The Global COVID-19 Index (GCI) - Brazil Dashboard

The GCI Dashboard

Version:

Country Rank

114

Brazil

Recovery Rank for 180 countries/regions

Country Rank

85

Brazil

Recovery Rank for 184 countries/regions

COVID-19 Recovery Rating

3

Recovery Index
53.71
(Out of 100)

(100 = Best, 0 = Worst)

COVID-19 Recovery Rating

3

Recovery Index
53.37
(Out of 100)

(100 = Best, 0 = Worst)

COVID-19 Severity Rating

5

Severity Index
72.78
(Out of 100)

(0 = Best, 100 = Worst)

COVID-19 Severity Rating

3

Severity Index
51.95
(Out of 100)

(0 = Best, 100 = Worst)

Stringency Rating

13.04

(100 = Strictest Measures, 0 = No Measures)

Population

211,049,527

(Low Density)

GNI per capita (US$)

9,080

(Upper middle income)

COVID-19 Recovery Rating Guide

5	Countries who have made the most progress in curtailing the spread of the pandemic and can be used as examples of best practices (Relative Rating)
4
3
2	Countries who are struggling to cope with the crisis and who may need to consider maintaining stringent non-pharmaceutical measures (Relative Rating)
1

COVID-19 Severity Rating Guide

1	Countries who are coping with the crisis with a low percentage of infections and resulting deaths per population (Relative Rating)
2
3	Countries who may be overwhelmed by the crisis with a high percentage of infections and resulting deaths per population (Relative Rating)
4
5

Travel Advisory

Brazil - published 21.12.2021

1. Passengers who in the past 14 days have been in Botswana, Eswatini, Lesotho, Namibia, South Africa and Zimbabwe are not allowed to enter. - This does not apply to nationals and residents of Brazil. 2. Passengers must have a COVID-19 vaccination certificate showing that they were fully vaccinated at least 14 days before departure from the first embarkation point. The certificate must be in English, Portuguese or Spanish. - This does not apply to: - nationals and residents of Brazil; - passengers younger than 12 years; - passengers with a letter issued by a doctor proving that the passenger is medically unable to receive the vaccine. The letter must be in English, Portuguese or Spanish. 3. Passengers entering or transiting through Brazil must have: - a negative COVID-19 RT-PCR test taken at most 72 hours before departure from the first embarkation point; or - a negative COVID-19 antigen test taken at most 24 hours before departure from the first embarkation point. The test result must be in English, Portuguese or Spanish. - This does not apply to: - passengers younger than 2 years; - passengers younger than 12 years and traveling accompanied by a companion. The companion must have a negative antigen or RT-PCR test result; - passengers with two positive COVID-19 RT-PCR tests. The tests must be taken at least 14 days apart and the second test at most 72 hours before departure; and - a negative or non-detectable COVID-19 antigen test taken after the last positive COVID-19 RT-PCR test; and - a COVID-19 recovery certificate in English, Portuguese or Spanish showing that they are asymptomatic and fit to fly. The certificate must show the travel date. 4. Nationals and residents of Brazil without a COVID-19 vaccination certificate who departed Brazil after 14 December 2021, are subject to quarantine for 14 days. 5. Passengers and airline crew must complete a "Traveler's Health Declaration" form at most 24 hours before departure from the first embarkation point and present it upon arrival. The form can be found at https://formulario.anvisa.gov.br/ 6. Airline crew are subject to quarantine in a hotel room until their next flight. - This does not apply to airline crew with a COVID-19 vaccination certificate showing that they were fully vaccinated at least 14 days before departure from the first embarkation point.

Travel Advisory information provided and published with permission by IATA. (Timatic COVID-19 Alerts Service has been discontinued on 1/1/2022, please refer this page for latest travel advisory)

1. Passengers who in the past 14 days have been in Botswana, Eswatini, Lesotho, Namibia, South Africa and Zimbabwe are not allowed to enter. - This does not apply to nationals and
residents of Brazil.

2. Passengers must have a COVID-19 vaccination certificate showing that they were fully vaccinated at least 14 days before departure from the first embarkation point. The
certificate must be in English, Portuguese or Spanish. - This does not apply to: - nationals and residents of Brazil; - passengers younger than 12 years; - passengers with a letter
issued by a doctor proving that the passenger is medically unable to receive the vaccine. The letter must be in English, Portuguese or Spanish.

3. Passengers entering or transiting through Brazil must have: - a negative COVID-19 RT-PCR test taken at most 72 hours before departure from the first embarkation point; or - a
negative COVID-19 antigen test taken at most 24 hours before departure from the first embarkation point. The test result must be in English, Portuguese or Spanish. - This does not
apply to: - passengers younger than 2 years; - passengers younger than 12 years and traveling accompanied by a companion. The companion must have a negative antigen or RT-PCR test
result; - passengers with two positive COVID-19 RT-PCR tests. The tests must be taken at least 14 days apart and the second test at most 72 hours before departure; and - a negative
or non-detectable COVID-19 antigen test taken after the last positive COVID-19 RT-PCR test; and - a COVID-19 recovery certificate in English, Portuguese or Spanish showing that
they are asymptomatic and fit to fly. The certificate must show the travel date.

4. Nationals and residents of Brazil without a COVID-19 vaccination certificate who departed Brazil after 14 December 2021, are subject to quarantine for 14 days.

5. Passengers and airline crew must complete a "Traveler's Health Declaration" form at most 24 hours before departure from the first embarkation point and present it upon arrival.
The form can be found at https://formulario.anvisa.gov.br/

6. Airline crew are subject to quarantine in a hotel room until their next flight. - This does not apply to airline crew with a COVID-19 vaccination certificate showing that they
were fully vaccinated at least 14 days before departure from the first embarkation point.

Travel Advisory information provided and published with permission by IATA. (Timatic COVID-19 Alerts Service has been discontinued on 1/1/2022, please refer this page for latest travel advisory)

Brazil Infection Trend

How can you tell if a curve is really flattening?

The number of daily confirmed cases has been used as an estimation of how severe the COVID-19 situation is in a given country. However, we’ve found that focusing on the country’s cumulative number of active cases gives a clearer picture of whether the infection curve is flattening.

Countries with Similar Characteristics

This table is generated by a GCI-developed tool to match countries based on their similar characteristics such as population, population density, income and climate.

Country	Recovery Index	Recovery Index	Population	Density	GNI per capita	Average Temperature since First Case (Celsius)	Match%
Brazil	53.37	53.71	211,049,527	Low Density	Upper middle income	26-30 deg
Russia	55.91	60.89	144,373,535	Low Density	Upper middle income	< 10 deg	85%

GCI Recovery Forecast

The GCI Recovery Forecasting methodology relies on a Monte Carlo simulation model as we recognise that the factors that contribute to an increase / decrease in confirmed COVID19 cases are highly variable and subject to various localised circumstances and interventions. The P10 / P50 / P90 are probabilities assigned to the forecasts, with P10 being highly optimistic, and P90 being very conservative on recovery and reduction in cases. The forecast model is updated daily based on the latest case data.

Forecast Results:

Situation May Improve. The GCI Model indicates that the situation has a small probability of recovery, but there is insufficient evidence to suggest that the recovery trend will improve significantly in the near future.