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Country Rank

77


Bulgaria

Recovery Rank for 180 countries/regions

Country Rank

102


Bulgaria

Recovery Rank for 184 countries/regions

COVID-19 Recovery Rating

3

Recovery Index
60.09
(Out of 100)



(100 = Best, 0 = Worst)

COVID-19 Recovery Rating

3

Recovery Index
51.51
(Out of 100)



(100 = Best, 0 = Worst)

COVID-19 Severity Rating

2

Severity Index
27.54
(Out of 100)



(0 = Best, 100 = Worst)

COVID-19 Severity Rating

3

Severity Index
46.98
(Out of 100)



(0 = Best, 100 = Worst)

Stringency Rating

N/A

(100 = Strictest Measures, 0 = No Measures)


Population
6,975,761

(Medium Density)


GNI per capita (US$)

8,860

(Upper middle income)
5 Countries who have made the most progress in
curtailing the spread of the pandemic and can be
used as examples of best practices (Relative Rating)

4
3
2 Countries who are struggling to cope with the crisis
and who may need to consider maintaining stringent
non-pharmaceutical measures (Relative Rating)
1
1 Countries who are coping with the crisis with a low percentage
of infections and resulting deaths per population
(Relative Rating)
2
3 Countries who may be overwhelmed by the crisis with a high
percentage of infections and resulting deaths per population
(Relative Rating)
4
5

Travel Advisory


1. Passengers must enter Bulgaria via Burgas (BOJ), Plovdiv (PDV), Sofia (SOF) or Varna (VAR). -This does not apply to: - passengers arriving from Romania; - merchant seamen.

2. Passengers arriving from Afghanistan, Bangladesh, Barbados, Belize, Bhutan, Bolivia, Botswana, Brazil, Brunei Darussalam, Chile, Costa Rica, Cuba, Dominican Rep., El Salvador,
Eswatini, Fiji, Georgia, Grenada, Guatemala, Korea (Dem. People's Rep.), Kyrgyzstan, Lesotho, Maldives, Mongolia, Montenegro, Mozambique, Myanmar, Namibia, Oman, Panama, Paraguay,
Serbia, Seychelles, Singapore, South Africa, Sri Lanka, St. Lucia, St. Kitts and Nevis, Suriname, Tajikistan, Tanzania, Trinidad and Tobago, Turkmenistan, Ukraine, United Kingdom,
Uruguay, Zambia or Zimbabwe are not allowed to enter. -This does not apply to: - nationals and residents of Bulgaria, and their family members; - British Nationals arriving from
the Unite Kingdom; - passengers younger than 12 years; - students with: - a "D" visa issued by Bulgaria; or - a document certifying admission to an education institution in
Bulgaria; - merchant seamen.

3. Passengers arriving from Andorra, Austria, Belgium, Croatia, Cyprus, Czechia, Denmark, Estonia, Germany, Greece, Hungary, Iceland, Ireland (Rep.), Latvia, Liechtenstein,
Lithuania, Luxembourg, Monaco, Netherlands, Norway, Poland, Romania, San Marino, Slovakia, Slovenia or Switzerland are not allowed to enter. -This does not apply to: - nationals
and residents of Bulgaria, and their family members; - nationals and family members of nationals of Austria, Belgium, Bulgaria, Croatia, Cyprus, Czechia, Denmark, Estonia, Finland,
France, Germany, Greece, Hungary, Iceland, Ireland (Rep.), Italy, Latvia, Liechtenstein, Lithuania, Luxembourg, Malta, Netherlands, Norway, Poland, Portugal, Romania, Slovakia,
Slovenia, Spain, Sweden and Switzerland; - British Nationals; - passengers younger than 12 years; - students with: - a "D" visa issued by Bulgaria; or - a document certifying
admission to an education institution in Bulgaria; - merchant seamen.

