The GCI Dashboard

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Country Rank

27


Canada

Recovery Rank for 180 countries/regions

Country Rank

15


Canada

Recovery Rank for 184 countries/regions

COVID-19 Recovery Rating

4

Recovery Index
76.29
(Out of 100)



(100 = Best, 0 = Worst)

COVID-19 Recovery Rating

4

Recovery Index
70.44
(Out of 100)



(100 = Best, 0 = Worst)

COVID-19 Severity Rating

2

Severity Index
24.47
(Out of 100)



(0 = Best, 100 = Worst)

COVID-19 Severity Rating

1

Severity Index
26.36
(Out of 100)



(0 = Best, 100 = Worst)

Stringency Rating

91.30

(100 = Strictest Measures, 0 = No Measures)


Population
37,589,262

(Low Density)


GNI per capita (US$)

44950

(High income)
5 Countries who have made the most progress in
curtailing the spread of the pandemic and can be
used as examples of best practices (Relative Rating)

4
3
2 Countries who are struggling to cope with the crisis
and who may need to consider maintaining stringent
non-pharmaceutical measures (Relative Rating)
1
1 Countries who are coping with the crisis with a low percentage
of infections and resulting deaths per population
(Relative Rating)
2
3 Countries who may be overwhelmed by the crisis with a high
percentage of infections and resulting deaths per population
(Relative Rating)
4
5

Travel Advisory


1. Passengers arriving from the USA are not allowed to enter until 21 April 2021. -This does not apply to: - nationals of Canada; - permanent residents of Canada; - passengers who
are asymptomatic for Coronavirus (COVID-19) and travel for a non-optional or non-discretionary purpose. They must comply with the requirement to quarantine based on their purpose
of travel and intended length of stay if required; - immediate family members of a national of Canada or a permanent resident of Canada who are asymptomatic for Coronavirus
(COVID-19). They must prove that the purpose of their travel is to be with their immediate family member who is a national of Canada or permanent resident of Canada and that they
intend to stay for at least 15 days; - extended family members of a national of Canada or a permanent resident of Canada who are asymptomatic for Coronavirus (COVID-19). They must
prove that they intend to be with their extended family member who is a national of Canada or permanent resident of Canada and that they intend to stay at least 15 days. They must
have a statutory declaration signed by the Canadian national or permanent resident attesting to the relationship. They must also have a letter issued by IRCC; - passengers who
enter on Compassionate Grounds and are asymptomatic for Coronavirus (COVID-19). They must have a letter issued by PHAC; - passengers who enter for the purpose of an International
Single Sport Event. They must be asymptomatic and have a letter issued by the Deputy Minister of Canadian Heritage (PCH).

2. Passengers arriving from a country other than the USA are not allowed to enter until 21 April 2021. -This does not apply to: - nationals of Canada; - permanent residents of
Canada; - passengers who are asymptomatic for Coronavirus (COVID-19) and travel for a non-optional or non-discretionary purpose. They must be one of the 24 classes of persons in
section 3 (1) of the Order in Council OIC 2020-0796; - passengers who are asymptomatic for Coronavirus (COVID-19) and the subject of a National Interest Exemption Letter issued by
the Minister of Foreign Affairs, the Minister of Citizenship and Immigration or the Minister of Public Safety and Emergency Preparedness; - immediate family members of a national
of Canada or a permanent resident of Canada who are asymptomatic for Coronavirus (COVID-19). They must prove that the purpose of their travel is to be with their immediate family
member who is a national of Canada or permanent resident of Canada and that they intend to stay for at least 15 days; - extended family members of a national of Canada or a
permanent resident of Canada who are asymptomatic for Coronavirus (COVID-19). They must prove that they intend to be with their extended family member who is a national of Canada
or permanent resident of Canada and that they intend to stay at least 15 days. They must have a statutory declaration signed by the Canadian national or permanent resident
attesting to the relationship. They must also have a letter issued by IRCC; - passengers who enter on Compassionate Grounds and are asymptomatic for Coronavirus (COVID-19). They
must have a letter issued by PHAC; - passengers who enter for the purpose of an International Single Sport Event. They must be asymptomatic and have a letter issued by the Deputy
Minister of Canadian Heritage (PCH).

3. Passengers must arrive at Calgary (YYC), Montreal (YUL), Toronto (YYZ) or Vancouver (YVR). - This does not apply to passengers arriving on direct flights from St. Pierre and
Miquelon.

4. Passengers could be subject to quarantine for 14 days; details can be found at
https://www.canada.ca/en/public-health/services/publications/diseases-conditions/covid-19-information-essential-service-workers.html All travel restrictions may be prolonged as
necessary for public health reasons.

