deg
Russia	61.88	77.06	144,373,535	Low Density	Upper middle income	< 10 deg	85%

GCI Recovery Forecast

The GCI Recovery Forecasting methodology relies on a Monte Carlo simulation model as we recognise that the factors that contribute to an increase / decrease in confirmed COVID19 cases are highly variable and subject to various localised circumstances and interventions. The P10 / P50 / P90 are probabilities assigned to the forecasts, with P10 being highly optimistic, and P90 being very conservative on recovery and reduction in cases. The forecast model is updated daily based on the latest case data.

Forecast Results:

Situation May Improve. The GCI Model indicates that the situation has a small probability of recovery, but there is insufficient evidence to suggest that the recovery trend will improve significantly in the near future.

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