The Global COVID-19 Index (GCI) - Egypt Dashboard

The GCI Dashboard

Version:

Country Rank

75

Egypt

Recovery Rank for 180 countries/regions

Country Rank

69

Egypt

Recovery Rank for 184 countries/regions

COVID-19 Recovery Rating

3

Recovery Index
64.96
(Out of 100)

(100 = Best, 0 = Worst)

COVID-19 Recovery Rating

3

Recovery Index
56.57
(Out of 100)

(100 = Best, 0 = Worst)

COVID-19 Severity Rating

2

Severity Index
15.12
(Out of 100)

(0 = Best, 100 = Worst)

COVID-19 Severity Rating

1

Severity Index
21.67
(Out of 100)

(0 = Best, 100 = Worst)

Stringency Rating

52.17

(100 = Strictest Measures, 0 = No Measures)

Population

100,388,073

(Medium Density)

GNI per capita (US$)

2800

(Lower middle income)

COVID-19 Recovery Rating Guide

5	Countries who have made the most progress in curtailing the spread of the pandemic and can be used as examples of best practices (Relative Rating)
4
3
2	Countries who are struggling to cope with the crisis and who may need to consider maintaining stringent non-pharmaceutical measures (Relative Rating)
1

COVID-19 Severity Rating Guide

1	Countries who are coping with the crisis with a low percentage of infections and resulting deaths per population (Relative Rating)
2
3	Countries who may be overwhelmed by the crisis with a high percentage of infections and resulting deaths per population (Relative Rating)
4
5

Travel Advisory

Egypt - published 16.11.2020

1. Flights to Egypt restarted. 2. A completed "Public Health Card" must be presented to immigration upon arrival. 3. Passengers arriving from Argentina, Australia, Bolivia, Brazil, Canada, Chile, China (People's Rep.), Colombia, Ecuador, France (Paris only), Germany (Frankfurt only), Guyana, Italy (Rome only), Japan, Korea (Rep.), Mexico, New-Zealand, Paraguay, Peru, Suriname, Thailand, USA, United Kingdom (London Heathrow only), Uruguay or Venezuela must have a printed medical certificate with a negative Coronavirus (COVID-19) RT-PCR test result. The test must have been taken at most 96 hours before departure of the last direct flight to Egypt. The medical certificate must be issued by an approved laboratory and must not have any scraping, cancellation or written addition. The test must be based on a nasal or oral swab. - This does not apply to passengers younger than 6 years. 4. Passengers arriving from any other country must have a printed medical certificate with a negative Coronavirus (COVID-19) RT-PCR test result. The test must have been taken at most 72 hours before departure of the last direct flight to Egypt. The medical certificate must be issued by an approved laboratory and must not have any scraping, cancellation or written addition. The test must be based on a nasal or oral swab. - This does not apply to passengers younger than 6 years. 5. Passengers arriving on direct flights at Hurghada (HRG), Marsa Alam (RMF), Sharm El Sheikh (SSH) or Taba (TCP) without a printed negative Coronavirus (COVID-19) PCR test result are subject to a PCR test on arrival at their own expense.

Travel Advisory information provided and published with permission by IATA.

1. Flights to Egypt restarted.

2. A completed "Public Health Card" must be presented to immigration upon arrival.

3. Passengers arriving from Argentina, Australia, Bolivia, Brazil, Canada, Chile, China (People's Rep.), Colombia, Ecuador, France (Paris only), Germany (Frankfurt only), Guyana,
Italy (Rome only), Japan, Korea (Rep.), Mexico, New-Zealand, Paraguay, Peru, Suriname, Thailand, USA, United Kingdom (London Heathrow only), Uruguay or Venezuela must have a
printed medical certificate with a negative Coronavirus (COVID-19) RT-PCR test result. The test must have been taken at most 96 hours before departure of the last direct flight to
Egypt. The medical certificate must be issued by an approved laboratory and must not have any scraping, cancellation or written addition. The test must be based on a nasal or oral
swab. - This does not apply to passengers younger than 6 years.

4. Passengers arriving from any other country must have a printed medical certificate with a negative Coronavirus (COVID-19) RT-PCR test result. The test must have been taken at
most 72 hours before departure of the last direct flight to Egypt. The medical certificate must be issued by an approved laboratory and must not have any scraping, cancellation or
written addition. The test must be based on a nasal or oral swab. - This does not apply to passengers younger than 6 years.

5. Passengers arriving on direct flights at Hurghada (HRG), Marsa Alam (RMF), Sharm El Sheikh (SSH) or Taba (TCP) without a printed negative Coronavirus (COVID-19) PCR test result
are subject to a PCR test on arrival at their own expense.

Travel Advisory information provided and published with permission by IATA.

Egypt Infection Trend

How can you tell if a curve is really flattening?

The number of daily confirmed cases has been used as an estimation of how severe the COVID-19 situation is in a given country. However, we’ve found that focusing on the country’s cumulative number of active cases gives a clearer picture of whether the infection curve is flattening.

Countries with Similar Characteristics

This table is generated by a GCI-developed tool to match countries based on their similar characteristics such as population, population density, income and climate.

Country	Recovery Index	Recovery Index	Population	Density	GNI per capita	Average Temperature since First Case (Celsius)	Match%
Egypt	56.57	64.96	100,388,073	Medium Density	Lower middle income	21-25 deg
Tanzania	35.82	40.19	58,005,463	Medium Density	Lower middle income	21-25 deg	100%
Kenya	52.76	57.94	52,573,973	Medium Density	Lower middle income	26-30 deg	85%
Myanmar	55.16	69.07	54,045,420	Medium Density	Lower middle income	26-30 deg	85%
Congo Democratic Republic	56.76	62.78	86,790,567	Medium Density	Low income	26-30 deg	60%
France	27.80	34.14	67,059,887	Medium Density	High income	< 10 deg	60%
Germany	55.66	64.45	83,132,799	Medium Density	High income	< 10 deg	60%
Iran	46.82	55.18	82,913,906	Medium Density	Upper middle income	11-20 deg	60%
Italy	27.18	38.75	60,297,396	Medium Density	High income	< 10 deg	60%
South Africa	66.62	71.77	58,558,270	Medium Density	Upper middle income	11-20 deg	60%
Thailand	82.81	78.33	69,625,582	Medium Density	Upper middle income	26-30 deg	60%

GCI Recovery Forecast

The GCI Recovery Forecasting methodology relies on a Monte Carlo simulation model as we recognise that the factors that contribute to an increase / decrease in confirmed COVID19 cases are highly variable and subject to various localised circumstances and interventions. The P10 / P50 / P90 are probabilities assigned to the forecasts, with P10 being highly optimistic, and P90 being very conservative on recovery and reduction in cases. The forecast model is updated daily based on the latest case data.

Forecast Results:

Situation Worsening. Infections are forecasted to continue to be on the rise. Interventions are required, if not already in place.

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