5. Passengers must submit their travel information electronically before boarding through the ArriveCAN app or the website
https://www.canada.ca/en/public-health/services/diseases/coronavirus-disease-covid-19/arrivecan.html .

6. Passengers must have a medical certificate with a negative Coronavirus (COVID-19) test result. The test must have been taken at most 72 hours before departure of the last
direct flight to Canada. Tests accepted are: CRISPR, Ct, detection of the E gene, detection of the N gene, detection of Orf1a/b, detection of the RdRp gene, detection of the S
gene, ddPCR, isothermal amplification, LamPORE, NAAT, NAT, NGS, PCR, qPCR, RNA, RT-LAMP, RT-PCR, sequencing and WGS. - This does not apply to: - passengers younger than 5 years; -
passengers with a medical certificate with a positive Coronavirus (COVID-19) test result of a test taken at least 15 days and at most 90 days before departure of the last direct
flight to Canada. Tests accepted are: CRISPR, Ct, detection of the E gene, detection of the N gene, detection of Orf1a/b, detection of the RdRp gene, detection of the S gene,
ddPCR, isothermal amplification, LamPORE, NAAT, NAT, NGS, PCR, qPCR, RNA, RT-LAMP, RT-PCR, sequencing and WGS.

7. Passengers are subject to a Coronavirus (COVID-19) molecular test upon arrival and another test during quarantine. - This does not apply to: - passengers with a medical
certificate with a positive Coronavirus (COVID-19) test result of a test taken at least 15 days and at most 90 days before departure of the last direct flight to Canada. Tests
accepted are: CRISPR, Ct, detection of the E gene, detection of the N gene, detection of Orf1a/b, detection of the RdRp gene, detection of the S gene, ddPCR, isothermal
amplification, LamPORE, NAAT, NAT, NGS, PCR, qPCR, RNA, RT-LAMP, RT-PCR, sequencing and WGS; - residents of Point Roberts in Washington in the USA entering Canada to return to
their place of residence; - passengers who are members of the Canadian Forces or a visiting force traveling on duty; - more exemptions can be found at https://tinyurl.com/y33jxz4f
.

8. Passengers must have a confirmed hotel reservation for 3 nights. The booking can be made at http://tinyurl.com/rfcycslb . - This does not apply to passengers who are members of
the Canadian Forces or a visiting force traveling on duty; - more exemptions can be found at https://tinyurl.com/y33jxz4f .

Travel Advisory information provided and published with permission by IATA.


Canada Infection Trend


How can you tell if a curve is really flattening?

The number of daily confirmed cases has been used as an estimation of how severe the COVID-19 situation is in a given country. However, we’ve found that focusing on the country’s cumulative number of active cases gives a clearer picture of whether the infection curve is flattening.


Countries with Similar Characteristics


This table is generated by a GCI-developed tool to match countries based on their similar characteristics such as population, population density, income and climate.

Canada 70.44 76.29 37,589,262 Low Density High income < 10 deg
Country Recovery Index Recovery Index Population Density GNI per capita Average Temperature
since First Case (Celsius)
Match%
Chile 63.11 73.91 18,952,038 Low Density High income < 10 deg 100%
Australia 70.31 65.86 25,364,307 Low Density High income 26-30 deg 85%
Saudi Arabia 72.83 78.71 34,268,528 Low Density High income 26-30 deg 85%
Kazakhstan 52.99 67.32 18,513,930 Low Density Upper middle income < 10 deg 75%
Algeria 29.63 63.91 43,053,054 Low Density Lower middle income 21-25 deg 60%
Angola 49.96 67.19 31,825,295 Low Density Lower middle income 21-25 deg 60%
Argentina 45.58 55.14 44,938,712 Low Density Upper middle income 11-20 deg 60%
Bolivia 37.82 55.49 11,513,100 Low Density Lower middle income 21-25 deg 60%
Chad 52.17 64.91 15,946,876 Low Density Low income > 30 deg 60%
Mali 31.12 45.16 19,658,031 Low Density Low income > 30 deg 60%

GCI Recovery Forecast


The GCI Recovery Forecasting methodology relies on a Monte Carlo simulation model as we recognise that the factors that contribute to an increase / decrease in confirmed COVID19 cases are highly variable and subject to various localised circumstances and interventions. The P10 / P50 / P90 are probabilities assigned to the forecasts, with P10 being highly optimistic, and P90 being very conservative on recovery and reduction in cases. The forecast model is updated daily based on the latest case data.

Forecast Results:

Situation Worsening. Infections are forecasted to continue to be on the rise. Interventions are required, if not already in place.



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