The Global COVID-19 Index (GCI) - Kenya Dashboard

The GCI Dashboard

Version:

Country Rank

103

Kenya

Recovery Rank for 180 countries/regions

Country Rank

68

Kenya

Recovery Rank for 184 countries/regions

COVID-19 Recovery Rating

3

Recovery Index
55.78
(Out of 100)

(100 = Best, 0 = Worst)

COVID-19 Recovery Rating

3

Recovery Index
55.20
(Out of 100)

(100 = Best, 0 = Worst)

COVID-19 Severity Rating

2

Severity Index
26.17
(Out of 100)

(0 = Best, 100 = Worst)

COVID-19 Severity Rating

1

Severity Index
21.36
(Out of 100)

(0 = Best, 100 = Worst)

Stringency Rating

13.04

(100 = Strictest Measures, 0 = No Measures)

Population

52,573,973

(Medium Density)

GNI per capita (US$)

1,620

(Lower middle income)

COVID-19 Recovery Rating Guide

5	Countries who have made the most progress in curtailing the spread of the pandemic and can be used as examples of best practices (Relative Rating)
4
3
2	Countries who are struggling to cope with the crisis and who may need to consider maintaining stringent non-pharmaceutical measures (Relative Rating)
1

COVID-19 Severity Rating Guide

1	Countries who are coping with the crisis with a low percentage of infections and resulting deaths per population (Relative Rating)
2
3	Countries who may be overwhelmed by the crisis with a high percentage of infections and resulting deaths per population (Relative Rating)
4
5

Travel Advisory

Kenya - published 22.12.2021

1. Passengers entering or transiting through Kenya must have a negative COVID-19 PCR test taken at most 72 hours before departure from the first embarkation point. The test result must be in English. - This does not apply to passengers younger than 5 years. 2. Passengers must have a COVID-19 vaccination certificate showing that they were fully vaccinated. - This does not apply to passengers younger than 18 years. 3. Passengers must complete the "Travelers Health Surveillance Form" online at https://ears.health.go.ke/airline_registration/ . This will generate a QR code which must be presented upon arrival. 4. Passengers are subject to medical screening. 5. Passengers could be subject to a COVID-19 antigen test upon arrival.

Travel Advisory information provided and published with permission by IATA. (Timatic COVID-19 Alerts Service has been discontinued on 1/1/2022, please refer this page for latest travel advisory)

1. Passengers entering or transiting through Kenya must have a negative COVID-19 PCR test taken at most 72 hours before departure from the first embarkation point. The test result
must be in English. - This does not apply to passengers younger than 5 years.

2. Passengers must have a COVID-19 vaccination certificate showing that they were fully vaccinated. - This does not apply to passengers younger than 18 years.

3. Passengers must complete the "Travelers Health Surveillance Form" online at https://ears.health.go.ke/airline_registration/ . This will generate a QR code which must be
presented upon arrival.

4. Passengers are subject to medical screening.

5. Passengers could be subject to a COVID-19 antigen test upon arrival.

Travel Advisory information provided and published with permission by IATA. (Timatic COVID-19 Alerts Service has been discontinued on 1/1/2022, please refer this page for latest travel advisory)

Kenya Infection Trend

How can you tell if a curve is really flattening?

The number of daily confirmed cases has been used as an estimation of how severe the COVID-19 situation is in a given country. However, we’ve found that focusing on the country’s cumulative number of active cases gives a clearer picture of whether the infection curve is flattening.

Countries with Similar Characteristics

This table is generated by a GCI-developed tool to match countries based on their similar characteristics such as population, population density, income and climate.

Country	Recovery Index	Recovery Index	Population	Density	GNI per capita	Average Temperature since First Case (Celsius)	Match%
Kenya	55.20	55.78	52,573,973	Medium Density	Lower middle income	26-30 deg
Myanmar	49.30	61.83	54,045,420	Medium Density	Lower middle income	26-30 deg	100%
Egypt	50.55	66.26	100,388,073	Medium Density	Lower middle income	21-25 deg	85%
Tanzania	56.65	55.61	58,005,463	Medium Density	Lower middle income	21-25 deg	85%
Congo Democratic Republic	43.10	57.47	86,790,567	Medium Density	Low income	26-30 deg	75%
Thailand	77.04	70.22	69,625,582	Medium Density	Upper middle income	26-30 deg	75%
France	57.23	53.28	67,059,887	Medium Density	High income	< 10 deg	60%
Germany	47.79	48.82	83,132,799	Medium Density	High income	< 10 deg	60%
Iran	57.95	71.96	82,913,906	Medium Density	Upper middle income	11-20 deg	60%
Italy	47.65	38.68	60,297,396	Medium Density	High income	< 10 deg	60%
South Africa	57.89	57.52	58,558,270	Medium Density	Upper middle income	11-20 deg	60%

GCI Recovery Forecast

The GCI Recovery Forecasting methodology relies on a Monte Carlo simulation model as we recognise that the factors that contribute to an increase / decrease in confirmed COVID19 cases are highly variable and subject to various localised circumstances and interventions. The P10 / P50 / P90 are probabilities assigned to the forecasts, with P10 being highly optimistic, and P90 being very conservative on recovery and reduction in cases. The forecast model is updated daily based on the latest case data.

Forecast Results:

Situation May Improve. The GCI Model indicates that the situation has a small probability of recovery, but there is insufficient evidence to suggest that the recovery trend will improve significantly in the near future.