The GCI Dashboard

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Country Rank

45


Canada

Recovery Rank for 180 countries/regions

Country Rank

11


Canada

Recovery Rank for 184 countries/regions

COVID-19 Recovery Rating

4

Recovery Index
73.34
(Out of 100)



(100 = Best, 0 = Worst)

COVID-19 Recovery Rating

4

Recovery Index
70.90
(Out of 100)



(100 = Best, 0 = Worst)

COVID-19 Severity Rating

2

Severity Index
29.96
(Out of 100)



(0 = Best, 100 = Worst)

COVID-19 Severity Rating

1

Severity Index
28.01
(Out of 100)



(0 = Best, 100 = Worst)

Stringency Rating

91.30

(100 = Strictest Measures, 0 = No Measures)


Population
37,589,262

(Low Density)


GNI per capita (US$)

44950

(High income)
5 Countries who have made the most progress in
curtailing the spread of the pandemic and can be
used as examples of best practices (Relative Rating)

4
3
2 Countries who are struggling to cope with the crisis
and who may need to consider maintaining stringent
non-pharmaceutical measures (Relative Rating)
1
1 Countries who are coping with the crisis with a low percentage
of infections and resulting deaths per population
(Relative Rating)
2
3 Countries who may be overwhelmed by the crisis with a high
percentage of infections and resulting deaths per population
(Relative Rating)
4
5

Travel Advisory


1. Passengers arriving from the USA are not allowed to enter until 21 February 2021. -This does not apply to: - nationals of Canada; - permanent residents of Canada; - passengers
who are asymptomatic for Coronavirus (COVID-19) and travel for a non-optional or non-discretionary purpose. They must comply with the requirement to quarantine based on their
purpose of travel and intended length of stay if required; - immediate family members of a national of Canada or a permanent resident of Canada who are asymptomatic for Coronavirus
(COVID-19). They must prove that the purpose of their travel is to be with their immediate family member who is a national of Canada or permanent resident of Canada and that they
intend to stay for at least 15 days; - extended family members of a national of Canada or a permanent resident of Canada who are asymptomatic for Coronavirus (COVID-19). They must
prove that they intend to be with their extended family member who is a national of Canada or permanent resident of Canada and that they intend to stay at least 15 days. They must
have a statutory declaration signed by the Canadian national or permanent resident attesting to the relationship. They must also have a letter issued by IRCC; - passengers who
enter on Compassionate Grounds and are asymptomatic for Coronavirus (COVID-19). They must have a letter issued by PHAC; - passengers who enter for the purpose of an International
Single Sport Event. They must be asymptomatic and have a letter issued by the Deputy Minister of Canadian Heritage (PCH).

2. Passengers arriving from a country other than the USA are not allowed to enter until 21 February 2021. -This does not apply to: - nationals of Canada; - permanent residents of
Canada; - passengers who are asymptomatic for Coronavirus (COVID-19) and travel for a non-optional or non-discretionary purpose. They must be one of the 24 classes of persons in
section 3 (1) of the Order in Council OIC 2020-0796; - passengers who are asymptomatic for Coronavirus (COVID-19) and the subject of a National Interest Exemption Letter issued by
the Minister of Foreign Affairs, the Minister of Citizenship and Immigration or the Minister of Public Safety and Emergency Preparedness; - immediate family members of a national
of Canada or a permanent resident of Canada who are asymptomatic for Coronavirus (COVID-19). They must prove that the purpose of their travel is to be with their immediate family
member who is a national of Canada or permanent resident of Canada and that they intend to stay for at least 15 days; - extended family members of a national of Canada or a
permanent resident of Canada who are asymptomatic for Coronavirus (COVID-19). They must prove that they intend to be with their extended family member who is a national of Canada
or permanent resident of Canada and that they intend to stay at least 15 days. They must have a statutory declaration signed by the Canadian national or permanent resident
attesting to the relationship. They must also have a letter issued by IRCC; - passengers who enter on Compassionate Grounds and are asymptomatic for Coronavirus (COVID-19). They
must have a letter issued by PHAC; - passengers who enter for the purpose of an International Single Sport Event. They must be asymptomatic and have a letter issued by the Deputy
Minister of Canadian Heritage (PCH).

3. Passengers must arrive at Calgary (YYC), Montreal (YUL), Toronto (YYZ) or Vancouver (YVR). - This does not apply to passengers arriving on direct flights from Argentina,
Belize, Bolivia, Brazil, Chile, Colombia, Costa Rica, Ecuador, El Salvador, French Guiana, Guatemala, Guyana, Honduras, Mexico, Nicaragua, Panama, Paraguay, Peru, St. Pierre and
Miquelon, Suriname, Uruguay, USA or Venezuela.

4. Passengers could be subject to quarantine for 14 days; details can be found at
https://www.canada.ca/en/public-health/services/publications/diseases-conditions/covid-19-information-essential-service-workers.html All travel restrictions may be prolonged as
necessary for public health reasons.

5. Passengers must submit their travel information electronically before boarding through the ArriveCAN app or the website https://tinyurl.com/y5w3okqq .

6. Passengers must have a medical certificate with a negative Coronavirus (COVID-19) PCR, RT-PCR, Nucleic-acid Amplification Test (NAAT), LAMP or RT-LAMP test result. The test
must have been taken at most 72 hours before departure of the last direct flight to Canada. - This does not apply to: - passengers younger than 5 years.

Travel Advisory information provided and published with permission by IATA.


Canada Infection Trend


How can you tell if a curve is really flattening?

The number of daily confirmed cases has been used as an estimation of how severe the COVID-19 situation is in a given country. However, we’ve found that focusing on the country’s cumulative number of active cases gives a clearer picture of whether the infection curve is flattening.


Countries with Similar Characteristics


This table is generated by a GCI-developed tool to match countries based on their similar characteristics such as population, population density, income and climate.

Canada 70.90 73.34 37,589,262 Low Density High income < 10 deg
Country Recovery Index Recovery Index Population Density GNI per capita Average Temperature
since First Case (Celsius)
Match%
Chile 66.22 76.98 18,952,038 Low Density High income < 10 deg 100%
Australia 81.99 76.40 25,364,307 Low Density High income 26-30 deg 85%
Saudi Arabia 73.95 87.11 34,268,528 Low Density High income 26-30 deg 85%
Kazakhstan 55.24 68.92 18,513,930 Low Density Upper middle income < 10 deg 75%
Algeria 34.58 57.78 43,053,054 Low Density Lower middle income 21-25 deg 60%
Angola 48.76 67.59 31,825,295 Low Density Lower middle income 21-25 deg 60%
Argentina 54.04 63.97 44,938,712 Low Density Upper middle income 11-20 deg 60%
Bolivia 35.30 49.42 11,513,100 Low Density Lower middle income 21-25 deg 60%
Chad 41.50 45.80 15,946,876 Low Density Low income > 30 deg 60%
Mali 40.76 57.82 19,658,031 Low Density Low income > 30 deg 60%

GCI Recovery Forecast


The GCI Recovery Forecasting methodology relies on a Monte Carlo simulation model as we recognise that the factors that contribute to an increase / decrease in confirmed COVID19 cases are highly variable and subject to various localised circumstances and interventions. The P10 / P50 / P90 are probabilities assigned to the forecasts, with P10 being highly optimistic, and P90 being very conservative on recovery and reduction in cases. The forecast model is updated daily based on the latest case data.

Forecast Results:

Situation Improving. The GCI Model forecasts that the situation is definitely improving and with the right discipline and compliance, the country can hope to see numbers diminish significantly in the near future.



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