The GCI Dashboard

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Country Rank

75


Egypt

Recovery Rank for 180 countries/regions

Country Rank

69


Egypt

Recovery Rank for 184 countries/regions

COVID-19 Recovery Rating

3

Recovery Index
64.96
(Out of 100)



(100 = Best, 0 = Worst)

COVID-19 Recovery Rating

3

Recovery Index
56.57
(Out of 100)



(100 = Best, 0 = Worst)

COVID-19 Severity Rating

2

Severity Index
15.12
(Out of 100)



(0 = Best, 100 = Worst)

COVID-19 Severity Rating

1

Severity Index
21.67
(Out of 100)



(0 = Best, 100 = Worst)

Stringency Rating

52.17

(100 = Strictest Measures, 0 = No Measures)


Population
100,388,073

(Medium Density)


GNI per capita (US$)

2800

(Lower middle income)
5 Countries who have made the most progress in
curtailing the spread of the pandemic and can be
used as examples of best practices (Relative Rating)

4
3
2 Countries who are struggling to cope with the crisis
and who may need to consider maintaining stringent
non-pharmaceutical measures (Relative Rating)
1
1 Countries who are coping with the crisis with a low percentage
of infections and resulting deaths per population
(Relative Rating)
2
3 Countries who may be overwhelmed by the crisis with a high
percentage of infections and resulting deaths per population
(Relative Rating)
4
5

Travel Advisory


1. Flights to Egypt restarted.

2. A completed "Public Health Card" must be presented to immigration upon arrival.

3. Passengers arriving from Argentina, Australia, Bolivia, Brazil, Canada, Chile, China (People's Rep.), Colombia, Ecuador, France (Paris only), Germany (Frankfurt only), Guyana,
Italy (Rome only), Japan, Korea (Rep.), Mexico, New-Zealand, Paraguay, Peru, Suriname, Thailand, USA, United Kingdom (London Heathrow only), Uruguay or Venezuela must have a
printed medical certificate with a negative Coronavirus (COVID-19) RT-PCR test result. The test must have been taken at most 96 hours before departure of the last direct flight to
Egypt. The medical certificate must be issued by an approved laboratory and must not have any scraping, cancellation or written addition. The test must be based on a nasal or oral
swab. - This does not apply to passengers younger than 6 years.

4. Passengers arriving from any other country must have a printed medical certificate with a negative Coronavirus (COVID-19) RT-PCR test result. The test must have been taken at
most 72 hours before departure of the last direct flight to Egypt. The medical certificate must be issued by an approved laboratory and must not have any scraping, cancellation or
written addition. The test must be based on a nasal or oral swab. - This does not apply to passengers younger than 6 years.

5. Passengers arriving on direct flights at Hurghada (HRG), Marsa Alam (RMF), Sharm El Sheikh (SSH) or Taba (TCP) without a printed negative Coronavirus (COVID-19) PCR test result
are subject to a PCR test on arrival at their own expense.

Travel Advisory information provided and published with permission by IATA.


Egypt Infection Trend


How can you tell if a curve is really flattening?

The number of daily confirmed cases has been used as an estimation of how severe the COVID-19 situation is in a given country. However, we’ve found that focusing on the country’s cumulative number of active cases gives a clearer picture of whether the infection curve is flattening.


Countries with Similar Characteristics


This table is generated by a GCI-developed tool to match countries based on their similar characteristics such as population, population density, income and climate.

Egypt 56.57 64.96 100,388,073 Medium Density Lower middle income 21-25 deg
Country Recovery Index Recovery Index Population Density GNI per capita Average Temperature
since First Case (Celsius)
Match%
Tanzania 35.82 40.19 58,005,463 Medium Density Lower middle income 21-25 deg 100%
Kenya 52.76 57.94 52,573,973 Medium Density Lower middle income 26-30 deg 85%
Myanmar 55.16 69.07 54,045,420 Medium Density Lower middle income 26-30 deg 85%
Congo Democratic Republic 56.76 62.78 86,790,567 Medium Density Low income 26-30 deg 60%
France 27.80 34.14 67,059,887 Medium Density High income < 10 deg 60%
Germany 55.66 64.45 83,132,799 Medium Density High income < 10 deg 60%
Iran 46.82 55.18 82,913,906 Medium Density Upper middle income 11-20 deg 60%
Italy 27.18 38.75 60,297,396 Medium Density High income < 10 deg 60%
South Africa 66.62 71.77 58,558,270 Medium Density Upper middle income 11-20 deg 60%
Thailand 82.81 78.33 69,625,582 Medium Density Upper middle income 26-30 deg 60%

GCI Recovery Forecast


The GCI Recovery Forecasting methodology relies on a Monte Carlo simulation model as we recognise that the factors that contribute to an increase / decrease in confirmed COVID19 cases are highly variable and subject to various localised circumstances and interventions. The P10 / P50 / P90 are probabilities assigned to the forecasts, with P10 being highly optimistic, and P90 being very conservative on recovery and reduction in cases. The forecast model is updated daily based on the latest case data.

Forecast Results:

Situation Worsening. Infections are forecasted to continue to be on the rise. Interventions are required, if not already in place.



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