The Global COVID-19 Index (GCI) - Iraq Dashboard

The GCI Dashboard

Country Rank

112

Iraq

Recovery Rank for 184 countries/regions

COVID-19 Recovery Rating

3

Recovery Index
49.45
(Out of 100)

(100 = Best, 0 = Worst)

COVID-19 Severity Rating

4

Severity Index
63.02
(Out of 100)

(0 = Best, 100 = Worst)

Stringency Rating

60.87

(100 = Strictest Measures, 0 = No Measures)

Population

39,309,783

(Medium Density)

GNI per capita (US$)

5040

(Upper middle income)

COVID-19 Recovery Rating Guide

5	Countries who have made the most progress in curtailing the spread of the pandemic and can be used as examples of best practices (Relative Rating)
4
3
2	Countries who are struggling to cope with the crisis and who may need to consider maintaining stringent non-pharmaceutical measures (Relative Rating)
1

COVID-19 Severity Rating Guide

1	Countries who are coping with the crisis with a low percentage of infections and resulting deaths per population (Relative Rating)
2
3	Countries who may be overwhelmed by the crisis with a high percentage of infections and resulting deaths per population (Relative Rating)
4
5

Travel Advisory

Iraq - published 26.10.2020

1. Flights to Iraq restarted. 2. Passengers who have been in Iran in the past 30 days are not allowed to enter via Erbil (EBL) or Sulaymaniyah (ISU). 3. Passengers are subject to medical screening and quarantine. 4. Passengers traveling to Baghdad (BGW) must have a medical certificate with a negative Coronavirus (COVID-19) test result issued at most 72 hours before departure. 5. Passengers traveling to Basra (BSR) must have a printed medical certificate with a negative Coronavirus (COVID-19) RT-PCR test result. The test must have been taken at most 72 hours before arrival and the certificate must be in Arabic or English. 6. Passengers traveling to Erbil (EBL) or Sulaymaniyah (ISU) without a medical certificate with a negative Coronavirus (COVID-19) test result issued at most 72 hours before arrival are subject to a test upon arrival at their own expense. 7. Passengers traveling to Erbil (EBL) or Sulaymaniyah (ISU) must complete a "Pledge Form" upon arrival. 8. Airline crew traveling to Erbil (EBL) or Sulaymaniyah (ISU) are subject to self-isolation in a hotel until their next flight.

Travel Advisory information provided and published with permission by IATA.

1. Flights to Iraq restarted.

2. Passengers who have been in Iran in the past 30 days are not allowed to enter via Erbil (EBL) or Sulaymaniyah (ISU).

3. Passengers are subject to medical screening and quarantine.

4. Passengers traveling to Baghdad (BGW) must have a medical certificate with a negative Coronavirus (COVID-19) test result issued at most 72 hours before departure.

5. Passengers traveling to Basra (BSR) must have a printed medical certificate with a negative Coronavirus (COVID-19) RT-PCR test result. The test must have been taken at most 72
hours before arrival and the certificate must be in Arabic or English.

6. Passengers traveling to Erbil (EBL) or Sulaymaniyah (ISU) without a medical certificate with a negative Coronavirus (COVID-19) test result issued at most 72 hours before
arrival are subject to a test upon arrival at their own expense.

7. Passengers traveling to Erbil (EBL) or Sulaymaniyah (ISU) must complete a "Pledge Form" upon arrival.

8. Airline crew traveling to Erbil (EBL) or Sulaymaniyah (ISU) are subject to self-isolation in a hotel until their next flight.

Travel Advisory information provided and published with permission by IATA.

Iraq Infection Trend

How can you tell if a curve is really flattening?

The number of daily confirmed cases has been used as an estimation of how severe the COVID-19 situation is in a given country. However, we’ve found that focusing on the country’s cumulative number of active cases gives a clearer picture of whether the infection curve is flattening.

Countries with Similar Characteristics

This table is generated by a GCI-developed tool to match countries based on their similar characteristics such as population, population density, income and climate.

Country	Recovery Index	Population	Density	GNI per capita	Average Temperature since First Case (Celsius)	Match%
Iraq	49.45	39,309,783	Medium Density	Upper middle income	21-25 deg
Dominican Republic	49.82	10,738,958	Medium Density	Upper middle income	21-25 deg	100%
Ecuador	61.09	17,373,662	Medium Density	Upper middle income	21-25 deg	100%
Colombia	56.34	50,339,443	Medium Density	Upper middle income	26-30 deg	85%
Cuba	66.54	11,333,483	Medium Density	Upper middle income	26-30 deg	85%
Guatemala	56.31	16,604,026	Medium Density	Upper middle income	26-30 deg	85%
Jordan	19.86	10,101,694	Medium Density	Upper middle income	11-20 deg	85%
Malaysia	65.28	31,949,777	Medium Density	Upper middle income	26-30 deg	85%
Venezuela	51.31	28,515,829	Medium Density	Upper middle income	26-30 deg	85%
Madagascar	62.94	26,969,307	Medium Density	Low income	21-25 deg	75%
Malawi	55.26	18,628,747	Medium Density	Low income	21-25 deg	75%

GCI Recovery Forecast

The GCI Recovery Forecasting methodology relies on a Monte Carlo simulation model as we recognise that the factors that contribute to an increase / decrease in confirmed COVID19 cases are highly variable and subject to various localised circumstances and interventions. The P10 / P50 / P90 are probabilities assigned to the forecasts, with P10 being highly optimistic, and P90 being very conservative on recovery and reduction in cases. The forecast model is updated daily based on the latest case data.

Forecast Results:

Situation May Improve. The GCI Model indicates that the situation has a small probability of recovery, but there is insufficient evidence to suggest that the recovery trend will improve significantly in the near future.

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