The GCI Dashboard

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Country Rank

100


Armenia

Recovery Rank for 180 countries/regions

Country Rank

90


Armenia

Recovery Rank for 184 countries/regions

COVID-19 Recovery Rating

3

Recovery Index
62.98
(Out of 100)



(100 = Best, 0 = Worst)

COVID-19 Recovery Rating

3

Recovery Index
52.05
(Out of 100)



(100 = Best, 0 = Worst)

COVID-19 Severity Rating

4

Severity Index
53.81
(Out of 100)



(0 = Best, 100 = Worst)

COVID-19 Severity Rating

3

Severity Index
59.19
(Out of 100)



(0 = Best, 100 = Worst)

Stringency Rating

N/A

(100 = Strictest Measures, 0 = No Measures)


Population
2,957,731

(Medium Density)


GNI per capita (US$)

4230

(Upper middle income)
5 Countries who have made the most progress in
curtailing the spread of the pandemic and can be
used as examples of best practices (Relative Rating)
4
3
2 Countries who are struggling to cope with the crisis
and who may need to consider maintaining stringent
non-pharmaceutical measures (Relative Rating)
1
1 Countries who are coping with the crisis with a low percentage
of infections and resulting deaths per population
(Relative Rating)
2
3 Countries who may be overwhelmed by the crisis with a high
percentage of infections and resulting deaths per population
(Relative Rating)
4
5

Travel Advisory


2. Passengers who are allowed to enter Armenia are subject to a 14 day quarantine.

Travel Advisory information provided and published with permission by IATA.

Armenia Infection Trend


How can you tell if a curve is really flattening?

The number of daily confirmed cases has been used as an estimation of how severe the COVID-19 situation is in a given country. However, we’ve found that focusing on the country’s cumulative number of active cases gives a clearer picture of whether the infection curve is flattening.


Countries with Similar Characteristics


This table is generated by a GCI-developed tool to match countries based on their similar characteristics such as population, population density, income and climate.

Armenia 52.05 62.98 2,957,731 Medium Density Upper middle income < 10 deg
Country Recovery Index Recovery Index Population Density GNI per capita Average Temperature
since First Case (Celsius)		 Match%
Belarus 62.72 81.97 9,466,856 Medium Density Upper middle income < 10 deg 100%
Georgia 56.70 72.31 3,720,382 Medium Density Upper middle income < 10 deg 100%
North Macedonia 39.14 51.43 2,083,459 Medium Density Upper middle income < 10 deg 100%
Albania 19.46 36.10 2,854,191 Medium Density Upper middle income 11-20 deg 85%
Azerbaijan 55.14 76.81 10,023,318 Medium Density Upper middle income 11-20 deg 85%
Bosnia and Herzegovina 32.95 43.91 3,301,000 Medium Density Upper middle income 11-20 deg 85%
Bulgaria 45.16 62.47 6,975,761 Medium Density Upper middle income 11-20 deg 85%
Costa Rica 28.37 50.47 5,047,561 Medium Density Upper middle income 26-30 deg 85%
Equatorial Guinea 49.97 51.23 1,355,986 Medium Density Upper middle income 26-30 deg 85%
Serbia 47.49 58.15 6,944,975 Medium Density Upper middle income 11-20 deg 85%

GCI Recovery Forecast


The GCI Recovery Forecasting methodology relies on a Monte Carlo simulation model as we recognise that the factors that contribute to an increase / decrease in confirmed COVID19 cases are highly variable and subject to various localised circumstances and interventions. The P10 / P50 / P90 are probabilities assigned to the forecasts, with P10 being highly optimistic, and P90 being very conservative on recovery and reduction in cases. The forecast model is updated daily based on the latest case data.

Forecast Results:

Situation Improving. The GCI Model forecasts that the situation is definitely improving and with the right discipline and compliance, the country can hope to see numbers diminish significantly in the near future.



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