The GCI Dashboard

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Country Rank

44


Iraq

Recovery Rank for 180 countries/regions

Country Rank

54


Iraq

Recovery Rank for 184 countries/regions

COVID-19 Recovery Rating

4

Recovery Index
73.39
(Out of 100)



(100 = Best, 0 = Worst)

COVID-19 Recovery Rating

3

Recovery Index
57.41
(Out of 100)



(100 = Best, 0 = Worst)

COVID-19 Severity Rating

2

Severity Index
19.82
(Out of 100)



(0 = Best, 100 = Worst)

COVID-19 Severity Rating

2

Severity Index
39.06
(Out of 100)



(0 = Best, 100 = Worst)

Stringency Rating

47.83

(100 = Strictest Measures, 0 = No Measures)


Population
39,309,783

(Medium Density)


GNI per capita (US$)

5040

(Upper middle income)
5 Countries who have made the most progress in
curtailing the spread of the pandemic and can be
used as examples of best practices (Relative Rating)

4
3
2 Countries who are struggling to cope with the crisis
and who may need to consider maintaining stringent
non-pharmaceutical measures (Relative Rating)
1
1 Countries who are coping with the crisis with a low percentage
of infections and resulting deaths per population
(Relative Rating)
2
3 Countries who may be overwhelmed by the crisis with a high
percentage of infections and resulting deaths per population
(Relative Rating)
4
5

Travel Advisory


1. Passengers arriving from Australia, Austria, Belgium, Brazil, Denmark, Finland, France, Georgia, Germany, Greece, India, Ireland (Rep.), Japan, Luxembourg, Slovakia, South
Africa, Spain, USA, United Kingdom or Zambia are not allowed to enter. - This does not apply to nationals of Iraq and foreign nationals of Iraqi origin.

2. Passengers traveling to Erbil (EBL) who have been since the 15 of December 2020 in Australia, Austria, Belgium, Brazil, Denmark, Finland, France, Georgia, Germany, Greece,
India, Ireland (Rep.), Japan, Luxembourg, Netherlands, Slovakia, South Africa, Spain, USA, United Kingdom or Zambia are not allowed to enter. - This does not apply to nationals of
Iraq and foreign nationals of Iraqi origin.

3. Nationals of Indonesia are not allowed to enter Iraq via Basra (BSR) or Najaf (NJF).

4. Passengers are subject to medical screening and quarantine.

5. Passengers traveling to Baghdad (BGW) must have a printed medical certificate with a negative Coronavirus (COVID-19) PCR test result issued at most 72 hours before departure
from the first embarkation point. The medical certificate must be in Arabic or English. - This does not apply to passengers younger than 10 years. They will be subject to a PCR
test on arrival.

6. Passengers traveling to Basra (BSR) must have a printed medical certificate with a negative Coronavirus (COVID-19) PCR or RT-PCR test result. The test must have been taken at
most 72 hours before arrival. The medical certificate must be in Arabic or English. - This does not apply to passengers younger than 10 years.

7. Passengers traveling to Erbil (EBL) or Sulaymaniyah (ISU) must have a printed medical certificate with a negative Coronavirus (COVID-19) PCR test result. The test must have
been taken at most 72 hours before arrival and the medical certificate must be in Arabic or English. - This does not apply to passengers younger than 12 years. - Coronavirus
(COVID-19) tests issued by the National Health Service (NHS) in the United Kingdom are not accepted.

8. Passengers traveling to Najaf (NJF) must have a medical certificate with a negative Coronavirus (COVID-19) PCR test result. The test must have been taken at most 72 hours
before departure from the first embarkation point. - This does not apply to passengers younger than 10 years.

9. Passengers traveling to Sulaymaniyah (ISU) must complete a "Pledge Form" upon arrival.

10. Airline crew traveling to Erbil (EBL) or Sulaymaniyah (ISU) are subject to self-isolation in a hotel until their next flight.

Travel Advisory information provided and published with permission by IATA.


Iraq Infection Trend


How can you tell if a curve is really flattening?

The number of daily confirmed cases has been used as an estimation of how severe the COVID-19 situation is in a given country. However, we’ve found that focusing on the country’s cumulative number of active cases gives a clearer picture of whether the infection curve is flattening.


Countries with Similar Characteristics


This table is generated by a GCI-developed tool to match countries based on their similar characteristics such as population, population density, income and climate.

Iraq 57.41 73.39 39,309,783 Medium Density Upper middle income 21-25 deg
Country Recovery Index Recovery Index Population Density GNI per capita Average Temperature
since First Case (Celsius)
Match%
Dominican Republic 32.91 42.22 10,738,958 Medium Density Upper middle income 21-25 deg 100%
Ecuador 54.71 62.25 17,373,662 Medium Density Upper middle income 21-25 deg 100%
Colombia 52.87 66.63 50,339,443 Medium Density Upper middle income 26-30 deg 85%
Cuba 56.16 75.76 11,333,483 Medium Density Upper middle income 26-30 deg 85%
Guatemala 54.34 67.10 16,604,026 Medium Density Upper middle income 26-30 deg 85%
Jordan 63.95 74.86 10,101,694 Medium Density Upper middle income 11-20 deg 85%
Malaysia 59.81 72.95 31,949,777 Medium Density Upper middle income 26-30 deg 85%
Venezuela 49.95 69.81 28,515,829 Medium Density Upper middle income 26-30 deg 85%
Madagascar 62.28 66.44 26,969,307 Medium Density Low income 21-25 deg 75%
Malawi 31.86 43.72 18,628,747 Medium Density Low income 21-25 deg 75%

GCI Recovery Forecast


The GCI Recovery Forecasting methodology relies on a Monte Carlo simulation model as we recognise that the factors that contribute to an increase / decrease in confirmed COVID19 cases are highly variable and subject to various localised circumstances and interventions. The P10 / P50 / P90 are probabilities assigned to the forecasts, with P10 being highly optimistic, and P90 being very conservative on recovery and reduction in cases. The forecast model is updated daily based on the latest case data.

Forecast Results:

Situation Improving. The GCI Model forecasts that the situation is definitely improving and with the right discipline and compliance, the country can hope to see numbers diminish significantly in the near future.



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