The Global COVID-19 Index (GCI) - Madagascar Dashboard

The GCI Dashboard

Version:

Country Rank

133

Madagascar

Recovery Rank for 180 countries/regions

Country Rank

118

Madagascar

Recovery Rank for 184 countries/regions

COVID-19 Recovery Rating

3

Recovery Index
50.52
(Out of 100)

(100 = Best, 0 = Worst)

COVID-19 Recovery Rating

3

Recovery Index
49.53
(Out of 100)

(100 = Best, 0 = Worst)

COVID-19 Severity Rating

3

Severity Index
38.41
(Out of 100)

(0 = Best, 100 = Worst)

COVID-19 Severity Rating

1

Severity Index
24.14
(Out of 100)

(0 = Best, 100 = Worst)

Stringency Rating

N/A

(100 = Strictest Measures, 0 = No Measures)

Population

26,969,307

(Medium Density)

GNI per capita (US$)

510

(Low income)

COVID-19 Recovery Rating Guide

5	Countries who have made the most progress in curtailing the spread of the pandemic and can be used as examples of best practices (Relative Rating)
4
3
2	Countries who are struggling to cope with the crisis and who may need to consider maintaining stringent non-pharmaceutical measures (Relative Rating)
1

COVID-19 Severity Rating Guide

1	Countries who are coping with the crisis with a low percentage of infections and resulting deaths per population (Relative Rating)
2
3	Countries who may be overwhelmed by the crisis with a high percentage of infections and resulting deaths per population (Relative Rating)
4
5

Travel Advisory

Madagascar - published 06.11.2021

1. Flights to Madagascar are suspended. - This does not apply to: - flights arriving from France, Mauritius and Reunion; - medevac and repatriation flights. 2. Passengers entering or transiting through Madagascar must have a negative COVID-19 PCR test taken at most 72 hours before departure from the first embarkation point. - This does not apply to passengers younger than 2 years. 3. Passengers are subject to a COVID-19 RT- PCR test upon arrival and quarantine for up to 48 hours at an approved hotel at their own expense.

Travel Advisory information provided and published with permission by IATA. (Timatic COVID-19 Alerts Service has been discontinued on 1/1/2022, please refer this page for latest travel advisory)

1. Flights to Madagascar are suspended. - This does not apply to: - flights arriving from France, Mauritius and Reunion; - medevac and repatriation flights.

2. Passengers entering or transiting through Madagascar must have a negative COVID-19 PCR test taken at most 72 hours before departure from the first embarkation point. - This
does not apply to passengers younger than 2 years.

3. Passengers are subject to a COVID-19 RT- PCR test upon arrival and quarantine for up to 48 hours at an approved hotel at their own expense.

Travel Advisory information provided and published with permission by IATA. (Timatic COVID-19 Alerts Service has been discontinued on 1/1/2022, please refer this page for latest travel advisory)

Madagascar Infection Trend

How can you tell if a curve is really flattening?

The number of daily confirmed cases has been used as an estimation of how severe the COVID-19 situation is in a given country. However, we’ve found that focusing on the country’s cumulative number of active cases gives a clearer picture of whether the infection curve is flattening.

Countries with Similar Characteristics

This table is generated by a GCI-developed tool to match countries based on their similar characteristics such as population, population density, income and climate.

Country	Recovery Index	Recovery Index	Population	Density	GNI per capita	Average Temperature since First Case (Celsius)	Match%
Madagascar	49.53	50.52	26,969,307	Medium Density	Low income	21-25 deg
Malawi	45.93	55.22	18,628,747	Medium Density	Low income	21-25 deg	100%
Mozambique	57.77	58.59	30,366,036	Medium Density	Low income	21-25 deg	100%
Uganda	41.23	54.36	44,269,594	Medium Density	Low income	21-25 deg	100%
Afghanistan	41.21	47.56	38,041,754	Medium Density	Low income	11-20 deg	85%
Burkina Faso	50.36	50.86	20,321,378	Medium Density	Low income	> 30 deg	85%
Guinea	54.56	57.90	12,771,246	Medium Density	Low income	26-30 deg	85%
Syria	41.42	50.79	17,070,135	Medium Density	Low income	11-20 deg	85%
Yemen	38.94	43.83	29,161,922	Medium Density	Low income	26-30 deg	85%
Dominican Republic	58.83	63.25	10,738,958	Medium Density	Upper middle income	21-25 deg	75%
Ecuador	62.95	73.27	17,373,662	Medium Density	Upper middle income	21-25 deg	75%

GCI Recovery Forecast

The GCI Recovery Forecasting methodology relies on a Monte Carlo simulation model as we recognise that the factors that contribute to an increase / decrease in confirmed COVID19 cases are highly variable and subject to various localised circumstances and interventions. The P10 / P50 / P90 are probabilities assigned to the forecasts, with P10 being highly optimistic, and P90 being very conservative on recovery and reduction in cases. The forecast model is updated daily based on the latest case data.

Forecast Results:

Situation May Improve. The GCI Model indicates that the situation has a small probability of recovery, but there is insufficient evidence to suggest that the recovery trend will improve significantly in the near future.