4. Passengers arriving from Afghanistan, Andorra, Austria, Bangladesh, Barbados, Belgium, Belize, Bhutan, Bolivia, Botswana, Brazil, Brunei Darussalam, Chile, Costa Rica, Croatia,
Cuba, Cyprus, Czechia, Denmark, Dominican Rep., El Salvador, Eswatini, Estonia, Fiji, Georgia, Germany, Greece, Grenada, Guatemala, Hungary, Iceland, Ireland (Rep.), Korea (Dem.
People's Rep.), Kyrgyzstan, Latvia, Lesotho, Liechtenstein, Lithuania, Luxembourg, Maldives, Monaco, Mongolia, Montenegro, Mozambique, Myanmar, Namibia, Netherlands, Norway, Oman,
Panama, Paraguay, Poland, Romania, San Marino, Serbia, Seychelles, Singapore, Slovakia, Slovenia, South Africa, Sri Lanka, St. Lucia, St. Kitts and Nevis, Suriname, Switzerland,
Tajikistan, Tanzania, Trinidad and Tobago, Turkmenistan, Ukraine, United Kingdom, Uruguay, Zambia, Zimbabwe must have a COVID-19 vaccination certificate showing that they were
fully vaccinated at least 14 days before arrival. Vaccines accepted are AstraZeneca (Vaxzevria), Covaxin, Janssen, Moderna (Spikevax), Pfizer-BioNTech (Comirnaty), Sinopharm,
Sinovac and Sputnik V; or - a negative COVID-19 PCR test taken at most 72 hours before arrival; or - a COVID-19 recovery certificate issued at least 11 days and at most 180 days
before arrival. -This does not apply to: - nationals and residents of Bulgaria, and their family members; - passengers younger than 12 years; -passengers between 12 and 18 without
a negative COVID-19 PCR test, are subject to quarantine; - nationals of Greece, North Macedonia, Romania, Serbia and Turkey , with a document certifying admission to an education
institution in Bulgaria; - merchant seamen.

5. Passengers without a COVID-19 vaccination certificate showing that they were fully vaccinated at least 14 days before arrival. Vaccines accepted are AstraZeneca (Vaxzevria),
Covaxin, Janssen, Moderna (Spikevax), Pfizer-BioNTech (Comirnaty), Sinopharm, Sinovac and Sputnik V; or - a negative COVID-19 PCR test taken at most 72 hours before arrival; or - a
negative COVID-19 antigen test taken at most 48 hours before arrival; or - a COVID-19 recovery certificate issued at least 11 days and at most 180 days before arrival, are subject
to quarantine for 10 days. -This does not apply to: - passengers arriving from Afghanistan, Andorra, Austria, Bangladesh, Barbados, Belgium, Belize, Bhutan, Bolivia, Botswana,
Brazil, Brunei Darussalam, Chile, Costa Rica, Croatia, Cuba, Cyprus, Czechia, Denmark, Dominican Rep., El Salvador, Eswatini, Estonia, Fiji, Georgia, Germany, Greece, Grenada,
Guatemala, Hungary, Iceland, Ireland (Rep.), Korea (Dem. People's Rep.), Kyrgyzstan, Latvia, Lesotho, Liechtenstein, Lithuania, Luxembourg, Maldives, Monaco, Mongolia, Montenegro,
Mozambique, Myanmar, Namibia, Netherlands, Norway, Oman, Panama, Paraguay, Poland, Romania, San Marino, Serbia, Seychelles, Singapore, Slovakia, Slovenia, South Africa, Sri Lanka,
St. Lucia, St. Kitts and Nevis, Suriname, Switzerland, Tajikistan, Tanzania, Trinidad and Tobago, Turkmenistan, Ukraine, United Kingdom, Uruguay, Zambia or Zimbabwe; - passengers
younger than 12 years; - nationals of Greece, North Macedonia, Romania, Serbia and Turkey, with a document certifying admission to an education institution in Bulgaria; - merchant
seamen.

