The Global COVID-19 Index (GCI) - Armenia Dashboard

The GCI Dashboard

Version:

Country Rank

155

Armenia

Recovery Rank for 180 countries/regions

Country Rank

118

Armenia

Recovery Rank for 184 countries/regions

COVID-19 Recovery Rating

2

Recovery Index
46.70
(Out of 100)

(100 = Best, 0 = Worst)

COVID-19 Recovery Rating

2

Recovery Index
44.72
(Out of 100)

(100 = Best, 0 = Worst)

COVID-19 Severity Rating

3

Severity Index
30.42
(Out of 100)

(0 = Best, 100 = Worst)

COVID-19 Severity Rating

3

Severity Index
51.98
(Out of 100)

(0 = Best, 100 = Worst)

Stringency Rating

N/A

(100 = Strictest Measures, 0 = No Measures)

Population

2,957,731

(Medium Density)

GNI per capita (US$)

4230

(Upper middle income)

COVID-19 Recovery Rating Guide

5	Countries who have made the most progress in curtailing the spread of the pandemic and can be used as examples of best practices (Relative Rating)
4
3
2	Countries who are struggling to cope with the crisis and who may need to consider maintaining stringent non-pharmaceutical measures (Relative Rating)
1

COVID-19 Severity Rating Guide

1	Countries who are coping with the crisis with a low percentage of infections and resulting deaths per population (Relative Rating)
2
3	Countries who may be overwhelmed by the crisis with a high percentage of infections and resulting deaths per population (Relative Rating)
4
5

Travel Advisory

Armenia - published 19.11.2020

1. Suspension of visa on arrival facilities. 2. Passengers without a medical certificate with a negative Coronavirus (COVID-19) PCR test result issued at most 72 hours before arrival are subject to a test upon arrival at their own expense. The certificate must be in Armenian, English or Russian.

Travel Advisory information provided and published with permission by IATA.

1. Suspension of visa on arrival facilities.

2. Passengers without a medical certificate with a negative Coronavirus (COVID-19) PCR test result issued at most 72 hours before arrival are subject to a test upon arrival at
their own expense. The certificate must be in Armenian, English or Russian.

Travel Advisory information provided and published with permission by IATA.

Armenia Infection Trend

How can you tell if a curve is really flattening?

The number of daily confirmed cases has been used as an estimation of how severe the COVID-19 situation is in a given country. However, we’ve found that focusing on the country’s cumulative number of active cases gives a clearer picture of whether the infection curve is flattening.

Countries with Similar Characteristics

This table is generated by a GCI-developed tool to match countries based on their similar characteristics such as population, population density, income and climate.

Country	Recovery Index	Recovery Index	Population	Density	GNI per capita	Average Temperature since First Case (Celsius)	Match%
Armenia	44.72	46.70	2,957,731	Medium Density	Upper middle income	< 10 deg
Belarus	65.07	84.64	9,466,856	Medium Density	Upper middle income	< 10 deg	100%
Georgia	55.75	71.50	3,720,382	Medium Density	Upper middle income	< 10 deg	100%
North Macedonia	22.38	38.07	2,083,459	Medium Density	Upper middle income	< 10 deg	100%
Albania	23.91	50.14	2,854,191	Medium Density	Upper middle income	11-20 deg	85%
Azerbaijan	40.36	52.92	10,023,318	Medium Density	Upper middle income	11-20 deg	85%
Bosnia and Herzegovina	24.78	38.67	3,301,000	Medium Density	Upper middle income	11-20 deg	85%
Bulgaria	24.57	47.56	6,975,761	Medium Density	Upper middle income	11-20 deg	85%
Costa Rica	40.16	59.68	5,047,561	Medium Density	Upper middle income	26-30 deg	85%
Equatorial Guinea	47.67	51.61	1,355,986	Medium Density	Upper middle income	26-30 deg	85%
Serbia	35.40	50.39	6,944,975	Medium Density	Upper middle income	11-20 deg	85%

GCI Recovery Forecast

The GCI Recovery Forecasting methodology relies on a Monte Carlo simulation model as we recognise that the factors that contribute to an increase / decrease in confirmed COVID19 cases are highly variable and subject to various localised circumstances and interventions. The P10 / P50 / P90 are probabilities assigned to the forecasts, with P10 being highly optimistic, and P90 being very conservative on recovery and reduction in cases. The forecast model is updated daily based on the latest case data.

Forecast Results:

Situation May Improve. The GCI Model indicates that the situation has a small probability of recovery, but there is insufficient evidence to suggest that the recovery trend will improve significantly in the near future.

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