The Global COVID-19 Index (GCI) - Brazil Dashboard

The GCI Dashboard

Version:

Country Rank

76

Brazil

Recovery Rank for 180 countries/regions

Country Rank

84

Brazil

Recovery Rank for 184 countries/regions

COVID-19 Recovery Rating

3

Recovery Index
67.76
(Out of 100)

(100 = Best, 0 = Worst)

COVID-19 Recovery Rating

3

Recovery Index
53.23
(Out of 100)

(100 = Best, 0 = Worst)

COVID-19 Severity Rating

3

Severity Index
35.88
(Out of 100)

(0 = Best, 100 = Worst)

COVID-19 Severity Rating

4

Severity Index
63.59
(Out of 100)

(0 = Best, 100 = Worst)

Stringency Rating

8.70

(100 = Strictest Measures, 0 = No Measures)

Population

211,049,527

(Low Density)

GNI per capita (US$)

9080

(Upper middle income)

COVID-19 Recovery Rating Guide

5	Countries who have made the most progress in curtailing the spread of the pandemic and can be used as examples of best practices (Relative Rating)
4
3
2	Countries who are struggling to cope with the crisis and who may need to consider maintaining stringent non-pharmaceutical measures (Relative Rating)
1

COVID-19 Severity Rating Guide

1	Countries who are coping with the crisis with a low percentage of infections and resulting deaths per population (Relative Rating)
2
3	Countries who may be overwhelmed by the crisis with a high percentage of infections and resulting deaths per population (Relative Rating)
4
5

Travel Advisory

Brazil - published 11.01.2021

1. Flights from the United Kingdom are suspended. 2. Passengers who in the past 14 days have been in or transited through England or Northern Ireland are not allowed to enter or transit through Brazil. - This does not apply to nationals of Brazil. 3. Passengers must have a medical certificate with a negative Coronavirus (COVID-19) RT-PCR test result. The test must have been taken at most 72 hours before departure from the first embarkation point. The certificate must be in English, Portuguese or Spanish. - This does not apply to: - passengers younger than 2 years; - passengers younger than 12 years and traveling accompanied by a companion. The companion must have a negative RT-PCR test result. 4. Passengers and airline crew must complete a Traveler's Health Declaration form at https://formulario.anvisa.gov.br/ and present it upon arrival. 5. Airline crew are subject to quarantine at a hotel until their next flight. 6. Nationals of Brazil who have been in or transited through England or Northern Ireland in the past 14 days are subject to quarantine for 14 days.

Travel Advisory information provided and published with permission by IATA.

1. Flights from the United Kingdom are suspended.

2. Passengers who in the past 14 days have been in or transited through England or Northern Ireland are not allowed to enter or transit through Brazil. - This does not apply to
nationals of Brazil.

3. Passengers must have a medical certificate with a negative Coronavirus (COVID-19) RT-PCR test result. The test must have been taken at most 72 hours before departure from the
first embarkation point. The certificate must be in English, Portuguese or Spanish. - This does not apply to: - passengers younger than 2 years; - passengers younger than 12 years
and traveling accompanied by a companion. The companion must have a negative RT-PCR test result.

4. Passengers and airline crew must complete a Traveler's Health Declaration form at https://formulario.anvisa.gov.br/ and present it upon arrival.

5. Airline crew are subject to quarantine at a hotel until their next flight.

6. Nationals of Brazil who have been in or transited through England or Northern Ireland in the past 14 days are subject to quarantine for 14 days.

Travel Advisory information provided and published with permission by IATA.

Brazil Infection Trend

How can you tell if a curve is really flattening?

The number of daily confirmed cases has been used as an estimation of how severe the COVID-19 situation is in a given country. However, we’ve found that focusing on the country’s cumulative number of active cases gives a clearer picture of whether the infection curve is flattening.

Countries with Similar Characteristics

This table is generated by a GCI-developed tool to match countries based on their similar characteristics such as population, population density, income and climate.

Country	Recovery Index	Recovery Index	Population	Density	GNI per capita	Average Temperature since First Case (Celsius)	Match%
Brazil	53.23	67.76	211,049,527	Low Density	Upper middle income	26-30 deg
Russia	55.40	70.81	144,373,535	Low Density	Upper middle income	< 10 deg	85%

GCI Recovery Forecast

The GCI Recovery Forecasting methodology relies on a Monte Carlo simulation model as we recognise that the factors that contribute to an increase / decrease in confirmed COVID19 cases are highly variable and subject to various localised circumstances and interventions. The P10 / P50 / P90 are probabilities assigned to the forecasts, with P10 being highly optimistic, and P90 being very conservative on recovery and reduction in cases. The forecast model is updated daily based on the latest case data.

Forecast Results:

Situation Worsening. Infections are forecasted to continue to be on the rise. Interventions are required, if not already in place.

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