6. Passengers could be subject to quarantine for 10 days. -This does not apply to: - merchant seamen; - passengers younger than 12 years; - nationals of Greece, North Macedonia,
Romania, Serbia and Turkey, with a document certifying admission to a higher education institution in Bulgaria; - passengers arriving from Afghanistan, Andorra, Austria,
Bangladesh, Barbados, Belgium, Belize, Bhutan, Bolivia, Brazil, Brunei Darussalam, Chile, Costa Rica, Croatia, Cuba, Cyprus, Czechia, Denmark, Dominican Rep., El Salvador, Estonia,
Fiji, Georgia, Germany, Greece, Grenada, Guatemala, Hungary, Iceland, Ireland (Rep.), Korea (Dem. People's Rep.), Kyrgyzstan, Latvia, Liechtenstein, Lithuania, Luxembourg,
Maldives, Monaco, Mongolia, Montenegro, Myanmar, Netherlands, Norway, Oman, Panama, Paraguay, Poland, Romania, San Marino, Serbia, Seychelles, Singapore, Slovakia, Slovenia, Sri
Lanka, St. Lucia, St. Kitts and Nevis, Suriname, Switzerland, Tajikistan, Tanzania, Trinidad and Tobago, Turkmenistan, Ukraine, United Kingdom, Uruguay or Zambia with: - a COVID-19
vaccination certificate showing that they were fully vaccinated at least 14 days before arrival. Vaccines accepted are: AstraZeneca (Vaxzevria), Covaxin, Janssen, Moderna
(Spikevax), Pfizer-BioNTech (Comirnaty), Sinopharm, Sinovac and Sputnik V; or - a negative COVID-19 PCR test taken at most 72 hours before arrival; or - a COVID-19 recovery
certificate issued at least 11 days and at most 180 days before arrival; - passengers arriving from a country other than Afghanistan, Andorra, Austria, Bangladesh, Barbados,
Belgium, Belize, Bhutan, Bolivia, Botswana, Brazil, Brunei Darussalam, Chile, Costa Rica, Croatia, Cuba, Cyprus, Czechia, Denmark, Dominican Rep., El Salvador, Eswatini, Estonia,
Fiji, Georgia, Germany, Greece, Grenada, Guatemala, Hungary, Iceland, Ireland (Rep.), Korea (Dem. People's Rep.), Kyrgyzstan, Latvia, Lesotho, Liechtenstein, Lithuania, Luxembourg,
Maldives, Monaco, Mongolia, Montenegro, Mozambique, Myanmar, Namibia, Netherlands, Norway, Oman, Panama, Paraguay, Poland, Romania, San Marino, Serbia, Seychelles, Singapore,
Slovakia, Slovenia, South Africa, Sri Lanka, St. Lucia, St. Kitts and Nevis, Suriname, Switzerland, Tajikistan, Tanzania, Trinidad and Tobago, Turkmenistan, Ukraine, United
Kingdom, Uruguay, Zambia or Zimbabwe with: - a COVID-19 vaccination certificate showing that they were fully vaccinated at least 14 days before arrival. Vaccines accepted are:
AstraZeneca (Vaxzevria), Covaxin, Janssen, Moderna (Spikevax), Pfizer-BioNTech (Comirnaty), Sinopharm, Sinovac and Sputnik V; or - a negative COVID-19 PCR test taken at most 72
hours before arrival; or - a negative COVID-19 antigen test taken at most 48 hours before arrival; or - a COVID-19 recovery certificate issued at least 11 days and at most 180 days
before arrival.

7. More details can be found at https://www.mh.government.bg/media/filer_public/2021/12/01/order_01-977_en_final.pdf

Travel Advisory information provided and published with permission by IATA. (Timatic COVID-19 Alerts Service has been discontinued on 1/1/2022, please refer this page for latest travel advisory)


Bulgaria Infection Trend


How can you tell if a curve is really flattening?

The number of daily confirmed cases has been used as an estimation of how severe the COVID-19 situation is in a given country. However, we’ve found that focusing on the country’s cumulative number of active cases gives a clearer picture of whether the infection curve is flattening.


Countries with Similar Characteristics


This table is generated by a GCI-developed tool to match countries based on their similar characteristics such as population, population density, income and climate.

Bulgaria 51.51 60.09 6,975,761 Medium Density Upper middle income 11-20 deg
Country Recovery Index Recovery Index Population Density GNI per capita Average Temperature
since First Case (Celsius)
Match%
Albania 56.95 57.55 2,854,191 Medium Density Upper middle income 11-20 deg 100%
Azerbaijan 57.52 67.46 10,023,318 Medium Density Upper middle income 11-20 deg 100%
Bosnia and Herzegovina 46.59 55.15 3,301,000 Medium Density Upper middle income 11-20 deg 100%
Serbia 36.68 43.57 6,944,975 Medium Density Upper middle income 11-20 deg 100%
Armenia 45.75 53.24 2,957,731 Medium Density Upper middle income < 10 deg 85%
Belarus 67.17 70.89 9,466,856 Medium Density Upper middle income < 10 deg 85%
Costa Rica 34.97 42.64 5,047,561 Medium Density Upper middle income 26-30 deg 85%
Equatorial Guinea 44.99 49.71 1,355,986 Medium Density Upper middle income 26-30 deg 85%
Georgia 34.95 39.92 3,720,382 Medium Density Upper middle income < 10 deg 85%
North Macedonia 51.85 56.13 2,083,459 Medium Density Upper middle income < 10 deg 85%

GCI Recovery Forecast


The GCI Recovery Forecasting methodology relies on a Monte Carlo simulation model as we recognise that the factors that contribute to an increase / decrease in confirmed COVID19 cases are highly variable and subject to various localised circumstances and interventions. The P10 / P50 / P90 are probabilities assigned to the forecasts, with P10 being highly optimistic, and P90 being very conservative on recovery and reduction in cases. The forecast model is updated daily based on the latest case data.

Forecast Results:

Situation May Improve. The GCI Model indicates that the situation has a small probability of recovery, but there is insufficient evidence to suggest that the recovery trend will improve significantly in the near future.




Reviewed and Endorsed by:

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Recognition and Award:

Chairman's Award



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