The GCI Dashboard

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Country Rank

11


Canada

Recovery Rank for 184 countries/regions

COVID-19 Recovery Rating

4

Recovery Index
73.93
(Out of 100)



(100 = Best, 0 = Worst)

COVID-19 Severity Rating

2

Severity Index
31.13
(Out of 100)



(0 = Best, 100 = Worst)

Stringency Rating

69.57

(100 = Strictest Measures, 0 = No Measures)


Population
37,589,262

(Low Density)


GNI per capita (US$)

44950

(High income)
5 Countries who have made the most progress in
curtailing the spread of the pandemic and can be
used as examples of best practices (Relative Rating)

4
3
2 Countries who are struggling to cope with the crisis
and who may need to consider maintaining stringent
non-pharmaceutical measures (Relative Rating)
1
1 Countries who are coping with the crisis with a low percentage
of infections and resulting deaths per population
(Relative Rating)
2
3 Countries who may be overwhelmed by the crisis with a high
percentage of infections and resulting deaths per population
(Relative Rating)
4
5

Travel Advisory


1. Passengers are not allowed to enter until 31 October 2020. -This does not apply to: - nationals of Canada; - permanent residents of Canada; - passengers arriving from the USA
traveling for a purpose other than tourism; - immediate family members of a national or a permanent resident of Canada. They must be traveling to be with the national or the
permanent resident, and intending to stay in Canada for a period of at least 15 days; - extended family members of a national or a permanent resident of Canada. They must be
traveling to be with the national or the permanent resident, and intending to stay in Canada for a period of at least 15 days. They must have a statutory declaration signed by the
Canadian national attesting to the relationship and a letter issued by IRCC authorizing travel; - passengers who do not need to obtain a temporary resident visa and their immediate
family members. They must be traveling for a purpose other than tourism; - nationals of France who reside in Saint-Pierre-et-Miquelon and have been only in
Saint-Pierre-et-Miquelon, the USA or Canada in the past 14 days. They must be traveling for a purpose other than tourism; - Indians under the Indian Act; - merchant seamen -
students with a study permit or a written approval notice.

2. Passengers must arrive at Calgary (YYC), Montreal (YUL), Toronto (YYZ) or Vancouver (YVR). - This does not apply to passengers arriving on direct flights from Argentina,
Belize, Bolivia, Brazil, Chile, Colombia, Costa Rica, Ecuador, El Salvador, French Guiana, Guatemala, Guyana, Honduras, Mexico, Nicaragua, Panama, Paraguay, Peru, St. Pierre and
Miquelon, Suriname, Uruguay, USA or Venezuela.

3. Passengers could be subject to quarantine for 14 days; details can be found at
https://www.canada.ca/en/public-health/services/publications/diseases-conditions/covid-19-information-essential-service-workers.html

4. Current entry restrictions for passengers arriving from the USA are in effect until 21 November at 11:59:59 pm. All travel restrictions may be prolonged as necessary for public
health reasons.

Travel Advisory information provided and published with permission by IATA.


Canada Infection Trend


How can you tell if a curve is really flattening?

The number of daily confirmed cases has been used as an estimation of how severe the COVID-19 situation is in a given country. However, we’ve found that focusing on the country’s cumulative number of active cases gives a clearer picture of whether the infection curve is flattening.


Countries with Similar Characteristics


This table is generated by a GCI-developed tool to match countries based on their similar characteristics such as population, population density, income and climate.

Canada 73.93 37,589,262 Low Density High income < 10 deg
Country Recovery Index Population Density GNI per capita Average Temperature since First Case (Celsius) Match%
Chile 70.06 18,952,038 Low Density High income < 10 deg 100%
Australia 86.60 25,364,307 Low Density High income 26-30 deg 85%
Saudi Arabia 70.86 34,268,528 Low Density High income 26-30 deg 85%
Kazakhstan 63.93 18,513,930 Low Density Upper middle income < 10 deg 75%
Algeria 42.63 43,053,054 Low Density Lower middle income 21-25 deg 60%
Angola 32.64 31,825,295 Low Density Lower middle income 21-25 deg 60%
Argentina 47.05 44,938,712 Low Density Upper middle income 11-20 deg 60%
Bolivia 44.40 11,513,100 Low Density Lower middle income 21-25 deg 60%
Chad 53.86 15,946,876 Low Density Low income > 30 deg 60%
Mali 48.50 19,658,031 Low Density Low income > 30 deg 60%

GCI Recovery Forecast


The GCI Recovery Forecasting methodology relies on a Monte Carlo simulation model as we recognise that the factors that contribute to an increase / decrease in confirmed COVID19 cases are highly variable and subject to various localised circumstances and interventions. The P10 / P50 / P90 are probabilities assigned to the forecasts, with P10 being highly optimistic, and P90 being very conservative on recovery and reduction in cases. The forecast model is updated daily based on the latest case data.

Forecast Results:

Situation May Improve. The GCI Model indicates that the situation has a small probability of recovery, but there is insufficient evidence to suggest that the recovery trend will improve significantly in the near future.



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