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Country Rank

22


Bahrain

Recovery Rank for 184 countries/regions

COVID-19 Recovery Rating

4

Recovery Index
66.30
(Out of 100)



(100 = Best, 0 = Worst)

COVID-19 Severity Rating

5

Severity Index
85.53
(Out of 100)



(0 = Best, 100 = Worst)

Stringency Rating

65.22

(100 = Strictest Measures, 0 = No Measures)


Population
1,641,172

(Very High Density)


GNI per capita (US$)

21890

(High income)
5 Countries who have made the most progress in
curtailing the spread of the pandemic and can be
used as examples of best practices (Relative Rating)

4
3
2 Countries who are struggling to cope with the crisis
and who may need to consider maintaining stringent
non-pharmaceutical measures (Relative Rating)
1
1 Countries who are coping with the crisis with a low percentage
of infections and resulting deaths per population
(Relative Rating)
2
3 Countries who may be overwhelmed by the crisis with a high
percentage of infections and resulting deaths per population
(Relative Rating)
4
5

Travel Advisory


1. Suspension of visa on arrival facilities.

- This does not apply to passengers with a diplomatic, official, service or United Nations passport.

2. Passengers are not allowed to enter.

- This does not apply to:

- nationals and residents of Bahrain;

- nationals of Kuwait, Oman, Saudi Arabia and United Arab Emirates;

- passengers with an e-visa obtained before departure;

- military personnel.

3. Passengers are subject to medical screening upon arrival and to quarantine for 10 days.

5. Border crossing on the causeway is suspended.

Travel Advisory information provided and published with permission by IATA.


Bahrain Infection Trend


How can you tell if a curve is really flattening?

The number of daily confirmed cases has been used as an estimation of how severe the COVID-19 situation is in a given country. However, we’ve found that focusing on the country’s cumulative number of active cases gives a clearer picture of whether the infection curve is flattening.


Countries with Similar Characteristics


This table is generated by a GCI-developed tool to match countries based on their similar characteristics such as population, population density, income and climate.

Bahrain 66.30 1,641,172 Very High Density High income 26-30 deg
Country Recovery Index Population Density GNI per capita Average Temperature since First Case (Celsius) Match%
Singapore 83.81 5,703,569 Very High Density High income 26-30 deg 100%
Hong Kong SAR, China 87.36 7,507,400 Very High Density High income 21-25 deg 85%

GCI Recovery Forecast


The GCI Recovery Forecasting methodology relies on a Monte Carlo simulation model as we recognise that the factors that contribute to an increase / decrease in confirmed COVID19 cases are highly variable and subject to various localised circumstances and interventions. The P10 / P50 / P90 are probabilities assigned to the forecasts, with P10 being highly optimistic, and P90 being very conservative on recovery and reduction in cases. The forecast model is updated daily based on the latest case data.

Forecast Results:

Situation May Improve. The GCI Model indicates that the situation has a small probability of recovery, but there is insufficient evidence to suggest that the recovery trend will improve significantly in the near future.



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