The GCI Dashboard

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Country Rank

115


Bahrain

Recovery Rank for 180 countries/regions

Country Rank

87


Bahrain

Recovery Rank for 184 countries/regions

COVID-19 Recovery Rating

3

Recovery Index
57.98
(Out of 100)



(100 = Best, 0 = Worst)

COVID-19 Recovery Rating

3

Recovery Index
51.75
(Out of 100)



(100 = Best, 0 = Worst)

COVID-19 Severity Rating

4

Severity Index
63.94
(Out of 100)



(0 = Best, 100 = Worst)

COVID-19 Severity Rating

4

Severity Index
65.60
(Out of 100)



(0 = Best, 100 = Worst)

Stringency Rating

52.17

(100 = Strictest Measures, 0 = No Measures)


Population
1,641,172

(Very High Density)


GNI per capita (US$)

21890

(High income)
5 Countries who have made the most progress in
curtailing the spread of the pandemic and can be
used as examples of best practices (Relative Rating)

4
3
2 Countries who are struggling to cope with the crisis
and who may need to consider maintaining stringent
non-pharmaceutical measures (Relative Rating)
1
1 Countries who are coping with the crisis with a low percentage
of infections and resulting deaths per population
(Relative Rating)
2
3 Countries who may be overwhelmed by the crisis with a high
percentage of infections and resulting deaths per population
(Relative Rating)
4
5

Travel Advisory


1. Visa on arrival facility restarted.

2. Flights from Addis Ababa (ABB) and Baku (BAK) are suspended. - This does not apply to humanitarian, medevac and repatriation flights.

3. Flights from Iraq, Lebanon and Syria are suspended. - This does not apply to humanitarian, medevac and repatriation flights

4. Passengers are not allowed to enter until 15 May 2021. - This does not apply to: - nationals and residents of Bahrain; - nationals of Kuwait, Oman, Saudi Arabia and United Arab
Emirates; - passengers with an e-visa obtained before departure; - passengers who can obtain a visa on arrival; - military personnel.

5. Passengers are subject to Coronavirus (COVID-19) test at their own expense and self-isolation until test results are ready.

6. Border crossing on the causeway is suspended.

Travel Advisory information provided and published with permission by IATA.


Bahrain Infection Trend


How can you tell if a curve is really flattening?

The number of daily confirmed cases has been used as an estimation of how severe the COVID-19 situation is in a given country. However, we’ve found that focusing on the country’s cumulative number of active cases gives a clearer picture of whether the infection curve is flattening.


Countries with Similar Characteristics


This table is generated by a GCI-developed tool to match countries based on their similar characteristics such as population, population density, income and climate.

Bahrain 51.75 57.98 1,641,172 Very High Density High income 26-30 deg
Country Recovery Index Recovery Index Population Density GNI per capita Average Temperature
since First Case (Celsius)
Match%
Singapore 85.63 89.73 5,703,569 Very High Density High income 26-30 deg 100%
Hong Kong SAR, China 85.38 7,507,400 Very High Density High income 21-25 deg 85%

GCI Recovery Forecast


The GCI Recovery Forecasting methodology relies on a Monte Carlo simulation model as we recognise that the factors that contribute to an increase / decrease in confirmed COVID19 cases are highly variable and subject to various localised circumstances and interventions. The P10 / P50 / P90 are probabilities assigned to the forecasts, with P10 being highly optimistic, and P90 being very conservative on recovery and reduction in cases. The forecast model is updated daily based on the latest case data.

Forecast Results:

Situation Worsening. Infections are forecasted to continue to be on the rise. Interventions are required, if not already in place.



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